Europe - America War, Impact on Forex
Hello, my name is Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about an important issue that is shaking up the international market: the trade war between the European Union and the United States. Recently, the European Union responded to the duties imposed by the United States on steel and aluminum with countermeasures worth 26 billion euros. In response, US President Donald Trump threatened to impose 200% duties on all wines, champagnes and spirits from France and other countries represented by the EU2.
This escalation of trade tensions will certainly have a significant impact on the FOREX market. Let's see together what the consequences could be:
Market Volatility: Trade tensions between two of the world's largest economies will increase the volatility of the FOREX market. Investors will seek safe havens, such as the Swiss Franc (CHF) and the Japanese Yen (JPY), increasing the demand for these currencies.
Euro (EUR) depreciation: The euro could come under downward pressure due to concerns about the economic impact of tariffs on key EU sectors, such as wine. The reduction in exports of wine and other alcoholic products could negatively impact the EU's trade balance.
US dollar (USD) appreciation: The dollar could strengthen further, as investors view the US as a safe haven in times of economic uncertainty. However, the increase in tariffs could also lead to higher inflation in the US, complicating the Federal Reserve's decisions regarding interest rates.
Impact on the currencies of wine exporting countries: The currencies of major European wine exporters, such as the euro (EUR) and the Swedish krona (SEK), could come under downward pressure due to the decrease in exports to the US.
In conclusion, the tariff war between the European Union and the US will have a significant impact on the FOREX market. Investors will need to monitor developments closely and adjust their trading strategies accordingly. Stay tuned for more updates and market analysis!
Happy trading to all!
USA
BIGGEST ECONOMIC RESET: BTC!🚨 WHAT IF THE BIGGEST ECONOMIC RESET IS HAPPENING BEFORE OUR EYES? 🚨
We’ve seen governments manipulate markets before, but what if we’re witnessing the most sophisticated financial maneuver in history?
Right now, the U.S. is drowning in historic levels of debt—over $35 trillion—with interest payments soaring to nearly $1 trillion per year. The system is unsustainable. But what if Trump, or whoever is pulling the strings, is playing the ultimate financial chess game? 🎭
🔹 The Playbook:
1️⃣ Crashing Bitcoin from $109K to $60K:
• Market manipulation? Coordinated selling? Whatever it is, we see heavy downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price.
• The Federal Reserve begins lowering interest rates, making money cheaper.
• Institutions, possibly even governments, buy Bitcoin at $60K, accumulating billions—or even trillions—at a discount.
2️⃣ Pumping Bitcoin to $120K:
• After accumulating at low prices, strategic moves (regulatory shifts, institutional adoption, positive media cycles) push Bitcoin up.
• The U.S. government (or key financial players) now holds Bitcoin at twice the original value.
• Instead of selling, they use Bitcoin as collateral to take out new loans at higher valuations—doubling their money on paper.
3️⃣ Paying Off U.S. Debt with Bitcoin Gains:
• Now sitting on a $10T profit, the U.S. (or its financial arms) uses the capital to pay off a significant portion of its debt.
• Trump, or whoever executes this plan, is suddenly praised as the savior of the U.S. economy.
• The media calls it “the greatest financial turnaround in history.”
4️⃣ Dumping Bitcoin Again—Back to GETTEX:25K -$35K:
• After securing profits and lowering debt, Bitcoin is strategically dumped back down.
• The cycle repeats: Buy low, manipulate, sell high, control the financial game.
• The next cycle? 2027. This could be the biggest financial fraud scheme—or the smartest economic move in modern history.
💡 What If This is the Plan All Along?
• Bitcoin-backed national reserves become reality.
• Debt cycles are no longer a problem—they become a trading strategy.
• The Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury master market cycles instead of fighting them.
• The average investor? Left chasing shadows in a manipulated system.
👀 Sounds insane? Maybe. But in a world where trillions are printed overnight, where governments engineer financial crises and solutions, and where crypto is no longer just “internet money” but a strategic asset, anything is possible.
🔥 What do you think? Is this the master plan, or just another conspiracy theory? Drop your thoughts below!
