USD CHF - FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERSUSD
FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: BULLISH
BASELINE
Hawkish Fed policy remains a key driver for Dollar strength. With headline inflation >8%, the Fed has been pressured to tighten policy aggressively, hiking rates by 75bsp at their June meeting, and continuing with Quantitative Tightening. STIR markets suggests aggressive policy action pricing a terminal rate of >3.8% by 2Q23 which should be a positive input for the US Dollar . Safe haven flows have also supported the USD as it’s usually inversely correlated to the global economy and global trade, appreciating when growth & inflation slows (disinflation) and depreciates when growth & inflation accelerates (reflation). Expectations of a cyclical slowdown, accompanied by multi-decade high inflation and synchronized removal of monetary policy stimulus from major economies has seen investors shun risk assets and even bonds (usually considered a safe haven), and the USD has been a key benefactor of the rush to safety as economic prospects have deteriorated. Even though US bonds are considered safe havens, the current high inflation has seen a strong stock-to-bond correlation and has caused big bond outflows. With bonds not fulfilling its usual save haven role the USD has benefited from the rush to safety.
POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES
As aggressive Fed policy has been supporting the USD, any incoming data (especially inflation ) that sparks further hike expectations, or additionally any comments from FOMC members that signals even more aggressive policy could trigger bullish reactions in the USD. As the cyclical outlook for the global economy is very bleak, and the USD is considered a safe haven, it means any incoming data that exacerbates fears of recession and triggers a big rush to safety could trigger bullish USD reactions. Further outflows in US bonds means more USD safe haven appeal. So, watching key triggers for further upside in bond yields like rising commodity prices and inflation expectations could also trigger further USD bullish reactions.
POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES
More recently the USD has reacted more cyclically to incoming data which could suggest markets is shifting from safe haven focus to the rising risks of recession. The worse growth data slows, the higher likelihood of a ‘Fed Put’ in the months ahead. Thus, extremely bad growth data could trigger bearish reactions in the USD despite its safe haven appeal. Tactically the USD is trading at cycle highs, and aggregate CFTC positioning is still close prior highs which acted aslocal tops for the USD. Thus, stretched positioning could make the USD vulnerable to mean reversion in the short-term. With a lot already priced for the Fed, it won’t take much for the Fed to disappoint markets on the dovish side. Thus, any FOMC comments that suggests more concern about the economy than inflation could trigger bearish reactions in the USD
BIGGER PICTURE
The fundamental outlook for the USD remains bullish as long as the Fed stays aggressive and cyclical concerns put pressure on risk assets. But we do want to be mindful that lots has been priced for the USD, and growth deteriorates, we are expecting that the weigh on the USD if markets start pricing in a higher likelihood of a less hawkish Fed as a result of higher risks of recession. Furthermore, given tactical and CFTC positioning, we would prefer deeper pullbacks for new med-term USD longs, but shortterm catalyst can still offer shorter bearish sentiment trades against the current strong bull trend.
CHF
FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: WEAK BULLISH
BASELINE
The CHF has been supported in recent months as STIR markets have steadily priced in higher interest rates for Switzerland as
well the SNB’s reluctance to intervene in the currency markets to weaken the CHF. This past week the SNB took a very aggressive
policy step by hiking rates with 50bsp and removing their previous classification that the CHF is ‘highly valued’.
Unlike other central banks, the SNB has chosen to try and tackle inflation before it runs rampant by hiking rates aggressively.
Their hike in June was the first hike since 2007, and if the bank follows through with a hike in September it will mean Switzerland
will have positive interest rates for the first time in 8 years.
There is scope for further strength from the CHF in the months ahead with 4 supporting drivers. The first is the SNB’s hawkish
tilt, the second is the bank’s acceptance of a stronger CHF will less intervention seen in recent months, the third is negative
underlying risk sentiment driven by the global cyclical slowdown and fourth is rising inflation .
The SNB did note that they are willing to be active in the foreign exchange market to ensure appropriate monetary conditions
which means too much CHF strength could get the wrong attention from the bank.
POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES
Any incoming data (especially inflation ) or SNB comments that causes markets to price in even more aggressive policy from the bank could trigger bullish reactions in the CHF. As a risk sensitive currency, and catalyst that causes big bouts of risk off sentiment could trigger bullish reactions in the CHF.
POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES
The SNB has not been as active in trying to devalue the CHF through sight deposits as they have been in recent years. With
the bank now on a hiking cycle, any drastic appreciation could spark some intervention and would be a bearish catalyst. As a risk sensitive currency, and catalyst that causes big bouts of risk on sentiment could trigger bearish reactions in the CHF.
BIGGER PICTURE
The SNB surprised with a 50bsp hike and signalled, that unlike other central banks, they will not get behind the curve. That has
seen STIR markets fully price in another 50bsp for the September meeting. Apart from a hawkish central bank , we also have the
economy on a steady footing, as well as less risk of intervention as SNB’s Jordan said they no longer see the CHF as highly valued
(there is of course risk that they could intervene if the CHF appreciates too much too fast). This means that the bias for the CHF
has changed to bullish and we’ll be looking for big dips in the CHF for buying opportunities.
Usd-chf
DOUBLE TOP AT USDCHFHello, my fellow traders hope you all are making some profits. We are here with our new analysis so that we can increase those profits for you. Let’s get into it.
As we can see, the price has made DOUBLE TOP. Wait for breakout and retest
Let us know your views on this in the comment section. Thank you all.
There is good news for our followers. We will be analyzing on-demand.
So let us know which pair you want our analysis on, and we will get it for you. Do like and follow us
USDCHF H4 Potential Bounce | 24th June 2022On the H4, with price expected to bounce off the RSI indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from our 1st support at 0.95996 where the horizontal swing low support is to our 1st resistance at 0.97232 in line with the horizontal swing high resistance and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Alternatively, price may break structure and head for 2nd support where the 100% Fibonacci projection is at 0.95462.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
USDCHF H4 Potential Bounce | 23th June 2022On the H4, with price expected to bounce off the RSI indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from our 1st support at 0.95996 where the horizontal swing low support is to our 1st resistance at 0.98008 in line with the horizontal pullback resistance and 50% Fibonacci retracement. Alternatively, price may break structure and head for 2nd support where the 100% Fibonacci projection is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
USDCHF potential for a rise! | 22nd June 2022On the H4, with price expected to bounce off the stochastics indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from our 1st support at 0.96315 where the horizontal pullback support and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement is to our 1st resistance at 0.98879 in line with the horizontal pullback resistance and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Alternatively, price may break structure and head for 2nd support where the horizontal swing low support is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
USD CHF - FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERSUSD
FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: BULLISH
BASELINE
Hawkish Fed policy remains a key driver for Dollar strength. With headline inflation >8%, the Fed has been pressured to tighten policy aggressively, hiking rates by 75bsp at their June meeting, and continuing with Quantitative Tightening. STIR markets suggests aggressive policy action pricing a terminal rate of >3.8% by 2Q23 which should be a positive input for the US Dollar . Safe haven flows have also supported the USD as it’s usually inversely correlated to the global economy and global trade, appreciating when growth & inflation slows (disinflation) and depreciates when growth & inflation accelerates (reflation). Expectations of a cyclical slowdown, accompanied by multi-decade high inflation and synchronized removal of monetary policy stimulus from major economies has seen investors shun risk assets and even bonds (usually considered a safe haven), and the USD has been a key benefactor of the rush to safety as economic prospects have deteriorated. Even though US bonds are considered safe havens, the current high inflation has seen a strong stock-to-bond correlation and has caused big bond outflows. With bonds not fulfilling its usual save haven role the USD has benefited from the rush to safety.
POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES
As aggressive Fed policy has been supporting the USD, any incoming data (especially inflation ) that sparks further hike expectations, or additionally any comments from FOMC members that signals even more aggressive policy could trigger bullish reactions in the USD. As the cyclical outlook for the global economy is very bleak, and the USD is considered a safe haven, it means any incoming data that exacerbates fears of recession and triggers a big rush to safety could trigger bullish USD reactions. Further outflows in US bonds means more USD safe haven appeal. So, watching key triggers for further upside in bond yields like rising commodity prices and inflation expectations could also trigger further USD bullish reactions.
POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES
More recently the USD has reacted more cyclically to incoming data which could suggest markets is shifting from safe haven focus to the rising risks of recession. The worse growth data slows, the higher likelihood of a ‘Fed Put’ in the months ahead. Thus, extremely bad growth data could trigger bearish reactions in the USD despite its safe haven appeal. Tactically the USD is trading at cycle highs, and aggregate CFTC positioning is still close prior highs which acted aslocal tops for the USD. Thus, stretched positioning could make the USD vulnerable to mean reversion in the short-term. With a lot already priced for the Fed, it won’t take much for the Fed to disappoint markets on the dovish side. Thus, any FOMC comments that suggests more concern about the economy than inflation could trigger bearish reactions in the USD
BIGGER PICTURE
The fundamental outlook for the USD remains bullish as long as the Fed stays aggressive and cyclical concerns put pressure on risk assets. But we do want to be mindful that lots has been priced for the USD, and growth deteriorates, we are expecting that the weigh on the USD if markets start pricing in a higher likelihood of a less hawkish Fed as a result of higher risks of recession. Furthermore, given tactical and CFTC positioning, we would prefer deeper pullbacks for new med-term USD longs, but shortterm catalyst can still offer shorter bearish sentiment trades against the current strong bull trend.
CHF
FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: WEAK BULLISH
BASELINE
The CHF has been supported in recent months as STIR markets have steadily priced in higher interest rates for Switzerland as
well the SNB’s reluctance to intervene in the currency markets to weaken the CHF. This past week the SNB took a very aggressive
policy step by hiking rates with 50bsp and removing their previous classification that the CHF is ‘highly valued’.
Unlike other central banks, the SNB has chosen to try and tackle inflation before it runs rampant by hiking rates aggressively.
Their hike in June was the first hike since 2007, and if the bank follows through with a hike in September it will mean Switzerland
will have positive interest rates for the first time in 8 years.
There is scope for further strength from the CHF in the months ahead with 4 supporting drivers. The first is the SNB’s hawkish
tilt, the second is the bank’s acceptance of a stronger CHF will less intervention seen in recent months, the third is negative
underlying risk sentiment driven by the global cyclical slowdown and fourth is rising inflation.
The SNB did note that they are willing to be active in the foreign exchange market to ensure appropriate monetary conditions
which means too much CHF strength could get the wrong attention from the bank.
POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES
Any incoming data (especially inflation) or SNB comments that causes markets to price in even more aggressive policy from the bank could trigger bullish reactions in the CHF. As a risk sensitive currency, and catalyst that causes big bouts of risk off sentiment could trigger bullish reactions in the CHF.
POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES
The SNB has not been as active in trying to devalue the CHF through sight deposits as they have been in recent years. With
the bank now on a hiking cycle, any drastic appreciation could spark some intervention and would be a bearish catalyst. As a risk sensitive currency, and catalyst that causes big bouts of risk on sentiment could trigger bearish reactions in the CHF.
BIGGER PICTURE
The SNB surprised with a 50bsp hike and signalled, that unlike other central banks, they will not get behind the curve. That has
seen STIR markets fully price in another 50bsp for the September meeting. Apart from a hawkish central bank, we also have the
economy on a steady footing, as well as less risk of intervention as SNB’s Jordan said they no longer see the CHF as highly valued
(there is of course risk that they could intervene if the CHF appreciates too much too fast). This means that the bias for the CHF
has changed to bullish and we’ll be looking for big dips in the CHF for buying opportunities.
USDCHF approaching pivot, potential for a rise! I 20th June 2022On the H4, with price expected to bounce off the stochastics indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from our 1st support at 0.96474 where the horizontal pullback support and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement is to our 1st resistance at 0.98879 in line with the horizontal pullback resistance and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Alternatively, price may break structure and head for 2nd support where the horizontal swing low support is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
USDCHF Potential rise | 17th June 2022On the H4, with price expected to bounce off the stochastics indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from our 1st support at 0.96474 where the horizontal pullback support and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement is to our 1st resistance at 0.98879 in line with the horizontal pullback resistance and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Alternatively, price may break structure and head for 2nd support where the horizontal swing low support is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website
Today’s Notable Sentiment ShiftsCHF/SNB – The Swiss franc soared on Thursday after the Swiss National Bank delivered a surprise interest rate hike, increasing its policy Rate to -0.25% from -0.75%. Additionally, the SNB notes that based on their latest inflation forecasts, further rate hikes were likely in the coming meetings. The rate increase was the central bank’s first hike in 15 years.
