Potential bullish rise?The Swissie (USD/CHF) has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 0.8849
1st Support: 0.8809
1st Resistance: 0.8915
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD
Could the Aussie drop from here?The price is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop tot he 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6454
1st Support: 0.6407
1st Resistance: 0.6503
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.5866
1st Support: 0.5820
1st Resistance: 0.5908
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?WTI oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 69.74
1st Support: 68.18
1st Resistance: 71.65
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce off overlap support?The Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 30.69
1st Support: 29.80
1st Resistance: 31.51
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Sell GBP/USD Triangle PatternThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.2650
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2585
2nd Support – 1.2550
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Sell EUR/USD Bearish FlagThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0500, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0442
2nd Support – 1.040
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EURUSD Inverse Head and Shoulders to 1.08500EURUSD has formed an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, confirming the bottom of the long term bearish sequence.
The right shoulders is about to be completed and there is no better time to buy than now.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.08500 (marginally under the 2.0 Fibonacci extension)
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) crossed above its MA on Nov 25th, confirming the transition from long term bearish to a bullish trend. This supports our 2.0 Fib target.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
BITCOIN SELL TO $86,000 (UPDATE)We've seen a lot of profit taking on BTC by the bigger, institutional firms, leading to a liquidation of $443 Million in the past 12 hours. Believe it or not, $443 Million is nothing for the Crypto market.
As BTC melts lower towards our Wave C (Major Wave 4) price zone, we will see liquidation of retail traders go within the BILLIONS in loss. Don't say I didn't warn you to protect you😉
GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)Price action has been playing PERFECTLY & following the arrows I drew out on the first analysis! Price has been ranging as I expected & currently in the process of creating a 'flat correction' according to my EW Theory strategy.
However, I will be careful as it is a new month so I wouldn't be surprised if price shoots up so the monthly candle can grab liquidity & create a wick. Keeping an eye out for this option.
XAU/USD (Gold) - H1 - Triangle BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming Days.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 2652
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 2711
2nd Resistance – 2748
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
EUR/USD – Weak Start to the WeekEUR/USD – Weak Start to the Week
The EUR/USD pair began the week with declines, driven by macroeconomic data releases and political tensions within the eurozone.
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Macroeconomic Data Impact
On Monday, the final reading of the **HCOB Manufacturing PMI** for the eurozone in November was released, showing a figure of **45.2**, in line with expectations. This continues to signal weakness in the industrial sector, contributing to euro depreciation.
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Political Issues in France
Political turbulence in France further weighed on the euro. Key developments included:
- Budget Dispute: Prime Minister Michel Barnier faced potential no-confidence votes as the far-right National Rally (RN) party, led by Marine Le Pen, threatened to oppose the government’s budget proposal.
- Concessions: The French government dropped plans to reduce medication reimbursements to secure RN support.
- Market Reaction: French bond yields rose, with the 10-year yield briefly surpassing Greece’s. The CAC 40 stock index fell 1.1% in early trading.
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ECB Comments
Statements from European Central Bank members also hinted at potential monetary easing:
- Olli Rehn** and **Yannis Stournaras suggested further rate cuts are likely in December due to persistent inflation concerns.
- Martin Kazaks mentioned the possibility of discussing larger rate cuts, though he acknowledged significant uncertainty.
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Seasonality and EUR/USD
Historically, December has been a favorable month for the euro against the dollar, driven by reduced market liquidity and year-end position adjustments. However, under the current market conditions, with weak eurozone data and robust U.S. performance, seasonality may not be sufficient to reverse the prevailing bearish trend for EUR/USD.
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USD Stability
The U.S. dollar remains relatively stable, supported by strong macroeconomic fundamentals and comments from Federal Reserve officials.
- Fed Officials’ Remarks :
- John Williams: The NY Fed President noted that monetary policy remains restrictive and emphasized data dependence. He expects inflation to gradually decline to 2% and forecasts U.S. GDP growth of around 2.5% in 2024.
- Christopher Waller: The Fed Governor expressed support for a December rate cut, citing a balanced labor market and concerns about inflation stagnating above 2%.
- Raphael Bostic: The Atlanta Fed President stated that inflation is on track to reach the 2% target and emphasized the strong footing of the U.S. economy while remaining open to future policy adjustments.
- U.S. Economic Data :
- ISM Manufacturing PMI (November): Increased to 48.4, above expectations but still indicating contraction.
- Construction Spending (October): Rose by 0.4%.
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Outlook for EUR/USD
Despite last week’s gains, the long-term trend for EUR/USD remains bearish. The eurozone's economic data continues to underperform, adding pressure on the ECB to accelerate rate cuts.
Meanwhile, the U.S. economy is on a stable path toward a "soft landing," supported by strong labor markets and steady growth. While seasonal factors might provide temporary support for the euro, the current market dynamics suggest limited potential for sustained EUR/USD appreciation.
USD/JPY - H1 - Bearish Flag The USD/JPY pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 150.80, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 149.20
2nd Support – 148.50
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Bullish momentum to extend?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,487.10
1st Support: 3,278.38
1st Resistance: 3,757.61
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDUSD to find sellers at current resistance?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
The medium term bias remains bearish.
The rally has posted a correction count on the daily chart.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Bespoke resistance is located at 0.5900.
We look to Sell at 0.5905 (stop at 0.5929)
Our profit targets will be 0.5845 and 0.5830
Resistance: 0.5890 / 0.5920 / 0.5940
Support: 0.5840 / 0.5820 / 0.5800
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GBPUSD Channel Up on (1h) bottomed.The GBPUSD pair is trading inside a Channel Up.
The price made contact with its bottom today and is giving a buy signal.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.2800 (+1.50% rise, same as the last bullish wave).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) hit the same level as on November 26th. That was the previous Higher Low of the Channel Up.
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Could the Cable bounce from here?The price is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2609
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2508
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.2752
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Falling towards overlap support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8849
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8799
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.8915
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/CAD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.89% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.4090
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.4175
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.3991
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?EUR/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is an overlap support and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0519
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 1.0600
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0334
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 100% projection.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD: Inverse Head and Shoulders buy signal.EURUSD is bearish on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 38.974, MACD = 0.000, ADX = 37.510) as it continues to trade near the bottom of the long term Channel Down. At the same time its low made contact with the bottom of the Bearish Megaphone. Technically that formed the Head of an Inverse Head and Shoulders. The standard target for this pattern is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. That is our target (TP = 1.08630).
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EURUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.05400 zone, EURUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.05400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.