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Us500

S&P500: Trading plan towards the end of the yearS&P500 is overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 72.156, MACD = 58.110, ADX = 59.863), a logical outcome considering the aggressive nature of November's rally. This rally is the HL rebound on the bottom of the 1 year Channel Up and is more effectively understood with the help of the Fibonacci levels and ranges. The price has been trading all week inside the 0.382 - 0.236 Fibonacci range, a band that kickstarted pullbacks on December 1st 2022 and February 2nd 2023. Both were accompanied by a 1D MACD Bearish Cross and pulled back below the 1D MA50 and the 0.618-0.786 Fibonacci Support Zone. On the other hand when the June 15th 2023 rally crossed over the 0.236 Fibonacci level, the uptrend extended all the way to the top of the Channel Up. Consequently we will buy if it crosses again over it and target the top (TP = 4,800) and sell if it crosses (and closes the 1D candle) under the 0.382 Fibonacci level and target the 0.618 Fib-1D MA50 band (TP = 4,410). See how our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500
by InvestingScope
2
GOLD → Consolidation before the news. What could happen? OANDA:XAUUSD continues to consolidate in the 2050 - 2035 range. Powell speaks again today, earlier the US market got a higher GDP and good Initial Jobless Claims data, how will this affect his speech and how might gold react? The TVC:DXY is testing local levels, ahead of ISM Manufacturing PMI & Prices and also at 16:00 and 19:00 GMT Powell will speak. US inflation is declining and there are indicators for that, but the dollar is strengthening, which provokes gold to form a consolidation. We are now confused by the death cross on D1, but again, since the gold is in a global sideways range, maybe we should not pay so much attention to this signal. At the moment gold is testing the level of 2048.77 with a false breakdown. On H1 we see strong consolidation, range boundary tests and false breakdowns. The market will wait for the news and most likely there will be no strong movements before that. The price is gaining liquidity before Powell's speech. An actual rate cut is out of the question now, we will only need to hear positive sentiment or hints. If Powell hints more strongly about an imminent change of monetary policy to a more loyal one, the dollar index will resume its bearish trend and gold will head towards the upper global boundary of 2059 - 2067. But, as a force majeure, negative news for gold, the realization of a false breakout and death cross, the price could quite possibly test both trend support, 2022, and the far liquidity zone 2010 - 2020, but it will not change the medium-term and long-term outlook for now. The market could test the global high by the end of the year (perhaps even soon). Support levels: 2038, 2035, 2022 Resistance levels: 2049, 2059 I am waiting for the publication of news, which will determine the short and medium term scenario for gold. The probability that the price will update the high increases as the Fed's sentiment improves. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
11
GOLD → Price in range, correction may go lower OANDA:XAUUSD is forming another range of 2050 - 2038. Retest of resistance failed to renew the maximum, thus the market may begin to form a correction to support. The TVC:DXY has been strengthening since yesterday on the back of positive US GDP data. The expectation was 4.9, the actual data: 5.2, which is positive for the dollar. But the controversial situation here is that a more positive GDP has a greater impact not on the pricing of the dollar, but on the Fed's stance. Hence, with bullish data, Powell is getting closer to initiating policy easing and rate cuts. Since gold is in a range and already testing the support at 2038, it seems that the correction phase can be stopped either at this level or test areas lower, for example: 0.382 fibo, 2035, 0.5 fibo or global trend support. A strong rally ends with a correction and it is hard to say where this correction will stop. Support levels: 2037.7, 2035, 2030, 2022 Resistance levels: 2050, 2052, 2059 There are important news today, it is worth paying attention to the Initial Jobless Claims, even relatively good news for the dollar (related to inflation) can weaken its price, as the market is waiting for news related to monetary policy. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
34
S&P500 Sell if the 4H MA50 breaks.The S&P500 index (SPX) is turning sideways following the enormous rally of November, which is close to being the best in history. That is a natural technical reaction by the market in an attempt to normalize the largely overbought 1D time-frame. This sideways trade that indicates a potential exhaustion, is complimented by the Bearish Divergence on the 4H RSI, which would justify a technical pull-back. The very same Bearish Divergence was last seen during the late July peak formation. The structures overall between now and July are quite similar, starting with a Cup bottom and peaking when the curve flattened. Our sell signal confirmation is a break and 4H candle closing below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). In that case, we will target the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (as on August 03) at 4465. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US500
by TradingShot
US500 Analysis. Will be that top?Hello Everyone i want share my idea about US500 price action. after touch weekly Support US500 with only one touch start aggressive and bullish movement to upside which broke strong daily support without any seller. its going upside pretty strong which still don't have seller. i think this is one of the main reason falling of dollar. But where is seller interesting price? I marked some resistance where we had last time strong bearish movement start at 2022 year. I think there will be still sellers, if Fed will not drop Interesting rate US500 will continue push higher and higher. my interesting price will be at weekly resistance which is possible LVL to see price downside movement. I have 3 Scene for price action which i am waiting. BE PATIENT!!! ALWAYS MAKE YOUR OWN RESEARCH!!!
