Amazon.comHello community,
A little analysis of Amazon stock.
We must watch the break of the trend line.
The movement is bullish, the 200-period simple average is bullish.
The 3 green zones on the chart indicate the accumulation zones.
The end-of-year holidays should be beneficial for the stock.
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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USA
Dow Jones IndustrialHello community,
A short daily analysis of the famous Dow Jones Industrial.
As long as we stay above the red line at 41832 points, there is not much to worry about.
However, if we break this level, it is another story.
I drew a Fibonacci, to have the levels.
The market is nervous with the Trump and Kamala duel.
The trend is still bullish, because we are above the simple average of the 200 periods!
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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How does the dollar's strength endure amidst domestic turmoil?
A Resilient Currency
Despite a tumultuous political climate and growing social divisions, the U.S. dollar has shown remarkable strength, particularly in recent months. As measured by Bloomberg's Dollar Spot Index, the greenback has surged approximately 3.1% in October alone. This resilience is surprising, given the erosion of trust in American institutions and the increasing polarization of the country.
Why is the Dollar So Strong?
Several factors contribute to the dollar's enduring strength:
1. Safe-Haven Status: The U.S. dollar has long been considered a safe-haven asset. In times of economic uncertainty or geopolitical turmoil, investors often flock to the dollar as a reliable store of value. The current global landscape, marked by geopolitical tensions and economic volatility, has solidified the dollar's status as a safe haven.
2. Interest Rate Differentials: The Federal Reserve's monetary policy plays a crucial role in influencing the dollar's value. By raising interest rates, the Fed makes it more attractive for investors to hold dollar-denominated assets. As a result, the demand for the dollar increases, leading to appreciation.
3. Global Economic Disparity: The U.S. economy, while facing its own challenges, remains relatively strong compared to many other major economies. This economic disparity can lead to capital inflows into the U.S., further boosting the dollar's value.
4. Global Currency Reserve: The U.S. dollar is widely used as a global reserve currency. Central banks around the world hold significant amounts of U.S. dollars, which helps to maintain demand for the currency.
The Disconnect Between Currency and Country
The dollar's strength can be seen as a paradox, given the growing political polarization and social unrest in the U.S. However, it is important to distinguish between the country's political and social climate and its economic fundamentals. While the former may impact investor sentiment in the long run, the latter has a more immediate impact on the currency.
As long as the U.S. economy remains relatively stable and the Federal Reserve continues to pursue sound monetary policies, the dollar is likely to maintain its strength. However, it is essential to monitor geopolitical risks, global economic conditions, and domestic political developments that could potentially impact the dollar's value.
A Word of Caution
While the dollar's current strength is impressive, it is important to remember that market conditions can change rapidly. A sudden shift in investor sentiment, a change in Federal Reserve policy, or a significant geopolitical event could lead to a decline in the dollar's value.
It is crucial for investors to stay informed about global economic and political developments and to diversify their portfolios to mitigate risk. By understanding the factors that influence the dollar's value and making informed investment decisions, individuals can navigate the complex and ever-changing global financial landscape.
Intel CorporationHello community.
Daily chart.
Accumulation zone plotted on the chart.
Simple moving average 200 periods oriented downwards.
Nice gap above the price.
Slight tendency to go back up, but it is timid.
End of the decline?
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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A Bullish Turn: Investors Embrace the DollarA Shift in Sentiment
In a surprising turn of events, hedge funds, asset managers, and other speculators have shifted their stance on the US dollar, moving into bullish positions in the week ending October 22nd. This significant shift, totaling approximately $9.2 billion in long dollar bets, according to data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) compiled by Bloomberg, marks a dramatic departure from the previous week's net short position.
A $10.6 Billion Swing
This abrupt change in sentiment represents a substantial $10.6 billion swing from the previous week, when traders were actively betting against the greenback. The reasons behind this bullish pivot are multifaceted, primarily driven by a confluence of factors, including stronger-than-expected US economic data and heightened demand for safe-haven assets as the US election approaches.
