Bearish drop?Dow Jones (US30) is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 43,026.07
1st Support: 42,138.59
1st Resistance: 43,672.97
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
US30
DOW JONES: 1D MA200 and Channel Up bottom. Bullish.Dow Jones is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 36.722, MACD = -181.150, ADX = 58.438) as it is running the bearish wave of the 16 month Channel Up. Being so close to the 1D MA200 has been a buy signal since November 2nd 2023. Additionally, the price just hit the 0.382 Fibonacci level from the last consolidation phase. If that's confirmed, then the index is about to complete the new consolidation phase. The target on the previous one has been at least the 3.0 Fibonacci extension. The trade is long, TP = 50,500.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Gold - 1H TF BULLISHEven though mid term we're bearish on Gold, I still cannot ignore the fact there is a lot of pending LQ on Gold around the ATH. Also, as it's a new month, the new monthly candle requires some liquidity from the upside before it can drop.
On the 1H TF I'll be targeting small zones for buys & once price reaches that zone, I can monitor for any possible rejections back down, or possible further upside. TARGET 1: $2,903📈
EURUSD MARKET INTRADAY: FURTHER ADVANCEEURUSD currently on 1.04774 according to time frame H4 also my analysis the eurusd is go on up side but
>THE break above 1.0450 is a positive signal that has opened a path to 1.0515
> Below 1.0450 look for further downside with 1.0420 & 1.0390 as targets.
MY preference
> Long position above 1.0450 with targets at 1.0515 & 1.0540 in extension .
US30 (Dow Jones) Probability Analysis – March 4, 2025
Market Structure Across Multiple Timeframes (M15, M30, H1, H4, D1)
Key Observations (Multi-Timeframe Analysis)
1️⃣ 15-Minute (M15)
Price has dropped from the PDH (Previous Day’s High) and is now consolidating around the PWL (Previous Weak Low).
Liquidity sweep at PDH led to a sharp decline.
Equilibrium at 43,500 could act as a mid-range resistance if price retraces.
Potential bounce or breakdown from the 43,200 demand zone.
2️⃣ 30-Minute (M30)
Price has fully retraced from the premium zone near 44,300.
PDH (43,800) is confirmed as a strong resistance, leading to a bearish structure.
The next key zone is around 43,000 - 42,900 (liquidity zone).
If price holds above 43,200, a short-term rally could occur toward 43,500.
3️⃣ 1-Hour (H1)
Major bearish BOS (Break of Structure) confirms bearish sentiment.
Equilibrium at 43,500 aligns as a potential resistance zone.
If price breaks below PWL (43,100), next support sits around 42,900 - 42,850.
A retracement to 43,500 - 43,600 could give a short entry.
4️⃣ 4-Hour (H4)
Price is in the Discount Zone after a significant sell-off.
Previous premium zone (44,200) rejected price, leading to a shift in momentum.
If price holds above 43,200, a retracement could be seen towards 43,500.
If price breaks 43,100, a move to 42,850 is expected.
5️⃣ Daily (D1)
Major liquidity grab from the 44,200 supply zone confirms bearish sentiment.
Price is currently testing support around 43,200.
Failure to hold this level could lead to a further decline toward 42,900 - 42,700.
A retracement toward 43,500 - 43,800 could be a shorting opportunity.
1️⃣ Bearish Entry Plan (Short Position)
Entry Criteria (Short)
Ideal Entry Zone: 43,500 – 43,600 (Equilibrium & Lower High).
Confirmations Needed:
Rejection from 43,500 - 43,600 with strong bearish candles.
Break of structure (BOS) on M15/M5 confirming bearish intent.
Liquidity grab near equilibrium before dropping.
Entry Trigger
If price retraces to 43,500 and fails to break above, enter short.
Stop Loss (SL)
Above 43,700 (recent lower high).
Take Profit (TP)
First TP: 43,200 (current demand zone).
Final TP: 42,900 (strong demand zone).
📉 Risk-to-Reward (R:R) → 1:4 or higher.
2️⃣ Bullish Entry Plan (Long Position)
Entry Criteria (Long)
Ideal Entry Zone: 43,100 – 43,200 (PWL & Demand Zone).
Confirmations Needed:
Bullish reaction at 43,100 - 43,200 without breaking lower.
Higher low formation on M15 or M5.
Strong bullish candle confirmation.
Entry Trigger
If price rejects 43,100 and shows bullish strength, enter long.
