EURUSD below its 4H MA50 signals more selling.The EURUSD pair broke last Wednesday below its 4H MA50 for the first time since the start of April and is now consolidating under it. Within its 3-month Channel Up, this has always been a signal of more downtrend to come as it was technically halfway through the Bearish Legs of the pattern.
Given that the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) is the medium-term Support, our Target is at 1.12500, just above the Internal Higher Lows trend-line. Check also the 4H RSI sequences between these 3 Bearish Legs. It is exactly ranging between the levels it did half-way through those Legs.
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USD (US Dollar)
MARKETS week ahead: April 28– May 4Last week in the news
The market is currently perceiving that there is sort of relaxation in the US-China trade war. This was the major premise which boosted US equity markets. The S&P 500 gained around 4,6% on a weekly level. A positive market sentiment and short relaxation on uncertainty brought the price of gold lower by 2% on Friday, ending the week at the level of $3.318. On the same premise reacted the US Treasury bond market. The 10Y US benchmark closed the week lower, at the level of 4,25%. The crypto market was also part of the positive sentiment, as BTC managed to make a break-through from previous levels and reach levels above the $95K.
The US-China trade war continues, however, with a softener rhetoric, which brought market sentiment to the positive side. Still, it remains quite confusing, where the majority of analysts are not sure what the final deal would look like. Actually, it seems that nobody knows, even the US Administration. The latest comment from the US President on the topic is that eventually tariff rates will “come down substantially, but it won't be zero”. Also, the US President commented that he has no intention of “firing Powell”.
The Financial Times posted an article in which the journal noted that Apple was planning to shift all Iphones assembly to India. Analysts, involved in the matter, reacted to this news with arguments that such a move is highly questionable, both from the logistic side and from a tariffs side.
The federal Reserve withdraws crypto guidance for banks. The Federal Reserve revoked its 2022 and 2023 guidance that required banks to notify or get approval before engaging in crypto or stablecoin activities.
As Reuters reported during the previous week, based on six sources, the ECB is considering further cutting of its policy rates at the June meeting. The relaxing inflation and drop in the economic outlook ECB members see as a good reason to further decrease their reference interest rates.
China is targeting the supremacy in the AI industry and development in comparison to its US counterparts. As news reported, the China President Xi Jinping called during the previous week for a “self-reliance and self-strengthening” in China within artificial intelligence. This now represents a key strategic area for China when it comes to their US counterparts.
JPMorgan published the results of a survey among investors over their perception of the US economy in the future period. There has been a consensus on a high potential of stagflation, while the majority of participants perceive the weak US Dollar during this year. The major risk is coming from the ongoing trade war, which will have a negative impact on the US economy, as per survey.
Crypto market cap
The crypto market is in green again. After several weeks of struggling, the crypto market finally made its final break-through and increased the value of the total market capitalization. This move was supported by the relaxation of rhetoric of the US Administration in an US-China trade war. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by 10% on a weekly basis, increasing its total value by $262B. Daily trading volumes almost doubled from the week before, trading around $166B on a daily basis. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -10%, with $318B outflow of funds.
The major coins which drew the total crypto market to the higher grounds was BTC. The coin added $183B to its market cap, increasing it by more than 10% on a weekly basis. ETH also performed well, with an weekly inflow of $ 23B, which increased its market cap by 12%. Other major coins also performed well during the week. Solana added $5,4B to its market cap, which was an increase of 7,5%. DOGE surged by 14,8%, adding $3,4B to its market cap. Among higher gainers was IOTA, with a surge in value of 27,3%, LINK was traded higher by 15%, Algorand gained around 19% w/w. The majority of other coins gained above 10% on a weekly basis. This week there were almost no losers on the crypto market.
As for coins in circulation, this week Polkadot and Filecoin added 0,6% of new coins to the market, same as EOS. Maker made a significant increase of 0,8% within a single week. Stablecoin Tether increased its number of coins by 1,7%, which was one of the highest increases for this stablecoin within this year.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market also reacted on a positive sentiment caused by relaxation in rhetoric regarding trade tariffs. BTC futures were traded higher by more than 12% for all maturities. The positive development is that the long term futures returned to the levels above the $100K. Futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $99.770, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $105.755.
Similar situation is also with ETH futures. Positive is that the long term maturities reached levels above the $2K. In this sense December 2026 was closed at price $2.043, while futures maturing in December this year were last traded at round $1,9K.
