Hawkish FOMC, new extension lower for BTC, or?Bitcoin analysis with FMOC to come
Today's focus: Bitcoin
Pattern – Support break
Possible targets – 30,345 US – 27,500 DS
Support – 29,092 minor
Resistance – 30,344 – 31,360
With the FOMC coming out tomorrow morning and rates expected to rise by 25 points, will we see straight sets with the Fed still remaining hawkish? With Bitcoin looking rather vulnerable at the moment, could that set up a new push back to the main trendline?
Or if the Fed is more dovish, could that reignite buyer interests and move price back above the 30k level? Bitcoin broke support recently, and the worry for us is that the market could be looking for any reason to continue lower. A stronger USD could just be enough.
That’s the primary point of discussion in today’s video update, but we have also put in mentions of the USD index and gold as they both sit in inappropriate situations atm, with the USD starting to struggle in its comeback rally while gold continues to push at a new continuation.
Have a great day and good trading.
USD
2023.7.25 USD has slightly declined, and US crude oil has surged2023.7.25 USD has slightly declined, the long short competition for gold is ongoing, and US crude oil has surged!
USD Index broke through the daily line level of 13MA and the top to bottom golden section of 2.618 yesterday. Today, it is down slightly!
Gold engaged in a long short battle at a key position of $1960 yesterday and today, which is also the 2.000 level of the gold split in the figure and the highest point on February 2, 2023!
US crude oil rose sharply yesterday, and both yesterday and today's highs were suppressed by the recent bottom against the 2.000 level (79.11 US dollars) of the Golden Divide!
✨ MODIFICATION: USDJPY ✨ SWING TRADE (1D/3H) ✨00:00 Swing vs Position Trades
01:45 Supply / Resistance
02:36 Entries and Targets
04:16 Intermediate vs High Time Frame
05:43 Demand Zone (3H)
07:42 Day Trade Opportunities
10:37 Boost, Follow, Comment, Join
MAJOR RESISTANCE @ 149.00
-SL @ 147.60 🚫
SLO2 @ 146.60 (conservative) ⏳
SLO1 @ 145.15 (aggressive) ⏳
SSO1 @ 143.10 (aggressive) ⏳***
SSO2 @ 142.95 (moderate) ⏳
SSO3 @ 142.70 (conservative) ⏳
TP1 @ 142.25 (2D) (shaving 25%)
TP2 @ 139.00 (3H) (shaving 25%)
TP3 @ 135.75 (2D) (shaving 25%)
TP4 @ 131.50 (12M) (closing ALL Sell Orders)
MAJOR SUPPORT @ 130.50
BLO1 @ 129.15 (1D) ⏳
BLO2 @ 128.15 (1D) ⏳
-SL @ 126.75 🚫
***PLEASE NOTE:
SSO2 and SSO3 are NOT annotated on the chart, but are listed here as alternative Sell Stop Orders
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2023.7.24 USD is strong, Gold is stepping back to support2023.7.24 USD is strong, gold is stepping back to support it, and US crude oil is strong!
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Monday, July 24th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the U.S. Dollar Index has returned to the top daily level of 13MA and the top to bottom golden section of 2.618!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold retreated to a critical position of $1960 last Friday, which is also the 2.000 position of the gold split in the figure! Then, in the following time today, just use this position as an important point in the day for Bitwise operation! Above this position, bulls dominate; Below this position, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil surged last Friday, breaking through the daily level of 233MA ($76.496) for the third time recently! Then, in the following time today, just use this position as an important point in the day for Bitwise operation! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the daily line of the euro against the US dollar showed a small cross star pattern last Friday, which is the standard trading signal! Then, in the future, we can use today's opening price (1.11237) as the Bitwise operation of the day's important point! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound fell below the daily level of 21MA against the US dollar last Friday, and the daily closing line was below it. Today, it rose slightly and peaked at 21MA (1.28685)! Then this position will be used as the Bitwise operation operation of the important point in the day in the future! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Monday, and there is a Federal Reserve interest rate resolution this week. Please be aware of the risks.