Stop Loss (SL)
Below 42,900 (next liquidity zone).
Take Profit (TP)
First TP: 43,500 (Equilibrium retest).
Final TP: 43,800 (Bearish Breaker Level).
📈 Risk-to-Reward (R:R) → 1:3 or higher.
3️⃣ Neutral Strategy (Wait for Confirmation)
If price remains between 43,100 – 43,500, avoid trading.
Wait for either a bearish rejection (short) or a demand hold (long).
Break below 43,100 confirms shorts, while strong demand at 43,200 could give a long opportunity.
Trading Plan Summary
Setup Entry Zone SL TP1 TP2 R:R
✅ Short 43,500 – 43,600 Above 43,700 43,200 42,900 1:4+
🚨 Long 43,100 – 43,200 Below 42,900 43,500 43,800 1:3+
Final Thoughts
Bearish Bias: If price rejects 43,500 - 43,600, expect a drop to 42,900.
Bullish Bias: If price holds above 43,100 - 43,200, expect a bounce to 43,500 - 43,800.
Wait for confirmations before entering trades.
Dow Oversold reversal, The Week Ahead 03rd March '25The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) index maintains a bullish outlook within its long-term uptrend. However, after reaching an all-time high on December 4, 2024, price action has entered a sideways consolidation phase, suggesting indecision in the market.
________________________________________
Bullish Scenario:
• The 42980 level serves as a critical support zone, aligning with the previous consolidation range and the rising trendline.
• A pullback to this level, followed by a bullish rebound, would reaffirm the uptrend and could trigger upside momentum.
• Potential upside targets include:
44240 (20-day moving average)
44660 (next resistance level)
45000 (key psychological resistance)
A strong recovery from 42980 would reinforce bullish sentiment and indicate a continuation of the broader uptrend.
________________________________________
Bearish Scenario:
• A confirmed break below 42980, with a daily close beneath this level, would signal weakness in the uptrend.
• This could lead to a deeper retracement, exposing key downside levels:
42520 (next significant support)
41920 (200-day moving average), a critical level for long-term trend validation
A sustained breakdown below 42980 could shift sentiment in favour of sellers, increasing the probability of further declines.
________________________________________
Market Outlook:
The 42980 level remains pivotal—holding above this zone will keep the bullish trend intact, while a decisive break lower could trigger an extended pullback. Traders should watch for price action signals and volume confirmation at this key level to assess the market's next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H UPDATE)While our short term 1H buy's didn't work out, our mid term sells on the 4H TF is proceeding nicely. Price is down 1,230 PIPS (4.18%) from its Wave 5 high at $2,956. We have MUCH MORE DOWNSIDE towards our $2,450 target, so if you haven't got in already, you have plenty more chances.
If any short term buy positions present themselves, I will try to share them here.
US30 Will Go Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for US30.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 43,381.39.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 43,680.64 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
US30 sellOverall Trend:
The overall trend has been bullish, but there has been a breakout below the ascending trendline.
The price is currently retracing towards support zones.
Key Levels:
Main Resistance: Range between 45,208 - 45,300 (upper red zone)
Main Support: Range between 44,300 - 44,500 (lower red zone)
Important Mid-Level: Around 44,866
Trading Scenario:
After hitting resistance, the price has started a correction.
The highlighted green area marks a potential entry zone.
📉 Trading Signal:
🔹 Enter Short Position:
If the price pulls back to the 44,600 - 44,700 area and shows signs of bullish weakness, a short position could be considered.
🔹 Stop Loss:
Above the resistance zone at 45,208 (e.g., around 45,300)
🔹 Take Profit:
First level at 44,300
Second level at 43,663 (shown on the chart)
Third level at 43,140 if the downtrend continues
🔹 Risk Management:
The risk-to-reward ratio for this trade seems reasonable. Reassess the trade if the price breaks above 44,866.
✅ Conclusion:
Currently expecting a bearish correction, but if reversal candles or weakness in sellers are observed at support levels, there might be a chance for a trend change.
DOW pullback triggered by weak US consumer confidenceThe Dow (US30) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on 04th December 2024 the Dow index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range.
The key trading level is at 42980, the previous consolidation zone and the rising support trendline. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 42980 level could target the upside resistance at 43800 followed by the 44080 and 44540 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 42980 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 42520 support level followed by 41820 (200 Day Moving Average).
