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Usd-jpy-technical-analysis

USD/JPY(20250529)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting: The risks of rising unemployment and inflation have increased, and the benefits of flexible average inflation targeting in a high-risk environment have weakened; "Federal Reserve mouthpiece": Stagflation forecasts may become the tone of the Federal Reserve's June economic forecast summary. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 144.57 Support and resistance levels: 145.79 145.33 145.04 144.11 143.81 143.36 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 145.79, consider buying, the first target price is 146.20 If the price breaks through 145.33, consider selling, the first target price is 145.04
Long
by CrazyInvestorTom
USD/JPY(20250516)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Fed Chairman Powell: The Fed is adjusting its overall policy-making framework. Zero interest rate is no longer a basic situation. The wording of underemployment and average inflation rate needs to be reconsidered. PCE is expected to drop to 2.2% in April. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 145.93 Support and resistance levels: 147.26 146.77 146.44 145.42 145.10 144.61 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 145.93, consider buying, the first target price is 146.44 If the price breaks through 145.42, consider selling, the first target price is 145.10
Short
by Toml1314
USD/JPY(20250514)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The U.S. unadjusted CPI annual rate unexpectedly dropped to 2.3% in April, the lowest since February 2021. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 147.76 Support and resistance levels: 148.83 148.43 148.17 147.34 147.08 146.68 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 147.76, consider buying, the first target price is 148.17 If the price breaks through 147.34, consider selling, the first target price is 147.08
Short
by Toml1314
1
USD/JPY(20250430)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The European Central Bank expects prices to rise 2.9% over the next 12 months, up from 2.6% in February, according to a monthly survey released on Tuesday. This is the highest level since April 2024. The three-year indicator rose slightly to 2.5%. The ECB's first five-year forecast was 2.1%. Technical analysis: Today's long-short boundary: 142.32 Support and resistance levels: 143.13 142.83 142.63 142.01 141.81 141.51 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 142.32, consider buying, the first target price is 143.00 If the price breaks through 142.01, consider selling, the first target price is 141.81
Long
by Toml1314
USD/JPY(20250429)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The U.S. Treasury Department raised its second quarter debt forecast to $514 billion. U.S. Treasury Secretary: The "X Day" for the debt ceiling issue will be announced soon. Technical analysis: Today's long-short boundary: 142.62 Support and resistance levels: 144.52 143.81 143.35 141.89 141.43 140.72 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 142.62, consider buying, the first target price is 143.35 If the price breaks through 141.89, consider selling, the first target price is 141.43
Long
by Toml1314
1
USD/JPY(20250428)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The Fed's subsequent policy path considers two scenarios: First, there is no substantial progress in the negotiations between the United States and its trading partners. After 90 days, the US tariffs are still high. Weakened economic demand may prompt the Fed to cut interest rates starting in July, and the annual rate cut may reach 100 basis points; second, the negotiations are fruitful, tariffs are reduced, and the demand shock is small, but inflationary pressure continues. The Fed may postpone easing and only cut interest rates slightly in December. For the market, although the easing comes early in the first scenario, the "recession-style" rate cut may suppress risky assets. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 143.40 Support and resistance levels: 144.89 144.33 143.97 142.83 142.47 141.91 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 143.97, consider buying, the first target price is 144.33 If the price breaks through 143.40, consider selling, the first target price is 142.83
Short
by Toml1314
USD/JPY(20250425)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Federal Reserve-①Hamack: If economic data is clear, the Fed may cut interest rates in June ②Waller: It will take until July to get a clearer understanding of how tariffs affect the economy. If tariffs lead to higher unemployment, interest rate cuts may be initiated. ③The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model predicts that the US GDP growth rate in the first quarter will be -2.5%. ④Kashkari: The frequent announcements from Washington have brought challenges to policymakers and everyone. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 142.79 Support and resistance levels: 143.94 143.51 143.23 142.34 142.06 141.63 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 142.79, consider buying, the first target price is 143.23 If the price breaks through 142.34, consider selling, the first target price is 142.06
