US PCE could be the catalyst for USDJPY to make a stronger moveMARKETSCOM:USDJPY is currently flirting with the area around the 149.00 hurdle. In order to shift our attention to some lower areas, a drop below the lowest point of December 2024 is needed. But what about the US PCEs? Let's dig in...
FX_IDC:USDJPY
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USD (US Dollar)
EUR/USD - H1- Chart - Ascending Triangle (27.02.2025) The EUR/USD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0433
2nd Support – 1.0405
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Euro can reach resistance level, break it and continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. A few days ago, the price entered a wedge pattern, where it immediately rebounded from the support line into the seller's zone. It then started to decline, quickly dropping to the 1.0355 support level, which aligned with the buyer's zone. Following this, the Euro experienced a sharp gap down, breaking out of the wedge and falling below the support level. However, it soon reversed direction and began to rise, reaching the support level again and breaking through it. After that, the Euro continued moving upward within the range formed by the resistance and support lines. It first corrected to the support line before making a strong push toward the support-turned-resistance level. After breaking it and completing a retest, the price climbed further to the resistance line. From there, it briefly pulled back before making another upward move, reaching the seller's zone, which coincided with a key resistance level. The price consolidated near this level for some time before dropping to the support line. However, not long ago, it rebounded and started to rise again. In this scenario, I expect the price to continue its upward movement toward the resistance level. If it manages to break through, a retest could follow before further growth. Based on this, I have set my TP at 1.0580. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
USDCHF to continue in the downward move?USDCHF - 24h expiry
Broken out of the channel formation to the downside.
Our short term bias remains negative.
Previous support level of 0.8965 broken.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
50 4hour EMA is at 0.8987.
We look to Sell at 0.8987 (stop at 0.9012)
Our profit targets will be 0.8915 and 0.8905
Resistance: 0.8974 / 0.9004 / 0.9020
Support: 0.8950 / 0.8930 / 0.8912
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Elliott Waves SHows That Gold Is Turning South For Corrective ReGold started the year bullish with a strong extended leg to the upside close to 3k, but the move looks impulsive and may have found a temporary top near 2950. The reversal this week is coming from an ending diagonal, with the price now attempting to break the lower trendline support of the bullish channel. This suggests gold could be entering a corrective wave 4, likely unfolding in three waves. For those looking to join the trend, it’s better to wait for a deeper correction and a retest of lower support in this wave four pullback. Supports are at 2864 and 2789
At the same time, keep an eye on USD/CNH—if it pushes higher now for wave four, to retest its 2022 highs, gold could remain sideways for a while. In such case the new opportunities to rejoin the gold uptrend may come after USD/CNH completes its recovery from the 2024 lows, possibly around 7.40.
GH
EURUSD 27 Feb 2025 W9 - Intraday Analysis - US GDP Day!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 27 Feb 2025 W9 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Heavy economic news:
US: Durable Goods Orders - GDP - Initial Jobless Claims - Pending Home Sales
The market still in the same sentiment detailed in my Weekly Analysis . Below a summary:
Short-Term Bias: Cautiously bullish for EUR/USD, driven by optimism over delayed tariffs, geopolitical progress, and hopes for softer inflation.
Key Risks:
A hot PCE report reviving Fed hawkishness.
Sudden tariff escalations or breakdowns in peace talks.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand)
🔹INT Bearish (Reached Extreme Supply)
🔹INT-INT Bullish (Swept ii-High Liq.)
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹Is the Bearish INT structure still intact?! This is the 1st scenario of the current 4H Bullish Swing PB. INT Structure still Bearish and we reached the INT Structure Extreme and now failing to break the Weak Swing High (Not confirmed yet, we need at least a Bearish ii-BOS) and LTFs started to show weakness that may support this scenario.
🔹Currently price had swept the Liq. above the Weak ii-High and created a bearish CHoCH.