A Recalibration of Fed Expectations
A series of positive economic reports released throughout October has forced a recalibration of previously dovish Federal Reserve expectations. The robust economic indicators have raised the possibility of a more hawkish monetary policy stance from the Fed, which could potentially lead to higher interest rates. Historically, a stronger US dollar has been correlated with higher interest rates, making the greenback an attractive investment for global investors.
Election-Year Uncertainty
As the US presidential election draws near, geopolitical uncertainty and market volatility tend to increase. In such times, investors often seek refuge in safe-haven assets like the US dollar. The dollar's perceived status as a reliable store of value, combined with the potential for increased market volatility, has likely contributed to the recent surge in demand for the currency.
Implications for the Global Economy
The shift towards a bullish dollar position has significant implications for the global economy. A stronger dollar can negatively impact emerging market economies that rely heavily on dollar-denominated debt. Additionally, it can make US exports more expensive, potentially hindering economic growth. However, for countries with strong economic fundamentals and current account surpluses, a stronger dollar can be beneficial.
A Cautious Outlook
While the recent bullish trend in the dollar is notable, it is essential to maintain a cautious outlook. The global economic landscape remains uncertain, and a variety of factors, including geopolitical events, trade tensions, and central bank policies, could influence the dollar's trajectory. As such, it is crucial for investors to carefully consider the risks and rewards associated with dollar-based investments.
In conclusion, the recent shift towards a bullish dollar position reflects a significant change in market sentiment. A combination of stronger-than-expected US economic data and heightened demand for safe-haven assets has driven investors to embrace the greenback. While the implications of this trend for the global economy are far-reaching, it is essential to remain vigilant and adapt to evolving market conditions.
Daily chart of the 7 MagnificentsHello,
Daily chart of the Magnificent 7 chart.
Are we heading towards a double top?
The 200-period simple moving average in orange is bullish.
On the chart, the 3 accumulation zones are indicated.
Elections are coming soon, things can change.
Make your own opinion before placing an order.
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DXY D1 - Short Signal DXY D1
Some large market gaps seen across US30 and US100, XAUUSD also gapping to the downside, trading as low as $2725/oz. DXY still remains below our area of resistance and supply, which trades at around 104.500 price. 105.000 would usually be a good technical psychological trading zone, that being said, there isn't much else on that price that would act as any real method of confluence for the moment.
Lets see what happens around this 104.500 price level, we have had a couple of days trading into that zone and a red engulfing candle close on that daily timeframe back on Thursday last week. Could we expect some dumps on DXY this week?
US30 H4 - Long Signal US30 H4
Something like this would make sense for us on Dow Jones, we gapped up massively to start the week and we are still looking to continue higher, once the dust has settled, we can see where we are on US30 and which zones are in play. Hopefully we can gain something buy catching longs from this 42,300 price when it trades higher and retests again as support price.
We saw a big selloff Friday, dumping as much as 600 points in a single 4 hour period, seeing that move correct and sustaining would be a requirement for what we are after. The market gaps were no doubt significant, being in excess of 100 points.
JP Morgan Chase weekly (log)Hello commuté,
Weekly chart still in log with linear regression channels
The trend is magnificent, nothing to say it is indeed the first US bank.
The upward trend has been since 2011, it's crazy, right?
The 200-period simple average is in orange on the chart.
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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NVIDIA weekly and logHello,
A quick look at the past.
Well, it's been going up since 2012!
A short-term trend has resumed in the long-term trend as shown by the regression line channels.
The orange line represents the 200-period simple average.
Make your own opinion, before placing an order.
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SPX Week in Review (log)Hello community,
A quick look at the SPX trend weekly.
We are still in an uptrend, as shown by the indicator.
It remains to be seen whether the US elections will shake up the market.
The chart shows the volume accumulation zones.
The orange line represents the 200-period simple moving average.
