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Usd-jpy

USDJPY Outlook 28 March 2023*slightly messy chart* Mistakenly used this analysis profile during the live stream, but it still presents several very valid points. Yesterday the USDJPY was trading higher bouncing off the 130.60 price level, and climbing steadily to the 131.70 price level, despite the consolidation on the DXY. The 131.70 price level was crucial as it coincided with - 61.80% Fibonacci retracement level - bearish trendline - formation of the inverted head and shoulder pattern With the anticipation for a resumption of weakness on the DXY, we were looking for the price to reverse from the bearish trendline to trade back down to the 129.80 price level, with a slight hesitation at 130.60. At the current price level, with the USDJPY sitting above 130.60, a continuation to the downside can be expected, especially if the DXY continues to weaken. Look for the price to retest the key support level of 129.80. Although the next support level is at 128.15 (last tested in February) it is unlikely that the price could reach this level by today.
Short
by JinDao_Tai
1
USDJPY Potential Forecast | 28th March 2023Fundamental Backdrop 1. Plenty of uncertainty surrounding the banking and financial system/ USD. 2. JPY continues to be the more stable currency. Technical Confluences 1. Price in a strong bearish trend with price under the Ichimoku cloud 2. Lower lows and lower highs are being formed 3. Price can potentially retest the support level at 129.82. Idea Looking for bearish trend continuation and for price to tap into the key support level at 129.82. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas. We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades. Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks. OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
Short
by OlympusLab
USDJPY Outlook 27 March 2023Initial expectation was for the USDJPY to break below the 130 support level and trade significantly to the downside, with the next key support level at 128.13. However, on Friday, the DXY recovered in strength which saw the USDJPY bounce from the 130 support level to trade up toward the 131 interim resistance level. While the bearish trendline continues to apply downward pressure on the USDJPY, look for price to break above 131 to climb toward 132 which would coincide with the 61.8% fibonacci retracement level and the bearish trendline. However, any moves to the upside could be brief with the USDJPY likely to continue trading lower, toward the 130 and 128 key support levels.
Short
by JinDao_Tai
1
USDJPY Potential Sell Flash Manufacturing PMI | 24th March 2023Fundamental Backdrop 1. JPY Flash Manufacturing PMI, a leading indicator of economic health, increased from 47.7 to 48.6. 2. Actual result is also better than the expected 48.2 3. Last time we saw better results was in October and November 2021, which saw a 40 - 80 pip drop 4. Bias for today is medium bearish. Technical Confluences 1. Price in a strong bearish trend with price under the Ichimoku cloud 2. H4 supply zone at 131.100 3. Intermediate support at 130.600 4. Next support at 129.800. Idea Scenario 1: Looking for price to tap into the H4 supply zone at 131.100 before heading towards the intermediate support at 130.600 Scenario 2: I am looking for price to break the intermediate support at 130.600 before heading toward the next support at 129.800. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas. We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades. Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks. OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
Short
by OlympusLab
USDJPY Outlook 24th March 2023The USDJPY continues to trade lower, as the price maintains within the bearish channel. Following the weakness of the DXY from the FOMC decision, the USDJPY reversed strongly from the 133 price level to trade down to the current price level and key support level of 130. If the DXY continues to weaken, look for the USDJPY to break below the immediate support level of 130 to trade down to the next support level of 128, which aligns with the lower bound of the bearish channel. However, as prices reach toward levels last tested in February, anticipate significant choppy price action
Short
by JinDao_Tai
USDJPY January's Support is being testedThe USDJPY pair is testing the Rising Support from the January 15th Low for the first time since the February 2nd Low. This is a standard case of breakout trading. The price has been under the MA50 (4h) for 2 weeks. Trading Plan: 1. Buy as long as the Rising Support holds. 2. Sell if the Rising Support breaks (i.e. closes a candle under it). Targets: 1. 134.000 (Fibonacci 0.5 and MA200 (4h)). 2. 127.500 (Support (1)). Tips: 1. The RSI (4h) is consolidating for the past 10 days. This shows loss of strength on the current trend, which means that a rebound might have a slight edge at the moment. Please like, follow and comment!!
by TradingBrokersView
6
USDJPY Fundamental Analysis | 03/23/23On Thursday, the Japanese stock market experienced a decline as the Nikkei 225 Index fell by 0.17% to close at 27,420 points, and the broader Topix Index dropped by 0.29% to 1,957 points. This reversal was due to Wall Street's negative trend, following the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates by 25 basis points. The Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that there will not be any rate cuts this year, and if needed, rates may rise higher than expected. This decision affected financial stocks as Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen informed lawmakers that the US government was not planning to provide a "blanket insurance" for bank deposits. Moreover, Japanese manufacturers remained pessimistic for the third consecutive month in March due to concerns about slowing global growth, which could affect the country's export-heavy industries. As a result, financial, healthcare, and technology stocks experienced losses, with Mitsubishi UFJ (-1.4%), Takeda Pharmaceutical (-2.6%), and Keyence (-1.6%) being among the hardest hit. The Japanese yen strengthened to 131 per dollar, the highest in 5 weeks following the US Federal Reserve's rate hike decision. During the press conference, Fed Chair Powell explained that the pause in hiking rates was to address the banking crises. On the domestic front, the Bank of Japan's minutes from its January meeting indicated that members reiterated the need to maintain ultra-easy policies to achieve the 2% inflation target in a sustainable and stable manner. In this regard, the BOJ left its policy of ultra-low interest rates unchanged this month at Governor Haruhiko Kuroda's final policy meeting before his retirement. Looking ahead, Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expect the Japanese Stock Market Index to trade at 27,279.95 points by the end of this quarter and 24,842.68 in 12 months time. Additionally, the Japanese Yen is expected to trade at 137.83 by the end of this quarter and 146.74 in 12 months time.
