SPX 500 LONGLooking for SPX to make its next extension to -23.6% Fib and beyond... I think we easily see 4200 in this market...
Us500
US30 DJI LONG SetupSee chart for analysis.
-Looking fro buying opportunites with price inside
demand zones.
-Overall trend = uptrend + short term = sideways
-Price above 200MA
-Look for buys with Lower timeframe confrimation.
4-17-23 es gm,
unlike the nasdaq which has put in a clean looking 5 waves up from the lows -
the spx did not.
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what this opens the door for, is a raid of the lows.
in this case, based on my current primary trajectory on the us dollar, i am going to be anticipating an expanded flat.
aka -> raid of the low to trip the accumulated liquidity down below, followed by a slingshot to 4700+
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if you are interested in learning more about flats - i do highly recommend checking out this post about them:
US500 The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear subscribers ,
This is my opinion on the US500 next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 4127.6
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 4202.2
Recommended Stop Loss - 4085.8
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
US500: Will Keep Growing! Here is Why:
The recent price action on the US500 pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bullish one and I think we will see the price go up.
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S&P500: One last bullish leg before a new correctionThe S&P500 is pulling back today after it hit the 0.5 Fibonacci level on Friday. The 1D technicals remain bullish (RSI = 61.663, MACD = 33.310, ADX = 42.403) as the current rise is the bullish leg that started on the Higher Low of the Channel Up and technically peaks near 4,250. That is our short term target and don't see a correction before that.
Of course we need to take into account the R1 Zone, which has formed tops 4 times already since June 2022 but this time the 1D RSI looks more like the July 29th-August 8th 2022, which was a stepping stone before a blow off top at 4,330.
Prior idea:
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Quick overview of banking results: JPM, Citigroup, WFCThe last week brought earnings from three major U.S. banks, including Citigroup, JP Morgan Chase & Co., and Wells Fargo. Overall, the results for the first quarter of 2023 were mixed, with indicators pointing to positive and negative trends. All three banks showed solid growth in revenue and non-interest income. However, declining deposits and loans paint a worrisome picture for the industry (together with rising provisions for credit losses). As a result, we believe the theme of banking earnings will be “big capitalized banks that can make money even in the current environment versus small, less resilient banks facing obstacles ahead.”
Citigroup
Citigroup Inc. reported a net income of $4.6 billion (up 7% YoY but down 19% YoY when excluding divesture-related impacts) for the first quarter of 2023, compared to $4.3 billion for the same period in 2022. The bank’s revenues grew 12% YoY (or 6% YoY excluding divestiture-related impacts) and 19% QoQ. Operating expenses rose by 1% YoY and 2% QoQ. Citigroup's end-of-period loans were $652 billion at quarter end, down 1% YoY. Deposits remained unchanged versus the prior year, standing at $1.3 trillion.
JP Morgan Chase & Co.
For the first quarter of 2023, JPMorgan Chase & Co reported $12.6 billion in net income (up 52% YoY and 15% QoQ) and record managed revenue of $39.3 billion (up 25% YoY and 11% QoQ). Its noninterest expenses rose to $20.1 billion (by 5% YoY and 6% QoQ). The Consumer & Community Banking division had an ROE of 40%, with average deposits down 4% YoY and client investment assets down 1% YoY. The Commercial Banking division saw its average loans grow 13% YoY and 1% QoQ. However, it experienced a decline in average deposits of 16% YoY and 5% QoQ. Meanwhile, the Asset Wealth Management division saw average loans drop by 1% YoY and 1% QoQ, with average deposits declining as much as 22% YoY. The bank’s total deposits dropped by 7% YoY and average deposits by 14% YoY and 3% QoQ.
Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo reported $4.9 billion (up 32% YoY and 52% QoQ) in net income and $20.7 billion in total revenue (up 17% YoY and 3% QoQ) for the first quarter 2023. Net interest income rose by 45% YoY, while noninterest income dropped 13% YoY. Period-end deposits decreased by 8% YoY and 2% QoQ. Furthermore, period-end assets fell by 3% YoY.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
US500 - Wait for more Monday CloseON US500 I would not trade in the next few days, more information and more movement is needed because from this area it can both go up and down.
In practice, I closed the day above the support but it is below the trend line (the blue one), if on Monday it does not close above the trend line and possibly confirms on Tuesday above the trend line, then in that case I would go long but in the given situation, we have to take into account that on Monday it could close below the trend area and thus it could go to the next support area down.
Including the RSI shows us that it is overbought, which would be related to the resistance trend line in the downward trend.
ES1! SPX500USD 2023 APR 17 WEEKCME_MINI:ES1!
ES1! SPX500USD 2023 APR 17 WEEK
Friday's bar closed below 4175 and showed a rejection
of higher prices.
Scenario Planning:
1) Rejection short at 4175
2) Market rotation continues = trade at boundary (80pt range)
of range (grey box)
3) Rotation breakout long at support of 4175
Volume Analysis:
Weekly: Ave vol up bar close off high = minor weakness
Daily: High vol narrow spread S>D bar = weakness
Price reaction levels:
Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept
4303 4175 4096
3928 3788
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week.
S&P500: Breaking key Resistance but the 1W MA50 has to holdThe S&P500 crossed this week over the LH trendline of the August 15th rejection on the 1W MA50. Proportionally this can be compared to the April 18th 2016 breakout. The key for a sustainable uptrend on that occasion was the 1W MA50. It held twice and sustained a long term uptrend. With the 1W technicals turning marginally bullish (RSI = 56.614, MACD = 37.390, ADX = 36.682) and the RSI on a similar HL trendline with 2016, we expect a few weeks of sideways trading and if the 1W MA50 holds, we have a legitimate case for a new long term Bull Cycle.