#Bitcoin #Crypto #EconomicReset #Trump #FederalReserve #DebtCrisis #FinancialManipulation #Markets #Crypto2027
BTC PoV The projection of a potential rise in Bitcoin (BTC) starting from liquidity points at 75K, 65K, and 57K suggests a recovery dynamic from a bearish phase. If BTC were to rise above the 75,000 USD level, it could trigger a significant bullish push, as this is an important resistance level that, once broken, would open the way for new highs. This would mark the end of a correction and the resumption of the bullish trend. On the other hand, if the price were to drop to 65,000 USD, this level could represent an accumulation opportunity, with a potential recovery from this zone, confirmed by an upward movement. In a worse-case scenario, if BTC were to fall to 57,000 USD, it would be a key support level, a zone where the market could attempt a rebound. If the buyers' response were positive, BTC could find the strength to rise again and resume its bullish trend. Essentially, the liquidity points at 75K, 65K, and 57K are critical levels in determining the future direction of BTC, with a potential recovery depending on the market’s reaction to these supports and resistances.
In parallel, a potential recession in the United States could directly impact the value of the dollar, with significant implications for Bitcoin. During a recession, the Federal Reserve's monetary policies could become more accommodative, with interest rate cuts to stimulate the economy. This increased liquidity could drive investors toward assets like BTC, as Bitcoin is seen by many as a hedge against inflation and the depreciation of the dollar. If the recession were to weaken the dollar, BTC could benefit from increased demand for cryptocurrencies as an alternative to the traditional monetary system. However, if the Fed were to counter the recession with policies that strengthen the dollar, possibly to attract foreign investments, the price of BTC could suffer, as a stronger dollar might reduce Bitcoin's appeal as a safe-haven asset. In conclusion, BTC's future direction depends not only on its technical levels but also on global economic policies and macroeconomic dynamics, which could favor a BTC rally if the recession weakens the dollar, or slow its growth if the dollar maintains strength.
Why the US strategic reserve is a bad thing for crypto.Another Controversial Opinion
Honestly, I’m frustrated with how this is unfolding. Crypto was never meant to be controlled by the USA—it was created as a humanitarian concept to empower individuals, offering a decentralized, anonymous, and universally accessible financial system.
But, as always, when there's money, resources, or anything valuable, the USA steps in to take control.
Take the music industry as an example—one of many sectors transformed (or destroyed) by the US.
Why Is the US Crypto Stockpile a Bad Thing?
Because it goes against Satoshi Nakamoto’s vision.
By aggressively accumulating and stockpiling Bitcoin, the US is making crypto less attractive to the rest of the world. People who assume every country will blindly follow the US are mistaken. What's beneficial for the US is not necessarily good for China, India, Pakistan, Indonesia, or any country competing against US financial dominance.
Unlike gold, which can be mined anywhere, the US stockpiling over 200,000 Bitcoin gives it a massive advantage. Other nations may reject crypto simply because they see it becoming a US-controlled asset.
The Political Weaponization of Crypto
Now, Trump is positioning himself as "The Crypto President"—which, while beneficial under his leadership, means that Democrats will inevitably become the anti-crypto party.
Turning crypto into a political weapon is dangerous in the long run. Is gold tied to a political party? No. So why should crypto be?
Conclusion
Crypto needed regulation, and that’s it.
The US obsession with controlling everything valuable often ends up destroying it.
Let’s not forget: crypto is nothing without its global communities—and where are most of these people? In countries that are actively resisting US financial dominance, primarily in the BRICS nations.
When Trump and his family rug-pulled $1 billion through Trump/Melania meme coins, that money didn’t just come from the US—it came mostly from foreign investors gambling on memes.
This is not what Satoshi Nakamoto envisioned when he released Bitcoin as open-source software for humanity.
The end result? The SPX500 dictates the market, Bitcoin follows, and altcoins mirror Bitcoin. Wall Street is now the puppet master of crypto.
If crypto follows the path of the music industry, billionaires will get richer, but ordinary people won’t. Altcoins will be wiped out, and Bitcoin will dominate everything.
Trump's Golden RatioTrump has launched his own personal token that he will use solely for his own benefit for bribes and money laundering. He's not a politician, he's a businessman who knows how to make money. Creating his own cryptocurrencies is direct proof of that. The $TRUMP token plays a role as the president's personal token for the Republicans to donate to him and a legal way to get money from other politicians. The whole saga with his token is just beginning, it is one of the few steps in building the Trump family the greatest business ever.