GBP/BoE – An overall volatile day for GBP, largely in part to the BoE’s June meeting, where the central bank increased interest rates by 25 basis points taking the Official Bank Rate to 1.25%.
GBP initially weakened after the BoE’s announcement, which fell short of some participants’ expectations following the FOMC’s aggressive 75 basis point hike on Wednesday. However, GBP eventually pared its initial losses and continued to print fresh highs as the focus shifted to the BoE’s statement to act “forcefully” in response to “indications of more persistent inflationary pressures.”
USDCHF Sell a break of yesterday low.USDCHF - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 0.9929 (stop at 0.9951)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A break of yesterdays low would confirm bearish momentum.
A higher correction is expected.
Overbought signals and exhaustion indicators offer fair reason to sell the index but we prefer to see a break of support before fading this impressive move.
Our profit targets will be 0.9876 and 0.9856
Resistance: 0.9970 / 1.0000 / 1.0030
Support: 0.9930 / 0.9900 / 0.9880
USDCHF can retrace to the 0.97 🦐USDCHF on the 4h chart after our previous analysis is looking for a retracement to the upside.
The price perfectly bounced over the support area and is currently trading below a minor resistance.
How can i approach this scenario?
I will wait for a possible break of the structure and in that case, i will look for a nice long order according to the Plancton's strategy.
--––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
USDCHF Potential bearish drop | 15th June 2022On the H4, with price expected to reverse off the stochastic indicator, we have a bearish bias that price will drop to our 1st support in line with the horizontal pullback support from our 1st resistance is where the pullback resistance is. Alternatively, price may break structure and head for our 2nd resistance in line with the horizontal swing high resistance and 78.6% Fibonacci projection .
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
USDCHF Potential bearish drop | 15th June 2022On the H4, with price expected to reverse off the stochastic indicator, we have a bearish bias that price will drop to our 1st support in line with the horizontal pullback support from our 1st resistance is where the pullback resistance is. Alternatively, price may break structure and head for our 2nd resistance in line with the horizontal swing high resistance and 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
USDCHF Potential bearish drop | 14th June 2022On the H4, with price expected to reverse off the stochastic indicator, we have a bearish bias that price will drop to our 1st support in line with the horizontal pullback support from our 1st resistance is where the pullback resistance is. Alternatively, price may break structure and head for our 2nd resistance in line with the horizontal swing high resistance and 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
USDCHF H4 Potential Bounce | 13th June 2022On the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku cloud, we have a bullish bias that price will rise to our 1st resistance at 1.00556 where the horizontal swing high resistance and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement is from our 1st support at 0.98059 in line with the horizontal pullback support is. Alternatively, price may break structure and head for 2nd support where the horizontal pullback support is..
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
USDCHF, H4 Potential bullish continuationOn the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku cloud , we have a bullish bias that price will rise to our take profit at 0.98750 where the pullback resistance, 161.8% Fibonacci extension, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci projection are from our buy entry at 0.97509 where the swing low support is. Alternatively, price may break entry structure and head to our stop loss at 0.96612 where the pullback support is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCHF H4 Potential Bounce | 9th June 2022On the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku cloud, we have a bullish bias that price will rise to our 1st resistance at 0.98833 where the pullback resistance is from our 1st support at 0.97561 in line with the swing low support and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Alternatively, price may break 1st support structure and head for 2nd support at 0.95548 where the swing low support and 61.8% fibonacci retracement are.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
USDCHF, Potential for bullish momentumOn the H4, with prices moving above the ichimoku indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from our buy entry at 0.97149 where the horizontal swing low support is to our take profit at 0.98783 in line with the pullback resistance, 161.8% fibonacci extension, 61.8% fibonacci retracement and 100% fibonacci projection . Alternatively, price may break entry structure and head for stop loss at 0.96623 where the horizontal overlap support is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.