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is risng towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st suport which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 65.64
1st Support: 57.71
1st Resistance: 71.18
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.8400
1st Support: 0.8089
1st Resistance: 0.8604
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the price reverse from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resitance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 145.61
1st Support: 140.60
1st Resistance: 147.84
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bulllish continuation for the Cable?GBP/USD is fallling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.3110
1st Support: 1.3005
1st Resistance: 1.3415
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards pullback support?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is fallling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.1192
1st Support: 1.1051
1st Resistance: 1.1512
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1,808.27
1st Support: 1,451.43
1st Resistance: 2,102.09
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 94,852.52
1st Support: 88,147.57
1st Resistance: 106.444.58
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DXY Printing a Bullish Triangle??The DXY on the 1 Hr Chart is forming a potential continuation pattern, the Bullish Triangle!
Currently Price is testing the 99.6 - 99.8 Resistance Area and battling with the 200 EMA and 34 EMA Band. The reaction to this conjunction could be pivotal in who overcomes: Buyers or Sellers.
Now during the formation of the potential pattern, Price on the RSI has stayed relatively Above the 50 mark being Bullish Territory suggesting Buyers could win the Bull-Bear battle.
Until Price breaks either the Resistance Area or the Rising Support, we will not have a definitive direction in which USD will strengthen or weaken.
*Wait For The Break*
-If Price breaks the Resistance Area, USD will strength possibly heading to the 100.8 - 101 Area
-If Price breaks the Rising Support, USD will weaken possibly heading to the 98.5 - 98.3 Area
Fundamentally, it is said China and USA are possibly getting closer to potentially ending the Reciprocal Tariff War going on with both sides willing to negotiate.
With the USA being the #1 Consumer of Goods globally, other economies can not afford us to not buy their things so I continue to see the Tariff War more as a Strong-Arm for the USA to be able to negotiate better terms!
USD News:
JOLTS - Tuesday, Apr. 29th
GDP - Wednesday, Apr. 30th
Unemployment Claims / ISM Manu. PMI - Thursday, May 1st
Non-Farm Employment Change / Avg Hourly Earnings / Unemployment Rate - Friday, May 2nd
For all things Currency,
Keep it Current,
With Novi_Fibonacci
Potential bullish rise?XAG/USD is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 33.02
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 32.21
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 34.51
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and also lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could reverse to from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 144.37
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and is also slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 145.43
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 142.20
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.60000 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.60000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest support and resistance analysis for EURUSD
for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPUSD - Big Move Setting Up - Elliott Wave AnalysisGBPUSD is currently unfolding a 5-wave impulsive move according to Elliott Wave Theory.
At the moment, we are in Wave 4, which typically corrects against the larger trend.
Key Points:
Wave 2 was a simple correction, so based on alternation, Wave 4 is expected to be more complex (likely an ABC structure).
Wave 4 often retraces to the 38.2% Fibonacci level — in this case, aligning perfectly with a long-term ascending trendline, providing additional confluence for a potential buy zone.
Trade Plan:
- Monitor the ABC correction for completion near the 38.2% retracement.
- Look for bullish confirmation (trendline break, bullish structure shifts, BOS, etc.).
- Entries will be considered after clear signs of bullish pressure.
- Stoploss: Below the lows formed during the Wave 4 correction.
Targets:
First Target: 1.3400 (450 pips)
Second Target: 1.3750 (800 pips)
Summary:
Patience is key during the Wave 4 correction. Once the setup confirms, this could offer a strong risk-reward opportunity within the overall bullish impulsive structure.
See our past GBPUSD setups below:
Swing 1:
Swing 2:
Swing 3:
USDJPY: Bulls Eye Key Support as Trade Optimism Lifts DollarHey Traders, We are currently monitoring USDJPY for a potential buying opportunity as price approaches the 143.200 level, an important area that has acted as both support and resistance in recent sessions. Technically, the pair remains in a well-defined uptrend, and this pullback appears to be part of a healthy correction phase rather than a trend reversal. The 143.200 zone also aligns with a dynamic trendline support, increasing the likelihood of a bullish reaction if price holds above this level. From a fundamental perspective, recent developments have started to tilt in favor of the dollar. News of progress toward a trade agreement between the U.S. and India has sparked optimism, as it may lay the groundwork for similar deals with other key global partners. This has been compounded by unconfirmed reports out of China suggesting potential tariff exemptions in specific sectors, which has further boosted investor sentiment and triggered a broader “risk-on” shift in markets. As geopolitical tensions around trade show signs of easing, the U.S. dollar is regaining strength, fueling the case for further upside in USDJPY. Taken together, the convergence of technical support and improving macroeconomic signals presents a compelling opportunity for bulls, provided we see signs of price stability or a confirmed bounce near the 143.200 area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY Weekly Rejection at Support-Revisit Bearish Order Block?USDJPY pair last trading week got rejected at the same level that the pair has previously acted as a support level. Will this rejection cause USDJPY to rally towards a bearish order block above 147.50?
