Due to analyzes of previous multi time frame analysis about the symbol which imply on corrective movements to the important support area of weekly time frame, the daily indicates possible pullback and also the h1 time frame shows new bullish attitude but eventually we can say that probable fluctuations of US10Y have two tp regions.
By decrementing US10Y from US02Y we see the actual breakout so to speak. Volatile. Already touched the previous Global Resistance with a huge spike and most likely next 2 to 3 years are going to be volatile as well coming to an end around Nov 2021 - the point that looks pretty similar to what we already saw in 1991 | 2001 | 2008 and notice since 2008 the move...
Price is back into monthly demand looking bullish with price in this area of demand + support line.
Good afternoon. This is the chart that everybody yelling about. May this year price close below monthly support. Today (Aug 2019) we have a green 9 and doubts. The importance of this level is significant, but first let's compare 1991 vs 1995 vs 2000 vs 2008 vs NOW(2019) You can do it yourself and come to any conclusion you will, but I want you to know that...
"The history can't repeat the details, but the process will be repeated..."
When the interest rate cuts, we are to short S&P in long-term.
US10Y BUCKLE UP 3M-10Y Yield Curve Inverted already, 1st time since 2007, this is one of the most reliable signs of a recession coming soon. It looks like the global slowdown worries have been confirmed and the market is beginning to price in Fed easing, potential recession down the road, so it’s clearly a sign that the market is worried about growth and moving...
Late Cycle indicators. Watch for yield curve steepening. As Druckmiller says, a recession can not be official without a corporate profit recession which leads to significant repricing of equity. It appears we are at the inflection point of another 2016 or repeat of 2000, 2007...Q2/Q3 is the do or die. If we get through without negative YOY earnings , it could be...
Almost all USD pairs seem to be in trouble and breaking huge long term trend lines. This chart seems to confirm it from another angle
A few weeks ago we got some nice yield inversion in the US treasury market, just like we did in Canada. I'm thinking the Fed will keep the Federal Funds Rate stable around here before cutting when bad nGDP data comes rolling in.
yield indicator
Yield indicator
Markets have officially peaked. Bigger boom, bigger bust. Monetary policy can either create a Japanese style bubble or lose to market forces.
This long term chart compares the SPX (orange), US10Y (white) and the Fed's National Activity Index (blue). Note the extended periods of the NAI which remain below 0 marking recession. The 10 year yield tends to peak well in advance of the next recession. On a daily basis we see ongoing concern about the 10y-3mo inverted yield curve as an indication of...