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
2023.7.21 USD Index is about to weaken!2023.7.21 USD Index is about to weaken!
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Friday, July 21st 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the U.S. Dollar Index has released bullish momentum for three consecutive trading days, and the probability rate is about to weaken!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold rose and fell yesterday, but continued to weaken today, reaching a critical position of $1960, which is also the 2.000 level of the gold split in the figure! Then, in the following time today, just use this position as an important point in the day for Bitwise operation! Above this position, bulls dominate; Below this position, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil hit its lowest point yesterday, hitting the 1.382 level on the bottom of the graph above the golden section. Today, US crude oil hit the 1.618 level on the golden section and then fell back! Then, in the following days today, we can take the daily line 233MA ($76.562) as the important point of the day Bitwise operation! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro fell sharply against the US dollar yesterday and continues to be weak today! Then, in the future period of this day, take today's opening price (1.11338) as the important Bitwise operation of the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the GBP/USD hit through the daily level of 21MA at its lowest yesterday, and there is a high probability of a long short competition in this position today! Then this position will be used as the Bitwise operation operation of the important point in the day in the future! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Friday, the weekly line will be closed tonight. Please be aware of the risks.
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
2023.7.20 USD and US crudeoil rose and fell2023.7.20 USD and US crude oil rose and fell
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Thursday, July 20th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the U.S. Dollar Index rose yesterday and fell back today. It is still fighting for space around 100!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold showed a long downward trend yesterday and continued to break above the previous month's peak (1983.33 US dollars) today! Then, in the following time today, just use this position as an important point in the day for Bitwise operation! Above this position, bulls dominate; Below this position, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the picture, US crude oil rose and fell yesterday, with a long shadow on the daily line! Then, the opening price of yesterday (US $75.7) will be taken as the important Bitwise operation of the day later today! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro against the US dollar showed a long downward trend yesterday and a long upward trend the day before yesterday. This is a standard signal that a relatively high contraction triangle consolidation pattern is about to start! Then, in the future period of this day, we can take today's opening price (1.12042) as an important Bitwise operation of the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound almost hit the daily level of 21MA at its lowest point against the US dollar yesterday, and there is a high probability of a sideways consolidation between small areas today! Then in the future, we can use today's opening price (1.29363) as the Bitwise operation of the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Thursday.The August futures of NYMEX New York crude oil were affected by the transfer of positions and months. The final trading on the market was completed at 2:30 am on July 21, and the final trading on the electronic disk was completed at 5:00 am. Please pay attention to the risk control announcement of the expiration of the trading venue for months. In addition, the expiration date of some trading platforms' American Oil contracts is usually one day earlier than the official date of NYMEX. Please pay more attention.
