USDCAD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, USDCAD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out after a bunch of fed hawkish comments about the monetary policy, Fed Waller the last week mentioned that inflation is still a concern and fed still has to act, and this week we had another intervention from fed Williams confirming and pointing on the same thing mentioning inflation is still way too high so that make us expect another rate hike on early May that should trigger USD strength in the medium term. Technically we will be watching a potential retrace of the trend from 1.33 area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Usd-cad
USDCAD BullishThe USDCAD ended its downtrend by breaking the downward trend line since March and the resistance level around 1.342, as well as the 100 and 200 moving averages on the hourly timeframe. Since this pair tends to move within price channels, it can be said that the price is now heading towards a third peak in the local upward price channel at the level of 1.347/49. After that, it may bounce back to create a new base at 1.342, where it will also test the support level and Fibonacci 23.6%.
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USDCAD...UPTREND (3D/3H) ✨ PART II00:00 Annoyed That I Took Profit
01:10 My Sell Positions
01:35 Demand Zones and Immediate Retest
01:58 Shaving and Taking Profit
02:33 Follow, Join, Boost, and Comment
As anticipated, Price Action for our Buy Position has reached Supply and now we're ready to short this thang again.
(2) SLO2 @ 1.3440
(1) SLO1 @ 1.3425
(3) TP1 @ 1.3395 (shave 25%)
(4) TP2 @ 1.3360 (shave 25%)
(5) TP3 @ 1.3305 (close all sell positions)
1 This video is reflective of the uptrend counter-trend trade that I took to go long towards this area of Supply
2 If PA (price action) pushes higher, then I have this second Sell Order pending
3 This Take Profit is giving me Intraday Trading vibes. This TP is just above a Demand Zone (90m)
4 3 This Take Profit is giving me Day Trading vibes. This TP is just above a Demand Zone (90m)
4 3 This Take Profit is giving me Swing Trading vibes. This TP is just above the distal wick of this Immediate Retest (90m)
USDCAD moving lower? 🦐USDCAD on the 4h chart after the expected bearish impulse retraced exactly at the 0.381 Fibonacci level.
The price is moving in an ascending channel that can also be seen as a bear flag.
How can i approach this scenario?
If the price will break below the lower trendline and the support we can set a nice short order according to Plancton's strategy
Or else we can see a possible scenario where the market retest the previous support now turned resistance at the 50% retracement and fro there we will look for an inversion.
USDCAD: Strong buy opportunity near the SupportThe USDCAD pair crossed under the 1D MA200 last week and is approaching S1 on a very bearish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 38.120, MACD = -0.005, ADX = 45.239). The two day bounce on the HL trendline and the fact that the 1D RSI hit the bottom of its Channel, constitute a short term buy opportunity targeting the 1D MA50 (TP = 1.35450). If a candle closes above the 1D MA50, we will buy again the breakout and target the LH trendline (TP = 1.37545).
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Bearish setup on USDCADHi Traders,
Check this out - USDCAD could start a fresh bearish momentum, after breaking of the bullish trend.
However, with the uncertainty on how heavy FED could bump dollar this is better wait on for a break below the Triangle pattern before looking for a better short trade entry.
That is what i will do, provided that we get a solid breakdown and retest of the "Pennant like descending Triangle".
Watchout
USDCAD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, USDCAD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out after some hawkish comments about the monetary policy that have triggered USD strength. in today's trading session we are going to be watching a potential retrace of the trend from 1.335 support and resistance zone towards previous highs.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCAD possible change in trendUSDCAD
Over the past month, the USDCAD has been in a steady downtrend. On Friday, we observed the swing moves and identified an internal high that could be used as a selling opportunity to continue the downward trend. However, due to recent market changes, we are now considering a potential shift in momentum towards an upward trend. This is because the market has shown a clear sweep of the low and a strong impulse to the upside, surpassing the nearest swing high moves. This suggests the possibility of a trend reversal. Therefore, we plan to sell into our extreme demand area and wait for a confirmation entry to further validate our assumption of a bullish shift in price.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
USDCAD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.34 zone, USDCAD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out after a bunch of soft USD data including NFP, CPI and PPI which signal a pause of rate hikes from the federal reserve. A dovish fomc should be bearish on Dollar and bullish for stocks and cryptos.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCAD moving to a lower low 🦐USDCAD has been exhibiting a bearish trend, with a recent downward price movement that tested the key resistance level of 1.34000.
However, the price retraced to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the previous impulse, which could potentially act as a barrier to further upward movement. This retracement also coincides with the price moving back over a daily support level, suggesting a potential lower low move.
As a trader with a short outlook, you may be anticipating a lower low, indicating further bearish momentum. If the price breaks below the daily support level, it could confirm the bearish bias and provide an opportunity for a short order entry according to the Plancton's strategy. This could be supported by the previous resistance level of 1.34 acting as a barrier, and the 50% Fibonacci retracement level acting as a potential resistance.
USDCAD Pre-Overnight Rate Forecast | 12th April 2023Fundamental Backdrop
1. Tonight's Overnight Rate is expected to maintain at 4.5%. Based on previous March 8th's data, we saw a drop of nearly 200 pips towards the end of the week.
2. Expect significant volatility due to added on upcoming news events later such as the BOC Rate Statement, BOC Monetary Policy Report, BOE Gov Bailey Speaks and the BOC Press Conference.
Technical Confluences
1. Near-term resistance at 1.35200
2. Support at 1.33600
Idea
Price has already reflected off the near-term resistance at 1.35200. Expecting price to continue heading towards the support at 1.33600
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER
The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas.
We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades.
Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks.
OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
USDCAD Turning into a buy.The USDCAD pair hit last week the Higher Lows trend-line from the June 08 2022 Low and rebounded but yesterday the mini rise stopped on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). A 1D candle closing above the 1D MA50 will be a buy signal, targeting 1.38500 (below Resistance 1). If instead it closes below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and naturally the June 2022 trend-line, wait for a lower price to buy, closer to Support 1.
The strongest buy signal would be a 1D MACD Bullish Cross. In more than a year, it hasn't failed to deliver a Higher High.
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USDCAD for a possible bouncePrice first gave a retest on the previously established supply zone, forming liquidity at the same time. It then preceded to break this supply with momentum and the retraced back above a POI that it left behind with a huge imbalance. Since our supply zone was invalidated, this signaled a switch from bearish to bullish pressure and this has provided us with an opportunity to capitalize on this flip entry.
USDCAD: bearish flag is almost completeThe bearish flag pattern is a common technical analysis pattern that is used by traders to identify potential trend reversals or continuation. This pattern forms when there is a sharp downward move (the flagpole), followed by a brief period of consolidation (the flag), before another downward move.
In the case of the USDCAD pair, we can see that the pair has been on a downtrend for some time and has recently experienced a sharp downward move. The flagpole is formed by the length of the sharp downward move, which is usually quite significant.
After the sharp downward move, the price of USDCAD started consolidating, forming a rectangle or parallel channel, which is known as the flag. This consolidation period is usually characterized by decreasing trading volume and volatility.
Once the price breaks below the lower trendline of the flag, it signals a continuation of the previous downward trend. Traders may use this as an opportunity to enter short positions in anticipation of further downside momentum, which is exactly what we're planning to do here.
The short target is not fully determined yet, but aiming for the closest major support zone is always a safe bet. Hope this was educational and useful at the same time! Feel free to ask more questions :)
USDCAD Weekly Forecast | 10th April 2023Fundamental Backdrop
1. The Employment Change which is a leading indicator of consumer spending, increased from 21.8k to 34.7k
2. Unemployment Rate maintained at 5.0% instead of increasing to the forecasted of 5.1%
3. This week's Overnight Rate is expected to maintain at 4.5%. Based on previous March 8th's data, we saw a drop of nearly 200 pips towards the end of the week.
Technical Confluences
1. Near-term resistance at 1.35200
2. Support at 1.33600
Idea
We are looking for price to reflect off the near-term resistance at 1.35200, before heading towards the support at 1.33600
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER
The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas.
We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades.
Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks.
OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
USDCAD Forming a Bear FlagHey Traders, USDCAD is trading in a downtrend, and now seems to be in a correction phase in which it is forming a bear flag and approaching the weekly 1.353 zone, if we get a decent retrace i would consider downsides toward more lows. fundamentally CAD data this period were positive and USD environment signals a less restrictive monetary policy from the fed as US data continue to print soft.
Trade safe, Joe.
USD CAD - FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERSThe Canadian dollar remains relatively weak against the greenback, as it continues to hover near its cyclical high. While many investors fear a tightening of global credit conditions, some believe that Canadian bank could face a very difficult environment due to their exposure to residential real estate in a much higher interest rate environment. Combined with weakening commodity prices, the short-term outlook does not support a stronger loonie. Yet Canadian banks continue to outperform their global counterparts due to a more rigid regulatory environment and strong population growth, both of which argue against a dramatic erosion of their deposit base. USD/CAD should remain in the 1.36/1.39 range in the first half of 2023, before making a comeback in the second half of the year when more central banks finally end their tightening cycle.
USD CAD - FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERSThe Canadian dollar remains relatively weak against the greenback, as it continues to hover near its cyclical high. While many investors fear a tightening of global credit conditions, some believe that Canadian bank could face a very difficult environment due to their exposure to residential real estate in a much higher interest rate environment. Combined with weakening commodity prices, the short-term outlook does not support a stronger loonie. Yet Canadian banks continue to outperform their global counterparts due to a more rigid regulatory environment and strong population growth, both of which argue against a dramatic erosion of their deposit base. USD/CAD should remain in the 1.36/1.39 range in the first half of 2023, before making a comeback in the second half of the year when more central banks finally end their tightening cycle.
USDCAD Potential BreakoutHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.34300 zone, USDCAD is trading in an uptrend and now seems to be attempting to break it out with current USD weak environment, if we get a decent breakout below 1.343 we will monitor a potential retrace of the trend.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCAD, Can the bulls take it from hereUSDCAD / 1D
Hello traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
USDCAD is trading in a bullish trend. The price now is having a deep-pull-back which I think is a good opportinity to long for a swing trade.
The price is around the breakout point which very often acts as support. I'll be looking for a reaction from this level.
Tarde safely,
Trader Leo
USDCAD - Rising Range 📦Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
USDCAD is has been overall bullish trading inside the fat rising red wedgel, and it is currently sitting around the lower red trendline. So we will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong support.
🏹 So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower red trendline. (acting as non-horizontal support)
As per my trading style:
As USDCAD is sitting around the purple circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich