USDJPY H4 Potential Bearish Momentum | 28th July 2022On the H4, with price broken out of the ascending trendline and moving below the ichimoku indicator, we have a bearish bias that price will drop to our sell entry at 134.531 where the swing low support, 61.8% fibonacci retracement, 78.6% fibonacci projection and 161.8% fibonacci extension are. Once there is downside confirmation of price breaking entry structure, we would expect bearish momentum to carry price to the take profit at 131.480 where the swing low support is. Alternatively, price could head for stop loss at 136.723 where the overlap resistance is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Usd-jpy
USDJPY Potential for bearish dropOn the H4, with price broken out of the ascending trendline and moving below the ichimoku indicator, we have a bearish bias that price will drop to our sell entry at 134,504 where the swing low support, 61.8% fibonacci retracement , 78.6% fibonacci projection and 161.8% fibonacci extension are. Once there is downside confirmation of price breaking entry structure, we would expect bearish momentum to carry price to the take profit at 131.524 where the swing low support is. Alternatively, price could head for stop loss at 136.689 where the overlap resistance is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDJPY H4: Bearish outlook seen, potential reversal on pullback On the H4 time frame, prices are holding below a descending channel and a pullback to the resistance zone at 137.80, in line with the Fibonacci confluence levels presents an opportunity to play the drop to the support target at 134.50. Failure to hold below the resistance zone at 137.80 could see prices push higher to the next resistance level at 139.50. Stochastic is facing bearish pressure from its resistance at 97.27 as well.
USDJPY Potential for Bearish Continuation | 27th July 2022On the H4, with RSI moving in an descending trendline and price breaking the significant ascending trendline, we have a bearish bias that price will drop from sell entry at 136.701, where the 38.2% fibonacci retracement, 61.8% fibonacci retracement and overlap resistance are to the take profit at 135.596, which is in line with swing low resistance. Alternatively price could break sell entry structure and rise to stop loss at 137.705 where the 61.8% fibonacci retracement,38.2% fibonacci retracement and overlap support are.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
USD/JPY Price Forecast – The US Dollar Continues to HoverUS Dollar vs Japanese Yen Technical Analysis
The US dollar has gone sideways against the Japanese yen during trading on Wednesday as we continue to see a lot of noisy behavior in general. That being said, the market is more likely than not going to continue to see upward pressure as the Bank of Japan continues its monetary policy. After all, we have a perfect divergence of two central banks here, one of which is tightening, while the other is buying “unlimited government bonds.”
As long as this is going to be the case, it makes sense that we will continue to see this pair grind higher. However, it is so overdone at this point that it’s folly to think that we are suddenly going to turn around and take off to the upside again. I believe it is more likely than not a situation where we will see traders look at it through the prism of “buying the dips”, as we continue to reach the ¥140 level. Because of this, I think it’s likely that we will see more noise than anything else, but the ¥137.50 level should be supported, just as the ¥135 level should be.
If we do break the ¥135 level, then the 50 Day EMA comes into the picture, and things could get a little bit interesting at that point. Ultimately, this is a market that I believe has further to go, but a lot of the quick and easy money has probably already been made. Should probably expect quite a bit of noise, but more of an upward bias than anything else at this point in time.
USDJPY 4hour Analysis July 25th, 2022USDJPY Bearish Idea
Weekly Trend: Bullish
Daily Trend: Bullish
4hour Trend: Bearish
Trade scenario 1: Overall UJ has been very bullish on higherframes but as of last week the 4hour timeframe is looking more bearish.
To move forward with setups we’re looking for a lower high to form below 136.500 and then we can target lower toward 134.500 area.
Trade scenario 2: For us to see UJ as more bullish again we would need to see higher lows above 136.500 with strong bullish setups.
Micro USD/JPY Futures (M6J1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropType : Bearish Momentum
Resistance : 137.22
Pivot: 136.44
Support : 134.06
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving below the ichimoku indicator and has broken the ascending trendline, we have a bearish bias that price will rise and drop from the pivot at 136.44 where the pullback resistance, 78.6% fibonacci projection and 38.2% fibonacci retracement are to 1st support at 134.06 in line with swing low support, 161.8% fibonacci extension and 61.8% fibonacci retracement .
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and rise to the 1st resistance at 137.22 where the pullback resistance and 61.8% fibonacci retracement are.
Fundamentals: Due to the high volatility in USDJPY , we have a bearish bias on the USDJPY forex pair.
USDJPY Posted a Bearish Outside candle on the Weekly chartUSDJPY - Intraday - We look to Sell at 137.29 (stop at 137.99)
Posted a Bearish Outside candle on the Weekly chart. This is negative for sentiment and the downtrend has potential to return. A firmer opening is expected to challenge bearish resolve. Resistance is located at 137.33 and should cap gains to this area. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 135.52 and 135.00
Resistance: 137.33 / 139.30 / 145.00
Support: 135.50 / 132.00 / 126.70
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.'
Micro USD/JPY Futures (M6J1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropType : Bearish Momentum
Resistance : 137.22
Pivot: 136.44
Support : 134.06
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving below the ichimoku indicator and has broken the ascending trendline, we have a bearish bias that price will rise and drop from the pivot at 136.44 where the pullback resistance, 100% fibonacci projection and 38.2% fibonacci retracement are to 1st support at 134.06 in line with swing low support, 161.8% fibonacci extension and 61.8% fibonacci retracement .
