The USDSEK pair is testing the Internal Higher Lows trend-line of the 2-year Channel Down pattern, below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Having made its last Lower High just above the 0.786 Fibonacci level (similar to the previous Lower High), it is technically expected to break the Internal Higher Lows trend-line and extend to...
The USDSEK pair is consolidating below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This is half-way through the new Bearish Leg of the 1.5 year Channel Down, with the recent Top in May being formed on the 0.786 Fibonacci, just like the previous Lower High (November 01 2023). The current consolidation resembles that of November -...
This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is...
The USDSEK pair hit the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of the previous Lower High of the long-term Channel Down and has immediately reacted with a rejection. This rejection is the ideal short-term sell entry for a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) test, which the current Bullish Leg hasn't tested since March 21 2024. Our Target is...
The USDSEK pair followed our trading plan to perfection last time we made a sell call on it (October 06 2023, see chart below) as it completed the Head and Shoulders pattern and aggressively declined to hit our 10.4500 Target: At the moment the price is ranging within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) being Support and Resistance...
USDSEK crossed over the LH trend-line as well as the 1D MA50, ending the 1 month pullback and turning the 1D timeframe bullish again (RSI = 57.915, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 28.535). According to two same fractals within 2023, we should be expecting at least a test of the Resistance, if not the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. As long as the 1D MA50 holds, we are short term...
We haven't looked at the USDSEK pair in exactly 1 year but it was that Higher Higher rejection (see chart below) that gave us the best sell opportunity since COVID: On the 1D time-frame an Ascending Triangle has emerged since and the price has been rejected on the latest September 21 Higher High. We can see the emergence of a Head and Shoulders pattern that...
USDSEK is trying to confirm a Right Shoulder of a Bearish Head and Shoudlers Pattern at the PCZ of a Harmonic Bearish AB=CD. If it is able to goback down from here and break through the neckline then we could see action similar to what we saw on the EURHUF.
With the global economy showing more resilience and the Fed slowing its pace of tightening, we believe EM currencies can outperform relative to G10 peer currencies this year. Attractive real yields should result in market participants accumulating exposure to developing currencies, while our assumption for contained banking sector stresses should lead to improved...
The USDSEK pair has been rising parabolically all year due to the well-known fundamental reasons empowering the USD amidst the high inflation. The price has finally reached though a technical level that we have to consider as it has been forming long-term tops over the past 7 years. As you see on this 1W chart, the Resistance we are referring to is the Higher...
We haven't updated the USDSEK pair for over 2 months and on the long-term it still looks bullish. This chart is on the 1D time-frame, where the price reached again the 2.5 Fibonacci extension as on the July 12 High. With the 1D RSI hitting the Lower Highs trend-line twice, which is the level where all price Highs have been made since November 24 2021, it is very...
The USDSEK pair had an excellent technical bounce on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) following our previous analysis: As you see that was our 1st suggested buy entry, so if you took the trade you can book (partial) profits and enter on the next pull-back near the diverging Higher Lows trend-line. The long-term entry is now located on the 1D MA200 (orange...
We see the potential for a bullish bounce from our buy entry at 9.23337 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement towards our Take Profit at 9.38103 in line with 100% Fibonacci Projection and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Our bullish bias is supported by stochastic indicator where price is trading at support level. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices,...
Price is near buy entry level of 9.46834 in line with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement . Price can potentially move towards the take profit level of 9.75972 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci projection and 50% Fibonacci retracement . Our bullish bias is supported by stochastic indicator as it is near to the support level. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices,...
Price is near buy entry level of 9.56198 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement. Price can potentially move towards the take profit level of 9.76677 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci projection and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our bullish bias is supported by stochastic indicator as it is near to the support level. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other...
Price is near sell entry level of 9.57412 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement . Price can potentially dip to the take profit level of 9.44253 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our bearish bias is supported by the price trading below the Ichimoku cloud indicator. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party...
Prices are on bullish momentum and abiding to our ascending channel. We see the potential for a bounce from our buy entry at 9.44595 in line with Fibonacci Confluence (61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci projection) towards our Take Profit at 9.60693 in line with 161.8% Fibonacci extension . Our bullish bias is further supported by how prices are...
Pullback done to the trend line and Price chart reacted. We anticipate that we will have price increases for goals one and two.