USDCAD in a corrective channel to continue in the downward move?USDCAD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
A higher correction is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 1.4175 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 1.4125.
We look to Sell at 1.4235 (stop at 1.4285)
Our profit targets will be 1.4135 and 1.4125
Resistance: 1.4200 / 1.4235 / 1.4250
Support: 1.4150 / 1.4135 / 1.4125
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Usd-cad
USD/CAD finds support (but 1.40 still beckons)USD/CAD has spent most of the past two weeks stuck on sell mode, after its short-lived rise to the 22-year high of 1.48 came crashing down thanks to tariffs being delayed.
Due to bears closing shorts on CAD futures and bulls shying away from long USD bets, my core view is for USD/CAD down to 1.40, just above the 2022 high. But over the near term it shows the potential for a bounce towards 1.43.
Last week's low stalled around a weekly VPOC and November high. A small bullish hammer and inside-day doji also formed around the 100-day EMA, while a bullish divergence also formed on the daily RSI (2) in the oversold zone.
Bulls could seek dips towards the weekly VPOC in anticipation of a bounce to 1.4250, while prices hold above last week's low. At which point we can revisit its potential to roll over once more, in line with the core bias outlined above.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and forex.com
USDCAD Oversold bounce incoming.USDCAD is trading inside a Channel Up.
February's price action has so far been a strong rejection of the price near the Channel Up top with the price dropping even below the MA50 (1d).
This is very similar to the last Channel Up Top on October 13th 2022, which first dropped to the 0.5 Fibonacci level and then bounced to the 0.236.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.44750 (the 0.236 Fib).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is almost oversold, which also favors buying. In fact it got rejected and currently is on the exact same levels it did in September - October 2022.
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Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.4106
1st Support: 1.3949
1st Resistance: 1.4300
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?USD/CAD is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.4146
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 1.0472
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 1.4280
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCAD (4H) - Bearish Break of Consolidation ZoneOANDA:USDCAD
📶Technical Analysis:
Weekly Chart:
🟠 Price is in a long-term bullish trend, confirmed by a trendline formed since 2021 and 3 MAs aligned bullish.
🟡 Price tested major resistance at 1.4600-1.4700, which was previously tested in 2016 and 2020.
🟢 Strong pullback after testing resistance, indicating a potential bearish reversal pattern.
Daily Chart:
🟢 Strong bearish candle on the daily chart confirms that the weekly resistance holds.
🟡 Price volatility influenced by Trump's tariff decision.
🟢 The bearish momentum on the daily chart confirms the trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
🔴 The next strong support is around 1.3900, where the price has failed to break five times.
4H Chart:
🟡 Price has been consolidating since Dec 2024 between 1.4450 (resistance) and 1.4300 (support).
🟡 Price initially broke above the range due to tariff news but quickly returned to the consolidation zone.
🟢 Strong bearish candle broke through the lower support at 1.43, signaling potential bearish continuation.
🟢 The break of support suggests a bearish outlook, with the next targets near 1.3900.
🟢 The Moving Averages (MAs) are crossing, indicating a potential shift to a bearish trend.
🔤 Summary:
🟡 Waiting for a retest of the broken 1.43 support level to confirm the bearish trend continuation.
🟡 Expecting a correction in the bearish trend with the formation of additional signal candles that confirm the bearish momentum after the retracement.
🟡 Watch for the formation of bearish candles after the correction, either near the broken support level or EMA levels for confirmation before entering the bearish trade.
Bullish bounce?USD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.4176
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 1.4088
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.4280
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
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Bearish drop?USD/CAD is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.4279
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 1.4361
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.4178
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCAD - Is History Repeating Itself?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 USDCAD has been overall bullish , trading within the rising wedge pattern marked in blue.
Today, USDCAD broke above its previous major high (marked in red).
🏹 As it retests this previous high, it will also intersect with the lower blue trendline, which acts as a dynamic support level.
📚 According to my trading style:
As #USDCAD approaches the red zone, I'll be watching for bullish reversal setups—such as a double bottom pattern, a trendline break, and more.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDCAD at a crucial support.USDCAD - Intraday
The selloff has posted an exhaustion count on the intraday chart.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 1.4350 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 1.4425.
We look to Buy at 1.4300 (stop at 1.4260)
Our profit targets will be 1.4400 and 1.4425
Resistance: 1.4350 / 1.4400 / 1.4425
Support: 1.4300 / 1.4275 / 1.4250
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distribut
Potential bullish bounce?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has bounced off the pivot which has been identified as pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.4295
1st Support: 1.4176
1st Resistance: .4405
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCAD Is Nearing The TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.44200 zone, USDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.44200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USD/CAD levels heading into US GDPThe strong rally from the October low has entered a sideways range, and prices have seen failed attempts to break above a prior double-top high ~1.4468. A bearish pinbar also formed yesterday beneath the double top and the daily RSI (2) is also near the overbought zone.
The 4-hour chart shows a 2-bar bearish reversal at the range highs, and until we see a breakout accompanied with a worthy headline, the bias is to fade into moves below 1.4470 with for some mean reversion back towards the 2020 weekly-close high at 1.4332
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
USDCAD: Channel Up negated. Bearish reversal started.USDCAD is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.879, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 32.215) as it is still being supported by the 1D MA50, but since January 20th, it crossed under the 4 month Channel Up and today it retested it from below and is so far failing. This is an early signal that the medium term trend has shifted to bearish. We are short, targeting the 1D MA200 near the S2 level (TP = 1.39650).
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USDCAD - 4H TradingRangeDespite various market news over the past few days, USDCAD remains within its trading range, as previously discussed. The pair has yet to make a valid breakout, meaning range trading remains a viable strategy.
📉 Price has rejected the top of the range after recent news, aligning with expectations.
📌 Opportunities arise at key support & resistance zones within this range.
We continue to monitor for potential breakouts or further confirmations. Follow for updates!
BoC Rate Decision. Is the path for USDCAD is further up?With the upcoming BoC and Fed rate decisions, we are wondering, what may happen with FX_IDC:USDCAD pair? CAD has been on a sharp decline and continues to devaluate further. Let's dig in and see what might be the near-term outcome.
MARKETSCOM:USDCAD
RISK DISCLAIMER
74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
Canada CPI fractionally lower. BoC in the spotlight next weekUSDCAD continues to experience strong fluctuations due to recent political and economic events. Next week it will BoC's turn to shape the near-term faith of the Canadian dollar.
FX_IDC:USDCAD MARKETSCOM:USDCAD
RISK DISCLAIMER
74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
USDCAD - 4H Bearish signsThe FX:USDCAD pair fell sharply after news of Canada responding to potential US tariff changes under Donald Trump. It has now reached the bottom of the trading range on the 4H timeframe.
💡 Key Strategy:
Wait for breakout confirmations or enter on a pullback.
Avoid rushing in; price action confirmations are essential for entries!
Patience and strategy always win. Let's trade smart! 📉
Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support level which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.4387
1st Support: 1.4298
1st Resistance: 1.4460
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCAD Best sell opportunity in 5 years!The USDCAD is standing on unique grounds as it is just below the 9-year Resistance Zone and is consolidating. Last time it hit this Zone was on the week of March 16 2020 and as you can see it got brutally rejected.
Both the January 18 2016 and March 16 2020 tops have similar 1W RSI patterns and after their rejection, the price's first stop was on the 0.236 Fibonacci level. As a result, our Target is 1.26000 on this unique long-term sell opportunity.
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