NASDAQ INDEX (US100): To The Next Highs
One more instrument that we discussed on the today's live stream
is US100 Index.
This week, the market updated the all-time high, violating a key horizontal resistance.
With a very bullish fundamental data, the Index has a nice growth potential.
Next resistance - 19300
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US30
US30 Will Grow! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for US30.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 38,715.0.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 39,991.0 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
DowJones US30 / DJ30 Bullish Money heist planMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
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DOW JONES The bleeding may not be over. How low will it go?On our last Dow Jones (DJI) analysis (May 24, see chart below), we called for the high probability of a bearish break-out below the Channel Down, following the 1D MACD Bearish Cross (similar to April 02):
As you can see, Dow delivered, so our 38350 Target got hit, with minimum losses on the buy position at the bottom of the Channel Up. Yesterday's rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) though, is far from ideal and opens the way for more downside.
The chart shows DJI's long-term pattern, which has been a Channel Up since the October 03 2022 market bottom. The periodic corrections through Bearish Legs have both declined by -9.25%, a striking resemblance indeed. Yesterday's 1D MA50 rejection basically resembles those of the past Bearish Legs on March 06 2023 and October 17 2023.
Ahead of the 1D MA50/ 100 Bearish Cross, which could be completed by tomorrow, there is high probability for a deeper Low, at least as Low as Support 1 (37250). This would be ideal as it would also make contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 7 months (since November 03 2023)!
After that though, we will turn into long-term buyers again, even though that wouldn't complete the -9.25% decline of the previous Bearish Legs, but in terms of R/R would be acceptable enough to aim for 40000 before the Channel Up goes for a Higher High.
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US30: First green day, three days cycleHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range ✅ day 3 cycle
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week
Thursday DAY 2
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day
First Green Day ✅
3 Days Long Breakout
3 Days Short Breakout
Inside Day
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump
Dump&Pump ✅
Frontside ✅
Backside
4. THESIS:
Long: primary, looking for a buy low setup going back to the previous HOW, completing the weekly dump and pump.
Short: secondary, market left a "gap" during the strong momentum push of Friday, I wouldn't exclude a short trade setup during the third hour NY (10am), if a buy low is presented.
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
US30 longMonthly;
[/b
]There is no clear thesis. Price could go up or down.
Price has not retested the previous all time high. However, that is because it came across a high liquidity area on the weekly.
Weekly;
There are two thing worth noting on the weekly.
One is that price has formed a three pin pattern which might indicate that price is headed downwards
Second, is that the previous week's candle closed above a buy liquidity region at 38,500 and price may be headed upwards.
Currently price looks as if it will close above the 38,500 level and continue upwards.
To get a clear thesis of what is going on, I will have to go to lower timeframes.
Daily;
Monday's candlestick is pretty indecisive.
Two things are happening here.
One, price did not close above 38,630 level which would indicate that price is headed upwards.
Secondly, price has not given a convincing closure below 38,560 which would indicate that price is headed downwards.
Hence, there is no clear thesis on the daily and hence lower timeframe will give a better overall depiction as to where price is headed towards
4 hour;
New York session saw a lot of sell orders from 38,800 to 38,250.
From 38,250, we saw that price gained a rush of bullish momentum and it managed to close well above 38,450.
At the time of posting this, price is showing that it is headed upwards, however, orders are not enough to take it there.
I am waiting for a retest of 38,450 before we go upwards to 38,665
The target is 38,665. This is the target of the -27.2 fib level which is usually a high probability setup.
Moreover, if price closes above 38,800 which is Monday's high, then it is headed to 39,023.5
US30 (Consolidation zone) Technical Analysis
The price increased by approximately 1.95%, perfectly reaching our previously mentioned targets.
Today’s Outlook: The price is expected to consolidate between 38,580 and 38,790 until a breakout occurs.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the support level at 38,580, it could decline to 38,400. Sustained trading below this level may lead to a further drop to 38,050.
Bullish Scenario: Stability above 38,790 indicates a potential bullish trend, targeting 39,050.
Pivot Line: 38580
Resistance Levels: 38790, 39050, 39350
Support Levels: 38410, 38020, 37820
Today's expected movement range is between the support level at 38400 and the resistance level at 39050
previous idea:
US30 H4 | Bearish drop?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 39,353, which is a pullback resistance close to 61.8% Fivo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 38,617 a supoprt support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 39,898, an overlap resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
US30 Trading Plan - 02/Jun/2024Hello Traders,
Hope you all are doing good!!
I expect US30 to go Up after finishing the correction.
Currently US30 has given a nice impulse showing us that buyers are interested to enter the market for pushing US30 upside.