Long
by Toml1314
USD/JPY(20250424)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The United States hit a 16-month low in April. The total number of new home sales in the United States in March was an annualized to a new high since September 2024. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 142.82 Support and resistance levels: 144.93 144.14 143.63 142.01 141.50 140.71 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 143.63, consider buying, the first target price is 144.14 If the price breaks through 142.82, consider selling, the first target price is 142.01
Short
by Toml1314
USD/JPY(20250417)Today's AnalysisMarket news: U.S. import prices fell 0.1% in March from the previous month, the first month-on-month decline since September last year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 143.10 Support and resistance levels: 144.08 143.72 143.48 142.72 142.48 142.11 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 143.10, consider buying, the first target price is 143.48 If the price breaks through 142.72, consider selling, the first target price is 142.48
Long
by BraveTigercat
USD/JPY(20250416)Today's AnalysisMarket news: U.S. import prices fell 0.1% in March from the previous month, the first month-on-month decline since September last year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 143.10 Support and resistance levels 144.08 143.72 143.48 142.72 142.48 142.11 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 143.10, consider buying, the first target price is 143.48 If the price breaks through 142.72, consider selling, the first target price is 142.48
by BraveTigercat
USD/JPY(20250414)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Fed Collins: It is currently expected that the Fed will need to keep interest rates unchanged for a longer period of time. If necessary, the Fed is "absolutely" ready to help stabilize the market; Kashkari: No serious chaos has been seen yet, and the Fed should intervene cautiously only in truly urgent situations; Musallem: The Fed should be wary of continued inflation driven by tariffs. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 143.41 Support and resistance levels: 146.00 145.03 144.40 142.41 141.79 140.82 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 144.40, consider buying, the first target price is 145.03 If the price breaks through 143.41, consider selling, the first target price is 142.41
Short
by BraveTigercat
USD/JPY(20250411)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The annual rate of the US CPI in March was 2.4%, a six-month low, lower than the market expectation of 2.6%. The market almost fully priced in the Fed's interest rate cut in June. Trump said inflation has fallen. Technical analysis: Today's long-short boundary: 145.38 Support and resistance levels: 149.05 147.68 146.79 143.97 143.08 141.71 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 145.38, consider buying, the first target price is 146.79 If the price breaks through 143.97, consider selling, the first target price is 143.08
Short
by BraveTigercat
USD/JPY(20250407)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Fed Chairman Powell: Wait for clearer news before considering adjusting policy stance. One year later, as the impact of Trump's policies becomes clearer, uncertainty should be greatly reduced. Intends to complete the entire term. Potential tariffs may have a lasting impact on inflation. The impact of tariffs on the economy may be greater than expected. Downside risks have increased, but the economy is still in good shape. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 146.32 Support and resistance levels 149.17 148.11 147.41 145.22 144.53 143.46 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 146.32, consider buying, the first target price is 147.41 If the price breaks through 145.22, consider selling, the first target price is 144.53
by BraveTigercat
USD/JPY(20250403)Today's AnalysisMarket news: US trade policy-① Trump signed an executive order to establish a 10% "minimum base tariff" for all countries, and will impose reciprocal tariffs, including 20% ​​for the EU, 24% for Japan, 46% for Vietnam, and 25% for South Korea. The tariff exemption for goods that meet the USMCA will continue, and the tariff for those that do not meet the requirements will remain at 25%; ② The US Treasury Secretary called on countries not to retaliate; ③ The base tariff will take effect on April 5, and the reciprocal tariff will take effect on the 9th. In addition, the 25% automobile tariff will take effect on the 3rd, and the automobile parts tariff will take effect on May 3rd; ④ Gold bars, copper, pharmaceuticals, semiconductors and wood products are also not subject to "reciprocal tariffs". Today's buying and selling boundaries: 149.61 Support and resistance levels 150.97 150.46 150.13 149.08 148.75 148.24 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 148.75, consider buying, the first target price is 149.08 If the price breaks through 148.24, consider selling, the first target price is 148.00
by BraveTigercat