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and rise to the 1st resistance at 137.22 where the pullback resistance, 78.6% fibonacci projection and 61.8% fibonacci retracement are.
Fundamentals: Due to the high volatility in USDJPY, we have a bearish bias on the USDJPY forex pair.
USD/JPY Outlook (25 July 2022)The BoJ continues to diverge from the other central banks, being the only major central bank yet to increase rates, as it held its ultra-loose monetary policy unchanged. Because of this, the Japanese Yen is expected to weaken against the other major currencies.
However, as the DXY weakened to the 106 level and investors grow concerned about the economic slowdown in the US, safe haven currencies and commodities were sought.
This caused the USDJPY to trade significantly lower towards the 136 support area. If the support level holds, further downside could be limited, with the USDJPY possibly correcting towards the upside to test the 137.60 resistance level.
Next lower support level is 135.00
USDJPY H4 Potential Bearish Momentum | 25th July 2022On the H4, with price broken out of the ascending trendline and moving below the ichimoku indicator, we have a bearish bias that price will rise and drop from our sell entry at 136.661 where the overlap resistance is to the take profit at 134.781 where the swing low support and 61.8% fibonacci retracement are. Alternatively, price could break entry structure and head for stop loss at 137.792 where the pullback resistance and 61.8% fibonacci retracement are.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
USDJPY Potential for bearish dropOn the H4, with price broken out of the ascending trendline and moving below the ichimoku indicator, we have a bearish bias that price will rise and drop from our sell entry at 136.716 where the overlap resistance is to the take profit at 134.801 where the swing low support and 61.8% fibonacci retracement are. Alternatively, price could break entry structure and head for stop loss at 137.771 where the pullback resistance and 61.8% fibonacci retracement are.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
USDJPY Technical Analysis Chart Update USD/JPY ( U.S Dollar / Japanese Yen ) Technical Analysis Chart Update
Time Frame - H1
According to LTF it was following Higher High - Higher Low Pattern but with Strong move it break this Trend
In STF it is following Bullish Channel if it rejects from the Upper Trend Line it will Follow Sell Trend From Good Strong Level at Fibonacci Level - 78.60%
USDJPY Up 10% Now!In the last post on the USDJPY, price was up 9% since breaking above resistance
at 125.85, which is the high from June 2015. Price has now moved up an extra 1%,
bringing the total to 10%.
Price is forming a neat linear trend with small clean pullbacks along the way up.
The 20 simple moving average on the daily timeframe has been acting as support.
The next major level of resistance is at 147.67, which is from the high formed back
in August 1998. There is still enough room to compound in this trend which could
even see price exceed levels of resistance if it remains impulsive.
Patience for now, as usual, as we wait for the next setup signal to add further positions.
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USDJPY Potential for bullish riseOn the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku indicator and along the ascending trendline, we have a bullish bias that price will rise to our take profit at 139.430 where the 61.8% fibonacci projection and swing high resistance are from our buy entry at 137.801 in line with pullback support. Alternatively, prices could break entry structure and drop to stop loss at 136.728 where the overlap support and 38.2% fibonacci retracement are.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDJPY Potential for bullish rise | 20th July 2022On the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku indicator and along the ascending trendline, we have a bullish bias that price will rise to our take profit at 139.377 where the 61.8% fibonacci projection and swing high resistance are from our buy entry at 137.785 in line with pullback support. Alternatively, prices could break buy entry structure and drop to stop loss at 136.661 where the overlap support and 38.2% fibonacci retracement are.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
USDJPY H4 Potential Bullish Momentum | 20th July 2022On the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku indicator and along the ascending trendline, we have a bullish bias that price will rise to our take profit at 139.372 where the 61.8% fibonacci projection and swing high resistance are from our buy entry at 137.767 in line with pullback support. Alternatively, prices could break entry structure and drop to stop loss at 136.728 where the overlap support and 38.2% fibonacci retracement are.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDJPY Potential for bearish drop | 19th July 2022On the H4, with price reversing off stochastic resistance, we have a bearish bias that price will drop to our sell entry at 137.817 where the pullback support, 78.6% fibonacci projection and 23.6% fibonacci retracement . Once there is downside confirmation of price breaking sell entry, we would expect bearish momentum to carry price to take profit at 136.661 in line with overlap support and 38.2% fibonacci retracement . Alternatively, price could rise to stop loss at 139.377 where the swing high resistance is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Micro USD/JPY Futures (M6J1!), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseType : Bullish Rise
Resistance : 138.78
Pivot: 137.22
Support : 136.44
Preferred Case: On the H4, with prices moving above the ichimoku cloud and within the ascending channel, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from the pivot at 137.22 in line with the pullback support and 61.8% fibonacci projection to the 1st resistance at 138.78 where the swing high resistance is.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and drop to the 1st support level at 136.44 in line with the pullback support, 50% fibonacci retracement and 100% fibonacci projection.
Fundamentals: Due to the dovish overall sentiment of yen, we have a bearish view of the USDJPY. We'll need to exercise caution for this setup because our fundamentals and technicals are not completely aligned.
Dip buying offers good risk/reward on USDJPYUSDJPY - Intraday - We look to Buy at 137.53 (stop at 136.50)
A sequence of weekly higher highs and lows has been posted. We can see no technical reason for a change of trend. There is scope for mild selling at the open but losses should be limited. Support is located at 137.50 and should stem dips to this area. Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 139.96 and 140.50
Resistance: 140.00 / 145.00 / 150.00
Support: 137.50 / 134.40 / 126.70
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.'