Plan to Trade:
If market starts to correct from current levels without going further to 39k level, then any correction towards highlighted zone will be a potential BUY.
The first target level to look for reaction will be 39k & if it corrects here then the next target will be around 39.5k level.
If market keeps on pushing towards 39k level before start to correct, then any correction to highlighted zone will be a potential BUY.
In this case the target will be 39.5k level.
Look for your BUY entry setups as per the above expectations.
Your follow and like will be a token of appreciation.
Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management.
Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea.
US30 (Looks like bullish confirmation)Technical Analysis
The price dropped and reached our weekly target of 38,050, as mentioned at the beginning of the week.
Now, the price will likely attempt a retest up to 38,190 and 38,400 before potentially dropping again. The bearish trend will be activated by stability below 38,050, targeting 37,820.
A bullish scenario will be triggered if the price breaks above 38,790, aiming for 39,050.
Pivot Line: 38,675
Resistance Levels: 38,790, 39,050, 39,350
Support Levels: 38,410, 38,020, 37,820
Today's expected movement range is between the support level at 37,820 and the resistance level at 38,400.
previous idea:
DOW JONES (US30) LONGS NOT BAD IDEADuring the uncertainty and risk off environment, low GDP data didn't come unnoticed and big boys accumulated some equities after the huge Salesforce panic.
Today, with NASDAQ loosing almost 2% and 0.7% for SP500, DJ was accumulated, so I think we might see nice and strong reversal for the end of the week and month close.
Play safe and good luck!
US30 H4 | Bearish reversalBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 39,355, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at 38,761, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 39.839, an overlap resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
US30 Market Shift: Bullish Targets and Key Liquidity ZonesGreetings, Traders!
Brief Description🖊️:
Currently, US30 has presented a market structure shift (MSS). Before this shift, we observed the price taking H1 sell stops, indicating that smart money has paired orders. This MSS suggests the potential for bullish institutional order flow. The price has since pulled back into an M15 bullish order block.
Things I Have Seen👀:
Market Structure Shift🔄: The price has shifted, signaling potential bullish institutional order flow.
Order Block Support📈: The price has pulled back into an M15 bullish order block.
Liquidity Void🕳️: Yesterday's price action left a significant inefficiency (liquidity void). Today's trading will aim to fill this inefficiency, with the draw on liquidity targeting the last point of efficiency, the H1 bearish order block.
Bullish Targets📉:
H1 Bearish Order Block: The primary target for filling the liquidity void.
What's Important Now❗
We need to observe today's price action to see if it fills the inefficiency and reaches the H1 bearish order block.
Best Regards,
The_Architect
DJ30 FORECASTThe forecast for the Dow Jones 30 is now leaning towards a bearish trend. Prices are expected to fluctuate between 40050 and 39564. However, if the 4h candle closes below the pivot line at 39,564, the bearish pressure is likely to continue, potentially driving prices down to 39400 and 38825.
Key Levels:
Bullish Line: 39825, 40050, 40285, 40500
Pivot Line: 39564
Bearish Line: 39400, 39075, 38825, 38445
US30 (Toward Support Zone...)US30 Technical Analysis
The price dropped from the pivot line at 39,050, as we noted at the beginning of the week. It is currently heading towards 38,500 and 38,400. If the price stabilizes below this support zone, the bearish trend is expected to continue towards 38,020 and 37,820 for the week. Today, the price is anticipated to consolidate between 38,500 and 38,790 until a breakout occurs.
A bullish scenario will be activated if the price breaks above 38,790, targeting 39,050.
Pivot Line: 38,675
Resistance Levels: 38,790, 39,050, 39,350
Support Levels: 38,410, 38,020, 37,820
Today's expected movement range is between the support level at 38,400 and the resistance level at 38,790.
Previous idea:
Dow Jones H4 | Pullback support at 78.6% Fibonacci retracementThe Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 37,777.51 which is a pullback support that lies underneath the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 37,200.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support.
Take profit is at 38,575.61 which is an overlap resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
US30. Weekly trading levels 27 - 31.05.2024
During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a transaction and its support is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. Zones show preferred price ranges WHERE to look for an entry point into a trade.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.
Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. Next week I will adjust the levels based on new data and publish a new post.
! Please note that brokers have a difference in quotes, take this into account when trading.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
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I don’t play guess the direction (that’s why there are no directional arrows), but zones (levels) are used for trading. We wait for the zone to approach, watch the reaction, and enter the trade.
Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as areas of interest for trading. Traded as classic support/resistance levels. We see the reaction to the rebound, we trade the rebound. We see a breakout and continue to trade on a rollback to the level. The worst option is if we revolve around the zone in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
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