I am taking a closer look at a long-term chart of the US 10Y yield today, I consider this to be a very important chart. Why? Firstly, Government debt continued to sell-off yesterday, with bond bears spurred on by more hawkish remarks from Fed Chair Powell, and secondly, I prefer to look at yield charts as I consider that the data is clearer and not disrupted or...
The US5Y looks ready to break above the US10Y rate for bonds , signaling an inversion of the yield curve, the number one precursor to each recession in the US. The 10 year is sitting 3/1000 of a percent higher right now. When they cross I expect the market to turn red today.
The breakout of the US10Y from its cup and handle pattern dating back to June 2019...
the us10y is a very slow and steady market and on the weekly chart we can a stable movement going . we might see a slight pullback but the overall situation will remain an uptrend
Bearish continuation head and shoulders.
First entry on January 7, stopped on 13 January, second entry on February 4 on breakout confirmation of the daily triangle.
Risk / Reward 4.5
Potential target 135
Looking at a correction towards 1983 throughout next week. Market needs recovery after a sharp sell off this week. We have seen the first impulse move up (Wave A) followed by a corrective Wave B inside this bullish pennant. Now looking for the next leg up towards 1983.
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Soon...may be in 6 months
Which is relevant to stocks ,financial market and investment ...
By static ,after reaching the top trend-line there's always tragedy follows
So be cautious about this
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More analysis below
Hi everyone,
New Trade Idea Long on the US10Y, Right Now.
Bullish Trend= OK
Above M.A.= OK
Price in the Up-Channel= OK
Stop= 1.6710%
TP= 1.900%
Good-Bye and Good Trading!!!
TVC:US10
Bonds have smashed through relative lows in the mid 126's to find support at 126'00 which appears to be a technical and psychological level. We have added this as a technical level on the chart. ZN has been on a clear decline falling 3 handles from the 129's to the base of the 126's. The Kovach OBV is on a steady decline, but does appear to be leveling off...
When investors have a poor outlook for the economy, what do they do? They buy the longest term debt they can because it's one of the ways to price in the uncertainty of "right now" into the long term. Therefore, rational actors would do something like this:
Buy 30 year treasuries. Buying ensues, yield goes down, price goes up. Eventually 20 year yield becomes...
10Y yield with fib retracements -
Purple line was a longterm resistance flipped to support
If yields go higher, I think the only person happy is Dr. Michael Burry
The US10Y is following exactly the pattern of October - November 2021. After a strong Channel Up, it broke to the downside, below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and marginally under the Support of the Channel Up first Low.
Based on the November pattern, the price should decline for the rest of the month, making a Lower Low below the Support and quite likely near...
US10Y - bonds have been in a 40 year bull market. i.e. bond yields have been coming down STRUCTUALLY for 40 years.
Next time you meet a rich bond trader, tell them to stop bragging because you just needed to go long in 1980 and you were good.
What this chart shows pretty clearly is a reverse H/S one of the best indicators to show a change in trend -
The...
I had called this bullish move back in February in the Market Breakdown Report for my investors and we have so far profited from it. On the daily TF, we have also now seen all the imbalance filled that market created during its drop in 2020 and 2021.
Dollar Index has hit a high of $99 and rejected from the resistance I highlighted a few months back. Expecting a bit of consolidation and spikes around this zone before the Dollar makes its next big move!
