Could we see a bounce off major support?Price is in a large ascending channel suggesting there might be bullish momentum pushing prices up. Our pivot is at 0.8822 which is a pullback support level - if price were to bounce from this level, we could see it rise towards the 1st resistance at 0.8877 which is a recent major swing high resistance.
If price were to break the pivot, we could see it drop towards the 0.8777 support level which has seen prices bounce off multiple times in the past.
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Usd-chf
USDCHF to find buyers at current support?USDCHF - 24h expiry
Levels close to the 50% pullback level of 0.8789 found buyers.
Prices have reacted from 0.8742.
The bullish engulfing candle on the 4 hour chart the positive for sentiment.
We look to buy dips.
Our outlook is bullish.
We look to Buy at 0.8790 (stop at 0.8762)
Our profit targets will be 0.8860 and 0.8875
Resistance: 0.8821 / 0.8838 / 0.8850
Support: 0.8790 / 0.8770 / 0.8742
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Navigating USD/CHF: Dual Fundamental Forces at PlayHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around the 0.88000 zone. USDCHF is currently in an uptrend and approaching the critical 0.88000 support and resistance area. Now, let's dive into the fundamental analysis shaping this trade.
On one hand, recent CPI data in the US has shown signs of strength, suggesting potential USD appreciation. The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures indicate a robust performance, which could bolster the greenback's position against the Swiss franc. This upward pressure on the USD could provide support for USDCHF to maintain its upward trajectory.
However, on the other hand, there's a contradictory fundamental factor to consider. In Switzerland, there are indications that inflationary pressures are easing. The easing inflation in Switzerland may lead to a scenario where the Swiss franc weakens against the USD, consequently pushing USDCHF higher. Despite the USD's potential strength fueled by CPI data, the easing inflation in Switzerland adds a contrasting dynamic to the equation.
In summary, while strong CPI data in the US may support USD strength and USDCHF buying opportunities, the easing inflation in Switzerland introduces a counterbalancing factor that could also contribute to USDCHF upside potential. Traders should carefully weigh these conflicting fundamental dynamics alongside the technical analysis when making trading decisions.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCHF Analysis: Divergent CPI Trends in the US and SwitzerlandGreetings, traders! In today's trading session, we are closely monitoring USDCHF for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.88020 zone. USDCHF has been exhibiting an uptrend and is currently undergoing a correction phase, approaching the trend at the 0.88020 support and resistance area.
Recent Core CPI data from the United States has shown a notable increase, with the latest reading coming in at 0.4%, surpassing both the expected 0.3% and the previous 0.3% figures. This trend indicates a consistent upward trajectory in inflation, signaling potential economic strength. Considering this inflationary pressure, it is less likely that the Federal Reserve will implement rate cuts in the upcoming March meeting. The robust CPI data suggests a resilient economy, which could influence the Fed to maintain or adjust interest rates accordingly.
In Switzerland, inflation has been slowing at a faster rate than anticipated. This deceleration in inflationary pressures indicates potential economic challenges and could prompt the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to reassess its monetary policy stance. A significant deviation from expected inflation metrics may lead the SNB to adjust its interest rate policies, which could impact the USDCHF pair.
The contrasting CPI trends between the US and Switzerland play a crucial role in shaping monetary policy expectations. The stronger-than-expected inflation in the US diminishes the likelihood of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in March. Conversely, the deceleration in inflation in Switzerland may prompt the SNB to reassess its monetary policy approach, potentially influencing the USDCHF pair.
Trade safe and stay informed,
Joe.
BUY TRADE SETUP ON USDCHFHey Traders,
Check this analysis out on USDCHF. The pair had been making some bullish moves since Feb 1st now I am anticipating for a pullback as indicated on the chart for me to take some buy trade.
Provided that the price remains above the support, I will look for a nice BUY trade.
Keep a close tab on this one.
