USOIL D1 Analysis - Bearish Pair Name = USOIL
Timeframe = D1
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bearish
Pattern = Symmetrical Triangle
Details:-
USOIL will keep following the bearish trend. Currently Facing a good Support. From this support level USOIL will Stay here for Few More day. It will Move Between the level 65 to 70. But when breakout confirm Price will hit 55 to 57 price level
US30
CPI Report to Drive Market Volatility with Bullish PotentialU.S. Futures Poised for Volatility as CPI Report Looms, Focus on Bullish Trend
U.S. futures remain stable as markets await the much-anticipated CPI report, with the outcome expected to have a significant impact on market movements. Current projections suggest the CPI will come in around 2.5%, indicating a weakening USD, which could drive indices into a strong bullish trend. However, if the CPI exceeds 2.7% or 2.8%, market movements could become unpredictable, with a potential downward shift.
The price has retested its support level, as previously noted. For today, volatility is expected, with a greater focus on an uptrend, assuming the CPI result aligns with the 2.5% forecast. Stability above 40,470 will likely support a rise towards 40,790 and 41,030, with further potential depending on the CPI data. In the bearish scenario, if the CPI exceeds 2.8%, a downtrend toward the levels identified in the chart could materialize.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 40650
Resistance Levels: 40790, 41030, 41180
Support Levels: 40320, 40010, 39900
Expected Trading Range: 40320 - 41030
Trend: Bullish while above 40470.
DOW JONES Nothing has changed. Bull trend intact and eyes 48000.Dow Jones (DJI) is having yet again short-term volatility following the August 30 All Time High (ATH), but as we explained last week this is natural, since the medium-term Channel Up hit its top and was looking for the 1D MA50 for buyers and a Higher Low potentially a little lower.
On the longer term though, the trend is intact and is heavily bullish. The 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) is holding and as long as it supports, there is no evidence showing a correction. In fact, this is the exact same pattern that the index has been following since the 2009 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis.
As you can see on this 1W chart, the market first bottoms on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and starts a recovery phase by breaking above the 1W MA50. After a lengthy consolidation on it with a few tests (to confirm it as Support), it enters a structured Channel Up until the Cycle's peak. The first two Cycles rose by exactly +75% from their bottom to top, while the COVID one peaked at +70%.
As a result, assuming a minimum +70% rise for this Cycle also, we can target at least 48000. It appears that the index is currently past half-way through the Cycle, already within the standard Channel Up.
In addition, you can observe the similarities between the Cycles on the 1W RSI fractals as well, which tend to 'cool down' once this Channel Up starts forming.
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SHORT US30 HAS BEEN PREPAREDTeam, we have been prepare to SHORT US30/DOW at the current market price
Why do we enter the short before the CPI. It a good psychology that the market would expect poor data come out base on last Friday sell off. Similar market expectation.
Short position at 40725-15 , with stop loss at 40779.80
Target at 40592.70
US30: First green dayHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance ✅
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week
Thursday DAY 2
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day
First Green Day ✅
3 Days Long Breakout
3 Days Short Breakout
Inside Day
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump
Dump&Pump ✅
Frontside ✅
Backside
4. THESIS:
Long: primary, the previous week was mostly a bearish market, Friday failed breakout and the higher high of yesterday can drive in a potential dump and pump scenario, if setup correctly. After the HH, the market dump and currently consolidating below the closing price. Watching for buy low if it holds till NYO 9:30am
Short: secondary, yesterday was however a pumping day, I cannot exclude the scenario where the retest of the current HOW failed and reverse. I don't see this market dropping down back to the LOW, at least not in the configuration of today template.
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
US30 | Trade ideaKey Points:
Tesla: Shares fell 1.6% after a report that the company plans to produce a six-seat Model Y in China by late 2025.
Boeing: Dropped 7.3% following a downgrade from Wells Fargo to "underweight" from "equal weight."
Nvidia: Slumped nearly 10%, wiping out a record $279 billion in market value, marking the largest single-day decline for a U.S. company.
U.S. Manufacturing: Edged up in August from an eight-month low but remained subdued, according to ISM data.
Market Performance:
S&P 500 fell 2.1%
Nasdaq dropped 3.3%
Dow declined 1.5%
This marks the biggest daily percentage decline for these indexes since early August.
Nine out of 11 S&P 500 sectors fell, with technology, energy, communication services, and materials leading the decline.
Market Sentiment: Weakened amid concerns about the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions, with September being historically one of the worst months for stock market performance.
Volatility: The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) jumped 33.2% to 20.72, the highest close since early August.
Trading Volume: Totaled 12.14 billion shares across U.S. exchanges, above the 20-day moving average of nearly 11 billion.
Labor Market: Traders are awaiting labor market reports ahead of the August non-farm payrolls data.
Fed Meeting: Scheduled for Sept. 17-18, with a 63% chance of a 25-basis point rate cut and a 37% chance of a 50-basis point cut, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Market Breadth: On the NYSE, declining issues outnumbered advancers by 2.52-to-1, while on the Nasdaq, decliners outnumbered advancers by 3.5-to-1.
U.S. Equity Investors Eye CPI Data Amid Fed Rate Cut SpeculationU.S. Equity Investors to Focus on Inflation Data to Gauge Potential Fed Rate Cuts
This week, U.S. equity investors will closely monitor consumer and wholesale price inflation data to assess the likelihood and magnitude of potential interest rate cuts in September.
