Do what you will with this chart & information
Plenty of imbalances which need re balancing
remember that the DXY correlates heavily with the movements of the US10Y & USD currency pairs do the opposite
history rhymes
Major Pattern: Weekly H&S
Retest Pattern: Daily Pennant
First Entry 6 Jan
Second Entry 4 Feb
First Trailing Stop Activated Today, after Half Target Reached
In this video we discuss the current macro economic problems facing the Bond market and anticipate that regardless of what happens we will see dislocations (volatility) in a number of different markets.
The problems with Japan stems from their monetary policy to implement Yield Curve Control (YCC) where they are committed to keeping their interest rates between...
In this video I am going to show you why I think that we will have a major decreas e in bonds price this year. This is due to the fact that we are currently trading in a wedge shape , or a so-called Elliot Wave Diagonal which is characterized by a 5-Waves-Pattern , of which every inner wave is shorter than the first impulsive wave.
Fundamentally spoken, I do...
It took less than a year for relative yields to do what took 5 years in the previous cycle. Last time it was gentle and made us fall asleep at the wheel. This time, it's forcefed down our throat and the economy will be dragged down by these companies who have made harmful malinvestiments for years with no recourse. Look at half the companies on the Russell with no...
Keeping the ZIRP thesis alive for now, 30s & 20s remain inverted now 5s could overtake 10s then 30s. Bonds are screaming for sure with inflation still growing m/m, more printing is inevitable to keep the economy going, and printing is how we got here. The next announcement for fed QE expansion, I believe will be the catalyst for golds big move out of the major...
This chart provides a clear "prediction" on tomorrow's Federal Interest payments (on the debt) which sits at a bit more than 20% of tax revenue. This chart uses the debt and the US10Y to show where payments are going. It's obviously very accurate but the problem is, the next move up is going to detrimental to US government solvency. Higher payments come with...
Here you can see the ratio of XAU (an index of 30 precious metal mining companies) to the S&P 500 compared to the yield on the US 10 year treasury (orange line). As you can see, we have been in a falling rate environment ever since Volcker jacked up rates in the early 80s and put a floor under the value of the Dollar. XAU/SPX has followed the treasury yields down...
Hi friends...before wait first i am waiting for the bear season in the stock markets.
.target 4200
Full buying zone in index under 4200 _3800...and wait strong candle
then strong candles wait time. first atack 5248.. second 5606 ....
if 5606 breaks strong bull season awaits us
thnks and goodluck
-Watching on lower timeframes for buying opportunities.
-We have price reacting off of demand/support but we
just need to see evidence of buyers coming in...
-need to see LTF trend lines break/opposing zones
removed + quality zones created.
hi all bro..
If us10y and btc are rising on the same monthly candles. The thesis that us10y goes up, btc goes down, it's garbage for me..
%100 no reverse correlation
see marked candles . sometimes together
btc 4 hours ..
never forget my indicator auto fibonacci draws
Selling in the fall below the thin line.
Buying in the rises above the thin line
first atack...
hi all bro..
If dxy and btc are rising on the same monthly candles. The thesis that dxy goes up, btc goes down, it's garbage for me..
%100 no reverse correlation
see marked candles . sometimes together
btc 4 hours ..
never forget my indicator auto fibonacci draws
Selling in the fall below the thin line.
Buying in the rises above the thin line
first atack +46666...
hi all bro.
never forget my indicator auto fibonacci draws
Selling in the fall below the thin line.
Buying in the rises above the thin line
first atack +46666 second atack 510000
stop line 41450
good luck..
fallow ,comments. like and share pls ..
Here is an interesting comparison of the 3 charts. If the history of these charts has taught us anything, there is going to be a rise in rates on a real rate basis more so than actual rates. What is more interesting is how this real rate rise will influence gold prices. Now gold isn't bitcoin, they are the exact opposite things. One is front-loaded with energy and...
All goes down to CPI readings this Thursday but purely from a technical perspective, US2Y and US10Y are expected to cool down in the next few weeks from their current trading ranges that could go up to 1.4% and 2.1% respectively. If invalidated and they go higher into the coming week, expect more volatility and suffering for the stock market.
US2Y
US10Y
