Dow Jones Index (US30): More Growth is Coming?!
US30 successfully violated a resistance line
of a horizontal parallel channel on a daily time frame on Friday.
It indicates a highly probable bullish trend continuation.
Next resistance - 43150
For entries, consider a retest of a broken structure.
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Us30analysis
#US30 1DAYUS30 1D Analysis
On the daily chart, US30 is forming a rising wedge pattern, which is generally considered a bearish signal. The pattern suggests that while the index is moving higher, the momentum is slowing, and a potential reversal could be on the horizon.
Forecast:
-Sell: A rising wedge often leads to a bearish breakout. If US30 breaks below the lower trendline of the wedge, it would confirm a potential reversal. In this case, selling would be the favorable strategy, as a downward move is expected following the breakdown. Keep an eye on volume and other technical indicators to confirm the breakout.
US 30 I Impulse, correction, and potential continuationWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** US30 Analysis - Listen to video!
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
DOW/US3- PREPARE TO SHORT ONLY WHEN IT FALL INTO THOSE PRICETeam, I prepare for the DOW tonight, ensure only SHORT when the price reach at 42516-42497, STOP LOSS at 42625
Target 1 at 42409-42012 - BRING STOP LOSS to BE once target
Target 2 at 42312
Target 3 at 42150
ONLY short when they are falling to that price only
US30/DOW what to expect of entry levelTeam, we will wait for the US30/DOW to retest once it break below 42100
Once it reverse back toward 42106-42110 then we enter long with target as per photo
with STOP LOSS at 42067-62
target at 42168
target at 42226
Once it break above 42150, bring stop loss to BE
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US30: Will Bears finally be able to take over? BLACKBULL:US30
Bullish impulse has continued to dominated the market with US30 touching all time high in today, showing some rejections on last three daily candles. However, what we anticipate is the $43200 region which remain a psychological level and there is massive selling opportunity coming up. Please do your own research before taking any entries.
US30 H4 - Short SignalUS30 H4
More exhaustion being seen here today, with the dump yesterday of 300-400 points, we are straight back into our sell zone, but we aren't trading much higher than when we started yesterday. That being said, US100 is trading higher, which throws a slight spanner in the works. As long as US30 isn't setting new highs, the DXY is trading above 100 to 101 price, we are still focussed on seeing if we can catch a downside move across stock indices.
US100 analysis to follow, but as we mentioned yesterday, we need to see the break and retest to the downside first, to give us the confirmation we desire. With US30, we could argue we already have it.
US30 (DowJones) - Daily Bearish SetupThe BLACKBULL:US30 index experienced a bullish spike, followed by a period of consolidation within a bullish channel. However, after a fake breakout above the upper boundary of this channel, it appears that the index could be poised for a downward correction. Based on the technical analysis, a fall toward the lower boundary of the channel is expected, providing traders with potential shorting opportunities in the near term.
Fundamentally, stock market volatility tends to rise during September, a historically weak month for stocks. This pattern is often attributed to traders returning from summer vacations, rebalancing portfolios, and increased bond offerings, which divert capital away from equities. In 2024, this volatility is further exacerbated by uncertainty around the Federal Reserve’s rate decisions and the upcoming U.S. presidential election. Investors are closely watching labor market data, inflation trends, and the Fed’s stance on potential rate cuts, all of which could impact market sentiment and drive further fluctuations in stock prices.
With the TVC:DJI at the top of the bullish channel and signs of weakness after the fake breakout, a pullback to the lower end of the channel seems likely. Traders should stay cautious and monitor key economic events and technical signals for opportunities to re-enter positions at more favorable levels.
A simple RSI Point Of ViewAnalyzing RSI Divergence in US30: Is a Bear Market or Crash on the Horizon?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) is a key indicator for global markets. Recently, a warning sign has emerged with a divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) observed from July 16, 2024, to September 27, 2024. This divergence, along with high trading volume, raises concerns about a potential market shift. Analysts are comparing this situation to past financial crises, leading to questions about a possible bear market or crash.
Understanding RSI Divergence in US30
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) measures price momentum. A bearish divergence occurs when prices make a new high but the RSI does not, indicating weakening momentum. Between July and September 2024, US30 showed this divergence: prices reached a higher high, but the RSI formed a lower high, suggesting a loss of buying strength and potential price declines. Additionally, the daily chart shows a lower high in US30 price and a higher low in the RSI, reinforcing the notion of weakening upward momentum.
Is a Bear Market or Another "Black Thursday" Looming?
The current divergence in US30, along with historical comparisons, signals warning signs. However, it remains uncertain whether this will lead to a bear market (a sustained decline of 20% or more) or a major market crash. Several factors could influence the outcome:
- Macroeconomic Conditions: High inflation, rising interest rates, and geopolitical tensions may exacerbate the divergence.
- Investor Sentiment: Panic among investors could lead to increased selling and sharper declines.
- External Shocks: Global events like financial instability or political turmoil could further destabilize the market.
Conclusion and Daily Chart Analysis
The RSI divergence in US30 from July to September 2024 is a significant development that warrants attention. The daily chart reveals weakening momentum, with a lower high in price and a higher low in the RSI, indicating a higher risk of market correction or downturn. While it is uncertain whether this will lead to a bear market or crash, traders and investors should stay alert and consider adjusting their portfolios.
This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Could price bounce from here?US30 is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 41,602.08
1st Support: 41,136.87
1st Resistance: 42,191.55
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US30, last trade of the day for meTeam, what an amazing win today for US30, we shorted earlier.
as I predicted it will go this low. So TIME for little recover.
LONG ENTRY NOW 42012
STOP LOSS at 41977
Please do only half volume only
from previous short
Target 1 at 42087
Target 2 at 42129
Once it break above 42057, please bring STOP LOSS to BE, because I could be going to bed
it is 1.25am for me.
i just set target and go sleep with stop loss
SHORT US30/DOW NOW - great opportunityTeam, we find a good short position under the resistance line as per chart
enter short below 42166, STOP LOSS AT 42255
TARGET 1 AT 42117, TAKE 30-50% PARTIAL bring stop loss to 42192
ONCE IT REACH THE SECOND TARGET, 42094, TRAIL STOP LOSS TO BE take another 30%
see you at the bottom of the target !