DOW JONES may be entering a wide 4 month consolidation phaseDow Jones / US30 reached the top of the historic Channel Up that started 2 years ago on October 3rd.
Technically that calls for a strong short. Last time that happened in April 1st, the index turned sideways on a wide consolidation.
The other 2 Higher High rejections caused Channel Down corrections.
Technically the time to rebound again will be closer to the 1week MA50 but that can be in December.
Until then, buy low and sell high within 42250 and 43350.
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US30
Key Breakout at 42,290 to Determine Bullish or Bearish TrendDow Jones Technical Outlook:
The price should break 42290 to start a bullish trend till 42800,
Otherwise, as long as trades under 42290 and 42210 will be a bearish trend toward 41960 and 41775
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 42290
Resistance Levels: 42450, 42700, 43040
Support Levels: 42080, 41960, 41770
Trend Outlook:
Bearish as long as trades under 42290
Bullish by breaking 42290
DJIA H1 | Potential bullish breakoutDJIA (US30) is rising towards a potential breakout level and could climb higher from here.
Buy entry is at 42,200.56 9 (at market) which is a potential breakout level.
Stop loss is at 41,890.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 42,661.89 which is a level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Could price bounce from here?US30 is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 41,602.08
1st Support: 41,136.87
1st Resistance: 42,191.55
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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DOW JONES: At the top of the six month Channel Up.Even though Dow Jones has reached the top of its Channel Up pattern, it remains on very balanced bullish technicals on the 1D time-frame (RSI = 62.120, MACD = 487.030, ADX = 32.488). Our trading plan will be based upon breakouts. As long as the price remains under the top of the Channel Up and over the dashed trendline of the August wave, it is a no action (do nothing). If it crosses above the top of the Channel Up, it's a buy (TP = 43,500) as most likely we will see an extension of the wave to a new +8.28% rise. If the price crosses under the dashed trendline, its a sell (TP = 40,900) to the 1D MA50 at least.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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US30, last trade of the day for meTeam, what an amazing win today for US30, we shorted earlier.
as I predicted it will go this low. So TIME for little recover.
LONG ENTRY NOW 42012
STOP LOSS at 41977
Please do only half volume only
from previous short
Target 1 at 42087
Target 2 at 42129
Once it break above 42057, please bring STOP LOSS to BE, because I could be going to bed
it is 1.25am for me.
i just set target and go sleep with stop loss
SHORT US30/DOW NOW - great opportunityTeam, we find a good short position under the resistance line as per chart
enter short below 42166, STOP LOSS AT 42255
TARGET 1 AT 42117, TAKE 30-50% PARTIAL bring stop loss to 42192
ONCE IT REACH THE SECOND TARGET, 42094, TRAIL STOP LOSS TO BE take another 30%
see you at the bottom of the target !
Dow Hits Record Highs as Markets React to Fed Remarks Dow Closes at Record Highs
The Dow Jones closed at all-time highs on Monday as markets assessed comments from three Federal Reserve officials regarding the central bank's recent monetary policy decisions.
Technical Outlook: Stability above 42,210 would signal that the Dow Jones is in a bullish zone, with potential targets of 42,500 and 42,810. However, a 4-hour candle close below 42,200 could trigger a decline towards 42,070, and a sustained move below this level may lead to a further downtrend targeting 41,565.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 42210
Resistance Levels: 42450, 42700, 43040
Support Levels: 42070, 41770, 41565
Trend Outlook: Bullish while above 42210
previous idea:
DOW JONES shows no signs of slowing down.Those of you who are worried if the upcoming November U.S. Presidential Elections or medium-term pull-backs (such as those of July and April 2024 or August - October 2023), pose a threat to your investments, you have a strong reason to relax and feel safe and that is the current chart.
On this 1M time-frame analysis, we see Dow Jones (DJI) in almost the past 30 years (since late 1997) and the Cycles that have defined its Tops and Bottoms. As you can see, initially there is a clear (green) Channel Up that is always trading above the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), leading to the eventual Top, which in turn initiates the Bear Cycle (red Arc).
The use of the Sine Waves make a great fit for the bottoms in particular. It is interesting to mention that the time period between the end of each (green) Channel Up and the start of the next one is approximately 40 months (3.3 years). Also since the 2008 Housing Crisis, we can see that a wide Channel Up has been the dominant pattern driving the expansion of Dow.
With the above information in mind, we can reach the conclusion that the index is only now entering that aggressive green Channel Up of the Bull Cycle, meaning that the Cycle is far from over and if anything, we are approaching its middle. In fact, the 3.3 year (40 month) time gap has just been completed, so there is a full Channel Up expansion ahead of us.
Now, how high can that get? Well if each Bullish Leg of the 2008 emerged Channel Up is 40% less than the previous, then we are looking for at least a +100% rise from the September 2022 bottom, giving us a rough 57000 Target on a 5-year horizon. Again that doesn't mean that we won't have medium-term pull-backs (like those mentioned in the opening paragraph) along the way, they are necessary and they reset the prices in order to attract more liquidity and investors, but on the long run you can feel comfortable holding your stocks.
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US30 H4 I Bearish DropBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our sell entry at 42,123.21, a swing-high resistance close to the 127.20% Fibonacci Extension
Our take profit will be at 41,562.08, an overlap support.
The stop loss will be placed at 42,397.93, above the 161.8% Fibo extension
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
US30 I Potential short scalp from top of the channel Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** US30 Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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US30 Is Very Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for US30.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 41,801.97.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 40,853.86 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Dow Jones Index (US30): What to Expect from FOMC?
Dow Jones Index is very weak ahead of FOMC today.
The market is stuck within a horizontal range on a 4h time frame.
Depending on the reaction of the price to its boundaries,
I see 2 potential scenarios.
Bullish Scenario
If the price breaks and closes above 41820 - the resistance of the range,
we can expect a bullish continuation at least to 42000 level.
Bearish Scenario
A bearish breakout and a candle close below 41440
will push the price lower at least to 41200 level.
Wait for FOMC and then follow the market after a breakout.
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