USD
AUDUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring AUDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.61600 zone, AUDUSD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.61600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Gold can reach resistance line of channel and then start declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Observing the chart, we can see how the price entered to upward channel, broke the 2620 level and reached the resistance line of the channel. After this, Gold made a correction to the buyer zone and then turned around and quickly rose back. Then the price made a correction again and continued to move up inside the channel, and soon it reached the second support level (2700) which is located inside the support area and at once corrected to the support line of the channel. Next, the price some time traded near this line and soon reached the 2700 level and broke it, after which made a retest and continued to move up next. Later Gold rose to the current support level, which coincided with one more support area, and corrected the support line of the channel. Price some time traded near this line, again, and later rebounded up to the 2780 level and broke it too. At the moment, the price continues to move up and I think that Gold can reach the resistance line of the channel and then start to decline to the support line, breaking the support level. That's why I set my TP at 2770 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
USDCNY Bearish Leg confirmed after this 1D MA50 failure.The USDCNY pair has technically topped as it broke below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and upon a re-test, it got rejected. This test-and-fail pattern is seen during both previous Bearish Legs in the past 15 months.
Even the 1D RSI is identical among all three fractals and they both ended up declining by roughly -3.60%. As a result, we turn bearish here on a confirmed break-out signal, targeting 7.0800.
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Bearish drop?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as an overlap support.
Pivot: 75.18
1st Support: 72.99
1st Resistance: 76.56
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
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Bullish momentum to extend?The Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 30.83
1st Support: 30.488
1st Resistance: 31.62
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
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Bullish bounce off pullback support?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 103,131.91
1st Support: 100,108.50
1st Resistance: 107,850.01
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
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Potential bearish drop?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 3,288.47
1st Support: 3,031.09
1st Resistance: 3,444.45
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
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EURUSD 31 Jan 2025 W5- Intraday Analysis - ECB CPI - US Core PCEThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 31 Jan 2025 W5 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
The combination of the Fed's steady rate policy and the administration's aggressive trade measures has led to a cautious market outlook. Investors are balancing optimism about domestic economic resilience with concerns over potential disruptions from international trade tensions.
Federal Reserve's Decision: The Fed maintained the federal funds rate at 4.25% to 4.50%, citing stable economic growth and a low unemployment rate.
Fed's Outlook: Chair Powell emphasized a cautious approach, indicating no immediate plans to adjust rates and highlighting the need to assess the economic impacts of forthcoming policies from the Trump administration.
Presidential Response: President Donald Trump criticized the Fed's decision, attributing ongoing inflation issues to the central bank's policies and pledging to address inflation through measures such as enhancing energy production, deregulation, and trade adjustments.
Economic Reports today: ECB CPI Expectations and US Core PCE.
Overall, while the U.S. economy continues to exhibit strength, uncertainties stemming from trade policies and geopolitical factors are contributing to a mixed market sentiment.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Continuation after BOS
2️⃣
🔹INT structure continuing bullish after the bullish BOS. We expect that at anytime the Swing Pullback will start.
🔹With price failing to close above Weak INT High, there is a HP that we are going to target the INT Low which will facilitate the Bullish Swing Pullback.
🔹Price managed yesterday to create a Bullish CHoCH but again demand failed today which again adds the confluence that the Daily and 4H bearish move is in control and there is a HP that we are going to break the 4H INT Low.
3️⃣
🔹Expectation is set for price to continue Bearish to target the Strong INT Low to facilitate the 4H Bullish Swing Pullback and the Daily Bearish Continuation.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹At Swing Extreme Discount
2️⃣
🔹Price managed yesterday with US News and Lagarde Press Conference to create a Bullish BOS.
🔹After a BOS we expect a Pullback, where price pulled back to the Bullish Swing Extreme.
3️⃣
🔹Expectation is set for price to continue Bearish based on the Daily Bearish Continuation, 4H Swing Pullback and the current market sentiment.
Bearish drop?USD/ZAR is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 18.6497
1st Support: 18.3265
1st Resistance: 18.8560
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
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Bullish momentum to extend?XAG/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 30.96
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 30.48
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 31.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Falling towards overlap support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2370
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2298
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2501
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0354
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0305
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0458
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCAD Is Nearing The TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.44200 zone, USDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.44200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 154.300 zone, USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 154.300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSD - 4H Why we need to Buy?!The FX:AUDUSD has shown strong bullish momentum after hunting liquidity below the 2022 low on the daily and weekly timeframes.
