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There are two channels in a row on the chart. One of them is the Fibonacci Channels, while the horizontal ones are the Fibonacci Retracement. The overlapping point of these two channels is 1.93% and we predict that we will reach this point in a short time. Of course, we don't say this just by looking at the lines on the graph. With the latest incentive...
If the US10Y does not intervene, danger bells will begin to ring for the stock markets.
So much for the 5th wave... the formulation has truncated after the payrolls report. This is an example of an erroneous freeing. In similar patterns, the rebound will translate in a 5 wave impulsive sequence which is somewhat cramped after the knee-jerk reaction from covid. The appropriate positional response to the lows here is to ride the pig , what we are...
US10Y Daily Downside 0.57 12:38:23 (UTC) Mon May 4, 2020
Downside target posted. Last week's trade was killer and we will be using profit from that trade too scale further. 19:32:09 (UTC) Tue Apr 28, 2020
US10yr Yield Short Entry - 12:55:26 (UTC) Tue Apr 14, 2020
US10y Daily Short Range - Thu Apr 9, 2020 12:18:02 ( UTC ) Thu Apr 9, 2020
Markets are focused on three topics this week: (i) The 4Q 2019 Earnings season, (ii) coronavirus spillover concerns and (iii) Sanders performance in Caucuses. In US Yields the picture is crystal clear on the Long-term chart, for those following the 1.50% support level we are tracking on the daily you will note where the strength in defence comes from in the medium...
A quick update that I will try to keep relatively short for those charting the US10Y we have important updates after markets struggled to shake off risks from China. The support in Yields is starting to form a bullish basing pattern, although the medium term structure is weaker the immediate horizon looks strong and stable above the 1.50 line in the sand. ...
A deliberate soft closing down at the 1.50 lows (instead of breaking through allows for an underestimation in the bounce); here, the systematic approach of buying the dip deserves victory. We can cast some light together on playing through the flank: In the extraordinarily traditional sense an inversion which we are looking at always leads to a recession and...
Fibs very significant on way down, but not such much since reversal. Nevetheless trend is up. Here's an approximate plot based on fibs. Note yields currently oversold (Bonds are inverse of yields, best ETF is IEF
A timely update to the 10yr US Bond Yields chart as we enter into NFP territory. I am still expecting to see further upside with a strong bid in 1H20. Targeting the 38.2% retracement which coincides with the cluster of macro stops makes sense. We come up against the last case in variation for the move, erroneously described as a surrender. To put simply...
A rather quick update here as markets find a floor rate differentials as widely anticipated. It is no surprises for those following the chart previously: For the technicals, those with a background in waves will know this is a textbook example of an ABC correction after a 5 wave sequence; Things are a lot clearer in the FX board as we begin the flows in...
Testing times for US 10yr Treasuries.
A timely update to the US10Y Yield chart as we breakout with November highs in scope. We will not be covering US fundamentals here today and instead will focus on key technicals in play. For the flows in our map for today and the rest of 2019 we have the key levels in play (highly recommend adding all to charts): Steel Support => 1.65 Strong Support =>...
Huge move down starting late '18 to early Sep '19 (from 3.25% to 1.43%). Whist overall the US 10 yr yield will likely fall over time, a short term retracement bounce to 1.86%, then possibly 2.125%.
The 10Y yield has been falling since it peaked on the 5th of October and 8th of November 2018. On each leg down of the US10Y, ie; from the 8th of November till the 3rd of December 2018, from the 17th of April till the 3rd of June 2019 and from the 29th of July to the 8th of August 2019, the SPX has also correspondingly fallen. However, the DXY, which has been...