CAPITALCOM:US500
by elmakacho
SPX500 to find support at previous resistance?US500 - 24h expiry The rally was sold and the dip bought resulting in mild net gains yesterday. An overnight positive theme in Equities has led to a higher open this morning. Previous resistance located at 4610. Dips continue to attract buyers. Previous resistance at 4560 now becomes support. We look to Buy at 4560 (stop at 4540) Our profit targets will be 4610 and 4625 Resistance: 4600 / 4610 / 4650 Support: 4560 / 4537 / 4504 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by OANDA
GOLD → Correction after a false breakdown. US GDP aheadOANDA:XAUUSD reaches the previously mentioned 2050 area a bit faster than we expected. The rally is followed by a logical correction. But how long will the correction last? On D1 we see a counter-trend correction in TVC:DXY . The correction may last until the publication of GDP related news, which is published today at 15:30 GMT. Analysts are expecting the same level of gdp that was released in November. GDP is the broadest measure of economic activity and a key indicator of the health of the economy. Gold may test one of these liquidity areas before rising further. The potential and increased interest will continue to forimize the bullish trend, but the price cannot go up all the time. It is worth paying attention to the liquidity areas: 2037, 2035, 2033, 2029, as well as 0.382 fibo, 0.5 fibo. False breakdown of one of these areas and subsequent price consolidation above the level may end the correction. Resistance levels: 2038, 2042 Support levels: 2037, 2035, 0.382 fibo, 2033, 0.5 fibo. Expecting a correction. The price may head towards any of the mentioned zones before further growth. It is impossible to determine in advance where the price will stop, it will show only the reaction of the price to one of the levels. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
23
VIX extremely low, downside protection cheap, a time to reverse?The S&P 500 Index rose more than 11% in the past four weeks. While these gains are impressive, their compression into a short time window makes us somewhat uneasy. That is especially true when looking at other market developments, like stagnation in the Chinese stock market and the Volatility S&P 500 Index reaching extremely low levels last Friday (unseen since January 2020). Regarding technicals, there are also some worrisome developments, like the declining volume accompanying the rising price on the daily graph. As a result, we will monitor RSI, MACD, and Stochastic and watch out for any signs of flattening or reversal in the coming days (implying potential trend reversal). We will update our thoughts on the asset with the emergence of new developments. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of SPX. The green and red arrows highlight the questionable relationship between the price and volume. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 displays the weekly chart of VIX. Technical analysis gauge Daily time frame = Bullish Weekly time frame = Slightly bullish *The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
SP:SPXShort
by Tradersweekly
4
S&P500 Easing the aggression but top isn't in yetThe S&P500 has been rising non-stop since the October 27th Low when the Bearish Megaphone bottomed and the long term Channel Up started the new Higher High leg. The rally crossed over the top of the Bearish Megaphone and has already reached the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the Channel Up. The same sequence can bee seen at the end of last year (September - December), with a Bearish Megaphone bottoming and the subsequent rally topped on the 0.786 Fibonacci level. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 4690 (projected contact with the 0.786 Fibonacci level). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) has turned overbought over 70.00 and turned sideways. Clear indication that the initial aggression of late October is fading and we should see a Bearish Divergence as the index approaches the 0.786 Fibonacci. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingBrokersView
GOLD → Consolidation 2010-2018. What can happen? OANDA:XAUUSD within a strong bullish trend is forming a consolidation in the 2018 - 2010 range. Lower volatility is forming and several candlestick indications are forming that price may test support before further distribution. On D1 we can see that the leading asset, in our case it is the TVC:DXY , is testing support, which may trigger a correction to local resistance, which will have a corresponding effect on the slave asset (gold may also start a correction within this range). The trend is bullish, moving averages and key levels support this direction, there is no sense to talk about any medium-term and long-term sales now. The market within the consolidation will form a lot of opportunities to gather as much liquidity as possible before further movement in one or another direction. Consequently, border touches, false breakdowns and long shadows can be formed relative to the 2018-2010 range (consolidation). But this is not the only scenario. A breakdown is possible with a quick retest with reduced volatility. In the long term, we should wait for a breakout of resistance. Support levels: 2010, 2007, 2004, 2000 Resistance levels: 2018, 2020, 2022 I expect consolidation within the range with the subsequent breakout of resistance, which can happen after a correction or after a quick retest of 2018 Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
13
S&P 500: Maintaining a Neutral-to-Bullish PerspectiveIn a muted trading session on Monday, U.S. stocks took a cautious stance as the end of a positive month loomed and investors awaited key inflation metrics. By mid-morning, major indices showed marginal declines: the Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped by 0.1%, the S&P 500 edged 0.1% lower, and the NASDAQ Composite slipped by 0.1%. Despite a robust performance last week, marking the fourth consecutive week of gains, propelled by declining Treasury yields and moderating inflation figures signaling a potential slowdown in Federal Reserve rate hikes, the market exhibited a more restrained demeanor. The NASDAQ Composite led the month's surge with a remarkable 12% gain in November, closely followed by the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which advanced over 9%, while the S&P 500 recorded an almost 11% uptick. However, as November draws to a close, caution prevails among investors, especially with the imminent release of crucial inflation data later in the week. The upcoming personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, slated for Thursday, is anticipated to reveal a 0.1% month-on-month increase for November, a notable decline from September's 0.4%. The core PCE, excluding food and fuel costs, expected to show a 3.5% year-over-year rise, down from the prior month's 3.7% and the lowest since mid-2021. Technical analysis suggests a bullish trend for S&P500, with both the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and Relative Strength Index (RSI) signaling buy signals. Resistance levels at 4580 in the short term and a potential reach of 5100, as predicted by Deutsche Bank strategists, in the coming weeks. A pivotal point at 4557 could guide price movements towards either direction, with a potential return to levels around 4547. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
PEPPERSTONE:US500Long
by legacyFXofficial
GOLD → Retest of previously broken support is possible OANDA:XAUUSD has been forging a bullish momentum since the opening of the session and updated its global highs to $2018. The market under the pressure of increased interest, weak dollar and fundamental factor is likely to continue its growth. In the next few days, no important news that could change the situation is expected, therefore, the favorable fundamental background that supports the market may push the price even higher. If we look at the TVC:DXY , the dollar has room to fall, as the dollar has not reached its target yet and it is still a long way away. Gold is moving out of the range and the resistance at 2010 is now a support. There is a high probability that the price can still test this support area before rising further. The moving averages are supporting the bull market and the price is going to reach one of the important targets: 2022 Support levels: 2010, 2004 Resistance levels: 2018, 2022 I expect that the local momentum may pause to retest the support. The market may head towards the nearest level from below for a retest before rising further. Targets are indicated on the chart. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
16