As far as the chart is concerned, we should wait for a bounce into the golden section area. Now there was a FUD regarding the ByBit hack, it's like a fake attempt to panic the crowd, but it didn't work with smart people. Only the strongest are left here, who have survived everything they can.
Horban Brothers.
EURUSD - PoVThe EUR/USD exchange rate is influenced by several economic and political factors, suggesting that the euro may continue to weaken in the coming weeks. On one side, the United States is implementing expansive fiscal policies that could strengthen the dollar, such as economic stimulus and increased public spending. These factors, along with potential protectionist measures like tariffs on Europe, could further weaken the euro by reducing the competitiveness of European exports. Additionally, the **Federal Reserve's** monetary policy, which has raised interest rates to combat inflation, makes the dollar more attractive to investors, increasing demand for the U.S. currency. The United States' energy independence, due to increased domestic production of gas and oil, has also reduced its reliance on imports, which further strengthens the dollar compared to the euro.
On the other hand, the Eurozone is facing a series of economic and political challenges that are putting pressure on the single currency. High inflation is eroding purchasing power across the Eurozone, and despite the European Central Bank (ECB) raising interest rates to combat it, economic growth remains slow. This divergence from the United States, where growth has been more dynamic, amplifies the euro's weakness. Moreover, the ongoing energy crisis in Europe, worsened by the war in Ukraine and reduced gas supplies from Russia, has increased costs and slowed the competitiveness of European businesses. In this context, political uncertainties in some Eurozone countries and the ECB’s less aggressive economic management compared to the Fed further contribute to the euro's weakness.
Therefore, the strengthening of the dollar, driven by U.S. policies and growing energy independence, and the structural weakness of the Eurozone, are likely to continue pushing the EUR/USD lower in the coming weeks.
Trump-Putin Ukraine Deal: Impacts on Forex
Hello, I am Professional Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about an important news that is shaking up the global markets: Donald Trump has apparently reached an agreement with Vladimir Putin to end the war in Ukraine, with an agreement that includes Ukraine's exit from NATO. The historic meeting between the two leaders will take place in Saudi Arabia and this move is expected to have a profound impact on the global geopolitical and financial landscape, especially on the Forex market.
Geopolitical and Economic Impact:
The announcement of a possible agreement between Trump and Putin could mark a significant turning point in the war in Ukraine. If Ukraine were to actually leave NATO, it would open a new phase of stability for the region, but at the same time it could create uncertainty on the geopolitical borders. This decision will directly affect the currency markets, in particular the currencies of the countries involved, the main European currencies and the US dollar.
In the current context, the war in Ukraine is one of the main causes of economic instability worldwide. Any end to hostilities could lead to a reduction in economic sanctions and a revival of trade flows between Russia, Europe and the United States. These changes will be closely monitored by traders, as any geopolitical fluctuations could affect the dynamics of currencies globally.
Implications for Forex:
A possible agreement between Trump and Putin could have a direct impact on Forex, especially on the following currencies:
Russian Ruble (RUB): A peace agreement would lead to a possible revaluation of the ruble. International sanctions against Russia could be gradually removed, boosting the Russian economy and supporting demand for the ruble in global markets.
Euro (EUR): Ukraine's exit from NATO could lead to greater stability for European countries involved in the conflict, but it could also reduce the risk associated with energy and military security. In the short term, the Euro could appreciate against riskier currencies, but the situation could vary depending on the political reactions in Europe.
US Dollar (USD): The dollar could react positively if the Trump-Putin deal is seen as a stabilization of international relations, but it will also depend on how the Federal Reserve responds to evolving economic conditions. A slowdown in the conflict could reduce the uncertainty that has pushed markets towards the dollar as a safe haven.
British Pound (GBP): The pound could benefit from a possible de-escalation of the crisis, but again, domestic political factors in the UK, such as its post-Brexit negotiations, will continue to influence the currency.