USDCHF Potential Continuation to upsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.87300 zone, USDCHF is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.87300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCHF Breakout and Potential retraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.86700 zone, USDCHF was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.86700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCHF: Bullish extension on the 1D timeframe.USDCHF is technically bullish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 60.467, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 44.050) as it has made a Channel Down bottom on December 29th 2023 and has since rebounded over the 1D MA50. Technically it is still halfway through the new bullish wave that should extend over the 1D MA200 at around +8.18% from the bottom. That falls a little under the 0.786 Fibonacci level and that's what we will use as target (TP = 0.9000).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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USDCHF:Strong dollar macros and potential upsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.86900 zone, USDCHF is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.86900 support and resistance area.
The Federal Reserve's recent cautionary stance, particularly the indication of no rate cuts in the near term, has the potential to bolster the US dollar against major currencies like the Swiss franc. This shift in sentiment towards a more hawkish Fed implies a stronger dollar, which historically correlates with higher USDCHF exchange rates. Investors tend to favor currencies associated with central banks that adopt tighter monetary policies, as they offer higher returns and lower inflation risks. Therefore, the Fed's reluctance to implement rate cuts in the immediate future could attract investors to the US dollar, leading to potential upside movements in USDCHF as traders adjust their positions in response to the evolving policy outlook.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCHF: Capitalizing on Fed's March Rate Cut WarningHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.86350 zone, USDCHF was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.86350 support and resistance area.
While technically USDCHF shows signs of a potential buying opportunity around the 0.86350 zone, it's essential to consider recent fundamental developments. The Federal Reserve's recent announcement, indicating no plans for a rate cut in March, has influenced market sentiment towards the US dollar. This cautious stance from the Fed has implications for USDCHF, potentially bolstering the dollar's strength against the Swiss franc. Traders should keep a close eye on how this fundamental factor interacts with the technical setup to make informed trading decisions
Trade safe,
Joe.
Sell USDCHF Channel BreakoutThe USD/CHF pair on the H1 chart exhibits a bearish signal suggesting a potential decline in the coming hours. A recent downside breakout from a descending channel pattern could offer a shorting opportunity.
Key Points:
Descending Channel Breakout: The price has been trending downwards within a channel defined by two falling lines, one for resistance and one for support. This indicates ongoing selling pressure and potential for further decline.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price near 0.8620, offering an entry point close to the breakout level.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 0.8540 and 0.8470, marking previous support zones within the channel.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the resistance line of the broken channel at 0.8700
Fundamental Updates :
Stronger Swiss Franc: The Swiss Franc has been gaining strength recently due to its safe-haven appeal amidst global economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions. This could put downward pressure on USD/CHF.
Thank you
USDCHF Watch: PCE Numbers and Fed Policy ImplicationsIn today's trading session, we are closely observing USDCHF for a potential selling opportunity around the 0.86500 zone. The latest release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data revealed an increase of 0.2%, slightly surpassing the previous 0.1% reading and meeting the forecast of 0.2%. However, when comparing this to the trend of recent months, where we've seen fluctuations between 0.1% and 0.3%, it indicates a relatively modest inflationary pressure. This moderate uptick in inflation might raise concerns about the Federal Reserve's upcoming monetary policy decisions, particularly as it deliberates on tapering its asset purchases and potential interest rate hikes. Traders are likely to scrutinize this data closely, as any indication of subdued inflation could weigh on the USD and cast doubt on the Fed's hawkish stance in the near term.
USDCHF:The Confluence of Trends and FundamentalsHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.85300 zone, USDCHF is trading an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.85300 support and resistance area.
From a technical perspective, USDCHF exhibits a clear uptrend, and its current correction phase positions it near the critical support and resistance area at 0.85300. Traders will be closely monitoring this level for potential entry points.
Now, let's add a fundamental layer to our analysis. Recent economic indicators, especially the Consumer Price Index (CPI), play a pivotal role in shaping currency dynamics. Examining the previous CPI figures (3.1%, 3.2%, 3.7%) in contrast to the latest readings (3.4%, 3.1%, 3.2%), we observe a nuanced inflationary pattern. This trend suggests a potential strengthening of the US dollar, aligning with the Federal Reserve's dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment.
Considering the CPI data within the broader economic landscape, traders may anticipate increased speculation regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. A growing inflationary environment could prompt the Fed to adopt a more hawkish stance, signaling potential interest rate adjustments in the future. This shift in monetary policy can significantly influence currency valuations, contributing to a possible strengthening of the USD against its counterparts.
