US30/USD Shorts from 36600.0 back down.Last week's price action exhibited significant ranging, mainly influenced by the proximity to all-time highs (ATHs). My current perspective is that US30 is actively generating liquidity, setting the stage for a bearish reaction once the daily supply is mitigated. This particular supply level holds substantial importance as it is the last on the chart, existing on a higher time frame and having broken structure to the downside. I anticipate a scenario where the price sweeps the top of the consolidation, touches my Point of Interest (POI), and subsequently descends towards the lower bounds of the consolidation and potentially even lower.
Given the post-Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) situation, I foresee a breakout from this range, initiating a trend and providing opportunities for traders like us to capitalize on. My strategy involves patiently waiting for a Wyckoff distribution to take shape in this zone, allowing us to secure a precise entry point for our bearish positions.
Confluences for US30 Sells are as follows:
- Price is near daily supply which has caused a BOS to the downside on the higher timeframe.
- There lots of liquidity lying below in the form of EQLs, Asia Lows, and trendline liquidity.
- The bottom part of the consolidation also holds lots of liquidity so we can target as T.P levels
- Wyckoff distribution is pending and still hasn't been formed yet on lower time frame.
- NFP event has also passed so now we could possibly see the real moves play out.
- Price has been very bullish recently and now bullish pressure is getting exhausted.
- This consolidation is a great sign that price might be looking to reverse soon.
P.S. I acknowledge the possibility of the price breaking the bottom first and interacting with a demand zone, triggering a bullish rally that could eventually exhaust the supply. It highlights the importance of adaptability. I'm closely monitoring multiple potential scenarios and adjusting my approach based on the direction the price may take. This approach enables us to identify more frequent opportunities in the market.
Us30idea
US30/USD Longs from 36000.0 up to 36750.0US30 has followed the anticipated trajectory, and I foresee it reaching all-time highs (ATHs) very soon. However, given the recent impulsive upward movement in price, a pullback is likely imminent. This presents an opportunity for us to capitalize on, considering the presence of an 8-hour demand zone where the price could retreat to, regaining bullish momentum for another rally.
Conversely, there's also a possibility of the price surging directly into our daily supply zone, prompting a bearish reaction. While I anticipate the eventual failure of the daily supply, I can foresee price declining from that zone, providing potential selling opportunities.
Confluences for US30 Buys are as follows:
- Price has been impulsively bullish to the upside carrying lots of momentum.
- Overall trend on the higher time frame and lower time frame both show a bullish trend.
- Price left an 8hr demand zone for us to take buys from up to the ATH's
- Due to recent impulsive upward movements, a pullback in price is imminent.
- For the price to gather sufficient strength to reach all-time highs (ATHs), it must retrace back to a nearby demand zone.
P.S. As the price approaches all-time highs (ATHs), it wouldn't be surprising to witness a consolidation. In such a scenario, I anticipate a significant reaction from the daily supply, given its HTF significance. Conversely, should the price quickly exceed the latest supply zone, choosing buy positions would be a more feasible approach.
HAVE A GREAT TRADING WEEK AHEAD!
US30USD LongThe index has been having a strong bull run for the past few weeks, and I am anticipating that the run will continue.
According to the client sentiment analysis, it seems most traders are selling this index - 78%, and I am predicting that the price might move in their favor.
My entry point is 35400, TP at 35700, and SL at 35250.
My target R: R is 1:2
Note - Only risk 1% of your trading account.
US30 Longs from 35100.0 up towards 35600.0My bias for US30 is bullish, hence why we are looking forward to the nearest buy opportunity which will be the 14hr demand below. This zone has caused a BOS to the upside meaning once a correction back down is complete, it will hopefully mitigate our POI where we will be able to enter buy positions. But we must wait for our lower time frame confirmations like Wyckoff.
There's a long wick that hasn't got filled in which I see as liquidity hence why I haven't got any near by supply zones however, we can catch buys up to that (7hr supply) so we can eventually sell back down. Nevertheless, price could go lower as price has been very impulsive and it has left quite a few imbalances below. So we could see a mitigation of a cheaper zone like the 10hr.
Confluences for US30 Buys are as follows
- Overall Market trend (short term and long term) is both bullish, matching my bias.
- For price to keep going higher it must create a pull back in order to create a new leg.
- Price has CHOCH and caused several BOS to the upside confirming the trend.
- Liquidity has been swept already so there's enough momentum for price to push upwards.
- Price left a 14hr demand at a psychological level of 1990 that caused an impulsive move up.
- Pending Wyckoff accumulation to play out as price is not near my POI as of now.
P.S. I don't personally see a current near by supply to take sells from so I would rather wait for price to "show me its hands" and take it from there. In addition to this, Price is between a lot of liquidity right now and we might just see a consolidation but, we have to always remain adaptive hence why we have spoken about both scenarios that could play out.
