USD (US Dollar)
EURUSD Will the 1D MA50 hold?The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the April 21 2025 High. The price is right now on a strong pull-back and is about to test the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since May 12.
As long as the 1D candle closes above the 1D MA50, it will be a buy signal, targeting 1.19250 (a standard +3.20% rise).
If the candle closes below the 1D MA50, the buy will be invalidated and we will switch to a sell, targeting the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) at 1.14100.
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Bullish bounce for the Silver?The price is falling towards the support level whch i anoverlap support that is slighly below the 61.8%Fibonacci retraecment and could bounce from this level to our takeprofit.
Entry: 37.24
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 36.28
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 39.05
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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Bearish reversal?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level, which serves as a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take-profit target.
Entry: 3,319.22
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 3,354.19
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,271.39
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Heading into overlap resistance?The USD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could potentially reverse from this level to our take-profit.
Entry: 0.8067
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 0.8195
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
Take profit: 0.7951
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bearish drop?GBP/USD has reacted off the support level which is a multi swing low support and could drop from this levle to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3387
Why we like it:
There is a multi swing low support.
Stop loss: 1.3476
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Take profit: 1.3247
Why we like it:
There is a multi swing low support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potentially, A Safer Way To Long The EURUSDIn contrast to my previous outlook, the current price action suggests an increased probability of a deeper bearish move—potentially invalidating the buy zone marked out in the previous analysis. This sudden change is largely driven by the prospect of untapped liquidity residing beneath that zone, reinforcing the well-known market principle that price seeks out liquidity before committing to directional moves.
Given this development, the newly identified zone on the chart emerges as a more technically sound and reliable area from which to anticipate bullish interest. It aligns better with the broader liquidity profile and offers a stronger base for accumulation. Traders may opt to wait for confirmations within this zone or, depending on their risk appetite, consider executing buy positions upon price entry.
As always, patience and clarity are key as we allow price to reveal its intention.
Fingers crossed 🤞
Wishing you all a focused and profitable trading week.
Catch you on the next one. 🫡
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,880 (UPDATE)Gold 'Sell Trade' running 1,130 PIPS in profit to start the week. I hope you are all taking advantage of this free analysis & profiting from Gold's downside. Amazing move to start the new week, with much more downside expected.
Drop me a message @XTBCAP for Account Management & Investment opportunities✅
Bitcoin will rebound up from support area to resistance lineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. After a strong upward trend that originated from the buyer zone and evolved through an upward wedge, bitcoin executed a decisive breakout, shifting the market into a new, higher-value market phase. This powerful move has since led to an extended period of wide consolidation within a well-defined horizontal channel, a classic sign of the market pausing to absorb the prior impulse and build cause for its next major leg. Currently, the asset's price action is rotating within this structure, defined by a key support area around 116500 and an upper resistance line. Having been rejected from the top, the price is now completing another downward correction and is approaching the channel's foundational support for a crucial test. The primary working hypothesis is a long scenario, predicated on the proven resilience of this support level. A confirmed upward rebound from this 116500 zone would signal that the accumulation within the channel is continuing and likely to resolve upwards. Therefore, the tp is logically and strategically placed at 122300, as this level not only coincides perfectly with the channel's upper resistance line but also represents the completion of the internal rotation, setting the stage for a potential continuation of the larger uptrend. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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Next Move On EURUSD: A Bullish ContinuationWith this 4H bearish impulsive move, it’s easy to assume a reversal is underway to break the previous daily swing low. However, this appears more like a liquidity grab—fueling the next leg to the upside.
Price has retraced into a key zone that previously performed a strong liquidation. With significant liquidity already swept and clean inducements now resting above, this level becomes crucial.
This zone is the last stand: a break downward may target the daily swing low, while a hold and reaction could propel price toward the swing high.
Fingers crossed 🤞 as we watch price play out.
Have a great trading week, traders.
Catch you in the next one. 🫡
XAUUSD - Gold is in for a big week?!Gold is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and near the bottom of its medium-term ascending channel (breakout or no break is yet fully confirmed). A correction towards demand levels would provide us with a better risk-reward buying position, and if it rises, we could consider shorting it in supply levels.
In the past week, gold experienced two distinct phases in its price movement: a strong upward trend in the first half that stalled at key resistance levels, leading the market into a more cautious mode. The latest surveys reveal a clear division among gold analysts—some foresee a bearish outlook, while others prefer to remain neutral and wait for further signals. Meanwhile, retail traders remain optimistic about gold’s short-term trajectory and emphasize the continuation of its upward trend.
Analysts at Commerzbank believe the gold market is currently directionless and searching for a clear trend. In their view, recent news around potential trade agreements has weakened demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. They have adopted a neutral stance in the short term, stating that gold prices are near their upper limit with limited room for further gains at the moment.
Conversely, some experts are confident in the continuation of gold’s bullish trend. Rich Checkan, President and CEO of Asset Strategies International, declared: “Gold is in an uptrend. Today’s pullback is setting the stage for next week’s rally. If the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets expectations and holds rates steady, both gold and silver will keep climbing. And if the Fed exceeds expectations by cutting rates, we’ll see an even stronger surge in both metals. Either way, the direction is upward.”