The odds of another spike in the VIX are growingOn Friday, the Volatility S&P 500 Index reached new lows unseen since January 2020. What is intriguing about this situation is that new lows in the value of the VIX tended to be followed by a subsequent spike in the index and weakness in the U.S. stock market (over the past year or so). Considering that the recovery of the Chinese stock market is starting to show signs of stagnation, with the Shanghai Composite Index and Hang Seng Index moving increasingly sideways, we are again on high alert. The odds of stock market reversal and spike in the VIX are growing. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of the Shanghai Composite Index, Hang Seng Index, and S&P 500 Index. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for an individual investor to take any trade action. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:VIXLong
by Tradersweekly
2
GOLD → A weakening dollar boosts the XAUOANDA:XAUUSD gained +1.1% over the past week. The market is quite strong and the end of the trading week shows a bullish mood and several indications that the growth may continue as the asset has not reached its target yet. The week ahead is full of important fundamental aspects. On Wednesday, Thursday and Friday important news will be released, here are the ones to pay attention to: - GDP (QoQ - CPI, Core PCE, Initial Jobless Claims - ISM Manifacturing, Fed Chair Powell Speaks The trend seems to be shifting towards inflation improving, the dollar is easing a bit, but the Fed will not cut rates yet, Powell will not make a major move at this stage when there is no fundamental anchoring yet and the market is just showing a reaction. The TVC:DXY on W1 is in a range, after a false breakdown of resistance the asset is heading towards support, the fundamentals support this decline. Gold on the other hand in its case is headed for a test of its range, the key level at the moment is 2010. Earlier, the price consolidated above the key support 1984, against which there was a struggle for several weeks, and also, the micro rally is triggered by the consolidation above 1993. The market is strong and on the background of the bullish trend is actively capturing important resistance levels. From the beginning of the opening trading session the local resistance at 2003.6 plays an important role, if this area is broken, the price will head towards 2010, then we should expect the price reaction to this area. The market is in the phase of realization of the bullish potential after the formation of a reversal set-up, bounce from the global trend support and false breakdown of MA200. The breakout of 2010, test of 2025 - 2048 may become the target of such realization. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
23
A Traders’ Weekly Playbook: The heat is onVolume and liquidity kick back into markets after the US Thanksgiving celebrations and we consider if the trend of a weaker USD, low cross-asset volatility, rising gold and Bitcoin can continue. Direction for this scenario will focus on the direction of travel in equity markets, and notably, whether the NAS100, US500 and even the JPN225 can kick higher. The economic data and broad event risk offer no major landmines for traders to get overly concerned by, and I think we need to look further ahead at the US nonfarm payrolls (9 Dec) and US CPI (13 Dec) reports for the big part of the macro jigsaw. At this juncture, for traders who cut their craft on higher timeframes (4hr, daily, weekly) there doesn’t seem to be many reasons to be aggressively short risk, and while price action will be dictated to by passive and portfolio flows, the news, and levels of implied volatility suggests if risky assets do kick then it could pay to chase. The USD is central to broad market sentiment, and Friday’s close in the DXY below the 200-day MA may well be telling. With an eye on EU CPI, we focus on whether EURUSD can push through 1.0950/60, and USDJPY into 148, a factor which could see new cycle highs in gold with industrial metals also supported, although Chinese data could play a part in driving that trade. I like USDCHF downside, with a stop above 0.8760. GBPUSD and AUDUSD also look like they could kick, although the latter needs to push through the 200-day MA and then the 0.66 level. Bitcoin is making another run at 38k, and after consolidation, we’ll see if price can continue its ascent since mid-October. Clients believe this to be true and are positioned accordingly and many will be thinking Bitcoin can start 2024 with 40 as