US30 4H: Uptrend US30
New forecast
The index price recently surrendered to the control of the sideways tendency, although it was affected by the strength of the barrier at 35107. We note that it recently presented a weak sideways fluctuation , and we note that the upward trend In Control because the price trade above 34768
Therefore , we have to wait until breach the resistance line and stabilized above it 35107 and then will help the price to reach 35257 and 35400 levels .taking into account that stabilized under 34768 level will put the price under sell pressure .
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 35107 and support line 34768 until stabilized .
Additionally Today ,New York sessions will affect on the Indices .
support line : 34768 , 34635
resistance line : 35048 , 35107
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US30 presents temporary sideways fluctuationHello everyone,The index price recently surrendered to the control of the sideways tilt, despite its repeated positioning within the axes of the ascending channel, to be affected by the strength of the additional barrier positioned at 35120. We note that it recently presented a weak sideways fluctuation by settling at 35000.
We would like to remind you of the importance of the stability of the support for the ascending channel extending towards 34910, so that this increases the chances of the price exceeding the previously mentioned barrier, and by achieving the required breakthrough, trading will extend directly towards 35255 and 35490. As for the price falling below the support and presenting it to a negative close, this will force it to activate the downward corrective path, so we expect it to incur many losses that may begin.
Resistance prices: 35254 & 35442 & 35699
Support prices: 34728 & 34469 & 34084
The general trend expected for today: bullish with stable support
US30 4H : Support to decline US30
New forecast
The index price fell yesterday after testing the stable resistance at 34185 and failing to penetrate it. We notice that it sneaked below the moving average of 50, incurring clear losses by touching the level of 33832 approximately.
Let us favor the downward trend during the coming period, as breaking 33832 will facilitate the task for the price to reach 33600 and 33450.
Therefore the downtrend scenario will be remain valid and effective during coming period , taking into account that stabilized above 34185 will put the pressure on the price to rise up . for reminder our target will be active when price can stable under 33832. also it possible to do a retest to 34000 and then drop.
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 34185 and support line 34600 until stabilized .
Additionally Today ,New York sessions will affect on the Indices .
support line : 33832 , 33600
resistance line : 34000 , 34185
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US30 4H : OUTLOOK US30
New forecast
The index price traded sideways yesterday with a strong negative rebound after touching the additional stable resistance at 34185.
Therefore we still prefer the uptrend due to the support level at the 34000 , and the upward will be remain because the moving average 50 still support the price to rise up , so to confirm the bullish trend should stable above 34185 and then will support the price to reach 34292 and extend to 34432 ,taking into account that stabilized under 34000 level will postponed the bullish trend.
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 3400 and support line 34185 until stabilized .
Additionally Today ,New York sessions will affect on the Indices .
support line : 34000, 33832
resistance line : 34185 , 34292
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US30 4H : Still bullish US30
New forecast
The index price rose yesterday and maintained its stability above the resistance level at 34052. This will enable it to resume the upward attack, initially targeting the 34292 level, reaching towards 34432.
Therefore the uptrend scenario will be remain valid and effective supported by moving average 50 that is continue to support the price towards higher, taking into account that stability under 34052 will force the price to formed the negative correction
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 34432 and support line 34052 .
Additionally Today ,New York sessions will affect on the Indices .
support line : 34150 , 34052
resistance line : 34292 , 34432
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US30 4H :Trying to start the correction US30
New forecast
The index price failed to resume the upward attack due to its encounter with additional resistance near 34150. We notice the beginning of its formation of a downward corrective creep, thus settling currently below the level of 34050. We expect the downward corrective attempts to continue making profits for the current period, and we expect it to sneak towards 33832. By breaking this obstacle, trading may extend towards 33600, which may form In turn, additional support against bearish trades.
Therefore the negative correction it will be remain valid as long as price trade under 34150 ,As for the price’s success in penetrating the resistance 34150 and holding above it, this will open the door to resuming the upward attack. We expect the price to target directly the level of 34292, arriving towards the next main target represented by the level of 34432.
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 34150 and support line 33832 .
Additionally Today ,New York sessions will affect on the Indices .
support line : 33832 , 33600
resistance line : 34050 , 34150
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US30 short term Shorts towards 33000.0As I am still bullish on US30 this idea is a temporary move that I see playing out due to the past couple days being very bullish. As im expecting a pull back/retracement of some sort, I will be looking to take the sells at the 22hr supply zone. I will wait and see for price to show me its hands then go from there. As price hasnt slowed down yet im still waiting for price to distribute soon so we can take sells back down towards 33000.0
Scenario (A) - Is just for price to enter an area of supply which is at the 22hr supply zone. Then we will need our lower time frame confirmation to tell us that price is ready to drop like a choch and a wyckoff distribution. There is a 3hr supply below however, I feel like it will get violated hence why I will be waiting for the 22hr as that zone has also swept liquidity above.
Scenario (B) - Is for Price to sweep this major high and retrace back down towards our designated target around 33000.0. This is were im expecting price to slow down and accumilate orders for us to start entering our buy positions. Then from there we will ride with the trend up to maybe new higher highs.
Confluences for US30 shorts are as follows:
- Dollar has shifted trend to the downside so im expecting this market to be bullish.
- Price has had a lot of impulsive moves to the upside that it needs to come back and retrace back to.
