Update from the BoJ decision todaySince January 2023, the USDJPY has been on an astronomic rise, driven by the significant divergence between FOMC and BoJ monetary policies.
The initial market expectation was for the BoJ to intervene when the USDJPY approaches the 155 price level.
Today the Yen has come under fresh selling pressure, as the BoJ kept rates on hold, taking the USDJPY above 156.
Could 158 at the top of the channel be the next target intervention level?
From the BoJ today
Kept rates on Hold
No comments about an intervention
Yen continues to weaken with USDJPY climbing above 156
Usd-jpy
USDJPY → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY
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USDJPY D1 - Long SignalUSDJPY D1
A little way away here, but we have a nice confluence retest zone at 152.000. Strong area of previous resistance, now acting as support (hopefully).
Alongside D1 demand which was formed upon the volume witnessed when we broke out upside. Alerts set, waiting patiently.
USDJPY:Evaluating Buying Prospects Amidst Hawkish Fed indicatorsTraders,
In today's trading session, our sights are set on USDJPY, where we anticipate a potential buying opportunity around the 153.500 zone. USDJPY remains entrenched in an uptrend, presently undergoing a correction phase as it nears the pivotal support and resistance area at 153.500.
Diving deeper into our analysis, let's explore the fundamental landscape shaping USDJPY's trajectory. Recent economic indicators, notably the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, have illuminated the strength of the US economy.
The latest NFP figures showcased robust job creation, surpassing expectations and signaling economic resilience. This positive employment data has bolstered confidence in the US dollar, potentially driving USDJPY higher.
Additionally, the CPI data revealed an uptick in inflation, exceeding market forecasts and highlighting growing price pressures. Such inflationary trends may prompt the Federal Reserve to adopt a more hawkish stance in its monetary policy approach. A shift towards tightening monetary policy could further bolster the US dollar's strength, providing tailwinds for USDJPY.
Considering these fundamental factors alongside the technical uptrend, the potential buying opportunity in USDJPY around 153.500 presents an enticing prospect for traders.
Trade prudently,
Joe
How much higher can the USDJPY go?Yen weakness despite...
BoJ Exited negative rates regime
Increasing geopolitical uncertainty
Gold at historic highs of 2430
In 2022 and 2023, when the USDJPY approached the 152 price level, open/discreet intervention was in place to strengthen the Japanese Yen.
However, in 2024, the USDJPY has now surged past the 152 resistance level, with the Japanese Yen continuing to show signs of weakness.
Could 155 be the next target price level for an intervention?
USDJPY Top of Channel Up. Sell signal.The USDJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the July 14 2023 Low on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Currently it is about to exhaust the 2nd Bullish Leg of this Channel as it approaches its top (Higher Highs trend-line). It begun with a Low on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) and then a Higher Low on the 1D MA200.
With the 1D RSI overbought for the first time since July 05 2023, we are turning bearish on USDJPY after a long time but only for the short-term. Our target is 146.500 (Support 1).
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USDJPY Eyes Upside Potential Following CPI Data BoostAttention Traders,
In today's trading session, we're closely observing USDJPY, pinpointing a potential buying opportunity around the 152.900 zone. USDJPY maintains its uptrend trajectory, currently navigating a correction phase as it approaches the critical 152.900 support and resistance area.
Adding depth to our analysis, let's delve into the fundamental landscape. Recently released Consumer Price Index (CPI) data showcases an upward trend in inflation. Comparing the CPI figures from recent months reveals a gradual increase:
Mar 12, 2024: 0.4%
Feb 13, 2024: 0.4%
Jan 11, 2024: 0.3%
Dec 12, 2023: 0.3%
Nov 14, 2023: 0.2%
The latest CPI data, released yesterday on April 10th, reported a year-over-year increase of 3.5% in March, surpassing February's pace of 3.2% and economist expectations of 3.4%. Notably, this robust inflation rate was fueled by rises in housing and gasoline costs.
This acceleration in inflation can have significant implications for the US Dollar's strength. Higher inflation tends to bolster the USD as it prompts expectations of tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve to curb inflationary pressures. Consequently, investors may flock to the USD, anticipating higher interest rates in the future, which could drive USDJPY upwards.
As we navigate today's market, it's essential to factor in both technical and fundamental aspects. The potential buying opportunity in USDJPY at 152.900 aligns with the bullish sentiment driven by inflation data and the broader uptrend.
