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Target - Corporate earnings season resemblant of the bear marketYesterday, Target announced its earnings for the third quarter of 2022. The report outlined softening sales and profit trends with downgraded guidance going forward. Total revenue and cost of sales increased year over year, while net earnings and EPS fell dramatically for that same period. Subsequently, shares of Target fell more than 13% in the pre-market trading. Target is yet another company that fulfills our prediction about a weak corporate earnings season and progression into the second phase of the bear market. We expect this trend to worsen in the next earning season and further enforce our thesis. Total revenue = $26.518 billion (+3.4% YoY) Cost of sales = $19.680 billion (+8.1% YoY) GAAP Earnings per share = $1.54 (-49.3% YoY) Operating income = $1.022 billion (-49.2% YoY) Net earnings = $712 million (-52.1% YoY) Illustration 1.01 The image above shows the daily chart of Target. Yellow arrows indicate previous earnings reports and subsequent price action. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI and Stochastic reversed to the downside. MACD flattens, and if it breaks below 0 points, it will bolster the bearish case. DM+ and DM- performed a bearish crossover. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI, MACD, and Stochastic show signs of exhaustion. DM+ and DM- are bullish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
NYSE:TGTShort
by Tradersweekly
6
Future predictions (2023) Fundamental: The inflation havent reached consumers yet, we have had money (savings) from Covid. We will see more "cold" winter now, as the inflation finally starts to decrease the purchasing power. The inflation decreases but not quick enough and debt will be taken. There is a possibility to a bigger recession if the debt is too much for banking systems (Unemployment rate, rate of interest, inflation, credit quality) Technical: Top to bottom percentages (S&P 500, approx every decade) 28% 60s/50% 70s/36% 80s/20% 90s/50% 20s/57% 21s (average 40%. 27% now, we have reasons to go lower) These dates and prices are based on past, not super accurate, but with these there were least inconsistencies Based on human psychology and cycles we tend to have (bigger picture, decade and century cycle), we havent seen that much yet. We need bigger crisis or there will be next one coming, the cycle is in progress, there is "nothing" to recover from right now. Sorry about narrow analysis, I am not the type to write own analysis, also there is no words or pictures to describe the full database I have on my mind! Hopefully you still enjoy and comment your thoughts, Best regards: Malmberg Jami
SP:SPX
by SuomiJamppa
US PPI data and wayward projectiles affecting EUR/USDThe Euro has lost some ground against the US dollar after reports that Russian missiles had struck inside the Polish border killing two polish citizens. The reason for the drop in the Euro is because Poland is a NATO member and the potential results of this, yet unverified report, is a retaliation from Polish and/ or NATO forces. Poland has previously noted that they are ready to defend their sovereignty in the face of accidental or purposeful attacks within its borders which could induce NATO forces to join in on the conflict too. NATO and US authorities are currently investigating the report before commenting publicly. It could be that markets wait for confirmation from these two authorities before considering their risk appetite for the Euro the rest of this week. The Euro is still up against the greenback but was registering greater gains before the missile report hit the news flow. The reason for the strength in the Euro is due to the US Producer Price Index (PPI), a measure of wholesale inflation, coming in softer-than-expected. October’s PPI rose +0.2% month-over-month in October of 2022, below market forecasts of +0.4% adding fuel to the theory that inflation in the US has peaked and is now slowing. The EUR/USD was heading toward 1.0500 before investors were spooked by the missile report, sending it as low as 1.0280. It has since recovered to close to the 61.8% Fib level between this recent high and low Previously, the EUR/USD rallied after the release of the US consumer inflation data (on November 11th) which was the first indicator that US inflation has reached its peak. The EUR/USD is still up 2.7% over the week.
by BlackBull_Markets
GBPUSD short but be aware of US CPI volatilityLooking for some reversals from the previous signals. Yesterday we didn't get any triggers, which signals a change in trend in itself. Today is US CPI so I am expecting some volatility and for traders to get stopped out. DXY could go higher and break through the relative equal highs, this could amount to just a stop run and at this point we wait to see if its a liquidity grab or not. GBPUSD has a couple of imbalances on the way down to fill but there is also one above. The reason I favour GBPUSD shorts today is due to higher cpi readings, leading to rate hikes, leading to dollar strength. Technically the DXY also made its weekly low (so far) on Tuesday and this is known as turnaround Tuesday. USDJPY confirms a possible long USD and GBPJPY confirms a short pound. But that makes the Yen a problem.
