S&P to 3000?Due to inflation and rate hikes we might see new lows in near future. As you can see breaking below 3900 is confirmation of trend will continue to go down. If S&P able to retest 3900 area we can enter short position. Our target will be 3500, 3400, 3200, 3000. And remember we are in huge Falling Wedge pattern.
US500SHORT
Recovery ends in S&P500Time cycle plays a vital role in Neo wave analysis.
Both time and price are the Manthra in Trading.
The ancient Fibonacci and Elliott waves are the only TWO usefull tools foy my analysis both for trading and forecasting.
I find this method of trading which suits me and giving consistency of profits for the past 20 years
ok! S&P500 index almost reached its destination @4048 which is a less than 38.2% of recovery
Black Friday is the turning point ,IF any miracle happens on Monday ,the index surpasses 4088 then we have a different story,
Let's Hope least
Selling SPX in a range.US500 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 3969 (stop at 3994)
Posted Mixed Daily results for the last 3 days.
Intraday, and we are between bespoke support and resistance 3913-3969.
The medium term bias remains bearish.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 3913 and 3700
Resistance: 3969 / 4050 / 4097
Support: 3913 / 3700 / 3506
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
S&P500 - Imbalance to fill ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my analysis on US500 .
Here we are still bullish from H4 timeframe, but if price breaks that low I will look for a short position, as price has to fill that huge imbalance lower.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Buying SPX at swing low.US500 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 3907 (stop at 3859)
A Fibonacci confluence area is located at 4038.
Bespoke support is located at 3905.
The previous swing low is located at 3904.
Dips continue to attract buyers.
Our profit targets will be 4038 and 4055
Resistance: 4038 / 4042 / 4055
Support: 3905 / 3902 / 3487
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
S&P500 - Short now! ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my analysis on US500.
Here we are bearish from H1 timeframe perspective, so I am looking for shorts. I expect bearish price action from here as price took out buy stop liquidity and rejected from bearish orderblock.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
US500 potential move to the downsideMarket sentiment has been negative with fears of the hard recession approaching. I've been looking for short opportunities in the market because of this and spotted this setup
S&P500 - Long from bullish orderblock ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my analysis on US500
Here we have the same scanerio as per Dow Jones, so I expect price to make a retracement to fill that huge imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish orderblock.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
SPX- the final count downNow its clear that wave 'C' has started to bring the index DOWN to 3593 or much lower up to 2562
US500I am sharing this as an idea and signal for traders who might agree with me that the market price might favor the bears because the gap has to be filled at least 50% of its length on the 15 minute TF
SPX Overbought - FOMO - Fib .382 REJECTION SHORTThe operating theory behind a pivot rally is that once the Fed stops raising rates, gamblers have a period of time to enjoy one last melt-up rally before the wheels come off the bus due to rate hikes. It never enters their minds that the melt-up already occurred and now they are sitting in a bull trap.
The year-end melt-up was a bust in both 2007 and 2008 but never mind those inconvenient facts.
Next week PPI and QT and $40Bill in New Debt -- Will NOT make this market happy
S&P500 - Short from bearish orderblock ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my analysis on US500.
Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily perspective, so I am looking for shorts. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalanceand then to reject from bearish orderblock.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
SPX500 I added short at 3845 SL above 3885.
Price retraced back to resistance at major fib level and weekly m3.
J.Powel pivoted from hawkish to more hawkish.
S&P 500 INDEX 04 nov 2022 Long Term Analysis (Daily Time Frame)Hi everyone,
Here is my 04 November 2022 long term S&P 500 INDEX analysis. #SPX
To date ( 04 Nov 2022) I have deduced that the market offers two scenarios. The first one (the most likely one in view of the geopolitical and economic conditions from a macroeconomic point of view) would be a continuation of the decline. I have estimated this scenario to have an 80% chance of success, either from a technical point of view or 25 out of 26 indicators are either neutral or bearish. Or from a macro economic point of view where today we have just learned that the unemployment rate is back on the rise (3.7%).