the big number. Good luck to all. The marquee event risks for the week ahead: China Industrial Profits (27 Nov 12:30 AEDT) – coming off a low base, we saw profits gain 11.9% yoy seen in September. There is no consensus to work off, so pricing risk on the data is a challenge, so the data is unlikely to see too great an initial reaction in markets. US consumer confidence (29 Nov 02:00 AEDT) – the consensus is that we see the index come in at 101.0 (from 102.6). A print below 100 could further weigh on the USD. Australia monthly CPI (29 Nov 11:30 AEDT) – the market looks for the monthly CPI read to come in at 5.2% (5.6%), with the range of estimates set from 5.5% to 4.9%. Few expect a hike from the RBA on 5 December, but expectations of a hike in the February RBA meeting are delicately poised at 50%, so the monthly CPI print could influence that call and impact the AUD vs the crosses. RBNZ meeting (29 Nov 12:00 AEDT) – the RBNZ will leave interest rates unchanged at 5.5%, with the markets ascribing no probability of a hike here. In fact, the argument is more on the timing of the first cut, with a 33% chance of a 25bp cut priced by the May RBNZ meeting, and 55bp of cuts priced by end-2024. Sweden Q3 GDP (29 Nov 18:00 AEDT) – the market looks for Q3 GDP to come in at -0.2% QoQ / -1.4% yoy. After recording -0.8% in Q2, another negative quarter puts Sweden in a technical recession and accelerates the need to cut rates, where we see the door open for easing from June 2024. This GDP print should also mark the low point, where GDP should be less bad going forward, which is part of the reason why the market has been better buyers of the SEK of late. China manufacturing and services PMI (30 Nov 12:30 AEDT) – the market looks for the manufacturing index at 49.6 (from 49.5) & 51.1 (50.6). Keep an eye on copper over the data, and for a possible upside break of $3.80 and the 200-day MA – a scenario which would likely put upside risks in the AUD. EU CPI (30 Nov 21:00 AEDT) – the market looks for headline CPI inflation to come in at -0.2% MoM / 2.7% (from 2.9%), with core CPI at 3.9%. The swaps market sees the ECB hiking cycle as firmly over and looks for the first cut in April, which may be a touch optimistic. We also see the hedge fund community heavily short of EURs, so if equities can squeeze higher then EURUSD should follow suit with moves accelerated on short covering. OPEC meeting (delayed - 30 Nov) – Expectations of deeper output cuts are low, with most commodity strategists seeing a higher risk that the current output cuts are extended into 2024. OPEC+ could shock the market of course, but looking at the price action in crude it seems the market is positioned short of Brent Crude into the meeting and betting OPEC+ don’t step up its attempts to reverse the recent bear trend. A close above $83 could see shorts square and even reverse. US core PCE inflation (1 Dec 00:30 AEDT) – the market looks for 3.1% on headline PCE inflation (down from 3.4%) and core PCE at 0.2% mom / 3.5% yoy (from 3.7%). We look at trends in service prices and services ex-shelter, where slower prices rises should cement the view of adjustment rate cuts from the Fed in 2024. Canada employment report (2 Dec 00:030 AEDT) – the consensus is that we see 15k jobs created and the U/E rate at 5.8% (from 5.7%) – There’s not a lot to like about the CAD at present, although the market is seeing even less interest in the USD at present. A break of 1.3692 would be welcomed by USDCAD shorts, and the jobs print may influence that flow. In rates, we see the first cut from the BoC priced for April and some 74bp cuts priced by end-2024. US ISM manufacturing (2 Dec 02:00 AEDT) – the market looks for modest improvement with the diffusion index eyed at 47.7 (46.7). I’m not expecting a huge reaction to this data point as we know manufacturing is weak and we won't learn too much here. Central bank speakers RBA – Gov Bullock speaks from Hong Kong (12:18 AEDT) BoE – Ramsden, Haskel, Bailey (30 Nov 02:05 AEDT), Hauser, Greene ECB – Lagarde, Deo Cos, Panetta Fed – Goolsbee, Waller, Mester, Powell (2 Dec 03:00 AEDT) BoJ – Adachi, Nakamura
Editors' picks
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Pepperstone
2