What to expect in the coming days:
News of the Trump-Putin meeting in Saudi Arabia will be watched closely by the markets. If the details of the deal are confirmed, we can expect an immediate reaction in the currency markets. Forex is likely to see increased volatility in the currency pairs tied to the nations involved, with shifts in capital flows that could reflect a new perception of risk or stability.
Conclusions:
In summary, the Trump-Putin deal could be a turning point in the war in Ukraine and have a significant impact on financial markets, especially Forex. Investors will need to carefully monitor geopolitical developments and prepare for possible currency fluctuations. With the end of hostilities, stability could return to favor some currencies, but the situation remains delicate and constantly evolving.
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Breakout or Crash?Greetings to everyone, this is RONIN! 🔥
In this article, we will try to analyze the current trends in both the crypto market as a whole and specifically Bitcoin.
I believe you might have noticed a certain calming of movements within the price range of $100,000 to $94,000. Over the past few weeks, Bitcoin has been fluctuating within this range, gradually and slowly recovering 📈 but quickly returning to the price level 📉. Based on the chart, I can make a clear assumption that the market is in a local sideways range, which has locked our movements in anticipation of a further impulse and a breakout of the $103,000 level 🚀. However, we haven’t seen the price consolidate above this level.
📊 Level analysis shows that the market has attempted to break through the key support zone at $92,400 six times, but each time it approached this zone, massive buybacks occurred, pushing Bitcoin slightly upwards.
🤔 What is the market waiting for? Why isn't it surging to $120,000–$150,000 or dropping to $88,000?
The answer is simple: the market is currently driven by two emotions—fear and greed 😨🤑, as always, but now we have a very interesting situation that the crypto market has never been in before!
🧐 Let’s dive deeper into what’s happening here
We have the Trump effect 🇺🇸, which has awakened the American public and economy. More than 20 states are already planning to create Bitcoin reserves, and there are active discussions about establishing a national federal cryptocurrency reserve 🏦💰.
However, alongside this, we face the risk of economic instability and potential trade wars ⚔️ between the U.S. and China 🇺🇸🇨🇳 as well as the U.S. and Europe 🇺🇸🇪🇺.
❓ But why should trade wars concern us when we’re talking about cryptocurrency?
The answer is simple: these trade wars won’t directly impact crypto, but they will have an indirect effect.
📌 When the world is stable, investors are open to risk. They actively invest in cryptocurrencies, stocks, and ETFs 📈.
📌 When instability looms, they shift their capital into safe-haven assets 💰, such as gold 🏆, which has been breaking records over the past few months.
🔥 We’ve already witnessed how trade wars can indirectly influence the crypto market. For example, the recent Ethereum crash 🚨 from $3,200 to $2,100 overnight 😱—a 30% drop in market capitalization.
🔍 What’s actually happening?
💡 There are no specific negative news events for crypto, but there are technical liquidation imbalances.
Exchanges can manipulate liquidity 💹—for example, by selling or buying assets worth billions of dollars, forcing futures traders into liquidations 🚀💥.
That night alone, $8,000,000,000 was liquidated—setting a record for altcoin liquidations in a single day! 💣
🔑 What’s next?
Right now, there’s a strong fundamental trend:
✔️ Institutional investors are entering crypto 🏛️
✔️ The U.S., EU, and major countries are getting involved in cryptocurrency regulation and adoption 🌍
✔️ Futures ETFs and other financial instruments are making market entry easier 📊
But! 🤨
There are three "black swans" that could temporarily change the trend:
1️⃣ The U.S.-China Trade War ⚔️
– If tensions escalate, major players might use this for market manipulation 🎭
– I personally plan to hold through and buy assets at key support levels 🔄
2️⃣ Delays in the establishment of the federal Bitcoin reserve 🇺🇸🏦
– If there are delays and political disagreements, this could temporarily weaken investor interest ❄️
– However, this is only a matter of time, as the process is inevitable.
3️⃣ Geopolitical tensions 🕊️⚠️
– Conflicts in the Middle East, Europe, and other regions could create economic uncertainty.