The second scenario, less likely, would be to follow the rise of the second half of October, then succeed in reversing the trend and breaking the descending channel in order to resume a long-term uptrend. 20% chance of success.
RED SCENARIO:
Personally and in view of the different technical and economic factors I think that the red scenario has a better chance of being realized.
It is not unlikely in the coming months that we will return to test the support area of $3550 or even that we break it to continue the decline. The economic conditions to continue the decline are mostly met, they will remain to break with high volume down this support area while remaining in the channel.
Once this support zone is broken, we have a very high probability of testing the support line of $3235 and why not that of $3000.
However, beware of the latter, which is a psychological level that is very popular with traders.
And finally if the conditions have not improved by then, or even worse have deteriorated. We could "maybe" have a continuation of the decline to the low reached during the covid, ie to the resistance zone of $2250
This final hypothesis is really to be taken lightly.
BLUE SCENARIO:
Much less evident the blue scenario is still not impossible, it would require however many conditions which are for the moment not present.
The first and most important would be global economic conditions (Decrease of embargoes with Russia, Decrease of interest rates, Decrease of inflation, Decrease of unemployment rates etc...)
Secondly and simultaneously it would be necessary that the technical indicators begin to consider a reversal (Important RSI divergence in Daily see in weekly, crossing of the mobile averages etc...)
And thirdly, and strongly helped by the first two conditions, the price should break the bearish channel with high volume to consider a possible reversal.
During this break we would have a strong chance to observe a reversal pattern and probably a strong RSI divergence.
If all these conditions are met, then we could envisage a long-term upward turnaround.
Conclusion:
For now the S&P500 is bearish and has a strong chance to continue its fall in this bearish channel, however we do not lose hope to see a reversal happen in a few months/years. For that we will have to respect some conditions but as we know in the financial markets, nothing is impossible.
If you have any questions, I remain at your disposal in the comment space.
Selling SPX into rallies.US500 - 7h expiry - We look to Sell at 3807 (stop at 3847)
Trades at the lowest level in 8 days.
Broken out of the wedge to the downside.
The formation has a measured move target of 3629.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
3810 has been pivotal.
Yesterday's Marabuzo is located at 3807.
Our profit targets will be 3672 and 3629
Resistance: 3807 / 3810 / 3845
Support: 3672 / 3629 / 3600
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
S&P500 - Long from bullish orderblock ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my analysis on US500 .
Here we are bullish from H4 timeframe perspective, so I am looking for longs. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance and then to reject from bullish orderblock.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
US500: Intraday Technical AnalysisUS500 Intraday Technical Analysis:
the US500 took rejection from 3900 validating the double top resistance with bearish divergence on all major indicators. The price action of US500 is currently in two rising wedge formations one in intraday with rising wedge upper breakout at 3870 and lower breakdown at 3868. While the larger one has an upper breakout level at 3920 and lower breakdown at 3856. My idea for intraday is still short day at strength with entry after rejection of 3870 and tp and previous lows of 3845.
If you like this or if you think the opposite of this or if there is any other opinion, mention it in the comments. I am open to all kind of suggestions and critics.
Selling SPX into a mild rally.US500 - 9h expiry - We look to Sell at 3809 (stop at 3851)
Following yesterday's bearish candle, the overall trend lower looks set to continue today.
A bearish Head and Shoulders is forming.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 3689 and 3640
Resistance: 3813 / 4325 / 4640
Support: 3690 / 3270 / 3000
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
S&P500 - Short from bearish orderblock ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my analysis on US500.
Here we are still in the bearish market structure, so I am looking only for shorts. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance and then to reject from bearish orderblock.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
SPX to stop climbing?US500 - 7h expiry- We look to Sell a break of 3812 (stop at 3867)
Prices have continued the bullish move higher and resulted in 3 consecutive positive days.
A lower correction is expected.
Price action has formed an expanding wedge formation.
A break of 3813 is needed to confirm follow through negative momentum.
Further downside is expected.
Our profit targets will be 3680 and 3650
Resistance: 3863 / 4280 / 4550
Support: 3813 / 3505 / 2800
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
