Just another anecdote of how this trades much better using a log scale than a non-log scale. This will likely break out to the downside within the next few months. See my longer term chart for reference.
There have been a lot of talks of a bond bear market over the past year. That would be a big problem, but it's not here yet. The biggest problem is that too many chartists are using and circulating charts of trend resistance breaking in bonds that do not use log scales. I get that it seems intuitively dumb for a yield chart to use a log scale, but that's how this...
USDJPY is heading bearish - possibly to 111.8
The 10YR note has once again reached its resistance and it is coming to a decision whether it will break its resistance or break the trend line and continue to fall. Just keep an eye on what it does once it reaches the trend-line, it could bounce around the resistance and trend line. I think it will not break resistance only because it has been tested numerous...
You can expect at least a 10% drop for the US10Y in the coming weeks and months, but most likely stronger. The bearish divergence is very strong and it is showing up on both the MACD and RSI. The decent has already started. Looks like the entire conventional market is about to have a massive crash. Time to move to crypto. Thanks a lot for reading. Namaste.
Bond Market Flight To Safety... LOL When will these people ever learn ? . Unprecedented levels of us debt . Unwinding of petro dollar status . Primary buyer of us 10 years is us treasury via short term derivatives swap machinery . The game will continue until it can't ! Reallocate to Bitcoin, Ripple XRP.... Now !
This is part of a series of charts which I will posting for the reader to make up his/her mind based on the weight of the evidence. Do note, these are weekly charts which means the implications of which will occur over the next 12, 18, 24, 36 months.
bonds, they rise like the foam and that as the past represented a problem, (inversion of the curve of interest ratios) now this has not yet been presented, but to follow this trend with the strength it has, in a not too distant time the yield of the bond can get out of control
There are some consequences of Quantitative Teasing made by FED. Will Quantitative Easing be back, if stock markets will plummet some day? If yes it will be probably end of dollar and other FIATs, after some time of creating more money from the air.
To monitor your portfolio, it may be useful to follow this chart on daily time frame, and a potential new TOP, could confirm our idea... Although this analysis could be difficult to consult, we are sure that Professionals could find this chart useful. If you think this analysis can be usefu, please, leave a your comment or your LIKE! Thank you for support and...
unsustainable in case of fulfiling this scenario. The street is buying assets. I bet Buffet and huge players are selling and cutting significant percent of their engagement and buying US bonds instead. But in few years dollar will be worth nothing, so maybe they plan to buy physical gold combined with best cryptos, and after collapse of FIAT money they will create...
=> Our thesis of the multi month consolidation in the 10 year offering buying opportunities has been confirmed via the recent crisis in Turkey and the associated plunge in commodity prices. => There is no one size fits all framework here yet as yields have been all over the place since we confirmed 3% for the headlines. This is really just the tip of the iceberg,...
Measured moved based on H&S break has this moving approximately 10%. We're currently looking at a retest of the break, but it's fading fast. When combined with the record net-short interest here, this could be a fast move, and could even invert the yield curve in one fell-swoop. If so, this would be reminiscent of the 2000 yield curve inversion, which happened...
Us Bond Market Curiously the bond market closed down .23% on Friday while the us 10 year also closed down 1.2% however the us 5 year closed up 1.19% . Does anybody see a disconnect in this relationship ? I believe us treasury debt is quietly being sold off by china, russia and others as they have do not have the need to hold us debt in the same way as they...
US 10 Year Bonds - #US10Y - Yield is surging above 3% these days while US #Crude Oil is hitting new 4 years high around 73 Dollar , this reminding me back to 2014 while #US10Y was likely on an effort to reach 3% and US #Crude was above 100$ , and the point is the Dexy #DXY was like on lows around 80 , and what happened ? the #DXY - US Dollar Index got surged to...