Bearish drop off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?AUD/USD has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6319
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6345
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6281
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that line sup with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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USD (US Dollar)
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 150.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 150.92
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 148.97
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce?USD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and also line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.4242
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and also slightly above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.4151
Why we like it:}
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 1.4357
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD Short IdeaTrade entered. Entry rules met.
Confluences:
✅ Bearish overall bias
✅ Bearish demand zone
✅ Bearish impulse crab pattern
✅ Bearish divergence
✅ Bearish break of structure
✅ Entering London close zone
✅ Price is in entry zone
✅ Required risk:reward met
⭐ I shared this watch zone in my weekly forex outlook this week, you can subscribe by clicking the link in my bio.
Bearish reversal?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Pivot: 1.4385
1st Support: 1.4238
1st Resistance: 1.4485
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the price bounce from here?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 68.47
1st Support: 66.88
1st Resistance: 70.38
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish momentum to extend?The Gold (XAU/USD) has reacted off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 2,998.31
1st Support: 2,954.94
1st Resistance: 3,051.82
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish rise?The Silver (XAG/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 32.67
1st Support: 31.91
1st Resistance: 33.58
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/JPY(20250325)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
150.25
Support and resistance levels:
151.62
151.11
150.78
149.73
149.40
148.89
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 150.78, consider buying, the first target price is 151.11
If the price breaks through 150.25, consider selling, the first target price is 149.73
US Dollar Weakens: Hedge Funds Shift to Short PositionsThe U.S. dollar, long considered a bastion of stability, is facing a significant shift in sentiment as hedge funds begin to adopt a bearish stance. This reversal, marking a notable change since the period following Donald Trump's election, is driven by a complex interplay of economic uncertainties and evolving market expectations.
Factors Driving the Bearish Turn:
• Shifting Federal Reserve Expectations:
o A key driver of this bearish sentiment is the evolving outlook on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Initially, expectations of a strong dollar were bolstered by projections of limited Fed rate cuts. However, growing concerns about the fragility of the U.S. economy have led to increased expectations of multiple rate reductions. This shift in expectations weakens the dollar's appeal.
• Economic Uncertainty and Trade Policies:
o Concerns surrounding potential trade wars and the impact of certain economic policies are also weighing on the dollar. Uncertainty about future trade relations and their potential impact on U.S. economic growth is creating apprehension among hedge fund managers.
o The impacts of possible public sector job cuts, and restrictive immigration policies, are also adding to the economic uncertainty.
• Data from the CFTC:
o Data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) reveals a clear trend. Speculative traders have moved from holding significant long-dollar positions to net short positions, indicating a substantial shift in market sentiment.
• Global Economic Factors:
o The relative strength of other global economies also plays a role. If other global economies are showing signs of stronger growth, that can also put downward pressure on the dollar.
Implications of a Weaker Dollar:
• Impact on Global Trade:
o A weaker dollar can have significant implications for global trade, potentially making U.S. exports more competitive while increasing the cost of imports.
• Inflationary Pressures:
o A depreciating dollar can also contribute to inflationary pressures within the U.S. as import prices rise.
• Investment Flows:
o Changes in the dollar's value can influence international investment flows, as investors adjust their portfolios in response to currency fluctuations.
Market Analysis:
• Analysts are closely monitoring these developments, with some revising their dollar forecasts downward. The shift in hedge fund positioning underscores the growing uncertainty surrounding the U.S. economic outlook.
• It is important to understand that the currency markets are very dynamic, and things can change rapidly.
• The effects of political events, and world wide economic changes can have very large effects on the dollar.
In essence, the shift in hedge fund sentiment reflects a growing recognition of the complex economic challenges facing the U.S. As these challenges unfold, the dollar's trajectory will remain a key focus for investors and policymakers alike.
Weekly Analysis for Week 13 2025!Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Did you managed to get some pips from EURUSD before the mid week reversal ?
Or did you catch some pips from EJ as well?
No? Missed out on it? No worries, check out my trading analysis for next week (week 13) to get some insights and tips for the potential moves in the Forex market!
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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Bullish bounce?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 85,975.56
1st Support: 83,546.45
1st Resistance: 91,753.89
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that line sup with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,983.48
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,952.61
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,028.95
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD Forming the new long-term Top.The EURUSD pair continues to trade within a Bullish Megaphone pattern and is about to complete today the 4th straight red 1D candle.