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DOW JONES Cup and Handle completed and eyes a new ATH.Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a Channel Up since the October 2022 market bottom of the Inflation Crisis. Inside this pattern, four Cup and Handle (C&H) formations have occurred with the most recent one, about to complete its Handle this week.
All such C&H patterns, rebounded to at least the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before the next pull-back. As a result, our Target before May remains 46400.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
US30 Dow Jones Equal Lows & Structure Shift - Is This Reversing?The US30 is showing key signs that could point to a potential reversal. 🔄 On the 4-hour timeframe, we can see equal lows 🟢 that have been tested three times, followed by a liquidity sweep 💧 and a sharp rally 🚀—indicating possible accumulation by larger market participants.
For confirmation of a Dow Jones bullish reversal, we’ll need to see a pullback forming a higher low 🔽 and then a break in market structure to the upside 📊. In this analysis, we dive into potential price action scenarios based on specific conditions outlined in the video 🎥. If these conditions are not met, the setup will be invalidated ❌.
⚠️ This is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 💼
DOW JONES Bull Flag completed. Massive rally ahead.Dow Jones / US30 has completed a Channel Down on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level.
This pattern is nothing more than a Bull Flag based on September's similar structure that also hit the 0.5 Fib and 1day MA50 and bottomed.
This time, the 1day RSI is also on a Rising Support.
Both corrections took place after a +8.15% rise and September's then went on to rebound to the 1.5 Fib extension.
Buy and target 46700.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (UPDATE)HUGE, HUGE drop of 650 PIPS today on Gold! Price action has been beautiful. Completion of Wave 5 of the EW Theory, followed by a much needed correction.
I’ll be keeping an eye as Gold has now rejected a minor support zone of $2,889. I’ll keep you updated if further upside can resume.
Dow Jones D1 | Overlap support at 50% Fibonacci retracementDow Jones (US30) is trading close to an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 43,330.55 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 42,800.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 44,325.14 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDCHF Bullish Flag: Breakout Potential Toward 0.92USDCHF is currently trading at 0.899 and forming a bullish flag pattern, signaling a potential breakout toward the 0.92 target. The bullish flag is a strong continuation pattern that occurs after a sharp upward move, followed by a consolidation phase. If the price successfully breaks above the flag’s resistance, it could trigger a new bullish wave, driving USDCHF higher.
Technically, the bullish flag suggests that buyers are accumulating positions before the next breakout. A confirmed breakout above the flag’s upper trendline, with increased volume, could validate the uptrend. Traders should watch key resistance zones and look for strong bullish candlestick formations to confirm the breakout momentum toward 0.92.
On the fundamental side, the US dollar remains strong due to the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates. If economic data from the US continues to show resilience, the dollar could gain further strength against the Swiss franc. Additionally, the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) monetary policy stance, which has remained relatively dovish, could contribute to CHF weakness, supporting the bullish outlook for USDCHF.
In summary, USDCHF is currently consolidating within a bullish flag, preparing for a potential breakout toward 0.92. A strong move above resistance, combined with bullish fundamentals, could accelerate the upside momentum. Traders should keep an eye on US economic data and risk sentiment to confirm the trade setup.
"US30/DJ30" Indices CFD Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US30/DJ30" Indices CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (44,000.0) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 44,600.0 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 43,000.0 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
"US30/DJ30" Indices CFD Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
⚪Fundamental Analysis
The US30 index is influenced by the overall performance of the US economy, including GDP growth rate, inflation, and interest rates. Currently, the US economy is experiencing a moderate growth rate, with a slight increase in inflation.
🔴Macroeconomic Analysis
The Federal Reserve has maintained a hawkish stance, with interest rates expected to remain high in the short term. This has led to a strengthening of the US dollar, which may impact the US30 index.
🟢COT Data Analysis
The Commitments of Traders (COT) report shows that commercial traders are net short, while non-commercial traders are net long. This indicates a potential trend reversal.
🟡Sentimental Analysis
Market sentiment is slightly bearish, with 55% of traders holding short positions.
🟤Positioning Data Analysis
Institutional traders are holding short positions, while corporate traders are holding long positions. Banks are maintaining a bearish stance.
🔵Market Sentiment
- Institutional Traders: 60% bearish, 40% bullish
- Hedge Funds: 70% bearish, 30% bullish
- Retail Traders: 55% bullish, 45% bearish
🟣Overall Outlook
The US30 index is expected to remain volatile in the short term, with a slight bearish bias due to the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve. However, the index's movement will largely depend on the overall performance of the US economy and global economic trends.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