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DXY IdeaRegarding my BTC/USD and EUR/USD trades, we’re keeping a close eye on the Dollar Index (DXY). The recent price action has been confusing, but we are currently rejecting last Friday’s heavy selling area. This keeps us within a bearish range, and we’re anticipating a potential market shift to the downside. If this bearish scenario unfolds, we plan to let our EUR/USD trades run over the weekend. Let’s keep observing how this plays out. Stay focused, and let's see where the market takes us.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by themarketknight
Rebound on gold zoneTrend (LT): Bullish above the 200 SMA Trend (CT/MT): Bearish below EMA 7 / SMA 20 Price bounced back to SMA 200, plus stabilization in gold zone (neutral) ROB Breakout Monitoring Wait for potential crossover of EMA 7 with SMA 20 Buying above 47.29/47.30 (approximately) (13% at stake if successful) The stop loss (SL) position will depend on the candle pattern. No sales for me. It is important to note that this analysis is a personal interpretation and does not constitute an investment recommendation. In your opinion, direction SOUTH or north?
NYSE:DALLong
by Yannick1961
1
Crazy people making crazy claimsRecently news outlets have been reporting in 2 things about the US-Mexico relationship 1st is the super peso. 2nd is the lowering of interest rates in the USA. When looking at the news I saw multiple articles contradicting themselves. Saying things like "the mexican peso got stronger because of the rasing inflation" or as in this one where it says the "the advancment is atributed to the coments of Jerome Powell, which gave hope to rate cuts" as you can see in this one : elmanana.com.mx Meanwhile you have this one which shows raising inflation in Mexico, which I have to admit it's true, the cost of living in mexico is rising. This means that every day the mexican peso es less able to afford goods or services. www.msn.com On the other hand with the united states' recent slight decrease in inflation has prompet the FED to be more inclined to realize a rate cut. This in order to boost the markets before the elections. This is very likely to excite the markets, as money from bonds will likely migrate to the stock market. Contrast this with Mexico where the central bank is claiming to reach it's inflation target by the end of 2025. www.msn.com For these people I have some basic economic facts they should be aware of. When you have rasing inflation your currency doen't apreciate it depreciates. Thats because you aren't able to afford buying as much with the same amount. Therefore if the inflation of you currency increases while the inflation on another currency decreases then the most likely outcome is that the decresing inflation currency will apreaciate in contrast to the other one. Aditionally if the US market begins to grow at a faster rate in contrast to the mexican market then the currency will also depreciate. Therefore saysing that the lowering of interest rates in the USA is good for the mexican peso is just insane.
Long
by DarkMessiah777
Bitcoin Weathers the Storm: Resilience Shines Despite DollarBitcoin (BTC), the world's leading cryptocurrency, has surprised many by demonstrating resilience in the face of a strengthening US dollar. Despite a historically observed inverse relationship between the US Dollar Index (DXY) and Bitcoin, this comes. The DXY, which measures the value of the US dollar against a basket of foreign currencies, currently sits at a lofty 106, indicating a robust greenback. This level is significant, having only been surpassed for 34 trading days in the past year. Traditionally, a strong dollar weakens the appeal of dollar-denominated assets like Bitcoin, as investors seek havens in other currencies. However, Bitcoin's current price action defies this historical trend. While not at its all-time high, Bitcoin is currently trading only around $10,000 below that peak, a testament to its continued strength in the market. Several factors may be contributing to this unexpected decoupling. Shifting Investor Sentiment: The cryptocurrency market has matured significantly since its early days, and investor sentiment is evolving alongside it. While Bitcoin was initially seen as a speculative asset class, it's increasingly viewed as a potential hedge against inflation and traditional financial uncertainties. This shift in perception could be mitigating the negative impact of a strong dollar on Bitcoin's price. Institutional Adoption: The influx of institutional investors, such as hedge funds and investment firms, into the cryptocurrency space is another potential factor. These institutions often have a longer-term investment horizon and may be less swayed by short-term fluctuations in the dollar's value. Their presence could be lending stability to the Bitcoin market. Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Adjustment: The Bitcoin network is designed to adjust mining difficulty roughly every two weeks automatically. This ensures a consistent rate of new Bitcoin entering circulation, regardless of the computing power dedicated to mining. An upcoming significant decrease in mining difficulty is anticipated, which could further bolster investor confidence. Positive Developments Within the Crypto Ecosystem: The broader cryptocurrency ecosystem is witnessing continuous innovation and development. The emergence of Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols, Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs), and Layer-2 scaling solutions is attracting new users and capital into the space. This overall growth in the crypto ecosystem could be spilling over and positively impacting Bitcoin's price. Uncertainties Remain: Despite the positive signs, it's important to acknowledge the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market. The future trajectory of the DXY and broader economic conditions will undoubtedly continue to influence Bitcoin's price. Additionally, regulatory developments and potential security breaches could pose challenges in the future. Looking Forward: Bitcoin's resilience in the face of a strong dollar is noteworthy. While the reasons behind this decoupling are multifaceted, it suggests a maturing market with a growing pool of long-term investors. As the cryptocurrency ecosystem continues to evolve and gain mainstream adoption, Bitcoin's position as a store of value and a potential hedge against traditional financial instruments could solidify further. However, close attention should be paid to both internal and external factors that may impact Bitcoin's price in the coming months and years.
TVC:DXY
by bryandowningqln
Tesla (TSLA) IdeaHey Guys, Yearly= In a Correction since 2022. 2023 managed only to retest the 50% of the Bearish Candle which is not Bullish but indicated a drop. Yearly Zones of Interest: 208 & 154 Q2= Bullish Candle at an important Yearly FIB. BUT still in a declining channel. Stochastic is neutral- bullish. Q4 could provide some bullish setup (according to the stochastics) since we might be forming a higher low here. Bulls must manage to break through at least the 222 Resistance. Monthly: Stochastic is bullish - candlestick as well… however the 205 level becomes critical as it is retested with this candle. we also are testing the upper line of a declining channel -> a warning of a possible decline for the next month or so. Warning line at 205 and the next at 222 as these zones have to be broken to attract more buyers into the markets. Below 205 I see a great likelyhood of a retest of 3D Lows Thanks for reading
NASDAQ:TSLA
by MeruEU
Dollar Winning Streak Extends Into Fifth Week! Time to Go LongI wanted to share some exciting news from the forex world: the dollar has extended its winning streak into the fifth week! 🎉 A key gauge of the dollar's strength continues to rise, driven by the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the timing of the Federal Reserve's first interest-rate cut. With the yen showing signs of weakness, the USD is shining brightly on the global stage. This is a golden opportunity for us traders to capitalize on the dollar's momentum. If you haven't already, now might be the perfect time to consider going long on the US dollar. 🌟 Why should you consider this move? 1. **Strong Performance**: The dollar's consistent growth over the past five weeks clearly indicates its robust performance. 2. **Market Uncertainty**: With the Fed's interest-rate cut timeline still unclear, the dollar is likely to remain strong in the near term. 3. **Yen Weakness**: The yen's current weakness further bolsters the USD's position, making it an attractive option for traders. Don't miss out on this opportunity to ride the wave of the dollar's success! Dive into the market and make the most of this winning streak. 💪 Happy trading, and here's to continued success in all your endeavors!
TVC:DXY
by bryandowningqln
Conflicted Euro Caught Between Hawkish Fed and Political IssuesThe Eurozone's currency, the Euro, finds itself in a precarious position, buffeted by two powerful forces: the tightening grip of the U.S. Federal Reserve and the ever-present political turmoil within the European Union. Navigating this treacherous landscape presents a significant challenge for investors and traders alike. The Fed Talks A Rising Tide Sinks All Boats The primary driver of the Euro's woes is the aggressive monetary policy shift by the U.S. Federal Reserve. In response to surging inflation, the Fed has embarked on a series of interest rate hikes, making the U.S. dollar a more attractive proposition for investors. Higher interest rates in the U.S. entice investors to park their funds in dollar-denominated assets, leading to a stronger dollar. This, in turn, weakens the Euro through a simple principle: currency exchange rates operate on a relative basis. A stronger dollar makes the Euro comparatively less valuable. The Fed's actions have a ripple effect across global financial markets. As the dollar strengthens, it attracts capital away from other currencies, including the Euro. This capital flight weakens the Euro's value and creates a vicious cycle. Additionally, a stronger dollar makes Eurozone exports more expensive on the global market, potentially dampening economic growth in the region. European Internal Divisions Weigh Heavy Adding to the Euro's woes are the ongoing political uncertainties within the European Union. The bloc faces several internal challenges, including: • The Rise of Euroscepticism: Populist movements that question the benefits of European integration are gaining traction in some member states. This creates uncertainty about the future of the Eurozone and discourages investors from committing to the Euro. • Disunity on Fiscal Policy: Member states often have differing government spending and taxation priorities. This can make it difficult for the European Central Bank (ECB), the Eurozone's central bank, to implement a cohesive monetary policy that benefits all members. • The Ukraine War: The ongoing war in Ukraine has added a layer of economic and political instability to the region. The war's impact on energy prices and supply chains further dampens the Eurozone's economic prospects. These internal divisions weaken the Euro's image as a stable and reliable currency. Investors are more likely to favor the dollar, which is seen as a safe haven during times of global uncertainty. Steering Clear of the Dollar's Influence: Alternative Strategies While the Euro's near-term outlook appears uncertain, traders looking to speculate on the currency should consider strategies that minimize the impact of the dollar's dominance. Here are some potential approaches: • Focus on Eurozone Fundamentals: Analyze the economic health of individual Eurozone member states. Look for countries with strong economic fundamentals, such as low unemployment and healthy trade surpluses. Currencies of these countries may outperform the Euro itself. • Play the Spread: Instead of directly trading the Euro against the dollar, consider trading it against other currencies within the Eurozone itself. This approach could benefit from internal economic disparities within the bloc. • Focus on Long-Term Trends: The Eurozone, despite its challenges, remains a large and economically powerful region. Long-term investors may choose to hold the Euro based on their belief in the region's eventual economic recovery and political stability. Conclusion: A Currency at a Crossroads The Euro's current predicament highlights the complex interplay between global economic forces and regional political realities. While the dollar's strength and internal European divisions pose significant challenges, opportunities still exist for investors who can navigate these volatile conditions. By focusing on Eurozone fundamentals, exploring alternative trading strategies, and considering long-term trends, traders can potentially find success even as the Euro is in a conflicted battle.
BMFBOVESPA:EUR1!
by bryandowningqln
Phoenix Motor Inc. (PEV) - Cup with Handle and Potential Bull FlTechnical Analysis: Chart Patterns: Phoenix Motor Inc. (PEV) is currently forming a Cup with Handle pattern, a bullish continuation signal. Additionally, a Bull Flag pattern may also be emerging. Handle Formation: The handle of the Cup with Handle pattern is still forming, suggesting a potential breakout. Bull Flag: The recent consolidation could also indicate a Bull Flag, another bullish signal. Price Target: If a breakout occurs, the target price can be estimated based on the depth of the cup and the height of the flagpole. Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just below the handle's low or the flag's support to manage risk. Fundamental Analysis: Revenue (2022): $5.03M Net Income (2022): -$4.17M Market Cap: $26.81M Debt: $4.78M Cash & Equivalents: $436K Current Ratio: 0.65 Quick Ratio: 0.34 P/S Ratio: 5.33 P/B Ratio: 3.23 Conclusion: Both technical patterns suggest bullish momentum, making Phoenix Motor Inc. a potential buy candidate upon breakout confirmation. Fundamentally, the company shows promise but faces challenges with profitability and liquidity. Investment Note: Trading stocks inherently involves risks. Always consider your financial situation and investment goals before making decisions.
NASDAQ:PEVLong
by WaveRiders2
Dollar's Rally Wins Over Traders as Fed Decision LoomsThe U.S. dollar capped its strongest weekly run since February, buoyed by a shift in sentiment among traders as they awaited the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy decision. After weeks of anticipation of potential interest rate cuts, the market witnessed a reversal as the greenback regained its allure. This recent surge comes from a five-day winning streak for the Bloomberg Dollar Index, a gauge of the greenback's performance against a basket of major currencies. The index rose by over 1% during this period, marking its most significant weekly advance since early 2024. This bullish sentiment towards the dollar is a reversal from earlier market expectations. Previously, many traders had positioned themselves for a dovish turn from the Fed, anticipating potential interest rate cuts in the latter half of the year. This anticipation has contributed to a weakening of the dollar in recent months. However, recent economic data and comments from Fed officials have cast doubt on the likelihood of imminent rate cuts. Upticks in inflation figures and a robust labor market have fueled speculation that the central bank might maintain its current hawkish stance for longer. "The recent economic data has painted a somewhat different picture than what the market had initially expected," noted Sarah Lopez, a foreign exchange strategist at a leading investment bank. "Stronger inflation readings and a resilient job market suggest the Fed might need to stay the course on its tightening policy for a while longer." This shift in expectations has prompted traders to reassess their positions. Many who had previously bet on a weaker dollar are now scrambling to cover their short positions, leading to a surge in demand for the greenback. "We've seen a significant unwinding of short dollar positions in recent days," commented Michael Jones, a currency trader at a major financial institution. "The market is starting to price in the possibility that the Fed might hold off on rate cuts, and that's giving the dollar a much-needed boost." "The Fed's language will be critical in determining the dollar's next move," said Lopez. "If the statement suggests a continued commitment to fighting inflation, the dollar could extend its gains. However, any dovish hints could trigger a renewed selloff." Beyond the immediate impact of the Fed decision, the dollar's long-term prospects will depend on several factors, including the relative path of interest rates in the U.S. compared to other major economies. "The dollar's strength will likely hinge on the divergence between U.S. monetary policy and that of other central banks," explained Jones. "If the Fed remains hawkish while other central banks stay accommodative, the dollar could continue to appreciate." The recent resurgence of the dollar has implications for various asset classes. A stronger greenback can make U.S. exports more expensive and less competitive, potentially weighing on corporate profits. Conversely, it can make dollar-denominated assets, such as U.S. Treasuries, more attractive to foreign investors. In conclusion, the dollar's recent rally underscores the dynamic nature of currency markets. As economic data and central bank pronouncements evolve, so too do investor expectations. The upcoming Fed decision is poised to be a pivotal moment for the dollar, with its outcome likely to shape the currency's trajectory in the coming months.
