USD
All things looking bullish for XRP Trump+Alt Season+Gary ResignsPattern Recognition:
The chart identifies a "Flag" pattern, which is a continuation pattern indicating a pause in the uptrend before resuming. The flagpole represents the initial strong upward move, followed by consolidation within the flag pattern, and then a breakout.
Ichimoku Cloud:
Kijun-sen (Blue Line): This line represents the baseline and is calculated as the average of the highest high and lowest low over the past 26 periods.
Tenkan-sen (Red Line) : This line is the conversion line, calculated as the average of the highest high and lowest low over the past 9 periods.
Senkou Span A (Green Line) : Part of the future cloud, calculated as the average of the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, plotted 26 periods ahead.
Senkou Span B (Orange Line) : The other part of the future cloud, calculated as the average of the highest high and lowest low over the past 52 periods, plotted 26 periods ahead.
Chikou Span (Purple Line) : The lagging line, which is the current closing price plotted 26 periods back.
Cloud Interpretation:
The price breaking above the cloud (Kumo) is generally a bullish signal. The cloud represents support and resistance levels.
If the price is above the cloud, it indicates a bullish trend. If it's within the cloud, it's a consolidation phase, and if below, it's bearish.
Breakout:
The price has broken out of the flag pattern upwards, which is confirmed by the breakout label. This breakout should be viewed in the context of the Ichimoku cloud.
Volume Analysis:
Volume spikes during the breakout phase can confirm the strength of the move. High volume on the breakout specifically on the Daily chart suggests strong buying interest.
Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen:
When Tenkan-sen crosses above Kijun-sen, it's a bullish signal (golden cross). Conversely, a cross below is bearish (death cross).
Technical Analysis Summary:
Trend: The overall trend appears bullish, with the price breaking out of a flag pattern and moving above the Ichimoku cloud. This suggests strong momentum.
Ichimoku Signals:
Bullish Signals: The price above the cloud, Tenkan-sen above Kijun-sen, and Chikou Span above past price action suggest bullish momentum.
Resistance and Support: The cloud now acts as a dynamic support level. If the price dips into the cloud, it might find support there.
Potential Targets:
Using the flag pattern's flagpole length for projection, the price could aim for higher levels. However, the Ichimoku system doesn't provide exact price targets but guides on trend direction and momentum.
Risks:
A failure to sustain above the cloud could lead to a pullback into the cloud or even below, indicating a potential trend reversal or correction.
Strategy:
Entry: For traders using Ichimoku, entering on a bullish breakout above the cloud with additional confirmation from other indicators (like volume) could be considered. Alternatively, waiting for a pullback to the cloud or Kijun-sen for a safer entry might be prudent.
Stop Loss: Placing a stop loss below the cloud or significant support levels within the flag pattern can manage risk.
Take Profit:
This could be based on the projected move from the flagpole or where the price encounters next resistance, possibly where the future cloud might be. More or less it depends very much on ones own strategy.
Conclusion:
The chart with the Ichimoku indicator suggests a strong bullish outlook for XRP/USD, with the price currently above the cloud and a breakout from a flag pattern. However, traders should watch for potential pullbacks to key Ichimoku levels for optimal entry points and risk management. Always consider broader market conditions and any news or events that might impact cryptocurrency prices.
GBPUSD, swing of the year. FOREXCOM:GBPUSD / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
FOREXCOM:GBPUSD is showing strong bearish momentum after the dollar index TVC:DXY
broke above the 2 years range. However, the price is oversold for now. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the middle of the range zone for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and sell off confirms, the next leg higher could target:
First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
Second resistance: Yearly lows.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
GOLD (XAUUSD) ANALYSISFrom the updated chart, here's a refined **analysis and target projection**:
---
### **Analysis**:
1. **Current Price**:
- Gold is trading around **2645.59**, showing a bullish attempt to break above recent resistance levels.
2. **Demand Zone**:
- A possible higher low (HL) formation is near the **2620–2630 zone**, indicating strong buyer interest. If this level holds, the price may continue its upward movement.
3. **Resistance Areas**:
- The next immediate resistance zone lies between **2650–2660**, where a minor supply zone exists.
- If this zone breaks, the price may target the next significant supply level around **2680–2700**, as suggested by the higher green zone.
4. **Bullish Continuation**:
- The drawn purple arrow indicates a potential retracement into the support zone, likely around **2635–2640**, before continuing the bullish trend.
- The market structure remains bullish, with higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL).
---
### **Targets**:
1. **First Target (Short-Term)**: **2650–2660**
- A logical level for partial profit-taking or initial resistance.
2. **Second Target (Mid-Term)**: **2680–2700**
- A higher supply zone, with the potential to act as a significant resistance level.
---
### **Invalidation**:
- A break below **2620** would invalidate the bullish setup and could lead to further downside toward **2600 or lower**.
EURUSD Short-term buying activity spotted.The EURUSD pair has been under heavy selling pressure for the whole December but despite the red candle, it closed last week on a long wick and opened today on a green note. The weekly closing managed to make it inside the 2-year Megaphone pattern.
At the same time, the 1W RSI is making a Double Bottom and that resembles the August 06 2018 candle, which was also a medium-term bottom after a multi-month decline. The rebound that followed peaked a little below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and Resistance.
