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Us10yr

US 10 YR - Lower yields to come in 2019 and beyondLooks like loan officers will be selling 2 and 3 percent fixed mortgages before long. ;) This is an update to my previous idea: If you're a fan of Fibonacci, then you're already well aware of the significance of the 1.618 and .618 lines. If you're not. Here's a super simple version. .618 retrace is the most likely level to see a "bounce" if the overall trend is higher. However, If .618 fails to hold, it's bearish and the next level of support is .786 followed by 1.0 representing a full retrace with new lower lows possible. So, if the 10 year yield is to "bounce" and start heading higher, it basically has to do it here and now... But that's probably not going to happen this time. Globally, central banks of the world are already loosening. China and Europe leading the way. The US economy is clearly showing signs of slowing. Tariffs, combined with record rain have devastated the Midwest farming region. (Expect higher food prices in 2020). A rising dollar at a time where exports are desired more than ever, etc. Ultimately, i expect the 10 yr yield to test the previous low of 1.32 we saw following the passage of Brexit. And we could get there quick. Next 4-6 months or "before 2020" if that's easier.
TVC:US10YShort
by jdharward
Support Cracked Wide Open on the US 10YHere we are witnessing the minimum target from a ABC perspective since the January highs at 2.799%. This sequence from here on should be viewed as corrective and will be a shallow retrace in the broader trend. There is little support here so the key levels to watch in play remain 2.286%. We may see some choppy waters here, however, the potential to retrace as low as 2.088% remains live. Best of luck all those positioning for the week.
TVC:US10YShort
by ridethepig
US 10YR: Time to buy Bonds.Regardless of the fundamentals that are dominating the global economic scene (trade wars), there is an interesting long term, and rather cyclical from the looks of it, pattern developing on the U.S. Government Bonds 10 YR Yield. The pattern is a declining Head and Shoulders formation on 1W. The last two times that the same pattern emerged (in 2017 and in 2015 - 2016) the price broke higher very aggressively, surpassing the peak/ head of the formation. In 2017 the patterns duration was around 280 days while in 2015/2016 around 460 days. We are currently on the 360th day of the running pattern. Purely from a long term technical perspective it may be the right time investing in these bonds. ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
TVC:US10YLong
by InvestingScope
1
The Yield Curve of the US Free Markets 10Y-30Y Combination CaseThe Yield Curve of the Free Markets ... 10Y-30Y Combination Case.. - US Bonds maturities of 10 Year and 30 Year (long maturities) are mostly influenced by free market participants and not by the FED Funds ... at present time they are not tightening as most combinations based on more short maturities. The indicator in the chart, the combination 10Year-30Years is steepening, sending a different message a possibility of expanding the duration of current economic cycle.
SP:SPX
by JoaoPauloPires
1
US10s finding support?Market is currently around a number of support levels ranging from 2.796% and 2.514% => This area is going to be very difficult to break because it also includes the uptrend which started from July 2016. Here it is worth pointing out that the market has seen the leg lower via the ABC count. Consildation has kicked in for a lengthy period of time and we are set to begin trading more dollar strength. Watch for signs of a base forming here, the setup weakens below 2.51%. Thanks and good luck
TVC:US10YLong
by ridethepig
Long US 10year Treasury Bond $ZNWith WTI declining nearly %30 in a short time span and global growth slowing. Investors are long US TBONDS as they are willing to tolerate lower yields from bonds in anticipation of lower inflation and slowing growth. Bonds rising will have a wide ranging market influence. From yields falling, to equities under performing to Japanese investors seeking domestic risk investment and therefore halting capital exports. This will mark a turning point in the business cycle for month to come and will challenge active and passive investors and money managers to rethink their portfolios, possibly even rotate into other assets. We are still in the infancy of this turning point , tops and bottoms are ripe for picking.
CBOT:ZN1!Long
by SpeculatorsTrading
Road Map for U.S equities and economy (Similar to 1937)From the recent Ray Dalio's interview with business insider, he pointed out that our current situation looks exactly like in 1937, which led to a recession. Three points that I take away: 1. Dollar is facing a short squeeze at current phase, so fundamentally, do not short dollar until something changes. So far, the picture is still Fed tightening and ECB, BOJ QEing. 2. The debt bubble will burst, which will end bad and the Fed will come to rescue, that's after when we have the "buy the dip won't work" phase. 3. The rescue will be temporary in my opinion, the fundamental issues of U.S economy, even global economy will have to resolve themselves in a bad manner, causing a recession. We have experienced the sharp correction like in 1937 (~13%). Now we are in the "struggling to make new highs" phase, so sharp corrections like this week will happen more often, but direction is still up. The economy will use all its power to pump equities for the last chance. After that, we will experience extreme volatility= great money will be made by then (both long and short). Around late 2019 and early 2020, the U.S may enter into recession. For how long, it all depends on what the monetary and fiscal policies will be at that time. Be prepared for that, but we are not there yet. So treat the pull back as buying opportunity. I have target price for $SPX500USD ~3200 and $US30USD ~28000.
DJ:DJILong
by KeyTrade
1