Risk Zones: 146.50
N.B!
- USDJPY price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#usdjpy
#usd
#jpy
HelenP. I Euro may decline to support zone and then start growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. After a prolonged sideways movement and an extended period of uncertainty, price has finally shifted gears. The pair, which had been trading inside a broad consolidation range, has recently demonstrated a clear bullish structure with strong upward momentum. The initial push started from the 1.0350 - 1.0400 support zone, where the price reacted several times, forming a solid base. From that point, bulls gradually gained control, leading to a breakout above both the upper consolidation boundary and the trend line. Following the breakout, the price surged through the next major support area around 1.0850 points, confirming the continuation of the bullish cycle. After this impulse, the Euro paused briefly around 1.1250 - 1.1300, establishing a new support zone before making another push higher. This new structure has now become a key area of interest, as price is currently testing it again from above. Now EUR is trading near 1.1330 points, within a tight consolidation that formed after touching the 1.1500 resistance. I expect that URUSD will undergo a temporary correction toward the support zone, followed by a continuation of the upward movement. My target remains at 1.1500, where the price may meet resistance once again. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
USD/JPY(20250425)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Federal Reserve-①Hamack: If economic data is clear, the Fed may cut interest rates in June
②Waller: It will take until July to get a clearer understanding of how tariffs affect the economy. If tariffs lead to higher unemployment, interest rate cuts may be initiated. ③The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model predicts that the US GDP growth rate in the first quarter will be -2.5%. ④Kashkari: The frequent announcements from Washington have brought challenges to policymakers and everyone.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
142.79
Support and resistance levels:
143.94
143.51
143.23
142.34
142.06
141.63
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 142.79, consider buying, the first target price is 143.23
If the price breaks through 142.34, consider selling, the first target price is 142.06
US100 - Corrective Pullback into FVG + Golden Pocket setup?This 1H Nasdaq chart paints a classic structure of retracement within a bullish leg, offering potential for continuation after a clean corrective move into inefficiency. It's all about balance restoration before the next impulse.
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1. Resistance Reaction & Local Distribution
Price faced strong rejection at a clearly defined Resistance Zone , marking a point of supply where sellers stepped in with aggression.
- The sharp rejection indicates profit-taking from earlier longs or a short-term distribution zone.
- Structure is transitioning from impulsive to corrective, suggesting a pullback is unfolding rather than a trend reversal (at least for now).
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2. Short-Term Demand Zone Holding Price (Gray Box)
Before reaching deeper liquidity, price is hovering above a local demand block —a previously unmitigated consolidation that supported the last push up.
- This gray zone may provide temporary support, but lacks depth of imbalance.
- It's a weak floor, and smart money typically seeks deeper fills for proper re-accumulation.
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3. Fair Value Gap Below (Primary Draw on Liquidity)
The key area of interest lies just below, where a clean Fair Value Gap (FVG) is formed. This imbalance represents a void in price action where buy-side inefficiency remains.
- Aligned with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement range (confluence entry).
- Price is likely to seek this inefficiency for proper rebalancing.
- It’s not just a “fill the gap” play—it’s a liquidity grab where smart money is most likely waiting.
This zone is ideal for reaccumulation before resuming the move higher.
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4. Internal Structure Suggests Bullish Intent After Fill
Price is forecasted to:
- Step 1: Break beneath the short-term demand to draw in liquidity
- Step 2: Tag the FVG zone, tapping into fresh demand
- Step 3: Shift structure via higher low formation and breakout
This is the behavior of an engineered retracement—not panic selling.
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5. Macro Bias Still Bullish – Controlled Pullback
While the short-term price action looks bearish, the context remains supportive of upward continuation:
- No signs of aggressive selling below structure
- Current flow is corrective, not distributive
- FVG zone is strategically placed in alignment with optimal trade entry levels (OTE)
If this zone holds, expect a return to bullish expansion targeting inefficiencies left behind on the push down.
---
Conclusion:
This setup is textbook:
- Efficient rejection at resistance
- Controlled retracement into FVG with Fibonacci confluence
- Potential structural shift post-rebalance
Watch for bullish intent to return once the imbalance is filled. Until then, this is not a breakdown—it's a setup.