The Dow Jones is expected to experience heightened volatility, particularly in response to the CPI data and the evolving interest rate environment. The index may attempt to reach 40,670, followed by a potential drop to 40,470 or lower, likely occurring ahead of the CPI release. If the CPI comes in at 2.8% or lower, upward pressure on the price is anticipated. Stabilizing above 40,800 before a decline would signal the end of the bearish correction.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 40,670
Resistance Levels: 40800, 41030, 41340
Support Levels: 40470, 40320, 40000
Expected Trading Range: 40800 - 40320
Trend: Bearish as long as the price remains below 40670.
US30 (Log Chart)- firstly i want to explain what is US30, you can google it :
- US30 is a stock market index designed to measure the performance of 30 large industrial companies based on the average stock price of the components "during a specified period".
- So basically...when u have a Top30, if one company fail, this company is replaced by number 31.
- it's same in football or tennis, if you are in the top30 and u fail to win, you lose your rank and down to 31 right? Then u are not in Top30 anymore ?
- So you are replaced in the Top30 list (but sport is not a Ponzi, it's a real effort to be on the Top of the chain).
- Just made this text to explain how a big Ponzi works.
- Companies in US30 are not Ponzi because they work hard to stay in the Top30.
- but in matter of " Efforts", if you have the power to create your own money, you can do everything, and also buy your own stocks.
- Hope u get it.
- So when i read some peoples speak Bitcoin is a Ponzi, it makes me smile.
- it's clear that they didn't read at all Satoshi's White paper, or they are hypocritical.
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- Thirteen years ago today, Satoshi released the Bitcoin genesis block - block 0.
- Embedded in it was a quote, “The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks".
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To be a precursor, you need to know the future, Satoshi knew the future.
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- So let's back to the chart :
- from 2009 to 2020. 11 years. DowJones was just perma bullish all the time with some small ridiculous dips.
- you can see how US30 Reacted during Covid worst pandemic situation in the world.
- after a fast dip in 2020 caused by Covid news.
- US30 went up for 672 days ( annotated in chart ) during a 2 years frustrating and painful lockdown.
- so it means those Top30 companies weren't affected by this pandemic situation.
- Really Weird.
- Actually imho, i think they were just preparing the actual dip, but this is just my own view.
- honestly, i just hope my US30 analysis fails.
- it would means that this time, governments are starting to be honest.
Happy Tr4Ding !
US30 / DJ30 / DJI Market Money Heist Plan on Bearish SideHola ola My Dear,
Robbers / Money Makers & Losers,
This is our master plan to Heist US30 / DJ30 / DJI Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing High
Stop Loss : Recent Swing High using 1H timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style
US30: Sell Opportunity After Red Line RejectionUS30 has shown a strong rejection at the red line, signaling a potential sell trade. Keep an eye on price action as it approaches the green levels—possible bounce zones where a reversal could occur. These key areas may provide both continuation and counter-trend opportunities for day traders.
Got questions about these lines? Drop a comment, and follow for more real-time insights!
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always trade responsibly!
XAUUSD | Trade idea- **Gold Price:** Gold is holding above $2,500 ahead of the US Non-Farm Payroll data, having reached a high of $2,523 yesterday and currently trading around $2,517.
- **US Economy Expectations:**
- August Non-Farm Payroll is expected to increase by 164,000, up from 114,000 in the previous month.
- Unemployment rate is expected to rise to 6.5%, from 6.4%.
- **Rate Cut Probability:** The likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut in September has decreased to 57% from 70% a week ago (CME Fed Watch Tool).
- **US Dollar Index:**
- Bullish outlook with minor support around 101.20/100.50.
- Near-term resistance at 102/102.80.
- **Gold Price Drivers:**
- **Global Stock Market:** Bearish, which is positive for gold.
- **US Dollar Index:** Bullish, which is negative for gold.
- **US 10-Year Bond Yield:** Bearish, positive for gold.
- **Technical Analysis:**
- **Support:** Near-term support at $2,470; a break below targets $2,449/$2,430.
- **Resistance:** Minor resistance at $2,520; a break above could lead to $2,525/$2,530.
US30: A record Higher High is On The Way $43000! Swing TradeBLACKBULL:US30
Fundamentals supports our idea, while looking at the technical side we can confirm that price will drop around 39k to 39.5k this is the zone which remain a key level for the big buyers. Ideally we would wait for price to approach our key level and then take buy entry. However, we might see early price mitigation around $40000 region. Good luck.
DOW JONES correction to extend until the Fed.Dow Jones (DJI) did what we expected of it 3 weeks ago (August 13, see chart below) and after pricing a Higher Low at the bottom of the 5-month Channel Up, it rebounded and reached the All Time High (ATH), pricing a Higher High:
In continuation of that analysis, we now expect the new Bearish Leg to extend to possibly as low as the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which was the case with the May 30 pull-back.
The 1D RSI suggests that a 35.00 value would be ideal to signal a buy (same as May 30, see how both RSI fractals priced the top on the 70.00 overbought limit), while a Bullish Cross on the 1D MACD would be the final confirmation of the buy.
Our long-term Target remains 42400 (+11.00% from the Higher Low, the same % rise as the July 18 High).
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** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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