✅ Breakout & Retest: The pair successfully broke the descending channel's resistance and is now pulling back to the breakout zone, confirming its strength.
✅ Higher High Formation: A higher high structure supports the bullish bias, indicating potential continuation towards previous highs and beyond.
📌 I expect another bullish push from this key support zone.
🔔 Follow for real-time updates!
Setup #003 - EURUSD - LongWaiting for entry trigger. Must come between 10am-12pm ET today.
Confluences:
✅ Bullish overall bias
✅ Bulllish demand zone
✅ Bullish bat pattern
✅ Bullish divergence in price reversal zone
✅ Buillish break of structure
✅ Entering London close zone
✅ Break of structure confirmed
✅ Required risk:reward met
Euro could rise to 1.0560 points within the wedgeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. By observing the chart, we can see that the price traded near the seller zone, which coincided with the resistance level and when it moved up, it at once turned around and dropped to the 1.0350 level, breaking the resistance level. Then price started to grow inside the pennant, where it rose higher than the resistance level again, making a gap and later even reaching the resistance line of the pennant pattern. After this movement, the Euro started to decline and quickly fell to the support line of the pennant, breaking the 1.0510 level and soon it exited from the pennant pattern and then fell to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Then the price rose a little and dropped to 1.0220 points, breaking the support level too. But soon, the Euro turned around and made impulse up, breaking the support level again and even later started to trades inside the wedge. In this pattern price first made a correction to the support line and then in a short time rose back to the support level, broke it, and continued to move up. Later price reached a resistance level, but a not long time ago it rebounded and fell to the support line, which recently bounced and started to grow. So, in my opinion, the Euro can continue to move up in wedge to resistance line, breaking resistance level. For this reason, I set my TP near the resistance line, at 1.0560 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
XAUUSD - Gold after the Fed meeting!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. If gold rises to the previous ATH, we can look for buying opportunities after a price correction. A correction of gold towards the demand zone will provide us with the next buying opportunity with a good risk-reward ratio.
During its meeting last night, the Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates steady within the 4.25% to 4.5% range, signaling that it has no immediate plans to lower them. Jerome Powell, the Fed Chair, emphasized that the U.S. economy continues to experience strong growth, with a resilient labor market. According to him, current interest rates are no longer as restrictive to economic activity as they once were. He stated that the central bank prefers to see more concrete evidence of sustained inflation reduction before making any adjustments, while also assessing the economic impact of Donald Trump’s policies in areas such as tariffs, immigration, and taxation.
In its statement, the Federal Reserve acknowledged that inflation remains “somewhat high,” but it omitted previous references to progress toward the 2% target. Powell clarified that this change does not signal a shift in policy but rather reflects the need for greater confidence in the persistence of inflation’s downward trend.
The Fed Chair also stressed that the central bank cannot accurately predict the impact of Trump’s new policies before they are implemented. He noted that potential tariffs and immigration changes could have conflicting effects: they might contribute to inflation by raising costs, while also acting as a deflationary force by improving productivity.
Powell made it clear that a rate cut in March 2025 is “unlikely,” and future decisions will depend entirely on economic data, particularly inflation and employment indicators. If Trump’s trade policies or labor shortages caused by the expulsion of migrants unexpectedly drive inflation higher, the Federal Reserve may not only delay rate cuts but could even consider raising rates instead.
In response to these remarks, Trump criticized Powell, accusing him of failing to control inflation. The U.S. President stated on Truth Social that his administration would curb inflation by ramping up domestic energy production, reducing regulations, balancing international trade, and revitalizing American manufacturing. Meanwhile, Powell told reporters that he has not been in contact with Trump recently and would not respond to criticisms from the White House. Trump also accused the Federal Reserve of focusing on issues like climate change, diversity, equity, and gender ideology instead of prioritizing economic matters.
David Solomon, CEO of Goldman Sachs, believes that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates within a narrow range throughout 2025 unless there is a significant shift in inflation. He highlighted that rising costs in the services and food sectors remain key economic challenges, which will likely limit any major policy changes in the near term.
GBP/USD Wedge Breakout (30.1.2025)The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.2519
2nd Resistance – 1.2571
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