NFP Trading ?? Bull or Bear ? What do you Think ?
The price is currently held by the support level of $ 1770, but has lost its dynamic support and has completed its pullback to that level. If the level of 1770 breaks, our Sell position trigger will be activated.
The targets will be $ 1760, $ 1747 and $ 1727, respectively.
Follow our other analysis & Feel free...
The yield differential between two-year and ten-year US Treasury notes, known as the 2s10s spread, has reached its highest level since November 2015. The 2s10s spread, which describes the slope of the yield curve, receives a lot of attention from market analysts and has arguably been a strong indication of economic mood and expectations. Historically, a steep...
Idea for Bonds:
- US05Y and US02Y printed immense spikes in the pre-market. Glitch? Probably not. Bond market in general is having extreme events globally, US markets not immune.
- Not shown on TV, but HYG also printed -7% in the AH on Friday... and traded there for several minutes.
- Dollar is unstoppable with global shortage. Pension funds have elected to use...
Good news for all of you crypto heads! The reversal is coming sooner than later. Why? Because we see a massive spike in shorts which means a massive spike in market maker longs (opposite side of the contract), coming from an ALL TIME LOW and hitting the breakout target from the falling channel / wedge. Furthermore, we have US10Y dropping massively along with the...
I noticed the treasury bond yields are almost identical to the bitcoin/usd chart for 2020 and 2021 ever since the black swan event in March '20, but not in any other period prior to this cycle. Anyone have any insight into why this is and why this wasn't before?
Idea for TLT:
- According to consumer expectations, US is already in a recession. Dow hit ATH through this, so a headfake is due.
- We have been patient, but Treasury auction today is a good turning point.
- Long Jan 20, 2023 145C for 8.60 debit
GLHF
- DPT
I haven't updated my 10Y Bond Yield outlook in almost a month, ever since calling the top and the potential of a bearish reversal:
The top successfully took place and the rejection gave way to the reversal on which the price has been trading until now. The similarities with the March - May formation remain and have even become stronger. As you see there is a...
A possible buy is in play back up to 1872, to complete Wave 2 before we see a continuation down towards 1570. This is also a VERY IMPORTANT HEDGE TRADE as it protects us if market moves back above 1965 & continues up.
I will be catching this move on behalf of myself and my Account Management investors✅
Trickty!! is it a h&S ? 2x shoulder? Looks a smidge high. and a smidge bullish.
RSI is wide for volatility so no help.
MACD slightly bullish. Within a wedge/bearish continuation too....
TOUGH! If I had to guess, I'd guess south.
Idea for Macro:
- I'm of the opinion that Fed has already made a policy mistake.
- Recession has already begun, as per my September 29 idea and now confirmed by consumer sentiment.
- Likely the nominal yield falls below 1.000 again, and yield curve to invert once more.
GLHF
- DPT
looking for this pair to retrace as a corrective pullback and retest previous wave 4.
buying from current levels is high risk however for scalping i would recommend a bullish view.
we might see more selling pressure in the future
With the US FED set to begin tapering and the US government continuing on its unprecedented spending spree, the US10Y is ready to rally throughout 2022. Although you should not use technicals on on macroeconomic trends, it is evident that a cup and handle is forming with the target yield at about 2.8%. This increase in interest rates could have major wide-reaching...
Markets will be hanging on the lips of the Fed on Wednesday and I expect another weak NFP's report on Friday. The DXY can go either way from here but I'm keeping an eye on the US 10 year yield. If it fails to hold its current channel I'll be getting my dollar shorts ready before another set of weak NFP's data on Friday.
A failed break above 94.440 will see the...
Idea for MOVE:
- Bond markets seeing volatility after the Quad Witching and FOMC double whammy.
- US02Y 2x ATR spike:
- Expecting turbulence the rest of the month.
GLHF
- DPT
Hello traders!
I expect more upside for the dollar both technically and fundamentally.
Fundamental Bias:
Weak Bullish
Primary Driver:
1. The Monetary Policy outlook for the FED
Rationale:
More hawkish than expected sums up the Sep meeting. The FOMC gave the go ahead for a November tapering announcement as long as the economy develops as expected with their...
The US10Y has reached (and so far got rejected on) the 1.707 Resistance (1), which last time rejected the price on May 13. With the 1D RSI on a Bearish Divergence (is on Lower Highs while the actual price is on Higher Highs), similarities can be made with the February 25 - March 30 sequence, which after an RSI Bearish Divergence got rejected on the 1.775...