TVC:DXYLong
by bryandowningqln
Gold Market Poised for Volatility Amid CPI and Fed Rate DecisionTechnical Analysis: Gold The price reached our target from yesterday and still trades at the same zone. Current Outlook: The price is expected to reach 2302 and then push up again. Stability above 2321 would indicate a bullish trend. Generally, the price will consolidate between 2321 and 2302 until a breakout occurs. Market Volatility: Today's market will be influenced by the CPI release and the Federal Reserve's rate decision, leading to increased volatility. Bullish Scenario: If CPI is less than 3.4%, the price should break above 2321 to continue the bullish trend towards 2344 and 2357. Bearish Scenario: If CPI is more than 3.4%, the price may drop to 2302. Stability below 2311 for a 15-minute candle would indicate bearish pressure. A break below 2302 on a 4-hour candle close would target 2292 and potentially 2260. Key Levels: - Pivot Line: 2302 - Resistance Levels: 2333, 2357, 2377 - Support Levels: 2302, 2292, 2260 Today's Expected Range: The price is expected to move between the support at 2292 and the resistance at 2357. Our previous Prediction:
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
SP500 Index Technical AnalysisSP500 Index Technical Analysis The SP500 index appears poised for a retest of the 5320 level. A break below 5320 would likely lead the index to touch 5301. Bullish Scenario: For the bullish trend to continue, the price must stabilize above 5347. If it does, the next target will be 5375. Breaking through 5375 could lead to new record highs. Bearish Scenario: If the price trades below 5347, it indicates a potential drop towards 5320. A breach of 5320 could further lead to 5301. Stabilizing below 5301 would activate the bearish area, with the next target at 5260. Key Levels: - Pivot Line: 5347 - Resistance Levels: 5378, 5400, 5423 - Support Levels: 5320, 5301, 5260 Today's Expected Trading Range: - Support: 5301 - Resistance: 5375 In summary, maintaining a position above 5347 favors a bullish outlook, aiming for higher resistance levels. Conversely, trading below 5347 suggests a bearish trend, with potential support targets at 5320 and 5301.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by SroshMayi
Dollar Loses Shine as US Economy Shows Signs of CoolingThe tide may be turning for the US dollar. After a period of strength, investors are growing less optimistic about the greenback as recent economic data suggests a slowdown in the US economy. This shift in sentiment is reflected in positioning data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which shows a net short position on the dollar for the first time in six weeks. Signs of a Cooling US Economy Several factors are contributing to the cooling sentiment on the dollar. Recent economic reports have indicated a potential slowdown in the US. Growth may be decelerating after a strong 2023, with factors like inflation and rising interest rates potentially impacting consumer spending and business investment. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has embarked on a series of interest rate hikes to combat inflation. While these hikes are intended to curb inflation, they can also have a dampening effect on economic activity. Businesses may be hesitant to borrow and invest, and consumers may tighten their belts as borrowing costs rise. CFTC Data Reveals Shift in Investor Positioning The CFTC data provides valuable insights into investor sentiment on the foreign exchange market. The data tracks the net long or short positions held by leveraged funds, which include hedge funds and other large speculators, and asset managers. According to the latest CFTC data, leveraged funds still held some net long positions on the dollar last week. However, this bullishness was outweighed by a significant increase in net short positions held by asset managers. This shift in positioning resulted in a combined net short position of $5.36 billion as of May 21st, compared to a net long position of $2.02 billion just a week earlier. Market Implications of the Dollar's Decline A weaker dollar can have several implications for the global economy. It can make US exports more competitive, as they become cheaper for foreign buyers. Conversely, imports into the US become more expensive. This can potentially lead to higher inflation in the US as the cost of imported goods increases. A weaker dollar can also impact other currencies. If investors lose confidence in the US economy, they may seek refuge in other safe-haven assets, such as the Japanese yen or the Swiss franc. This could lead to a strengthening of these currencies relative to the dollar. The Road Ahead: Volatility and Data Dependence Analysts expect currency positioning to remain volatile in the near term. The direction of the dollar will likely hinge on incoming US economic data. Strong economic data could reignite bullish sentiment on the dollar, while further signs of a slowdown could exacerbate the recent decline. The FOMC's monetary policy decisions will also be closely watched. If the Fed signals a more aggressive pace of rate hikes to combat inflation, the dollar could find support. However, if the Fed slows down the pace of hikes or even starts cutting rates in the future, as some analysts predict, the dollar could weaken further. Conclusion The recent decline in bullish sentiment on the dollar reflects growing concerns about the health of the US economy. The CFTC data highlights a shift in investor positioning, with a net short position emerging for the first time in six weeks. The future direction of the dollar remains uncertain and will depend on the trajectory of the US economy and the Fed's monetary policy decisions.
TVC:DXYShort
by bryandowningqln