Trade wisely,
Joe
Potential bearish dropThe price is rising towards a resistance level and could reverse from this level towards our take profit
Entry: 151.752
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Stop loss: 151.971
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level
Take profit: 151.338
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bearish drop from swing high resistancePrice is currently on the swing high resistance level and could reverse from this level to our take profit
Entry: 151.809
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance
Stop loss: 152.303
Why we like it:
There is an alignment of the 78.6% Fibonacci projection
Take profit: 151.032
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
BUY TRADE SETUP ON USDJPYHey Traders,
Check out this technical analysis on USDJPY; it appears to be undergoing a small range pullback, potentially indicating a bullish momentum continuation.
However, I would recommend waiting for a proper retest of the broken key level before considering a buy-trade entry.
Alternatively, there may be an opportunity for a sell trade if the market breaches the evident support area.
Keep a close eye on this.
The USD/JPY pair rises to its highest levels since 1990The USD/JPY pair rises to its highest levels since 1990
The Japanese yen continued its losses during trading on Wednesday, with the USD/JPY pair falling to its lowest levels since July 1990, that is, in nearly 34 years, with the continued strong upward momentum of the American currency and the failure of the recent shifts in monetary policy at the Bank of Japan to give sufficient support to the yen. Japanese.
The dollar/yen pair rose to the level of 151.975 yen during early trading in the session, which is the highest level recorded by the pair since the beginning of July 1990, after the Governor of the Bank of Japan, Kazuo Ueda, stated that the Bank of Japan will continue to maintain its current accommodative policy as long as necessary. To support economic growth.
But the yen was then able to regain some ground and recovered a bit after Japan's Finance Minister, Shunichi Suzuki, came out with an immediate warning, calling for decisive action by the government, a phrase he last used in late 2022, before the Bank of Japan intervened in the forex market. To buy yen and sell dollars.
Last week, the Bank of Japan raised interest rates for the first time in 17 years, but despite this, the Bank of Japan's tightening is expected to occur very gradually, which has reinforced the yen's losses, especially in light of growing expectations that the Federal Reserve may have to wait. longer before he could cut rates, which gave additional support to the dollar.
Usdjpy - is market anticipating for something?Tradingview Ideas:
Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Has been sideway for the past 6-7 days...something is brewing for USDJPY? Let's watch first..personally i dont have a crystal ball..lend me if you do... so not sure if its gonna break which way..though its still bullish. But let's see..
Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place.
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USDJPY Buy the Resistance break out.USDJPY has reached but yet failed to cross over Resistance A (151.950) since last Wednesday.
The prevailing pattern is a Channel Up so wait until a 1day candle closes over Resistance A and buy the break out.
Target 155.500, which would be a symmetric bullish wave as the first one of this Channel Up.
Previous chart:
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USDJPY to breakdown?USDJPY - 24h expiry
Price action continues to be mixed and volatile for 6 days in succession resulting in spikes in both directions.
The rally was sold and the dip bought resulting in mild net losses yesterday.
Bespoke support is located at 148.96.
A Fibonacci confluence area is located at 148.95.
Rumours of intervention have resulted in a spike in volatility.
A break of 151.02 is needed to confirm follow through negative momentum.
We look to Sell a break of 151.02 (stop at 151.62)
Our profit targets will be 149.52 and 149.32
Resistance: 151.97 / 154.73 / 155.00
Support: 150.50 / 149.96 / 148.54
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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Could USDJPY downside momentum continue?Price is rising towards a pullback resistance level and could potentially reverse from the level to our take profit
Entry: 151.659
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 151.974
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance
Take profit: 151.033
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDJPY Approaching a significant support areaHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 148.200 zone, USDJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 148.200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USD JPYMy analysis on USD JPY, I use limit orders so I don't need to be in front of the chart all day.
To consider this a good entry there are certain criteria to follow:
1. Clean BoS with IMB.
2. * Look for areas where liquidity has been purged.
3. * Stochastic: in uptrend 0-15, in downtrend 85-100.
( * ) = Not optional but increases our probability.
I use Fibonacci to get these extreme points and my preferred one is 75% retracement, with a risk-reward of 1:3.
Set and forget.
Trade carefully,
This is not financial advice, DYOR.
UJ could have a little upside more,note BOJ and FED ratesHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
This week gonna be a hectic week for most of the majors with the interest rate news. There are levels to watch on UJ and catch up with me on my streaming to hear me out on deeper analysis!
Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
*********************************************************************
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
*********************************************************************
USDJPY Potential Continuation to upsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 148.800 zone, USDJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 148.800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow’s trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 147.600 zone, USDJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 147.600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY: Excellent buy opportunity.USDJPY is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.212, MACD = -0.110, ADX = 47.052) but not only is the price making a rebound on the 1D MA200 but the 1D RSI is also staging a rebound from nearly oversold levels, much like it did on July 13th 2023. All this price action is taking place inside a long term Channel Up pattern, so this is a buy opportunity with significant upside potential. Our target is the top of the Channel (TP = 160.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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