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Travelers: On an excursion 🗺️ 🚎The Travelers stock could once again honor its name and undertake a volatile journey. We now locate the stock in the magenta wave (y), which should undercut the support at $157.33 and then bring the superior wave (4) in green to its end. It should be noted that it is also 39% likely that the stock has already established the low of the larger correction with wave alt.(4) and will next break out directly above resistance at $173.47. Following the deposited wave (4) low - whether by primary or alternative means - we expect significant price gains
NYSE:TRV
by MarketIntel
What is lurking in gold?Every time XAU/USD has reached the $2,000 range, which is a very important resistance, in the past, after testing this range, it has suffered a sharp drop in value, but today, due to the passage of time and many encounters with this resistance range, it can be He examined the fate of gold a little more closely. If the United States of America officially participates in the war, gold can grow along with oil due to the increase in conflicts in the Middle East and cross this resistance range, and otherwise even despite the power of the candle. An increase in this range is expected to decrease towards the support range indicated in the picture, but the loss of this support range is also unlikely for gold. I expect more if it is not able to break the resistance range, the possibility of price range as before in the range channel is also very likely. But for now, the focus should be on the price reaction to the resistance range SOS FINANCIAL COMPANY
TVC:GOLD
by Amir_Nazer
Has LMT Reached The End? | War | Historic Analysis Disclaimer: I am in no way condoning violence, nor support either side of any conflict. This will be an analysis of NYSE:LMT alone. With that being said let's dive in. Introduction We all heard the breaking news, as of October 7th, 2023 Israel and Palestine are officially at war with each other creating tension around the globe. Now I know you probably wondering, how it affects our economics on the Western front, specifically the stock market. What can we expect in the future, and of course can you turn a profit from all this? Toady, we'll dive deep into what stocks to pay attention to and how involved NYSE:LMT , AMEX:DFEN , and NYSE:RTX really are. So strap on your seat belts as we talk about the M word. No not morals, Money. The Big Bois Without a doubt the largest companies in the US for military exports are NYSE:LMT , NYSE:RTX , and $NYSE:GD. The largest consumers of these military goods are Korea, Japan, Australia, Saudi Arabia, and Israel. I will leave the AMEX:DFEN ETF here which holds most of the companies I've mentioned and then some. We want to look at these companies when we hear conflict. With that being said let's head over to some charts. *For a more in-depth analysis of military manufacturers, I suggest researching what companies are good for and what they supply, but at the end of the day, they all complement each other, which is why you really can't go wrong with $AMEX:DFEN. If it really matters it's just a Google search away. 1D NYSE:LMT Percentage Increase Zones: I labeled these zones so we can get a clear view of the effects of war/conflict. This is the type of capitalization you can get from these scenarios, and we are seeing similar percentages to the ones from the Russian-Ukraine conflict. I believe the highest this can climb would be the all-time high, which just so happens to reach a perfect 29%, so something to be looking at. Possible Rejection Levels: These are levels that can play as a resistance/retrace before a rejection to the downside. Possible Support Levels: These are the levels that can play as a support/reversal to the upside. Moving Average: 200 MA could play as a resistance and we could have reached the end of this first swing before we fell back down the the previous low. MACD: MACD Showing signs of a bearish divergence perhaps, keep a sharp eye on that. 1W NYSE:LMT Elliot Waves: I debated whether or not wanted to mark this as a complete Elliot Wave or not (12345) then (ABC). To each their own, this is expected when we talk about something as subjective as Elliot Waves. FIB: The Fib is used to show possible retracement levels, which I labeled out in the "possible rejection zone" if this stock were to go lower. Moving Average: 200 MA played as a perfect pillow, now we just see if it can stay that way. Relative Strength Index: In each "war" zone I have shown the amount of buying pressure we usually see during these conflicts, but it seems we have no pressure, nor any indication that this will be bullish. In fact, we were oversold not too long ago. Stoch RSI: Same with the Stock RSI we are in the (ABC) faze of the indicator. Summary Overall, we are seeing more downward pressure than any bullish indications, I believe we need to get through the bears first before this stock skyrockets. Another factor is that war must be prominent, something we really shouldn't be rooting for. Bonus NYSE:RTX and AMEX:DFEN Please Please Please, like and follow the post if you found this helpful! It helps the algorithm and me to reach more people, don't be afraid to comment with your thoughts down below!