This is technically a top formation as the 1D RSI went from overbought (above 70.00) to below 60.00. Technically a downtrend gets confirmed when the price breaks below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) so until it does, the probability for another short-term bounce there isn't small. This is what took place in September 2024.
Once the 1D MA50 breaks though, we expect a test of Support 1 at 1.03650, as it happened on October 23 2024.
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EUR/USD LONG 4H
Hello, I am Forex Trader Andrea Russo, and today I want to share with you a strategy I have adopted for a position on EUR/USD. I will analyze the reasoning behind my choice and the setup I am using to maximize opportunities, minimizing risk.
The trade setup
I decided to enter EUR/USD with an entry level at 1.08483, setting a stop loss (SL) at 1.08095 and a take profit (TP) at 1.0944. This trade is based on a series of technical and fundamental factors that suggest a probable continuation of the upward movement.
Technical analysis
My decision is supported by some key technical signals:
Uptrend: The EUR/USD cross has shown good recent strength, supported by a series of higher lows.
Support at 1.08095: The SL level has been set below the main support to protect the trade from a potential reversal.
Resistance at 1.0944: The TP was calculated based on a major resistance level that could serve as a target for a significant upside move.
Fundamental Analysis
From a fundamental perspective, there are several elements that are positively influencing EUR/USD:
Divergent monetary policies: The prospect of more hawkish ECB policies versus the Fed is supporting the euro.
Macroeconomic factors: Recent data on economic growth expectations in the eurozone provide a favorable backdrop for the cross to rise.
Risk/reward ratio
With a stop loss set at 1.08095 and a take profit at 1.0944, the risk/reward ratio of this trade is optimal, standing at around 1:2. This setup allows you to contain your risk and aim for a significant gain.
Trade Management
Once the position is opened, I will monitor the market movements and keep an eye on key indicators to assess any adjustments. If prices move quickly towards the TP, I may consider partially closing the position to protect profits.
Conclusion
This trade represents an interesting opportunity in a dynamic and variable market. Risk management remains the cornerstone of any winning strategy, and with a well-calculated setup like this, we aim to make the most of market conditions.
USDCHF oversold bounce back capped at 0.8862The USD/CHF price action exhibits bearish sentiment, supported by the prevailing downtrend. The current intraday swing high at 0.8860 serves as a critical trading level, as the pair shows potential for an oversold rally before facing bearish rejection.
Key Levels to Watch:
Key Resistance: 0.8860 (current intraday swing high)
Immediate Support: 0.8760
Lower Support Levels: 0.8720, 0.8680
Upside Resistance Levels: 0.8913, 0.8970
Bearish Scenario:
An oversold rally toward the 0.8860 level, followed by a bearish rejection, could validate the downtrend and target the immediate support at 0.8760. Continued bearish momentum could extend the decline to 0.8720 and ultimately 0.8680 over the longer timeframe.
Bullish Scenario:
A confirmed breakout above the 0.8860 resistance level, accompanied by a daily close above this mark, would negate the bearish outlook. This scenario could trigger further rallies toward the next resistance levels at 0.8913 and 0.8970.
Conclusion:
The prevailing sentiment remains bearish amid the ongoing downtrend. Traders should closely monitor the 0.8860 level for potential bearish rejections or a bullish breakout. A sustained close above this resistance could signal a shift toward bullish momentum, while failure to break above would reinforce the bearish outlook.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
AUDUSD BUYWe have a specific type of divergence on the 1-hour timeframe ⏳, indicating a potential drop 📉 in the higher timeframe. On the other hand, the lower 15-minute timeframe 🕒 gives us a buying perspective 📈. So, the analysis will be as shown in the image.
#audusd #ForexTrading #PriceAction #ForexSignals #TradingAnalysis 💹
EURUSD BUYWe have a specific type of divergence on the 1-hour timeframe ⏳, indicating a potential drop 📉 in the higher timeframe. On the other hand, the lower 15-minute timeframe 🕒 gives us a buying perspective 📈. So, the analysis will be as shown in the image.
#eurusd #ForexTrading #PriceAction #ForexSignals #TradingAnalysis 💹
GBPUSD - Chasing the Bulls!!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GBPUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in red.
Moreover, the blue zone is a major daily support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of daily support zone and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Bearish Outlook Explained
Dollar Index is currently consolidating within a range on intraday time frames.
Testing its upper boundary, the market formed a double top pattern.
With a strong bearish mood after the opening, the market is going
to drop lower.
Goal - 103.8
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USD/CAD Triangle Pattern (24.03.2025)The USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.4403
2nd Resistance – 1.4435
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