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
2023.7.19 USD has returned to 1002023.7.19 USD has returned to 100
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Wednesday, July 19th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the U.S. Dollar Index has returned to the top of the 100 integer level, but it is unlikely to rise directly in the short term!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold rose sharply yesterday, swallowing up the decline of the past two months. Today, it is at the start of short selling in June 2023 (around $1977) and also at the opening price on June 2, 2023, engaging in a long short competition! Then, in the following time today, we can take $1977 as the important Bitwise operation of the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Below this position, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil surged yesterday, but both yesterday's and the day before yesterday's highs were suppressed by the opening price of May 1, 2023 ($76.00)! Then, in the following days today, we can take $76.00 as the important point of the day for Bitwise operation! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro rose and fell against the US dollar yesterday, forming a short-term top! Then, in the future, we can use today's opening price (1.12274) as the Bitwise operation of the day's important point! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound fell against the US dollar after yesterday's cheat line, and accelerated to break below today! In the subsequent period of this day, the opening price (1.29952) on July 13, 2023 will be taken as the important Bitwise operation of the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Wednesday, and there is US crude oil inventory data tonight. Please be aware of the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
2023.7.18 USD continues to weaken2023.7.18 USD continues to weaken
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Tuesday, July 18th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the daily closing line of the U.S. Dollar Index yesterday showed a small cross star, which is a standard turning signal!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, yesterday's low point of gold hit the daily long short divide of 55MA (1946 US dollars), and today it begins to break against the upper limit! Then, later today, just use $1960 as an important Bitwise operation in the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Below this position, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, the long shadow line of US crude oil yesterday was due to the influence of false news in the market, and US crude oil began to weaken today! Then, the opening price (74.11) of today will be taken as the Bitwise operation of the important point in the day later today! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the daily closing of the euro against the US dollar showed a long down shadow line and a small positive line yesterday. Today, it continues to break and rise sharply against the upper limit! Then in the subsequent period of this day, the 1.13000 integer pass will be taken as the important Bitwise operation of the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound against the US dollar has been suppressed for four consecutive trading days by the bottom up gold split's 2.382 level (around 1.31300)! Then this position will be used as the Bitwise operation operation of the important point in the day in the future! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Tuesday, and tonight there is "horror data" on the monthly retail rate in the United States. Please be aware of the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
2023.7.17 US crude Oil falls!2023.7.17 US crude Oil falls!
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Monday, July 17th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the U.S. Dollar Index has fought for long and short positions near the daily level 610MA in the last two trading days!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold has been trading at the daily level long short divide of 55MA ($1947) in the past two trading days, as well as the bottom up gold split of 2.000, which is also the highest point on February 2, 2023 ($1959.69), engaging in long short competition! Then, the following time today, just continue to use these two positions as the important points of the day Bitwise operation operation! Above these two positions, bulls dominate; Below these two positions, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, the lowest point of US crude oil today hit the daily level of 144MA (74.21 US dollars)! Then, in the following time today, just use this position as an important point in the day for Bitwise operation! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro has shown a high sideways trend against the US dollar in the past two trading days, with a sluggish trend among bulls! Then, in the future period of this day, take today's opening price (1.12265) as the important Bitwise operation of the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the highest point of the pound against the US dollar last week was suppressed by strong pressure, which is the bottom of the gold split at 2.382 (around 1.31300)! Then this position will be used as the Bitwise operation operation of the important point in the day in the future! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Monday, and tomorrow night there will be "horror data" on the monthly retail rate in the United States. Please pay attention to the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
2023.7.14 USD has fallen below the 100 integer mark2023.7.14 USD has fallen below the 100 integer mark