Prior idea:
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SPX to find support at trend line?US500 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 4096 (stop at 4066)
Posted a Bullish Outside candle on the Daily chart.
There is no sign that this bullish momentum is faltering but the pair has stalled close to a previous swing high of 4153.
The bias remains mildly bullish but there is scope for a move in either direction at the open.
Trading within a Bullish Channel formation.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 4091, resulting in improved risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 4166 and 4186
Resistance: 4155 / 4196 / 4230
Support: 4091 / 4047 / 4018
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S&P500 starting an expansion the likes of which we've never seenThe S&P500 index (SPX) is trading on a multi-year Channel Up pattern that started on the March 2009 bottom of the Housing (subprime mortgage) Crisis. With all the talk lately on whether or not the index is out of its Bear Phase, this chart can offer great insight on the long-term trend.
As you see, it shows that the Bear Market's bottom was priced in September 2022 exactly on the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), which has served as a Support both on December 2018 (peak of U.S. - China trade war) and January 2016 (China's slowdown, VW scandal, Oil crash). As we are all aware March 2020 was an exception (black swan event) that happens once in a hundred years. Still the 1M MA100 (green trend-line) supported.
The key here is the 3W RSI. It is trading within a Channel Down and every time the price hit its bottom, a multi-month rally started. The last two times that rally peaked on the 3.0 Fibonacci extension. Calculating the new 3.0 Fib from the 4840 top to the 3500 bottom, it gives roughly a 9000 projection. So since this is only the start on this Expansion Phase within the multi-year Channel Up pattern, it is not at all unlikely to expect steady growth from the current levels and a rough 9000 peak by 2027.
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SP500 a short term uptrend 🦐SP500 on the 4h chart after the test of the weekly support at the 3840 structure started a series of higher highs higher lows move.
The price that already tested a few times the 4000 level has retraced over a previous support area exactly at the 50% retracement and is now looking for a potential break .
How can i approach this scenario?
I will wait for the EU market session and monitor the price action for a possible break that will possibly happen in the US session and i will look for a nice long order according to the Plancton's strategy rules.
SPX 500 Will Target $4180 Quickly. BE PREPARED!This week we are expecting price to move upwards near TADAWUL:4180 and make its way near TSE:4237 by the end of next week.
All timeframes above H4 are currently bullish. Our outlook is to make several long positions within the H! towards the intended targets.
With inflation data and quarterly earnings being released this week, we can anticipate that stocks will most likely start a bullrun.
US500, 10d+/-9.8%falling cycle -9.8% more than 10 days.
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This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only.
S&P500 Buy this volatility.S&P500 is inside a Channel Up, similar to January, both within the great Channel of December.
As long as the 4hour MA100 holds, target 4250 (under the large Channel Up top).
If the 4hour MA100 breaks and makes a daily close under it, sell and target 3920 (over Support A).
Previous chart:
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S&P 500- Still targeting 4300+Hello traders!
Many times in previous post we talked about a primary wave (B) to the upside to conclude above 4300 for the S&P.
We believe that we are currently going for wave 5 of C, as also the inverse head and shoulder suggests.
clearer picture on Nasdaq, where W pattern and descending broadenign wedge are targeting at least 13600 for this upside correction (end of double zig zag).
There we will re consider the possibility of a short, tracking the possible Wolfe Wave in the making.
For now, we opened a small long at the recent dip at 12909.1. Will update below!
Bests!
GMR
Irregular TRIANGLE still in the cards for US500Irregular TRIANGLE still in the cards for US500
CPI NEWS incoming today and this could trigger the start of a NEW SWING LOW.
S&P500: The 1W MA100 and 0.5 Fib are the biggest hurdles.The S&P500 gives a very clear impression as to what the situation is on the 1W timeframe. Despite the recovery early this year with the index crossing above the 1 year LH trendline, thus getting out of the Bear Cycle, the 1W technicals are basically neutral (RSI = 56.583, MACD = 37.340, ADX = 36.258). A big part of it is because the index has been ranging inside the R1 and S1 Zones since November.
Key levels to watch are 1) the 1W MA100, which hasn't been hit August 22nd and hasn't made a weekly closing above since August 15th and 2) the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which despite having candle's crossing over it, hasn't made a closing since (again) August 15th.
According to this, a last pullback to S1 is possible and then the decisive rebound that will make a Higher High on the 5 month Channel Up on the 0.618 Fibonacci, below R2 (TP = 4,300).
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$450 spy?Good morning! 🌞
Shared this larger projection last year; and we're still gradually grinding in this Wave B.
Wave B's, aka "sucker's rallies," are notorious for luring in average suckers.
Don't be one! 😄
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SPY wave B target = 454 🎯
SPY wave C target = 300- 🎯
original idea:
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S&P500 FIrst time in 2 weeks to hit the 4H MA50The S&P500 index (SPX) has extended its rise since our buy call 21 days ago:
The price is at the moment on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since March 28. The Higher Lows trend-line below offers an additional Support level, with the last resort being the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) below, in case the 4H RSI breaks towards the Green Zone. Regardless of this minor technical pull-back, our Target remains 4190 just below the Resistance (February 02 High), with the Higher High extension of the Channel Up showing potential for even 4250.
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Waiting for confirmations to short ES - SP500 - US500
Hello Everyone,
This is my analysis about the SP500, since we're having a bad data on the PMI Services and if Friday delivers a bad interpretation of the NFP news, i want to see a retracement into the premium key levels and see in a lower timeframes a confirmation of a bearish move, then i'll proceed to short and targeting the fair value area and a lower prices.
This is not a financial advice, the idea is for study purposes. In any case, it is not meant to give you a signal.
This is just a way for me to read the markets.