As a result, we are bullish on this pair, at least on the medium-term, targeting 1.0600 (just below the Resistance level).
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Bullish rise off pullback support?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 156.12
1st Support: 153.39
1st Resistance: 160.24
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards pullback support?WTI oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 72.40
1st Support: 70.06
1st Resistance: 76.55
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish rise?Ethereum (ETH/USD) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,834.51
1st Support: 3,255.58
1st Resistance: 3,834.51
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the Bitcoin reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 101,945.49
1st Support: 91,763.50
1st Resistance: 108,400.14
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD 6/1/25Coming into this week, we maintain a bullish bias on gold. Last week, we experienced a short-term shift to bearish, which was expected as we mentioned before the new year. Currently, we are focusing on the cluster of lows at the base of our most recent range. This is the area we are targeting for potential long trades this week.
Orion is indicating that we need to align with the long bias, so we will follow this direction and monitor targets and entries accordingly. Note that we currently have only two targets above. If the market creates another high before dropping into the mentioned lows, we may have more than two targets to work with, requiring us to trade within those areas.
Be mindful of the current structure. As mentioned in the EU analysis, we may form short-term lows to play off, which could make the lower areas less likely for the week’s initial move. As always, we wait for a low to be reached, then analyse the entry timeframe to determine if there’s an opportunity to participate.
Trade safely and stick to your plan.
Falling towards overlap support?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,632.46
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,608.78
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6%^ Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2,659.51
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
2,632.46
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop for the Cable?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2492
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2564
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2370
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce?USD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.4412
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.4386
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.4463
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish reversal?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0345
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0418
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level tat is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0268
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
The Truth About Brazil’s Economy: Is the Real Near R$6.63?It’s becoming clear that the market is no longer buying into the government’s optimistic narrative. The promise to eliminate the fiscal deficit, for example, has already lost momentum. What the market sees, in practice, is a series of populist measures and little fiscal responsibility.
The exchange rate reflects this reality. The real, already weakened, remains highly vulnerable to any internal shocks — whether it's political noise or disappointing economic data.
📉 Why do I believe the dollar could reach R$ 6.63?
1️⃣ Fiscal Situation Weighs Heavily
Brazil is spending more than it collects, and public accounts remain under pressure. The market no longer believes that the government will achieve balance without significant spending cuts. Promises alone don’t pay the bills — and anyone involved in currency trading knows that.
2️⃣ The Dollar Remains Strong Abroad
In the U.S., the Federal Reserve continues its firm stance on fighting inflation. This strengthens the dollar globally, which in turn puts additional pressure on emerging market currencies — and the real is no exception.
3️⃣ Weak Economic Growth Without a Solid Foundation
Even with the growth Brazil has seen, it becomes irrelevant when viewed in the context of irresponsible fiscal management. Instead of being celebrated, this growth raises questions about its sustainability. The market knows that growth without structural adjustments is unsustainable — and Brazil hasn’t shown any commitment to addressing its weaknesses.
The increase in GDP ends up overshadowed by populist measures and a lack of spending cuts. Without fiscal balance, growth turns into a house of cards that collapses at the first sign of instability. For investors, the risk of holding positions in the real remains high, especially as necessary reforms continue to be postponed.
The Result?
The market remains cautious, pricing in uncertainty and distrust.
📢 Disclaimer:
The opinions expressed here are for informational purposes only and reflect personal market analyses. They do not constitute investment advice. The currency market is volatile and carries significant risks. Always consider your investor profile and seek professional guidance before making any financial decisions.
NZDUSD - Easiest 1000pip Trade Ever!We might be on the verge of one of the easiest trades ever.
NZDUSD is currently in a wave B correction, which appears to be a 333 WXY correction. We are currently in wave Y and expecting a breakout for the bigger wave C.
Trade Idea:
- Enter on break of trendline
- Stops below lows after trendline break
- Targets: 0.61 (500pips), 0.65 (1000pips)
Simple, right?
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
USD/JPY Analysis: Bullish Momentum Awaits Key ConfirmationUSD/JPY Analysis
The overall trend remains bullish, but confirmation of the bullish scenario requires a 4-hour candle close above 157.980. If this occurs, the price is likely to target 159.820 and 161.820.
On the other hand, if a 4-hour candle closes below 156.580, it signals a potential drop toward 153.980. A further break below this level could see the price decline to 151.780.
Stability above 157.980 will reinforce the bullish momentum, with targets at 159.820 and 161.820.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 156.590
Resistance Levels: 159.40, 161.82, 163.20
Support Levels: 154.64, 153.43, 151.790
Trend Outlook
Bullish: Above 157.980
Bearish: Below 156.580
Consolidation: Between 156.45 and 157.98
previous idea:
EURUSD: Still bearish long term. Don't buy a falling knife.EURUSD remains heavily bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 34.500, MACD = -0.006, ADX = 21.396) as the 1 month Channel Down remains intact. The current 4H rebound is the bullish wave of the Channel and technically once the 4H MA50 is hit, it will turn into a bearish opportunity again. We are waiting for that signal to sell towards the bottom of the Channel (TP = 1.0200).
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EURUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.03400 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend 1.03400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.