USD-TRY
USDTRY Setting Lower Lows, 61.8% Retracement CompleteCan we expect more decline from this point? I believe so and here is why:
Since it reached all time high, USDTRY was unable to continue that trend and started making lower lows if you look at the 1h graph.
First real decrease happened in the previous few days and 61.8% retrace was completed with the pair unable to continue higher.
RSI bearish, MACD pointing down.
In the short run, traders can benefit from short selling USDTRY.
In the long run, however, I still stick to my idea of an inflationary dollar (ex. EUR/USD going to parity, even lower, USD is to be inflationary and we might see appreciation due to avoiding capital outflows, high bond prices and worryingly low bond yields).
Good luck!
USDTRY: Will Long Support Result In New Heights?USDTRY is nearing Large Supports (2.91 - 2.88) and Resistances (3.00 and 3.06). It is inevitable that it will eventually break out, but to which direction? USDTRY has been in a Longterm Uptrend for years now, and if the support is broken, it may jeopardize this trend and lead to the downfall of this currency pair. I believe that gramci_2's Pitchfork concept may hold to be true and that the midterm uptrend channel ( invst.ly ) may remain strong, but in case of a breakout, it is destined to meet with Long Support. If this Support is to hold, it may result in a similar movement of last month unless the 3.06 resistance breaks (see Elliott Pattern). Else, if the support will break, I believe it will translate to a downtrend for USDTRY. Do you agree?