AUDUSD is showing signs of uptrend failing to fall below support while the US10Y is coming down to around 2.95 forcing the DXY to come down around 92.37.
This idea supports the previous interest rate outlook. I advise you to book profits on the idea given last September (see related) earlier than set target at 116'07 and this is why: The long-term trend together with the previous low offers strong support for the price and could reject the drop in the 117-118 area. In this area the wave C = 1.272 of wave A and this...
While investors are moving in for safe returns, the market and FED seems to be into a Chinese box. The underlying risk could push the US10Y through the roof and easily take it to 3.54. However, the Federal Reserve should be cautious, now more than ever. Learn how to beat the market as Professional Trader with an ex-insider! Next one on June 4th, Book your...
10-year yield curve US-German comparison. The comparison aims at further understanding the EURUSD track. The DE10Y yield curve shows that the decreasing correction structure (red line) is shorter. But it can also be seen that the size of the fractals (green wave) before them is getting smaller. It can have two consequences. The first is that a drop in yields is...
Charting the LOG of the US 2y yield (blue line) compared to that of the US 10y yield (red line) here shows the heavy move up in the 2y compared to the 10y. This, in my opinion, is very important because a 2y yield at or above 3% will likely drive short-medium term market reaction. Some of my thoughts on the 2y, 5y, and 10y points of the curve for context: • The...
US10Y is watching the world now. The exchange rate is in the form of a downward correction and a double rising waveform. The bottom of the current correction is 3,013 The current waveform (BC) can be of a similar size to the predecessor first wave structure (0A). If the technical identification is correct, the (BC) wave structure target price is 3.289
IH&S Po at 2.62 area $TNX, $BUND
after retesting the neckline and bounce from it. Dont look @Laguerre backtest it was not for this chart.
The US Dollar has been in distribution with large speculators unwinding their net long positions (COT Report) that had been building since mid 2000. Currently the longs and shorts are matching each other and there is no commitment in the US Dollar. The volume signature has also decreased. The correlation with the 10 year bond yields has also shown a significant...
US Government Bonds 10 year yield already broke clusters and getting closer to the trend line, too many opportunities in the market but don't forget... buckle up! Remember Tradingview followers have a half price on Professional Trading Course for the next one in April. Just 25 seats available Learn how to beat the market as Professional Trader with an...
This is exactly the pattern im looking for when i want to long. Trade at your own risk!
... uhm maybe i should write RIP or something like that, but i disrespect imperialists - worldwide known as murderers, liars and psychopats.
At the end of last September I called for the drop in the 10-year US T-notes with quite aggressive target (see related idea). In this and the next update I came to the thought that the drop could be over earlier as rates are reaching important resistance level. Despite the aggressive tone on the rate rise in US, I think the upside is limited based on this...
Last two times unphased corr signaled dollar ignition $FGBL, $ZN_F, $DXY
I see strong of support for the 10y at just above the key 2.40% level: -Current 10y levels have finally crossed over the trend-line going back to July – strong near-term indicator is broken which suggests 10y support at/above 2.40%. -Interestingly, the ~2.40% yield level is the .618 Fibonacci level which we have also crossed over – this is a key Fib level which...
After the NFP data DX will power up. 10-year USYT can approach 2.40% levels. Gold can also react at $ 1267 - $ 1270. In addition, silver has a strong stance and is good for gold.
The movement of the euro from 1.1730 to 1.1822 may be interpreted as a correction movement. As long as we do not see a price movement above 1.1822, which is 61.8% of Fibonacci, we can call the new target for Euro 1.1670.