For my part, I am not worried.
Make your own opinion before placing an order.
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AMDHello community,
Daily chart in log.
The channel is bullish, but we are below the 200-period simple moving average.
On the chart we see the volume zones, just above the price.
I have indicated the price targets in orange on the chart
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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Nik by Dl InvestHello community,
A little daily analysis in log scale, because I use the "Adaptive Trend Finder" and "Price Action Ultimate" indicator.
The channel is bearish.
I drew a Fibonacci retracement in log, to see if there is a golden zone.
If the theory works, we have a target around $90.62.
Nothing says that the title will rebound, change of CEO, so we can hope for change in a while.
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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McDonald's CorporationHello,
Daily chart.
With a Fibonacci retracement, we arrive at the 0.382 zone.
The price is still above the 200-period simple moving average.
The chart shows the volume accumulation zones with the ranking.
A file to watch for me, but don't panic for now.
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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Lululemon Athletica in dailyDaily chart, we notice a slight upward trend.
The EMA7 and the SMA20 are oriented upwards. However, the SMA200 is still pointing south!
I will start to take an interest in the file, as soon as the simple 200-day average is crossed.
On the chart, the high volume areas are indicated by level.
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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Microsoft Corp Hello,
A quick look with the Adaptive Trend Finder indicator on the Microsoft stock, with a daily chart.
I have set the medium-term and short-term settings.
We can see that the price is working at the bottom of the channel, so watch it.
The medium-term trend is bullish.
Make your own opinion before placing an order.
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Stan Weinstein Theory on NetflixThe 4 Market Phases
Stan Weinstein describes the evolution of stocks in four main phases:
- Phase 1: Accumulation
The market is flat after a prolonged decline. Smart investors start buying.
- Phase 2: Uptrend
The price breaks a key level and rises above the 30-week moving average, which is rising. This is the ideal phase to buy.
- Phase 3: Distribution
The market stabilizes after a rise. Big investors sell, and the moving average stabilizes. This is the beginning of the end of the uptrend.
- Phase 4: Downtrend
The price breaks a key support, the moving average goes down. Avoid buying or selling to limit losses.
Key Indicators
30-week moving average: In an uptrend, the price is above. In a downtrend, it is below.
Volume: Increasing volume during breakouts confirms the strength of the trend.
Weinstein advises buying early in Phase 2 and selling early in Phase 4 to follow major market trends.
Analysis made in collaboration with @Yannick1961
SALESFORCE Long term B U Y* alerts 4 year long inverted HNS the stock looks promising in the near future. Above 319 stock jumps till 505. Once you invest you need to wait for 3-4 months for the stock to react dont get bored as this is on monthly pattern.
CMP - $293
Above - 319 stock can jump till 505
Stop loss - 210
Targets - 505 --- 600
UPSTART HOLDINGS Short Trade in Motion! Awaiting Profit TargetsTechnical Analysis: Upstart Holdings – 15-Minute Timeframe (Short Trade)
A clear short trade entry was identified at 51.67 for Upstart Holdings. The price is currently moving in the anticipated direction, and we are waiting for the profit targets to be hit.
Key Levels
Entry: 51.67 – The short position was initiated after identifying strong bearish momentum.
Stop-Loss (SL): 54.54 – Positioned above resistance to manage risk and protect against potential reversals.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 48.13 – The first target we are eyeing as the bearish trend unfolds.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 42.41 – A further downside target as selling pressure increases.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 36.68 – If the bearish momentum remains strong, this is a possible next target.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 33.14 – The ultimate target, signaling a significant downward move.
Trend Analysis
The price is trading below the Risological Dotted trendline, confirming a solid downtrend. With the entry in place, we are now waiting for the price to reach TP1 at 48.13 and beyond, depending on further momentum.
The short trade on Upstart Holdings has a promising setup with a clear entry at 51.67. We are now monitoring the trade as it approaches the first target, expecting further downside momentum.