- Price is approaching level of strong supply that will potentially cause price to come back down to a cheaper price so we can enter our buys.
- There are lots of imbalances below as well on HTF and if price wants to continue going back up it needs to retrace and pick up liquidity to beign a new rally.
P.S. I am expecting US30 to make new ATH's so if we get into buys we could possibly hold all the way to premium price levels. This is also backed by DXY as if thats now going down I will be expecting this market to rally up even more. In addition to this, sentiment analysis also expects US30 and NASDAQ to be very bullish which adds to our confluence for FUTURE buys!
US30 4H : Under 32891 will drop US30
New forecast
The price perfectly fulfills my last idea and price reached to our negative target +250 pip.
The price of index rose up and reached to near the resistance zone and the rebounded from it at 33155 ,so as long as price trade under that zone the price will be continue at the bearish trend, To invite us to wait for the price to accumulate negative momentum to breach and stabilized under 32981 to reach our targets began 32700 and extend to 32615
Therefore the downtrend scenario will be remain valid supported by moving average 50 that is continue to push the price to decline for reminder our target will be activate when price can stable under 32891 , taking into account that breach and stabilized above 33155 will postponed the bearish trend and will push the price to build the positive momentum .
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 33251 and support line 32700.
Additionally Today ,New York sessions will affect on the Indices .
support line : 32891 , 32700
resistance line : 33155 , 33251
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
US30 4H : it will breach the resistance or notUS30
New forecast
Yesterday, the index price rose up in the upward corrective path, recover for some losses by testing the additional stable barrier near 33155 - 33251 and settling below it till now .
Therefore, we will wait for the price to reach that level and then we will decide the next direction, so if price can stabilized above resistance zone at 33251 the upward trend will be activate and will build the bullish waves to reach 33450, on the other hand if price failure to stabilized above the resistance zone then will forced the price to drop again and targeting the negative targets 32891 and 32700.
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 33251 and support line 32891.
Additionally Today ,New York sessions and earnings of companies will affect on the Indices .
support line : 32891 , 32700
resistance line : 33155 , 33251
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
US30 4H :Still under sell pressure US30
New forecast
The price perfectly fulfills my last idea and reached to our target .
The index price confirmed its break of the 32615 level, forming a strong negative attack. We noticed that it suffered huge losses when it touched the 32310 level on Friday, thus achieving the previously suggested negative targets.
Therefore the downward scenario will be remain valid and affective supported by moving average 50 and resistance zone that forms near 32700 ,The price may currently be forced to form some sideways fluctuation, but the general stability below the currently stable barrier near 32700 calls us to adhere to the negative weighting so that we expect it to target a level at 32310 with breach it it will reach to 32057.taking into account that stabilized above 32700 will postponed the bearish waves and support the price to build a positive momentum .
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 32700and support line 32615.
Additionally Today ,New York sessions and earnings of companies will affect on the Indices .
support line :32311 , 32057
resistance line : 32615 , 32700
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US30 SELLHi, According to Dow Jones analysis, there is a very good selling opportunity. The indicator appears to be in a very negative state with the pitchfork tool broken. The support at 34200 was broken. We also notice the break of the 200 moving average. All these factors confirm that the market is for sale only. Good luck everyone
US30 4H : still bearish US30
New forecast
The price reached to our first goal +115 pip , then bounced back from it and reached me without support 33450 .
The index price confirmed that it was affected by the dominance of the bearish tendency in the current trading with its continued position below the moving average 50, stable at 34300. We notice that it sneaked below the additional support centered at 33450 and stabilized near 33290.
Therefore, negative pressure will increase the chances of the price resuming negative attempts. Let us wait for it to soon gravitate towards 33150, and by covering it, it will attack the stable support at 32952.
taking into account that failure to breach 33155 then the price will rise up .
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 33450 and support line 33155until stabilized .
Additionally ,Today New York sessions will affect on the Indices .
support line : 33250 , 33155
resistance line : 33450 , 33600
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US30 4H collides with the moving averageUS30
stabilizing prices above 33884 will support raising to touch 342111 and 34289 ,34439
if the price stable under 33884 then the movement will be between 33673 and 33500
Pivot Price:33884
Resistance Price: 342111 & 34289 & 34439
support price: 33673 & 33500 & 33264
timeframe: 4H
US30 4H : Uptrend above 33767US30
New forecast
The index price remains stable until this moment within the temporary side path represented by the additional stable support at 33600, while the 34020 level continues to form a strong barrier to the attempt to restore the upward bias, forcing it to offer sideways trades with its stability near 33767.
We will currently remain neutral until the price succeeds in breaking free from the sideways path. We should remember that its push above the barrier will open the door for it to form strong bullish waves that may extend first towards 34020 and 34306. As for its infiltration below the 33600 level and presenting it to a negative close, this will force it to incur more losses.
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 34020 and support line 33600 until stabilized .
Additionally ,Today New York sessions will affect on the Indices .
support line : 33600 , 33452
resistance line : 33767 , 34020
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
US30 Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.