🔹With that failure to break the Weak High, the low that failed to break the high is now the target. With that low having Liq. below and above the unmitigated 4H Demand, there is a probability that we may mitigate the 4H Demand after taking the Liq. reside above to continue Bullish if and only if price started to show Bullish on LTFs where its going to have Bullish Structures.
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to Bearish to target the Liq. above the unmitigated 4H Demand and maybe after we will have the Bullish continuation from the current move is looking for more Liq. to target the Weak Swing High.
🔹Also, keep in mind that today is having US Volatile new and tomorrow is the most awaited US PCE report where will have high volatility. (It’s always the rule of investors positioning before high volatile reports)
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swept Liq. above Weak Swing High
2️⃣
🔹With the INT structure turned Bearish yesterday in LDN session, this indicated that there is weakness in the 15m Swing continuation.
🔹Also, with Trump talk yesterday on Tariffs, this didn’t help price to hold Bullish and formed another Bearish iBOS after failing to break the Weak Swing High and just swept the Liq. above and confirmed Bearish INT structure.
🔹With failure to break the Weak Swing High, there is a HP that price will target the Low that failed to break the Swing High. The low that failed to break the high is having Liq. below above the 4H Demand where if price to keep the 15m Swing Bullish, this is the zone where we will see Bullish continuation from.
3️⃣
🔹Expectation is set to continue Bearish as intraday targeting the Liq. below the lows and mitigating the 4H Demand for maybe a Bullish continuation later after confirmation.
USD/CAD rallies for fourth day into resistanceUSD/CAD has continued higher for a fourth day, but I suspect this is part of a countertrend move around a larger move lower.
Market positioning his extreme levels of record short exposure to CAD futures last year, and many of these bears refused to return despite USD/CAD continuing higher. The sharp reversal lower from 1.48 also suggests we have seen a significant top on the pair.
I am now seeking evidence of a swing high around the 1.4386 HVN (high-volume node) and for momentum to realign with the sharp selloff witness at 1.48.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
AUD/USD dip could be nearing its inflection pointAfter a 3-week rally which stalled around the 64c handle with a shooting star candle, a pullback was almost inevitable. but we have already seen AUD/USD fall for four consecutive days, and recent history shows its bearish streaks tend to max out at five down days. Given support is nearby and the AU-US 2-year yield is rising, I am now seeking a swing low around the 0.62750 - 0.6300 area for at least a minor bounce.
But if the recent swing low on the US dollar index gives way, perhaps something much bigger.
A break above 0.6420 opens up a run to 0.6500.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6324
1st Support: 0.6259
1st Resistance: 0.6367
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards pullback support?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has ben identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 68.03
1st Support: 67.14
1st Resistance: 69.82
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Silver (XAG/USD) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance that line sup with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as an overlap support.
Pivot: 32.09
1st Support: 30.97
1st Resistance: 32.58
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?GBP/USD has reacted of the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2720
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.2795
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.2585
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Potential bullish rise?USD/CHF has reacted of the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8918
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 0.8881
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.9006
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?USD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.4406
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.4486
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.4299
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?EUR/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0521
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.0558
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.0410
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCAD: Massive selling until the end of the year.USDCAD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.383, MACD = -0.003, ADX = 20.940) as it found support on the 1D MA100 and rebounded. We do believe howere that this bounce will be short lived as the pair hit the 9year resistance early this month and got heavily rejected. The first targets are the 1W MA50 and 1W MA100. We do expect it to hit the 0.786 Fibonacci (TP = 1.2600) by the end of the year as both prior highs on R1 aggressively declined to hit at least the 0.786 Fib.
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USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 149.800 zone, USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 149.800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Gold Bullish To ATH Of $2,964?!Bare in mind Gold is not out of its danger zone just yet. While internal structures might have turned bearish, on the bigger TF we are yet to see any huge structure to turn bearish.
Price still remains within a huge range & buyers are still holding above our precious ‘Wave X’ low. We could still see a schematic play out between Wave X & Wave Y. This means another ATH could still be incoming👀