Short
by Macrobriefing
2
USDCNH probably going a lot higherA little while ago the PBOC lost control of their currency and we saw the US dollar rising exponentially. In the latest trade report from China Exports from China edged 0.3% lower yoy to USD 298.37 billion in October 2022, missing the market consensus of a 4.3% growth. This was the first decline in shipments since May 2020, amid poor overseas demand as cost pressures grew globally and supply disruptions lingered. There is a real chance that the US dollar could keep rising as the offshore renminbi CNH collapses further. China needs to export to the US to receive the US dollars, to then go out and buy stuff like Oil. This is why the Chinese and the Saudis earlier this year start to formulate a plan for China to buy direct with their own currency.
by Macrobriefing
InvestMate|S&P500 Time for correction📉S&P500 Time for correction. 📉Quick play. 📉S&P500 has made beautiful upward imupls since October 13. 📉In between times we have only made one significant correction. 📉 Looking at the current price action situation it looks like it would be advisable to make a correction here in order to talk about the continuation of the uptrend in the future. 📉 Assuming an entry at the current price level and setting a stop at 3886 and a take profit at 3735, we come up with a risk/reward ratio of 1.1. Considering that the execution of a correction at this point is highly probable I consider this a good opportunity. 🚀If you appreciate my work and effort put into this post I encourage you to leave a like and give a follow on my profile.🚀
UShort
by InvestMate
6
Financial Wave. DXYDollar Index, DXY The US dollar 🇺🇸 closed at highs for 8 out of 9 months in 2022. The last time this happened was in 2014-2015. The difference between that time and now is that in 2014-2015 different countries actively devalued their currencies for comfortable export prices. Now their weak currencies are ruining the economy as many countries depend on net fuel and crop exports. The decline of other currencies against the US dollar increases inflation in these countries. And it looks like investors are looking for a safe haven for money that will have value amid tight geopolitics and a recession. 👉As we said earlier, the DXY Dollar Index has completed or almost completed the growth in a five-wave impulse. A drop below 110.20 would be a confirmation of this scenario, and the dollar will go into correction for several months. The first downside target is 105. A rise to 120 is allowed to complete the momentum.
TVC:DXY
by Financial_Wave
XAUUSD Fibo retracament 38,2; 23,6; 0,523,6% we have the main resistance 38,2% we had the last support that already is the new resistance, and the 50% the support, with some shadows candles testing it. If 0,5 is crossed this have a big probability of being the next resistance. We believe two options of testing the support and resitance, however the 0,382 seems to be a strong resistance, tested several times, moretheless the 0,5 zone will be tested again Also if you look at 1H tf you'll see the EMA had also crossed the bb middle line, resulting in a short position for Gold
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AFCapital21
TSLA next stop: MoonTesla have already tested the support more than once as we can see. With the BB indicator we can see the candle crossing the upper line and going forward to a bullish trend . We had also analyzed the Q3 earning report, and Tesla this quarter is much better than the Q2, we can see the assests is the biggest increase since last year, (57 834 millions to 74 426 millions) and the liabilities and equity had a increase but not very relevant, about 4 million. And we can see in percentage the EBITDA is recovering from last Quarter with an increase of 0,6% Since the Q2 2022 was the quarter with less vehicle deliveries, almost with the same values seen in Q3 2021. We can also see the free cash flow chart where it show us a huge increase since 2Q 2022.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by AFCapital21