– However, a swift resolution of the Russia-Ukraine war could be perceived positively by the market, boosting capital inflows into crypto 🚀
📈 Chart-Based Forecast
🔹 Key support level — $92,473 📍
🔹 If the price breaks below and consolidates for 2-3 daily candles, the market could enter a medium-term correction toward $80,000 – $72,000 😰
🔹 However, a bounce from $92,400 and a move toward $100,000 is a more likely scenario 🚀
At the moment, big players benefit from keeping the market in suspense, triggering stop-losses and liquidations for traders using leverage 💥.
📢 My conclusion: There is no fundamental reason for a major crash, but short-term manipulations are possible.
🔔 Follow me on TradingView! 📊
💡 Or check out my analytical resource, which will be fully operational soon! 💻🚀
S&P 500 - exciting trading week aheadThe S&P remains in a range. On the last trading day of last week we saw a stronger sell-off, which formed a bearish engulfing. Today's opening will be decisive.
The last high and low pivots should be kept in mind.
The range is an expression of the current indecision. I will pay particular attention to individual stocks that have shown high relative strength in order to recognize early signals here.
A good trading week to all!
China-US Tariffs: Impact on Forex
Hello, I am professional trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about a hot topic that is shaking up global markets: the introduction of new tariffs by China towards the United States and the impact that this news is having on the Forex market.
A New Chapter in the US-China Trade War
For weeks, the investment world has been monitoring the evolution of tensions between two of the world's largest economies: the United States and China. After months of negotiations, China has decided to implement new tariffs on US products, intensifying the trade war that began a few years ago. The news had an immediate effect on global markets and, as always, Forex is one of the markets most sensitive to these geopolitical developments.
Direct Impact on USD Currency Pairs
The US dollar (USD) suffered a strong backlash after the announcement. In fact, the tariffs can reduce US exports to China, negatively affecting the US trade balance and fueling uncertainty among investors. The immediate result? A weakening of the dollar against several currencies.
The most affected currency pairs were:
EUR/USD: The euro gained ground, rising to levels not seen in weeks. Economic uncertainty resulting from tariffs has prompted investors to flee to currencies deemed safer, such as the euro.
GBP/USD: The British pound followed a similar trajectory, gaining against the dollar. Although Brexit remains a hot topic, the weakness of the dollar has given the British currency some respite.
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen, traditionally considered a safe haven, benefited from the uncertainty, appreciating against the dollar. A flow of capital into Japan was a direct result of the change in risk perception.
Effects on the Chinese RMB
The Chinese currency, the renminbi (RMB), has also fluctuated significantly. While China is trying to limit the effect of tariffs on its domestic market, the market response has been cautious. In particular, investors are preparing for a possible controlled devaluation of the renminbi, with the intention of maintaining the competitiveness of Chinese exports, which could suffer from higher tariffs.
The Role of Central Banks
Another factor that cannot be ignored in this context is the approach of central banks. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) could decide to review its monetary policies to counter the negative effects of tariffs on the dollar. We could see an easing of monetary policy or even a reduction in interest rates, unless the Fed wants to contain the rising inflation caused by tariffs.
On the other hand, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) could be forced to take measures to support the Chinese economy. The possibility of a currency intervention could have significant effects not only on Forex, but also on other asset classes such as commodities and stock markets.
How to Capitalize on the Situation in Forex Trading
The developments surrounding the US-China trade war are a boon for Forex traders, provided they are able to carefully monitor the news and react quickly. Here are some strategies to consider:
Breakout Trades: The news of the tariffs has triggered significant movements, and experienced traders can look to enter breakout trades on the most volatile currency pairs. This involves looking to enter long or short positions when a currency pair breaks out of certain support or resistance levels.
Risk-Based Strategies: The uncertainties surrounding the trade war can force traders to be more selective in their trades. Careful risk management strategies, such as risk-reward ratios and stop-loss orders, are essential to navigate the turbulent waters.
Monitoring Central Bank Statements: Any signals from the Fed or the PBoC are crucial. Traders should be prepared to react quickly to any changes in monetary policies, as they can immediately impact the value of the currencies involved.
Final Thoughts
China’s decision to impose new tariffs on the United States marks a new phase in the trade war between the two economic powers. In an already volatile Forex market, this move adds further uncertainty, with the USD likely to face a period of weakness while other emerging currencies, such as the renminbi, could suffer mixed effects.
Happy trading to all.
Andrea Russo