At the same time, other analysts remain cautious about the trend’s sustainability. Mark Leibovit, editor of VR Metals/Resource Letter, warned that the U.S. dollar may be forming a bottom, which could exert downward pressure on gold and calls for increased caution from investors.
Despite continued political pressure from President Trump, the Federal Reserve is not expected to lower interest rates at the upcoming meeting. Central bankers have stated that they want to observe the economic effects of tariffs before making any adjustments. Although some Fed officials are moving away from the “wait and see” approach, analysts still believe the Fed will leave rates unchanged this week—though markets are closely watching for any signals suggesting that rate cuts could begin as early as September.
Meanwhile, China’s gold consumption in the first half of 2025 declined, though the drop was less severe than in previous years. The primary reason was increased demand for gold as a safe-haven investment, which partially offset reduced jewelry purchases due to high prices.
According to data from the China Gold Association, a government-affiliated body, gold consumption fell by 3.54% year-over-year in the first half of the year to 505,205 tons. In comparison, Q1 saw a 5.96% annual decline, and the same period in 2024 recorded a 5.61% drop.
The association stated that growing geopolitical tensions and ongoing economic uncertainty have strengthened gold’s role as a store of value and safe asset, prompting a significant rise in private investment in bars and coins.
Gold bar and coin purchases—a key indicator of safe-haven demand—surged by 23.7% to 264,242 tons, accounting for 52% of total consumption and overtaking jewelry as the largest consumption segment. Meanwhile, gold jewelry demand fell by 26% to 199,826 tons, reflecting weakened consumer interest due to high prices.
Still, the association noted that lighter jewelry products with unique designs and higher value-added features remain popular. Additionally, official data from the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) showed that the central bank increased its gold reserves in June for the eighth consecutive month.
On the supply side, domestic gold production fell by 0.31% year-over-year to 179,083 tons in the first half of the year, while output from imported sources rose by 2.29% to 76,678 tons. Altogether, China’s total gold production grew by 0.44%, reaching 252,761 tons.
AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W31 | D28 | Y25AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W31 | D28 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FX:AUDUSD
Dollar Index (DXY): Possible Reversal | Inverse Head & ShouldersThe dollar has had a tough year, but that might be changing.
I’ve spotted a well-known reversal pattern: an Inverse Head & Shoulders.
This pattern features three dips, with the middle one—the "head"—being the deepest.
Now, the price has rebounded from the Right Shoulder and is heading higher.
It’s approaching the Neckline at $98.7, which needs to be broken for a bullish confirmation.
If that happens, the projected target is around $101.6, based on the depth of the pattern.
This lines up closely with the previous high of $102 from May. The target area is highlighted in the blue box.
However, if the price falls below the Right Shoulder’s low at $97.1, the pattern would be invalidated.
Anyone else see this pattern?
Could this be the bottom for the dollar?
USDJPY– DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W31 | D28 | Y25📊 USDJPY– DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W31 | D28 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FX:USDJPY
GBPUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W31 | D28 | Y25📊 GBPUSD – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W31 | D28 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FX:GBPUSD
Gold may still be unfolding Wave C of a triangle — don’t rushGold appears to be forming a contracting triangle pattern, and we could currently be in the midst of Wave C. In a triangle structure (A-B-C-D-E), Wave C typically unfolds as a corrective move and is often mistaken for a potential breakout phase.
However, triangles are continuation patterns, and premature entries can lead to whipsaws or false breakouts. If Gold is indeed still in Wave C, we can expect further choppy, sideways movement before the pattern completes with Waves D and E.
Patience is key — let the structure mature. A more reliable opportunity may emerge after the triangle resolves and the larger trend resumes.
USD/JPY(20250728)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Trump announced that the US and Europe reached a trade agreement: 15% tariffs on the EU, $600 billion in investment in the US, zero tariffs on the US by EU countries, the EU will purchase US military equipment, and will purchase US energy products worth $750 billion. However, the US and Europe have different opinions on whether the 15% tariff agreement covers medicines and steel and aluminum. Von der Leyen: 15% tariff rate is the best result that the European Commission can achieve.
US Secretary of Commerce: The deadline for tariff increase on August 1 will not be extended. The United States will determine the tariff policy on chips within two weeks.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
147.47
Support and resistance levels:
148.58
148.17
147.90
147.04
146.77
146.35
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 147.90, consider buying, the first target price is 148.17
If the price breaks through 147.47, consider selling, the first target price is 147.04
Bullish bounce off pullback support?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 63.78
1st Support: 59.94
1st Resistance: 69.26
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Heading into multi swing high resistance?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which acts as a multi-swing high support.
Pivot: 1.3758
1st Support: 1.3574
1st Resistance: 1.3844
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the Swissie bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as a swing low support, and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 0.7887
1st Support: 0.7772
1st Resistance: 0.8060
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off swing high resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which acts as a swing high resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 149.20
1st Support: 146.36
1st Resistance: 151.18
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.