In conclusion, as we navigate the intricacies of the forex market, keeping a watchful eye on both technical and fundamental factors is essential. The alignment of a favorable technical setup with evolving fundamental narratives enhances the overall decision-making process for traders.
Trade safe,
Joe.
USDCHF:Identifying a Correction Phase and Potential selling ZoneHey Traders, In tomorrow's trading session, our attention is on USDCHF as we identify a potential selling opportunity around the 0.86700 zone. USDCHF is currently trading in a downtrend and is in the midst of a correction phase, making the 0.86700 level a crucial area of interest.
As traders, it's essential to carefully analyze the price action in the vicinity of 0.86700, as it represents a key support and resistance area within the broader downtrend. This zone could serve as a strategic entry point for short positions, aligning with the overall market trend.
Trade safe,
Joe.
USDCHF to see a higher correction from 38.2% pullback?USDCHF - 24h expiry
Levels close to the 38.2% pullback level of 0.8682 found sellers.
Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high.
Daily signals are mildly bearish.
Short term MACD is moving lower.
A higher correction is expected.
We look to Sell at 0.8685 (stop at 0.8715)
Our profit targets will be 0.8610 and 0.8580
Resistance: 0.8650 / 0.8685 / 0.8700
Support: 0.8633 / 0.8620 / 0.8600
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
USDCHF Analysis with a Spotlight on CPI DynamicsIn the upcoming trading week, our focus turns to USDCHF, where we're eyeing a potential buying opportunity around the 0.84800 zone. Despite trading in an uptrend, the pair is currently in a correction phase, making its way toward the trend at the 0.84800 support and resistance area.
Delving into the fundamental landscape, recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data can significantly influence the dynamics of USDCHF. Today's CPI figures underscored the potential strength of the US dollar, with the actual 3.4% surpassing both the forecast of 3.2% and the previous month's 3.1%. This unexpectedly robust inflation data may impact the USD's trajectory, potentially bolstering its position against the Swiss franc.
As traders prepare for the week ahead, it's crucial to factor in both technical and fundamental analyses, keeping a close watch on USDCHF's movement in response to the evolving market conditions.
Trade safe,
Joe
USDCHF - Follow The Trend 🐻Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
📈 USDCHF been overall bearish , trading inside the falling blue channel and it is currently approaching the upper blue trendline.
Moreover, the zone 0.86 is a robust supply zone.
🎯 Therefore, the highlighted red circle represents a significant area to consider for potential sell setups, as it marks the intersection of the green supply and upper blue trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As USDCHF approaches the blue circle zone, I will be actively searching for bearish reversal setups to capture the next bearish impulse movement.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
USDCHF Potential DownsidesHey Traders, In today's trading session, our focus is on USDCHF, as we observe a potential selling opportunity around the 0.85800 zone. The currency pair is currently in a downtrend, and it is presently navigating a correction phase, edging closer to the trendline at the crucial 0.85800 resistance area. This technical setup suggests a strategic moment to consider a selling position, aligning with the prevailing downtrend in USDCHF.
As we monitor the price action, the 0.85800 resistance area becomes a pivotal zone to watch for potential reversal signals or a continuation of the downward movement. Traders should pay close attention to price behavior around this level and utilize appropriate risk management strategies to capitalize on potential selling opportunities in USDCHF..
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCHF Potential DownsidesGreetings Traders,
In today's trading session, our focus is on USDCHF as we actively monitor a potential selling opportunity around the 0.85600 zone. Presently entrenched in a downtrend, USDCHF demonstrates a sustained downward trajectory. Simultaneously, the currency pair is navigating a correction phase, steadily converging towards the trend at the pivotal 0.85600 support and resistance area. This numerical level holds significance as both a historical support point and a crucial juncture where the correction may intersect with substantial market forces.
Our strategic approach for today involves a meticulous assessment of optimal entry points within the identified 0.85600 zone, aligning our trading decisions with the ongoing downtrend and the potential market dynamics at the critical support and resistance area. As always, it's crucial to trade with caution and adhere to risk management strategies.
Trade safe, Joe.