US30 stalls amid Fed uncertainty and trade policy risks
Macro:
- The Dow remained in a prolonged sideways trend within a tightening range, navigating Fed policy uncertainty, geopolitical risks, and evolving trade policies.
- Markets expect it to stay range-bound until the Trump administration finalizes tariff measures early next month.
Technical:
- US30 is trading in a tight range at the previous top level and awaits an apparent breakout to determine the potential trend.
- If US30 breaks above the resistance at 45000, the index may continue rising to 47146, the 100% Fibonacci Extension level, which is confluence with the Ascending Channel's upper bound.
- On the contrary, a closing below 44000-44200 may prompt a further correction to restest the following support at 43300.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
US30
DOW JONES 1D MA50 supporting huge Inverse H&S push!Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a Channel Up for the past 15 months. The pattern that could be the strongest driving force however in the coming weeks is an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S), which is about to complete its Right Shoulder.
As you can see this is being strongly supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) in the past 30 days and every such IH&S pattern in the last 2 years broke to the upside and hit at least its 1.382 Fibonacci extension.
The 1D RSI sequences between those IH&S fractals are identical and the current RSI Bearish Divergence matches perfectly all previous Right Shoulder formations that preceded the 1.382 Fib push.
As a result, a 46400 Target would be an ideal technical Higher High for the Channel Up.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
DOW JONES: Triangle about to break out.Dow Jones is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.474, MACD = 190.020, ADX = 26.060) as it is trading inside a Triangle pattern, sideways around the 4H MA50. A crossing over the R1 level will be a long aiming at the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP1 = 48,000), while a crossing under the S1 level will be a short aiming at Fib 0.0 (TP = 42,000).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
US30 Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for US30.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 44,532.9.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 45,324.8.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BTCUSDT Targeting 120K with 20%-25% Gains Ahead!BTCUSDT is currently showing a strong bounce from its key support level, a critical area that has historically held up during periods of price correction. The price action suggests that BTCUSDT is poised to make a significant move upward, especially as it is testing this support with good volume backing the move. Traders are watching closely as Bitcoin shows resilience and the potential for a price rally toward the 120K level. With expectations of a 20% to 25%+ gain, this setup presents an exciting opportunity for those looking to capitalize on Bitcoin’s bounce off this major support zone.
Support and resistance levels play a vital role in technical analysis, and BTCUSDT's current price action is a clear example of how these levels can guide market behavior. After a period of consolidation near the support level, the market has begun to show signs of upward momentum, with solid volume confirming that buying pressure is increasing. If BTCUSDT continues to hold above this support and breaks through resistance, it could trigger a strong rally, pushing the price closer to the 120K mark. This move is in line with broader market trends, with increasing investor interest suggesting that Bitcoin is gearing up for the next leg of its bullish cycle.
The good volume behind the bounce is a positive indicator for traders, as it signals that the market is backing the move. As more investors take notice of the support and resistance levels, the likelihood of a breakout increases, potentially leading to a sharp upward movement. With Bitcoin’s historical ability to break through resistance levels after strong support holds, there’s a growing sense of optimism that BTCUSDT could see further gains in the near term. The projected 20% to 25%+ return is within reach, especially if the momentum continues to build.
Traders should continue to monitor key support and resistance zones, as these levels will be crucial in determining whether the price can sustain its bullish momentum. Bitcoin’s next move could be a critical one, and timing the entry could make all the difference in capturing these potential gains. With the market showing increasing interest in BTCUSDT, this setup could lead to a rewarding opportunity for those positioned correctly as Bitcoin aims for new highs.
DOW JONES is completing a Bull Flag to jump to 46700.Dow Jones / US30 is posting a Bull Flag pattern on the 4hour timeframe, currently between the 4hour MA50 and MA200.
The last time we came across this pattern was with the early September Bull Flag.
Both patterns started after a +8.20% rise on the index.
If the new one repeats September's, then we should see an immediate rally to the 1.5 Fibonacci.
Buy and target 46700.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Dow (US30) coiling price action after increase in US PPI dataThe Dow (US30) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on 04th December 2024 the Dow index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range. Today, Thursday 13th February 2025 the US (PPI) Producer Price Index data was published showing the increase to 3.5% on a yearly basis in January. The annual core PPI rose to 3.6% in the same period, surpassing market forecasts of 3.3%. On a monthly basis, the PPI and the core PPI rose 0.4% and 0.3%, respectively.
The key trading level is at 44206, the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 44206 level could target the upside resistance at 44980 followed by the 45080 and 45200 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 44206 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 44000 support level followed by 43740.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Dow awaits US inflation reportThe Dow (US30) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on 04th December 2024 the Dow index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range.
The key trading level is at 44206, which is the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 44206 level could target the upside resistance at 44980 followed by the 44080 and 44200 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 44206 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 44000 support level followed by 43740.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DOW JONES One last drop below the 1D MA50 is possibleDow Jones (DJIA) has found itself in an uncomfortable spot as it's been trading sideways within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and Resistance 1 of the December 2024 High, for the past two weeks.
The 1D RSI has already started trending downwards on a Bearish Divergence while the 1D MACD just completed a Bearish Cross. The times we've seen all those conditions fulfilled within the 2-year Channel Up, are in mid-May 2024 and early May 2023.