NYSE:LMTShort
by DenzelitoTrades
$UVXY $120+ BUY CALLSUVXY is a volatility factor in the market. As political tensions rise high in the world, we are due for another market correction and overall world market corrections. USA of course is protecting its interest in the Middle East and as we can see, Israel-Palestine conflict is only getting started. This is a multi-decade war between Israel and Arab/Muslim states. However, this war is not going to be similar to previous, this will be final and deciding war in that region, after which, nothing will be left there and geographical borders will change. This is a political game because of all the resources hidden, particularly Oil, in the Middle East. I believe this time we will see a use of nuclear weapons. There will be de-stabilization in that region and rest of the world. UVXY will spike due to this. I'm not sure about my timing, but I see these tensions rising very high and markets staying volatile within near future. Please check out my other predictions as they are fairly accurate, I don't post a lot, but I think this time I might be right.
CBOE:UVXYLong
by toich312
1
Be ReadyWe cannot trust the last 2 green candles, strong resistance around 33820 area. This upside movementum is just a correction of the drop that we saw from 35560 area. Good chances that tomorrow it will open with gap down and continue to slide down. Of if it opens with a positive sentiments that it will again hit the road block at 33820 zone. For now the index is not in bulls territory dont be fooled by green days its just dead cat bounce. Next week more news is coming out from the fed so fasten your seat belts for some action. Hit like & follow guys ;)
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by stalkstock
2023 True Market Leader - Does it has more potential? VRT has been up more than 200% since late April 2023 bottom, demonstrating key true market leader characteristics in terms of price advance, volume profile and fundamentals. Look at how well and orderly price was following along the 8 EMA and later 21 EMA since the break-out from a large 195 days base (with two unfilled gaps first in Apr and in later in May). On the fundamental side, one my notice: Exceptional relative strength to the SNP500; Top EPS and IBD Composite Index; Triple digit growth in analyst estimates for EPS for 23 and double digits for 24; Jaw-dropping triple digits earnings growth for 3 qrt in a raw; Continues double digits sales growth; Improving ROE; And doubling amount of institutional sponsorship by Sep23; Management owns 10% I don't have reliable ElliotWave pattern on VRT, but from the market symmetry concept, I see the next important macro resistance zone at 47-51 area, where 47 is the 100% extension of the move from the bottom of 2020 to the top of 2021. The history of true market leaders teaches us, that the stocks the doubles and triples have a higher historical odds of doing it again in the next bull-cycle. It this correction in the indexes is over and the general market has a plan to continue its advance in Q4, my thesis is that VRT shall continue being the top choice for the growth investors and trader. Trading parameters: actionable if price breaks out the 39 pivot with volume. Short-mid term long thesis is wrong bellow 36 and fully invalidated bellow 35 areas.
NYSE:VRTLong
by artemfedorov
Raytheon will succeed in WW3Raytheon Technologies Corporation is in a wonderful position, and will likely benefit heavily in the coming years. They are a company with strong fundamentals, plenty of employees, and constant demand from the US military. Missile defense systems will be sought after for decades to come. Russian missiles have reportedly struck Poland today during a massive strike on Ukraine's infrastructure. US aid to Ukraine has reached over $5 billion, and does not seem to be stopping anytime soon. The attack will seemingly increase tensions between Russia and NATO, possibly leading to more sanctions or war. Raytheon has plenty of room to decrease in the short term, but I personally think it is a great long-term play. The small dividend allows for more growth, and the profits are rising. I could surely see it hitting $100 in 2023. This is in no way financial advice, I am not responsible for any losses taken. Invest at your own risk, this is an extremely volatile market.
NYSE:RTX
by ryanhm7
1
LIQUIDITY MATTERS! Global liquidity vs #BitcoinLook at how the bullish green arrows and bearish red arrows show how global liquidity correlates HEAVILY with the direction of Bitcoin. T You don't have to be a genius to see how beautiful this correlation is. And how sensitive #BTC is to excess capital in the system. As a risk on asset When ppl have easy money to gamble with , a portion of that ends up in the #Crypto markets. Currently you can see how aggressive the withdrawal of liquidity is across the globe In the USA, EU, China & Japan.
FRED:WALCL
by BallaJi
Pandemic Champion Zoom will be back!In this work, I will analyze Zoom Video Communications, Inc., a leading company in the cloud communication and collaboration sector, which offers online videoconferencing, chat, telephony, webinars, among other services, for different segments and audiences. My investment thesis is that Zoom is an innovative and profitable company that has the potential to remain a leading video-based unified communications platform well into the future. To support this thesis, I will evaluate the qualitative and quantitative aspects of the company. In the qualitative part, I will describe Zoom's business model and strategy, showing how it differs from its competitors, what are its strengths and weaknesses, the opportunities and threats it faces in the global market. In the quantitative part, I will present Zoom's financial and operational data, demonstrating how it has grown in recent years, and what its projections are for the future, for a well-structured technical analysis based on Wyckoff, structures and volume delta. _____ _____ _____ Company History The company emerged in 2011, as a result of the vision of Eric Yuan, a former engineer at Cisco Systems, who recognized the need to create a simpler, reliable, and high-quality communication platform. The company launched its main product, Zoom Meeting, in 2013, and has since been growing rapidly in terms of customers, revenue, and profit. The company went public on the NASDAQ stock exchange in April 2019, with an initial public offering (IPO) of $36 per share. In June 2019, the company became part of the Russell 2000 index, which comprises smaller-cap companies in the United States. In April 2020, the company was promoted to the Russell 1000 index, which includes larger-cap companies in the United States. In august 2020, the company surpassed a market value of $100 billion, becoming one of the most valuable technology companies in the world. Company's Sector of Operation The company operates in the software as a service (SaaS) sector, which is a business model that provides information technology solutions over the internet, without the need for customers to install or maintain hardware or software. The SaaS sector is a growing and competitive industry, benefiting from digitization, mobility, and cloud trends. Within the SaaS sector, the company excels in the cloud communication and collaboration (CCaaS) segment, which offers online services to facilitate remote work, distance education, and social interactions. The CCaaS segment is dynamic and innovative, adapting to technological changes and consumer demands. It is also a challenging and regulated segment, facing competition from major market players like Microsoft Teams, Google Meet, Cisco Webex, and Skype. Diversification and Innovation Strategy The company's strategy is to diversify and innovate its products and services to meet customer needs and differentiate itself from competitors. The company aims to become an open and flexible platform that integrates various cloud communication and collaboration solutions. Some examples of products and services that the company has launched or acquired in recent years include: Zoom Phone: a cloud telephony system that allows users to make and receive calls using the same Zoom Meeting application. Zoom Rooms: an integrated system that transforms any physical space into a virtual meeting room with video, audio, and screen sharing. Zoom Webinar: an online service that enables users to host virtual events with up to 50,000 participants and 100 speakers. Zoom Chat: an online service that allows users to exchange instant messages with other Zoom users or external contacts. OnZoom: an online platform that allows users to create, host, and monetize interactive virtual events, such as classes, shows, workshops. Kites: a startup specialized in real-time automatic translation for video conferences. SWOT Analysis It is an essential tool for evaluating a company to invest in, as it offers a broad and organized view of the company's current situation. It consists of identifying the Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and threats that affect the company's performance. This is a qualitative analysis and does not replace technical or fundamental analysis. The company's SWOT analysis is as follows: Strong points: Freemium model: Zoom offers a free basic plan that allows up to 100 participants and unlimited sessions of up to 40 minutes, attracting those looking for an affordable and quality solution for online communication. Ease of use: It is known for its simple and intuitive interface, which allows participants to start and join sessions with just a few clicks. The company also offers features such as virtual backgrounds and video retouching to enhance the look and feel of those involved during sessions. Global Usage: The platform has a global presence, with more than 300 million daily session participants and more than 213,000 enterprise customers worldwide. It also supports multiple languages and currencies, meeting the needs of diverse audiences. Financial strength: The company has experienced significant revenue and profit growth in recent years, driven by the high demand for online communication during the COVID-19 pandemic. Zoom's total revenue for fiscal 2023 was $4,393 billion, up 7% year-over-year. Business revenue was US$2.409 billion, an increase of 24% compared to the previous year. Brand name: The solution has become a household name and synonymous with online communication, thanks to its popularity and recognition among consumers. Zoom has also received several awards and recognition for its quality and innovation, such as the Webby Award for Best Mobile App in 2020. Weak points: Security issues: The company has faced many security and privacy issues in the past, such as “zoom bombing”, which is the unauthorized invasion of sessions by malicious people who interrupt or share inappropriate content. It has also been criticized for sharing consumer data with third parties without proper consent. They don't offer end-to-end encryption: Despite claiming to offer end-to-end encryption, the platform actually uses a type of encryption that allows the company to access session data if it wants to. This raises concerns about the confidentiality and integrity of participant communications. Zoom Rooms: Zoom rooms are a feature that allows stakeholders to create dedicated physical spaces for online communication using specialized Zoom or partner hardware. However, this feature is expensive and requires an additional monthly subscription, which may limit its adoption among customers. Opportunities: Growing demand: Demand for online communication is set to continue to grow in the future as more people embrace remote work and hybrid work models. The company can capitalize on this opportunity by expanding its customer base and offering customized solutions for different industries and needs. Up-selling: It can increase its revenue by encouraging basic plan consumers to upgrade to paid plans, which offer more features and benefits, such as longer sessions, more participants, recording and cloud storage, Zoom Phone and Zoom Rooms. Diversification: The platform can diversify its offer of products and services, exploring new markets and segments, such as health, education, entertainment, and e-commerce. The company can also develop new technologies and features, such as augmented reality, artificial intelligence and machine translation, to improve the user experience and differentiate itself from the competition. Threats: Intense competition: The company faces strong competition from other players in the online communication market, such as Microsoft Teams, Google Meet, Cisco Webex, Skype, and Facebook Messenger. These competitors have greater financial, technological and marketing resources than it does and can offer integrated and competitive solutions to customers. Regulatory changes: The platform is subject to various laws and regulations in different countries and regions, which may affect its operations and revenues. For example, it may face restrictions or bans from operating in certain markets due to national security, data privacy or human rights concerns. The company may also face fines or penalties for violating these laws and regulations. Dependence on network infrastructure: The quality and performance of Zoom services depend on the availability and reliability of network infrastructure, such as bandwidth, internet speed and stability. Any interruption or degradation of these factors could negatively impact the user experience and the reputation of the solution. Final qualitative analysis opinion ZM benefits from its freemium model, ease of use, global usage, financial strength and brand name. But, it also faces challenges such as security issues, lack of end-to-end encryption, cost of Zoom rooms, intense competition, regulatory changes and dependence on network infrastructure. The company can take advantage of videoconferencing demand growth, up-selling and diversification opportunities to overcome its weaknesses and threats. The platform must invest in improving its security and privacy, innovating its products and services and expanding its presence in new markets and segments. Zoom has the potential to remain one of the leading video-based unified communications solutions in the future. _____ _____ _____ Fundamental Analysis: We will introduce fundamental analysis, focusing on the company's financial health and performance. For this, we will use financial data from the second quarter of the fiscal year 2024 (ended on July 31, 2023). The financial indicators we will consider are: EBITDA, CFO, ROE, ROIC, Gross Margin, and Operating Margin. Description of fundamentals: Source: Yahoo Finance The company has good liquidity, as it has a high ratio of liquid assets in relation to liquid liabilities, which indicates a low default rate on its basic obligations and low default rates. Furthermore, the company has a large loss in relation to equity and this further reduces its potential market value. Source: Yahoo Finance The company has excellent financial health and strong performance. The company demonstrates high operating profit (EBITDA), good cash generation (CFO), good return on equity (ROE) and invested capital (ROIC), and good gross and operating margins. These results show that the company is efficient, profitable, sustainable, and competitive in the video conferencing and online collaboration market. Other Fundamentals indicators We will address other economic indicators that are not as necessary but can be incorporated into our fundamental analysis. Source: Yahoo Finance The data in this table shows that the company has a good financial performance, but also faces some problems. For one, Zoom Meeting has a high P/E Ratio, which indicates that investors expect future earnings growth from the company. Zoom Meeting also has a high Enterprise Value, which represents the company's total value in the market. These indicators suggest that Zoom Meeting is a successful and innovative company, offering a high-quality and in-demand communication service. On the other hand, Zoom Meeting has a low P/B Ratio and a low PSR, which indicate that the company is trading at a price well above its book value and sales. This could mean that Zoom Meeting is overvalued or faces strong competition in its industry. Furthermore, Zoom Meeting does not pay dividends to its shareholders, which may discourage some investors looking for a stable and secure income. These indicators propose that Zoom Meeting is a risky and volatile company that depends heavily on market expectations and industry trends. Final opinion of fundamental analysis It has significant potential for growth and generating value for shareholders, especially in a scenario of increased demand for digital solutions, but it needs to face the threats mentioned previously in the company's SWOT analysis. . Technical Analysis To begin the study, first, we observe that the stock was launched in April 2019, and in January 2020, there was a significant increase, as we can see in the weekly chart. With this, we will divide this technical analysis into three parts. In this chart, we have the presence of three volume profiles. It calculates volume by price level based on the Gaussian curve and is excellent for measuring long-term position buildups, especially in a weekly chart like this. Analysis of the first profile: ZM Weekly Chart Note that, since the IPO process, the stock appreciated by 671.09%, which is quite substantial. Many companies were negatively affected during the pandemic, but this one inadvertently benefited from the COVID-19 pandemic. In this first profile, we see the largest position buildup right at the range of 68.75 to 76.95. You can already see 2 candles of aggression, as shown in the second graph, causing significant drops. Analysis of the second profile: ZM Weekly Chart Observing the second profile, we see a lack of demand from buyers and a position buildup on the selling side, unlike what we observed at the beginning. Analysis of the third profile: ZM Daily Chart Upon examining the last profile, we see that despite the market coming from a downtrend channel, we can observe a drastic increase in volume per price level, which is a characteristic of a position buildup. As we gradually see, the seller has been reducing their position, and furthermore, the stock is in a downtrend channel that if it surpasses 78.50, combining it with the fundamentals, we could potentially have an upward trend. Macroeconomics and Technical Analysis Surprisingly, Zoom is not the only one that experienced a drop that significantly devalued its stock. Several companies listed on the Nasdaq Composite, including the Nasdaq Composite itself, suffered from a drop that impacted the United States economy. E-mini Nasdaq Weekly This was motivated by high inflation, which reached around 9%, which is indeed a very concerning figure for the US economy. By February, inflation had already reached 7.5%, which was already a very high percentage, as technology companies react poorly to inflation. This explains the poor performance of these stocks. February table Source: Tradingview Economic Calendar These data explain the drop in assets listed on the Nasdaq, but surprisingly, Zoom was affected much more than the other companies. Later, when the price started to increase slightly; And the year 2022 contributed even further to the devaluation of ZM shares. But as we can see, the asset was already in the process of falling long before: ZM Daily Chart There was the beginning of a bearish rally there. Even if the current data are not so favorable, the deflation process that occurred in the United States, together with the artificial intelligence race, could also be a detail that will greatly help in the ZM valuation process. September table updated Source: Tradingview Economic Calendar September's data clearly reveals a drop in inflation, but with several very significant drops, in addition to some negative points such as the reduction in job creation and economic development. Look at the table below: Source: Tradingview Economic Calendar Based on this table, Zoom Communications could have a positive result as the company recorded a drop in inflation in September, implying that the costs of products and services decreased. This can benefit consumers and businesses that use the Zoom Service. Conclusion Zoom Video Communications Inc. is a company with good financial and market performance, despite the broad devaluation it suffered in 2021/2022. It demonstrates good fundamental analysis with strong revenue and profit growth, a high net margin, low debt and a good market value. The company also presents good technical analysis. It is undervalued, having been at an all-time low since its IPO, building a position for a likely long-term upward trend. Although the macroeconomy does not favor the variable income market due to a high interest rate of 5.5% (possible readjustment to 5.75% in September), it can also benefit from the ongoing economic deflation, which should stabilize in the end of 2024. It also has the potential to recover from the decline it has experienced and stand out in the technology market, especially in the videoconferencing segment, which has been less and less in demand post-pandemic and in times of remote work. Demonstrating its ability to innovate and adapt to changes in the economic and social panorama, offering quality and safe solutions to its customers. Therefore, it is believed that Zoom is a good investment option for those seeking long-term profitability and growth. I hope you enjoyed this article and found it helpful. Thank you for your attention, and until next time!
NASDAQ:ZMLong
by Victoredbr
2
PayPal added to the watchlistShares of PayPal lost nearly 82% of their value since the top in July 2021, and judging solely by this metric, one could consider the stock cheap. Nonetheless, there is more to it. In 2022, PayPal saw its revenue increase by 8% on a yearly basis and transaction volume grow by 16%. In addition to that, the company processed 22.3 billion payments and $1.36 trillion in total payment volume, with active accounts rising by 2% YoY to 435 million. However, its operating margin dropped by 10% and net income by 42% (using GAAP accounting). In the first quarter of 2023, the company delivered better results compared to the first quarter of 2022, with net revenue growing 9% YoY, operating income by 41% YoY, earnings per share by 62% YoY, and net income by 56% YoY. As for the second quarter of 2023, the company reported a further increase in net revenues by 7% YoY, operating income by 48% YoY, and earnings per share by 414% YoY. In this quarter, PayPal generated $1.029 billion in net income compared to the loss of $341 million a year earlier. Based on some of the fundamental improvements and cheap valuation, we think PayPal is growing increasingly attractive and worth watching out for. However, we would like to emphasize that the stock keeps making lower lows and lower highs. Thus, entering the trade is still quite risky. One alternative to approach this situation is to wait for a price to break above the upper bound of the channel and place a long entry there with stop-loss below the bound. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of PayPal and its losses since the top in July 2021. Technical analysis gauge Daily time frame = Bearish Weekly time frame = Bearish *The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
NASDAQ:PYPL
by Tradersweekly
5