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Usd-cad

Fundamental Drivers: USDCAD ForecastIn the upcoming week, our focus shifts to USDCAD, where we're eyeing a potential buying opportunity around the 1.34300 zone. Currently, USDCAD is entrenched in an uptrend but is undergoing a corrective phase as it nears the 1.34300 support and resistance area. Adding a fundamental layer to this analysis, recent hot CPI and PPI data in the US underscore the potential upside for USDCAD. The robust Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) numbers suggest strengthening inflationary pressures in the US economy, which could buoy the USD against the CAD. This fundamental backdrop aligns with our technical analysis, supporting the notion of a buying opportunity in USDCAD as it navigates its correction phase. Trade safe, Joe.
Long
by JoeChampion
USD/CAD: Interpreting CPI Numbers Through Technical LensHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a buying opportunity around 1.34630 zone, USDCAD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.34630 support and resistance area. Adding a fundamental layer, The recent CPI data in the US has shown signs of inflationary pressure, with the core CPI coming in stronger than expected at 0.4%, surpassing the market consensus of 0.3%. This unexpected uptick in inflation has sparked speculation that the Federal Reserve may adopt a more hawkish stance, as Chair Powell's recent comments hinted at a reluctance to implement rate cuts in the near term. As a result, the US dollar has strengthened, leading to potential buying opportunities in USD pairs like USDCAD. The robust CPI figures suggest a possible continuation of USD strength, which could support bullish momentum in USDCAD. Trade safe, Joe.
Long
by JoeChampion
1
Sell USDCAD Bearish ChannelThe USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe exhibits a potential selling opportunity due to a well-defined bearish channel pattern. This pattern suggests ongoing selling pressure and a higher likelihood of further declines in the coming minutes or hours. Key Points: Bearish Channel: As visualized on the M30 chart, the price has been confined within a descending channel characterized by two falling lines: a resistance line and a support line. This ongoing downtrend signals continued selling pressure. Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.3460, positioned close to the channel resistance. This offers an entry point near a potential reversal zone. Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 1.3414 and 1.3396, marking previous support zones within the channel. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the channel resistance line at 1.3485. This helps limit potential losses if the trend unexpectedly breaks upwards. Thank you
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
21
USDCAD Buy the bounce short-termOn our last USDCAD analysis (December 01 2023, see chart below), the price action gave us an excellent sell entry that easily hit our 1.3400 target: The pair has since rebounded above both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). We expect the 1D MA50 to hold and deliver a new short-term rebound towards the 0.618 Fibonacci level (Target at 1.36200), comfortably below the 1-year Symmetrical Resistance Zone. A closing above the that Zone would present a new buy opportunity after a pull-back near the 1D MA50 again with a target on the Resistance 1 level. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
4
USDCAD: Navigating Powell's hawks and Strong PayrollsGreeting Traders! In today's trading session, we're eyeing a potential buying opportunity for USDCAD around the 1.34000 zone. Currently, USDCAD is in an uptrend but undergoing a correction phase as it nears the 1.34000 support and resistance area. Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, Chair Powell's recent shift in stance regarding a March rate cut is noteworthy. His clear statement that a rate cut is not the base case, combined with the robust payrolls report, reinforces the message of a resilient US economy. It's important to note that Powell has access to more information than the markets, yet he chose to signal against rate cuts rather than keeping options open. In an environment where US economic growth leads the way, it tends to bolster the US Dollar. This dynamic suggests potential strength in the USD, which could influence the USDCAD pair accordingly. Trade safe, Joe.
Long
by JoeChampion
3
USDCAD Breakout and potential retrace with USD strong biasIn tomorrow's trading session, we are closely observing USDCAD for a potential buying opportunity around the 1.34400 zone. USDCAD has been navigating within an uptrend and is currently in a corrective phase, nearing the retrace area at the 1.34400 support and resistance zone. Alongside technical analysis, it's essential to consider fundamental factors influencing the market sentiment. The recent warning from the Federal Reserve about potential rate adjustments adds a layer of complexity to the currency pair's dynamics. Traders should remain vigilant of any shifts in market sentiment driven by central bank communications, as they can significantly impact currency pairs like USDCAD. As always, trade safely and stay informed.
Long
by JoeChampion
USD/CAD Faces Strong Resistance:Technical / Fundamental AnalysisUSD/CAD Faces Strong Resistance:Technical / Fundamental Analysis The USD/CAD pair has encountered a pivotal juncture, rejecting the 78.6% Fibonacci Level around 1.3530 during the early European hours on Friday. This article explores the technical and fundamental factors influencing this rejection and delves into the broader economic landscape affecting the US Dollar (USD) and the Canadian Dollar (CAD). Technical Analysis: The rejection at the 78.6% Fibonacci Level, situated at 1.3530, signals a noteworthy development. The price is met with strong resistance, marked by the confluence of the Fibonacci level and a bearish dynamic trendline. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped from overbought conditions, hinting at a potential downward move aligning with the prevailing trend. Market Overview: Simultaneously, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading around 103.40, reflecting the broader strength of the USD. Notably, the 2-year and 10-year yields on US bond coupons stand at 4.35% and 4.15%, respectively. Despite these positive indicators, the rejection at the critical Fibonacci level suggests a potential shift in momentum for the USD/CAD pair. Fundamental Influences: Monthly US Housing Starts exceeded expectations in December, reaching 1.46 million against the anticipated 1.426 million. Building Permits (MoM) also reported growth, surpassing the market consensus at 1.495 million. Additionally, Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending on January 12 decreased to 187K from the previous reading of 203K, showcasing resilience in the US labor market. On the flip side, the Canadian Dollar (CAD) has found support from elevated crude oil prices, a critical factor given Canada's status as the largest oil exporter to the United States. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) hovers around $73.90 per barrel, contributing to CAD strength as Crude Oil stockpiles decline. Conclusion: The rejection at the 78.6% Fibonacci Level for USD/CAD, coupled with the confluence of technical resistance and bearish signals, suggests a potential shift in the pair's momentum. While positive economic indicators support the USD, the Canadian Dollar gains strength from robust crude oil prices. Traders should monitor these technical and fundamental dynamics closely, as they navigate the complexities of the forex market. As always, prudent risk management and a keen awareness of market conditions are crucial in making informed trading decisions. Our preference SHORT positions Below 1.36300 with targets at 1.34000 & 1.32500 in extension.
Short
by FOREXN1
5
SIMPLEXeffects USDCAD OUTLOOK It's so obvious from what we have on the higher TF (H4 specifically) that we haven't had a change in the market structure being built up until now. We've been moving in a continuous downtrend characterized by the numerous lower lows and lower highs built... It is therefore only wise to look out for sell opportunities in the USDCAD market for the next 2 to 3 days until we thus form a new lower low... #simplexeffects #simplextradehub #thesimplextrader
Short
by Simplex_Tradehub_Official
2
USDCAD: Buy signal on a very consistent long term pattern.USDCAD is marginally bullish on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.352, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 48.167) as it crossed over the 1D MA50 and is testing the 1D MA100 as Resistance. The key level is the 0.5 Fibonacci line, if crossed, we will buy and target the 0.382 Fibonacci (TP = 1.36400). The next buy will be on the 0.618 Fibonacci level targeting the bottom of the R1 Zone. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
USDCAD - further move down expectedThe USD/CAD pair is currently hovering around 1.3450 price zone after a recent dip from the psychological barrier of 1.3500. The Canadian dollar (Loonie) is facing some pressure as investors are less attracted to safe-haven assets, even though there's renewed hope that the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) won't lower interest rates until May. Oil prices have dropped slightly below $73.00 due to some economic headwinds. Global demand for oil is expected to remain subdued as central banks look to keep interest rates higher for a while longer to combat inflation. Additionally, China's post-pandemic economic recovery is still fragile, which is further weighing on oil demand. It's important to remember that Canada is a major oil exporter to the United States, and higher oil prices tend to support the Canadian dollar. If the USD/CAD pair drops below 1.3415, which was a high point on January 9th, it could open the door to further declines towards 1.3372, a high point on January 3rd, or even 1.3317, a low point on January 4th. Please see charts for all detils.
Short
by financialflagship
Fundamental Insights: CPI Trends and USDCAD OpportunitiesIn today's trading session, our attention is on USDCAD, where we are monitoring a potential buying opportunity around the 1.34700 zone. The currency pair, currently in an uptrend, is undergoing a correction phase as it approaches the trend at the 1.34700 support and resistance area. Now, let's add a fundamental layer to our analysis, considering the recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Reviewing the CPI figures from the past few months, we observe a consistent pattern of inflation stability. The most recent data indicates a CPI of 3.4%, slightly surpassing the forecasted 3.2%, and showing a minor decline from the previous month's 3.7%. This stable inflation scenario can have implications for the US dollar. From a fundamental perspective, stable inflation often contributes to a stronger US dollar. Investors and traders tend to view stable inflation positively, indicating a healthy economic environment. This can potentially provide the Federal Reserve with room to contemplate tightening monetary policy, leading to USD strength. Traders should consider these fundamental factors in conjunction with technical analysis when evaluating potential moves in USDCAD. As always, trade safe.
Long
by JoeChampion
USD/CAD: Awaiting US Retail Sales Amidst Central Bank DivergenceUSD/CAD: Awaiting US Retail Sales Amidst Central Bank Divergence As the European trading session kicks off on Monday, the USD/CAD pair grapples with resistance under the 1.3450 area. The downward pressure on the pair is attributed to a weakening US Dollar (USD), compounded by a less-than-robust US Producer Price Index (PPI) report. Market Dynamics: Elevated expectations of easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed) persist, fueled by the recent decline in the USD and the subdued PPI figures. All eyes are now on the US December Retail Sales data scheduled for Wednesday, with an anticipated MoM increase of 0.4%, compared to November's 0.3%. On the Canadian Dollar (CAD) front, the Bank of Canada (BoC) is widely expected to pivot towards interest rate cuts in the coming year after a series of rate hikes. Speculation suggests that the first rate cuts could occur as early as spring. Technical Analysis: From a technical standpoint, the USD/CAD price remains within the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci Zone, positioning itself for a potential retest of the 200 Moving Average and the Dynamic trendline. The confluence of these indicators raises the possibility of a retest, potentially leading to a new downward push in line with the prevailing main trend. Conclusion: The USD/CAD pair navigates a complex landscape marked by central bank divergence, economic data releases, and technical signals. The USD faces headwinds, fueled by Fed easing expectations and a lackluster PPI report, while the CAD anticipates potential rate cuts by the BoC. Traders will closely monitor the upcoming US Retail Sales data for further insights into the pair's direction, as it grapples with critical technical levels and evolving market dynamics. Our preference Short positions below 1.3530 with targets at 1.3300 & 1.3200 in extension.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
USDCAD Breakout and potential retrace with today's CPI.In today's trading session, our focus turns to USDCAD as we anticipate a buying opportunity around the 1.33700 zone. Having recently broken out of its downtrend, the pair is now navigating a correction phase, approaching the critical retrace area at the 1.33700 support and resistance zone. Adding a fundamental perspective to the technical analysis, it's important to note the recent US December core CPI data, which revealed a 3.9% year-on-year increase, surpassing the expected 3.8%. This potential strength in the US dollar could contribute to a reversal scenario for USDCAD, and traders should closely monitor the unfolding dynamics in this session. As always, trade safe. Joe
Long
by JoeChampion
USDCAD in Focus: Navigating Dollar Weakness and Upcoming CPIHey Traders, as we dive into today's trading session, our focus is keenly set on USDCAD, where we are eyeing a potential selling opportunity around the 1.34100 zone. The currency pair has been following a clear downtrend and is currently undergoing a correction phase, gradually approaching the trend at the crucial 1.34100 support and resistance area. Adding depth to our analysis, recent economic data has revealed weak figures for the US ISM (Institute for Supply Management), falling below market expectations. This unexpected downturn in the ISM figures suggests potential weakness in the US dollar, influencing our cautious approach in the current trading environment. Looking ahead to the week, anticipation builds as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the US is scheduled for release on Thursday. If the CPI data comes in softer than expected on January 11th, it could exert additional pressure on the Federal Reserve to consider rate cuts in the upcoming March meeting. This fundamental context enhances our attention to the USDCAD pair, and we'll be closely monitoring how these factors unfold in the market dynamics throughout the week. Trade safe!
Short
by JoeChampion