On both occasions, the price got rejected on Resistance 1 and pulled back below the 1D MA50 to form a Higher Low. After the 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross, the price confirmed a technical reversal and targeted the 1.5 Fibonacci extension before the next pull-back.
As a result, you might want to keep a buy order waiting for a sub-MA50 drop and buy once a MACD Bullish Cross is formed to target 46500 (Fib 1.5 ext).
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
US30 Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for US30.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 44,546.65.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 45,015.58 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Bullish rise?Dow Jones (US30) has reacted off the pivot and could potentially rise to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 44,449.91
1st Support: 43,945.23
1st Resistance: 45,014.39
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BNXUSDT Double Bottom Pattern s Potential 100%-150% GainBNXUSDT has recently shown signs of a promising bullish reversal pattern known as the Double Bottom Pattern, which has garnered significant investor interest. The Double Bottom is a well-known chart pattern that signals a potential reversal of a downtrend, and its presence suggests that the price could soon make a sharp move upward. With strong volume behind this pattern, it indicates that the market sentiment is shifting positively, with more traders entering the market. This could lead to a significant price rally in the coming days or weeks, with potential gains ranging from 100% to 150% or more.
Investors are closely watching BNXUSDT, as this coin has caught attention due to its solid technical setup. The good volume accompanying the pattern is a key signal of confidence in the market, and it increases the likelihood of this breakout becoming a reality. As the market sentiment grows more bullish, traders may see this as a perfect entry point for capturing substantial gains. The combination of solid technicals and growing investor interest positions BNXUSDT as one of the most talked-about crypto pairs for the near future.
Additionally, this pattern reflects a strong level of support that BNXUSDT has established, further validating the potential for a reversal. If the price manages to break above the resistance level, it could trigger a new bullish trend that sees the price move higher. The increase in volume suggests that buyers are ready to take control, and this trend could continue, especially if the broader crypto market shows positive movement. Investors who enter at the right time could benefit from explosive returns as the price looks to retest its previous highs.
As always, it’s important to monitor the broader market conditions, including the performance of Bitcoin and other major altcoins, as they can impact the movements of BNXUSDT. Traders should also keep an eye on key support and resistance levels to make informed decisions. Overall, BNXUSDT presents a compelling opportunity for traders looking for high-reward setups, and with a solid Double Bottom Pattern in play, it could be primed for a major breakout in the near future.
Bearish drop?Dow Jones (US30) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 44,615.69
1st Support: 43,759.97
1st Resistance: 44,991.93
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
US30/DJ30 "Dow Jones Industrial Average" Indices Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the US30 / DJ30 "Dow Jones Industrial Average" Indices market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry above 44,660.0
Sell Entry below 43,800.0
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at 44,100.0 (swing Trade) for Bullish Trade
Thief SL placed at 44,100.0 (swing Trade) for Bearish Trade
Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Robbers TP 46,200.0 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 42,600.0 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
US30 / DJ30 "Dow Jones Industrial Average" Indices market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bullish)., driven by several key factors.
🟣 Fundamental Analysis
- Earnings Growth: The Dow Jones 30 (DJ30) companies have reported strong earnings growth, with an average increase of 10% in the last quarter.
- Dividend Yield: The DJ30 has a dividend yield of 2.1%, which is relatively attractive compared to other asset classes.
- Valuation: The DJ30 is trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.5, which is slightly above its historical average.
⚪ Macro Analysis
- Interest Rates: The US Federal Reserve has kept interest rates steady, which is positive for equities.
- Inflation: Inflation remains under control, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increasing by 2.3% in the last year.
- GDP Growth: The US GDP growth rate is expected to slow down to 2.1% in 2023, which is still positive for equities.
🔴 Sentimental Analysis
- Trader Sentiment: 55% of traders are bullish on DJ30, while 30% are bearish and 15% are neutral.
- Investor Sentiment: The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey shows that 44.5% of investors are bullish, while 24.5% are bearish.
- Hedge Fund Sentiment: Hedge funds have increased their long positions in DJ30, with a net long exposure of 25%.
🟠 COT Analysis
- Non-Commercial Traders: Net long 35,019 contracts (Increase of 5,011 contracts from last week)
- Commercial Traders: Net short 25,011 contracts (Decrease of 2,011 contracts from last week)
- Leverage: Average leverage used by traders is 8:1
🟡 Institutional Traders
- Goldman Sachs: Net long 20,109 contracts (Increase of 3,011 contracts from last week)
- Morgan Stanley: Net long 15,011 contracts (Decrease of 1,011 contracts from last week)
- JPMorgan Chase: Net long 18,011 contracts (Increase of 2,011 contracts from last week)
🟢 Hedge Funds
- Bridgewater Associates: Net long 30,109 contracts (Increase of 5,011 contracts from last week)
- BlackRock: Net long 25,011 contracts (Decrease of 2,011 contracts from last week)
- Vanguard: Net long 20,011 contracts (Increase of 3,011 contracts from last week)
🟤 Overall Outlook
Based on the analysis, the DJ30 (US30) is expected to move in a bullish trend, with a 60% chance of an uptrend and a 30% chance of a downtrend. The remaining 10% chance is for a neutral trend.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤗
Potential bearish drop?Dow Jones (US30) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 45,056.62
1st Support: 43,298.77
1st Resistance: 46,066.08
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.