Short
by TayFx
USDJPY Potential Downsides as we approach FOMCHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 133.8 zone, USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and extending pullbacks seems to be approaching the major trend around 133.8 Support and Resistance zone. Fundamentally the Market is expecting rates cut and fed pivot. more of a dovish Fomc gives us more of a weak Dollar and considering that JPY is considered a safe haven in this type of environment USDJPY shorts should be a perfect catch. Trade safe, Joe.
Short
by JoeChampion
24
USDJPYHi USDJPY has been examined in different dimensions: 1- Strong supply and demand levels that I identify with my own indicator and system. 2- The structure of recently formed waves 3- Current market momentum 4- The structure of classical and price patterns In this idea, I identified the direction of the market in different ways and in the second step, I analyzed the potential of continuation or reversal. Usually, paying attention to the trend and strength of the trend can greatly increase the accuracy of the analysis. In general, I tried to describe the continuation of the movement in the simplest possible way in the diagram. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a personal opinion and you are responsible for any trading decisions.
Short
by HamidRamezani1992
USDJPY Outlook 20th March 2023Similar to the price action on Gold, as uncertainty in the market grows and confidence over the banking structure weakens, investors are seen shifting towards reserve commodity and currencies. This is why the Yen has strengthened, together with the weakening of the DXY, leading to the USDJPY being pressured to trade steadily lower. The USDJPY currently trading at the 132 price level could see further downside - if the price maintains below the bearish trendline, and - if the price breaks below the 131.50 support level. Downside potential could see the USDJPY reach the 129.80 support level which was last tested in February. Alternatively, if the USDJPY bounces strongly from the 131.50 support level, the immediate resistance level is at 133.75 which coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (with an interim resistance level at 132.60)
Short
by JinDao_Tai
5
USDJPY More Downside Potential, Wait For Sell Setup USDJPY has been pushing down since it hits the previous highs to form a double top. With a ascending channel correction, price indeed reversed down impulsively, and form continuation correction along the way. Bow that we have push down more, and another consolidation has formed, usually give us a indication of more downside opportunity. Wait for current correction to complete to push the price down even more to previous lows.
Short
by jojofang0901
8
USDJPY H4 | Potential Reverse from 50% Fibo?Looking at the H4 chart, Price has reversed from the resistance level of 135.186 along with a 50% Fibonacci retracement. A reverse from here, the price could drop to 132.67 which is overlap support. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Short
by Genesiv
Could have potential to turn down on h4**Find out more from my Tradingview Stream this week** *************************************************************************************** Hello there! If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏 And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁 Thank you! Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared. Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, USDJPY was trading in an uptrend, but after Friday's NFP data USDJPY managed to breakout the trend and now in a correction phase. i expect USD to be more weak in the short term until the release of CPI data by Tuesday so we can have a more clear vision of fed monetary policy. High CPI indicates more of a restrictive monetary policy so more of a strong dollar and USDJPY upsides. a soft CPI indicates more of a dovish FOMC and then more USDJPY downsides. Technically we noticed the breakout of the uptrend so i will be monitoring USDJPY for a potential retrace of the trend around 136.1 zone. in case CPI is soft by Tuesday i would set 132.7 as a target as it's the next decent resistance and support zone the pair will be facing. Trade safe, Joe.
Short
by JoeChampion
18
USDJPY H4 | 10th March Looking at the H4 chart, Price is seeing support from an ascending support line. we are looking for a buy entry at 135.39 which is an overlap support. if price were to reverse from this level, it could push up to our take profit at 128.04, and stop loss will be at 134.46 which is an overlap support. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Long
by Rockqet
2
USDJPY Long Forecast Monetary Policy Statement | 10th March 2023Fundamental Backdrop 1. The Bank of Japan left interest rates unchanged, showing a very big interest rate differential between JPY and USD, weakening the JPY. 2. There are also signs that inflation has sustained above BOJ’s 2% target. Technical Confluences 1. The overall bias for USDJPY on the H4 chart is bullish . To add confluence to our bias, price is above the Ichimoku cloud . 2. Near-term resistance at 137.600. 3. Minor support at 136.000. Idea With my bias on the USD to still be bullish , combined with the weak fundamental backdrop on JPY, I expect price to head towards the near-term resistance at 137.600. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas. We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades. Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks. OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
Long
by OlympusLab