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Friday, July 14th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the U.S. Dollar Index has fallen below the 100.00 integer level, coming near the daily level of 610MA!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold has been trading at the bottom against the 2.000 level of the gold split in the past two trading days, and it is also the highest point on February 2, 2023 ($1959.69), engaging in long short competition! Then, we can continue to use this position as an important Bitwise operation in the day later today! Above this position, bulls dominate; Below this position, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil yesterday broke through the bottom of the bullish 1.618 and daily level 233MA, and today's low hit the daily level 233MA ($76.35)! Then, in the following time today, just use this position as an important point in the day for Bitwise operation! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro rose sharply against the US dollar again yesterday, with the next strong pressure at 1.12800! Then, in the future, we can use today's opening price (1.12228) as the Bitwise operation of the day's important point! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound has reached a strong pressure level against the US dollar: the bottom is at 2.382 (around 1.31300) above the golden section! Then this position will be used as the Bitwise operation operation of the important point in the day in the future! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Friday, and all important data for this week has been released. The weekly line will close tonight, and it is likely that there will be a pullback trend. Please pay attention to the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
2023.7.13 USD is about to challenge the 100 integer gate2023.7.13 USD is about to challenge the 100 integer gate
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Thursday, July 13th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the U.S. Dollar Index has broken down continuously and has reached the 100.00 integer pass!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold broke through and rose sharply yesterday, reaching the 2.000 level of the bottom up gold split, and also above its highest point on February 2, 2023 ($1959.69)! Then, we can continue to use this position as an important Bitwise operation in the day later today! Above this position, bulls dominate; Below this position, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil has broken free from the constraints of daily levels of 144MA and 165MA, and is about to challenge the strong pressure level. The bottom of the daily level is above the gold sector's 1.618 level (around $76.35)! Then, in the following time today, just use this position as an important point in the day for Bitwise operation! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro rose sharply against the US dollar again yesterday, approaching its lowest point in November 2021 (1.11853)! Then this position will be used as the Bitwise operation operation of the important point in the day in the future! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound has reached the integer level of 1.3000 against the US dollar, and the next pressure level is 1.30666! Then this position will be used as the Bitwise operation operation of the important point in the day in the future! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Thursday, and all important data for this week has been released. The weekly line will be closed tomorrow and Friday. Please be aware of the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 13/07US markets gapped up on buyers enthusiasm after a weaker than expected CPI release that signals inflation is easing more than expected. US Bond yields fell while the USD was sent lower also which I expect is the big story from overnight. I feel that the USD will find more weakness in the near term but will not be without a bounce here and there. Gold and Silver found some strength while Copper also had a good night.
Expecting a stronger open in Asia with the ASX200 to open up 50 pts, the Nikkei to open up 130 pts and Hang Seng to open up 300/330 pts also.
The CPI release was key as it points to a potential end to interest rate rises and the end of the cycle. Now markets may start to focus on US earnings and then potentially a global contraction and rate cuts....but I would expect the coming months to be buoyant if CPI continues to show easing.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
** If you like the content then take a look at my WEBSITE in the profile to get more daily ideas and learning material **
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✨ NEW: EURUSD ✨ Counter-Trend Swing ✨SLO @ 1.1050 ⏳
TP1 @ 1.0890
TP2 @ 1.0800
BLO1 @ 1.0775 ⏳ (aggressive)
BLO2 @ 1.0750 ⏳ (conservative)
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
The EUR/USD pair has been in a bullish trend since early June, breaking above the 1.0800 Resistance Level.
On the other hand, the EURUSD pair is coming into the Supply Range from ~1.1015 up to ~1.1055 (16H). If this level is NOT broken and holds, then I'm anticipating this pair could see a downtrend retracement.
As far as Support, I don't see anything major until price reaches 1.0792 and/or Demand @ 1.0772 (16H).
Overall, the technical analysis for the EURUSD pair is BULLISH, but we also need to be prepared for some potential risks to the upside — supply and resistance — and hopefully capitalize off of these levels.
KEY TECHNICAL INDICATORS:
— Moving Averages:
The 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 100-day SMA are both sloping upwards, which suggests that the trend is bullish.
— Relative Strength Index (RSI):
The RSI is currently in the overbought zone, which suggests that the pair could see a pullback.
— Bollinger Bands:
The Bollinger bands are currently expanding, which suggests that volatility is increasing.
Overall, the technical analysis for the EUR/USD pair is bullish in the near term, but there are some potential risks to the upside. Traders should monitor the pair closely for signs of a pullback.
Fundamental Factors (Near Term):
(1) USD: FOMC Member Waller Speaks
(2) USD: Unemployment Claims
(3) USD: Fed Chair Powell Testifies
(4) USD: Existing Home Sales
(5) EUR: ECB President Lagarde Speaks
"Manage your position, monitor the price, and you'll make some profit!"
— Professor Cornelius Ward
XAUUSD, H4 | Potential bearish reversalPrice is testing a major resistance level which is an overlap resistance + 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. There is also a descending resistance that suggests there could be bearish momentum.
A reversal from here could see prices drop to the 1902 recent swing low.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider.
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High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM EU LTD (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): **
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.