GOLD → The market is ready to continue to growOANDA:XAUUSD is standing still on Thursday, which we were prepared for. The TVC:DXY opens with a subsequent decline on Friday, which gives bullish hopes for GOLD to strengthen. Let's breakdown: On the local timeframe, the prolonged consolidation is forming a symmetrical triangle, but as a strong support area is forming below the pattern and the price is consolidating above the key liquidity zones, the market may try to realize a bullish scenario. This will be facilitated by a break of the triangle resistance, in which case our target will be 2005 and 2010. Also, due to the fact that the price did not test the liquidity area below 1993, 1984, we have a chance to start another correction before further growth. On D1 gold is in a range and since support was tested earlier, resistance is still our prospect. The target is the upper boundary of the range - the area of 2010. Key support: 1993-1992, 1990, 1984 Key resistance: 1998, 2005, 2010 I expect a break of the pattern resistance with further growth to these targets, but since a large liquidity area was formed below the support, the market may test this area before further growth. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
11
SPX500 to see a fakeout?US500 - Intraday A Fibonacci confluence area is located at 4549. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile. Due to an Ending Wedge formation, we continue to treat extended gains with caution. The formation has a measured move target of 4507. Bespoke support is located at 4465. We look to Sell at 4573 (stop at 4598) Our profit targets will be 4513 and 4493 Resistance: 4569 / 4575 / 4600 Support: 4545 / 4507 / 4465 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by OANDA
GOLD → Support retest and low volatility is expected OANDA:XAUUSD may be low-volatility on Thursday ( today ) and form a narrow range as it is Thanksgiving Day in the US and in Canada, which I would like to congratulate the people of these two countries!!! Moving on to gold : The market continues to test the 1984 area. False breakdowns, prolonged trading in this area indicates that buyers and sellers are fighting for this area. A prolonged consolidation of the price above 1984 will form a bullish potential, which will indicate medium-term prospects for us. The TVC:DXY will stand still today, which will affect the forex market accordingly. Gold makes a false break of the local support 1994 and bounces from 0.5 fibo, but the important liquidity area has not been tested yet. It is likely that the dollar may continue to strengthen slightly on Friday, while gold may go lower to 1984 or trend support, but the fundamental background is still on the side of gold and we are still waiting for the continuation of the rise. Support levels: 1993, 0.5 fibo, 1984 Resistance levels: 1998, 0.236 fibo Today the price will trade within the narrow range of 1998 - 1993, 1990. A range trading strategy can be used for trading. Do not consider gold for medium-term selling at the moment, there is no reason to do so, the market is still technically and fundamentally strong for growth. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10
S&P500 How high can this rally go?The S&P500 index (SPX) is on a relentless 1-month rally since since the October 27 bottom, having grown already by more than +11%. Since the August 16 2022 High, the index has entered into a long-term Channel Up sequence. The last two breaks below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) have been the Higher Lows and the best medium-term buy entry. The recent (October) one in particular was the first that was on a Higher Lows 1D CCI Bullish Divergence. We can see that all rallies since August 2022 have been around the same range (+19.31% to +20.79%). As a result, we expect another minimum +19.33% (from the October bottom). Along with the (dotted) Channel Up top, which gives us a first Target at 4700, that +19.33% expectation gives a second long-term target at 4900, which would be above the 4820 (Jan 04 2022) All Time High (ATH). The latter Target will also make a perfect Higher Low at the top of the Diverging (dashed) Channel Up and hit the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (as all previous rally did), while the former (Target 1) will price a Higher High on the (dotted) Channel Up. As a result, if the index enters a consolidation for a few days within the orange ellipse pattern (as it did during April 2023 and November 2022), it will give you another opportunity to enter in case you missed the rally from its start. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingShot