USDCAD Potential downsidesHey Traders, USDCAD is approaching an important resistance zone at the top of the pattern, we will be considering a selling opportunity around 1.365 zone, USD environment is pricing too much strength in which we expect the market to go against retails. if we manage to get a dip below the pattern we will consider a retrace around 1.358 zone.
feel free to ask any question in the comment section.
Trade safe, Joe.
Usd-cad
USD/CAD: BUY Signals in Uptrend Continuation For a LONG SetupHi there! This week is going to be important for the USD/CAD exchange rate, with several key events in the spotlight. The Bank of Canada Rate Decision, Nonfarm Payrolls, and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's testimony are all going to be closely watched.
So far, USD/CAD is up 0.11%, with a low of 1.3581 and a high of 1.3628. The Bank of Canada is expected to hold the overnight rate at 4.50% on Wednesday, and analysts think that the statement will note robust job growth but also acknowledge that inflation is still coming down.
Investors will be paying close attention to Powell's testimony and the jobs report to get a sense of how much the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates. The US Dollar index is down 0.2%, and there's a 76% chance of a 25 basis point increase at the Fed's meeting on March 22. Powell will likely indicate that more tightening is needed, but analysts expect him to be vague about the terminal rate. The Nonfarm Payrolls report is expected to show growth moderating to 220k, but leading indicators suggest that labor market conditions are still tight.
Overall, what Powell says and what the jobs report shows will be crucial for the direction of the US Dollar. The FOMC blackout period will begin on March 11, so the Fed still has the option to guide the markets after the jobs report.
USDCAD H4 | 7th march 2023If the price were to break the descending trendline, our 1st resistance area is 1.3665, and if it were to reverse from this level, it could potentially drop to 1.3519, where the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement which overlaps support is. The next support level after that is 1.3439.
As for the stop loss, it is recommended to place it slightly above the recent swing high at 1.3711. This could help minimize the risk in case the price moves against the expected direction.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
USDCAD Potential Forecast Post-Ivey PMI | 7th March 2023Fundamental Backdrop
1. The Ivey PMI which is a leading indicator of economic health released dropping from 60.1 to 51.6.
2. This indicates that the industry is contracting.
3. Showing a decrease in business activity and confidence in the Canadian economy.
Technical Confluences
1. Price recently bounced off the 1.35700 support level which coincides with the 23.6% Fibonacci line.
2. Near term resistance at 1.36800
Idea
With the Ivey PMI result released worst than previous, expect price to head towards the near term resistance at 1.36800
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER
The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas.
We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades.
Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks.
OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
USDCADUSDCAD has been examined in different dimensions:
1- Strong supply and demand levels that I identify with my own indicator and system.
2- The structure of recently formed waves
3- Current market momentum
4- The structure of classical and price patterns
In this idea, I identified the direction of the market in different ways and in the second step, I analyzed the potential of continuation or reversal. Usually, paying attention to the trend and strength of the trend can greatly increase the accuracy of the analysis.
In general, I tried to describe the continuation of the movement in the simplest possible way in the diagram.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a personal opinion and you are responsible for any trading decisions.
USDCAD Potential Forecast Pre-Ivey PMI | 6th March 2023Fundamental Backdrop
1. The Ivey PMI is going to be released at 11pm SGT
2. It's a leading indicator of economic health
3. The result is expected to be worst than previous, weakening CAD
Technical Confluences
1. Price recently bounced off the 1.35700 support level which coincides with the 23.6% Fibonacci line.
Idea
If the Ivey PMI result released is worst than previous, expect price to head towards the resistance at 1.36850.
Alternatively, price could head back down towards the 1.35700 support level coincides with the 23.6% Fibonacci line.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER
The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas.
We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades.
Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks.
OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
USDCAD - Looking For Sell Setup Already!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
on WEEKLY: Left Chart
USDCAD stuck inside a range and now sitting around the upper bound / resistance zone so we will be looking for trend-following sell setups on lower timeframes.
on H4: Right Chart
USDCAD formed a symmetrical triangle in blue but it is not ready to go yet.
🏹 Trigger => for the bears to take over, we need a momentum candle close below the last swing low in gray.
Meanwhile, until the sell is activated, USDCAD can still trade higher.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
USDCAD: Top of the range?Looking back over this pair, it's been ranging for a long time.
The candlestick patterns are clearly showing rejection, we now have a doji to back up the change of direction potential.
Fundamentally it seems hat it doesn't matter how good the US news is, the dollar's fate is sealed.
Interesting to see how NFP goes on Friday (but still can't see it getting much past 105.5 even with positive news). I'll probably wait on this pair until after the event has calmed down before getting involved.
Overall I'm bearish on this, waiting for a good entry for at least a 4:1 score initially, but think it'll go further.
USDCAD look at the 0.618 Fibonacci 🦐USDCAD on the 4h chart is creating a series of higher highs higher lows.
The price couldn't create new highs in the day of yesterday and we can see a form of H&S pattern that could lead to a short term inversion.
How can i approach this scenario?
I will wait for a break of the support for a short term correction and look for a possible short order according to the Plancton's strategy rules.
USDCAD Multi-week sideways opportunityThe USDCAD pair topped back in October and has turned sideways inside a Rectangle pattern since the November 15 Low. With the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) used as the Pivot, the 1D MACD indicator can offer a confirmed buy and sell entry when it makes a Bullish and Bearish Cross respectively. Notice when Support 1 was created (previous High turned into Low), hence we project Support 2 to be around 1.30750.
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USDCAD, H4 | Bearish reversal opportunityWe're seeing price approach our resistance at 1.3663 where it could potentially react off and push prices all the way down to the key overlap support at 1.3519 - which also lines up with a key 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
It's worth noting that there is an intermediate support at 1.3570 which is a smaller overlap support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement - which is the key retracement to break that triggers a bigger move down.
In terms of the stop loss, we could place it at 1.3700 which is at a key multiple overlap resistance level.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
USDCAD Outlook 2nd March 2023The USDCAD fluctuated widely overnight with no clear directional bias, with the price remaining between the key support and resistance levels of 1.3560 and 1.3660 respectively.
With no major news events on the Canadian front, the next directional move on the USDCAD would be heavily driven by the volatility of the DXY.
If the DXY recovers in strength as anticipated, the USDCAD could trade slightly higher to retest the resistance level.
While unlikely, if the USDCAD breaks above the 1.3660 resistance level, the next key resistance level beyond that is not far off at 1.37
USDCAD Potential Forecast | 1st March 2023Fundamental Backdrop
CAD's GDP dropped from 0.1% previous to -0.1%. This indicates that inflation has decreased which can possibly cause the Bank of Canada to lower their interest rates. Overall I'm expecting USDCAD to continue bullish.
Technical Confluences
1. The overall bias for USDCAD on the H4 chart is bullish. To add confluence to our bias, price is above the Ichimoku cloud and along an ascending trend-line.
2. Expecting price to head towards the key resistance at 1.37000 level.
Idea
I will be looking for price to possibly retest the H1 support at 1.36200 intersecting with the ascending trend-line before continuing bullish towards the key resistance at 1.37000.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER
The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas.
We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades.
Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks.
OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
USDCAD | SHOULD CONTINUE TO GO UP! Hey Traders!
I believe we have a good shot for some more bullish pressure, we are still in this bullish channel, CAD GDP came out with negative numbers we should see CAD losing strength, against dollar. We haven't broken yet the 1h 50 moving average if we do this trade becomes from good to great, otherwise, a stronger pullback could happen 🔥 ✅
USDCAD Potential Rise to Previous overlap supportport Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for AUDUSD is bullish as the current price is below the Ichimoku Cloud. Looking for a pullback buy entry at 1.35182 where the recent overlap support is. We are looking to take profit at 1.37014 where the overlap resistance and 61.8% Fibonacci line are, Stop loss will be placed at 1.34428 where the recent overlap swing low is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Could the USDCAD reverse?The USDCAD shot up, touched the 1.3665 (bottom of the resistance area), and formed an h4 pinbar, signaling a rejection of the resistance area.
The question now is, will the USDCAD break the upward trendline to signal a reversal? This could see the price trade down to the 1.3450 (round number level) and 1.3470 price level (50% Fibonacci retracement level) support area.
USDCAD | BUY AFTER IT PULLSBACK FOR CONTINUATIONHello Traders!
🔻Potential BUY setup for: USDCAD
👨💻 Technical: Trending up nicely on all timeframes, currently on a bullish channel if the news does not affect USD too much I expect a continuation to re-test previous higher timeframe resistance levels.
🎯 For an ideal entry: Best scenario if it manages to pullback to the ma's nicely and start showing bulls coming back to the market whether with a bullish hammer or engulfing candlestick, after the pullback it would be a good risk reward.
USDCAD Potential Rise to Previous overlap resistanceLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for USDCAD is bullish as the current price is above the Ichimoku Cloud. Looking for a pullback buy entry at 1.35169 where the overlap support is. We are looking to take profit at 1.36902 where the overlap resistance and the Stop loss will be placed at 1.34582, where the recent overlap swing low is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCAD Potential for Bullish Rise to recent swing high Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for USDCAD is bullish, as the current price is above the Ichimoku cloud and trying to break the upper level of the descending channel. Looking for a pullback buy entry at 1.34596, the overlap support, take profit at 1.37060, the recent overlap swing high, and stop loss at 1.32598, the recent overlap swing low.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCAD Potential for Bullish Rise | 23rd February 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for USDCAD is bullish with the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud ,
Looking for a buy stop entry at 1.35680, to ride the bullish momentum. Stop loss will be at the overlap support at 1.34570 which is my buy entry. Take profit will be at 1.36900, where the key resistance level is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.