Gold, Bitcoin Poised for US Election Gains? On November 5, approximately 250 million Americans are expected to vote in the presidential election.
The outcome, though, may not be immediately clear. The official result could take anywhere from a few hours to several weeks, depending on the margin of victory and potential legal disputes.
UBS analysts caution that the election's outcome may not be known until December 11, the deadline for states to certify their electoral college votes. They add that recounts and legal challenges—particularly from the Trump campaign—could push the timeline even further.
Traders should account for the risks and costs of a prolonged wait. Key assets like U.S. dollar pairs, Bitcoin, and gold could be the most sensitive during this time. Interestingly, billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones is betting heavily on gold and Bitcoin. He expects inflation to persist regardless of who wins the 2024 U.S. presidential election.
USD
EURUSD: On the 1 year HL support. Rebound expected.EURUSD turned oversold oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 28.128, MACD = -0.006, ADX = 71.753) as the price even crossed under the 0.618 Fibonacci level and is approaching the HL Zone, the lower level of which started 1 year ago (on the October 3rd 2023 low). The 1D RSI is oversold for the 3rd time since then, which is alone a huge bullish signal. We expect at least a short term rebound to test the 1D MA50 (TP = 1.09800).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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USDCAD: Rejection expected on the 2 year Resistance Zone.USDCAD is bullish on the 1W timeframe (RSI = 60.180, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 23.071) and turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.243). This is taking place while the price is just underneath the 2 year R1 Zone, which has rejected the price 5 times already. The 1D RSI is also about to enter its R1 Zone. We expect another rejection towards the S1 level (TP = 1.34500).
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EURUSD Is Trading Under The Pressure Of A Strong DollarHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.08600 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.08600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0849
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0869
why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.0810
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bearish drop?USD/CHF is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8668
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8730
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.8607
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?USD/CAD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3849
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.3946
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.3750
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bullish bounce?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 2,593.65
1st Support: 2,523.16
1st Resistance: 2,685.21
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/JPY: Japan’s Snap Election Opportunities Japan is holding a snap election this Sunday, triggered by a scandal within the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), despite a general election not being due until late 2025.
The LDP, which has dominated Japanese politics for all but four of the last 65 years, has seen its popularity plummet. In June, its poll numbers hit their lowest point this century.
While some polls predict the party could cling to its majority, bolstered by a fragmented opposition, fresh data from the Nikkei suggests a different outcome. The business daily warns that the LDP may fall short of securing a majority, a result that could lead to political upheaval not seen since 2009.
Pullbacks in USD/JPY have been lessening since early October, and after clearing the 150.00 mark, the next targets for the bulls may be the 200-Day Moving Average and the range between 150.90 and 151.10. Amid a snap election, 152.00 is also a possible target. If the pair experiences another pullback, traders might consider a mid-point of current price action as a potential resistance level.
GOLD SHORT TO $2,540 (1H TF)As you've seen on the update, Gold has or is close to completion of Wave 5 (Wave V) of its bullish structure. Waiting for a minor shift in price action to indicate a bear trend is about to start, but I’m looking to short the market now.
⭕️5 Wave Bullish Move Complete.
⭕️Overbought Market Conditions.
⭕️DXY (Dollar Index) Bullish.
GBPUSD H8 - Long Signal 1.30 HANDLE GBPUSD H8
We broke slightly south of our 1.30 handle and psychological price late last week, that being said, it was fairly minor, merely just 30 points. We have now adjusted our entry price and SL positioning in the case this setup wants to attempt to break higher. We have an attractive area of support and demand, mixed with the previously mentioned confluences.
Not a great deal of data out today, so maybe it’s worth monitoring these trading zones and prices and waiting until the volume really starts to drive in. DXY approaching that 104.000 number, this is where we would expect rejections and therefore GBPUSD to climb higher, but in the interim, this may lead GPBUSD to trade south of 1.30 again in the short term. Let’s see what unfolds, but this is certainly on the watchlist this week.
DXY D1 - Short Signal DXY D1
Cleaning up our dollar index chart here, we have previously been following the price level of 103.000, then 103.300 and now we are looking at this 104.000 whole number. This would be an area of resistance we would yet again expect a rejection. Of course, we have exploded through both previous zones, after some consolidation.
Without trying to catch a falling knife, so to speak… There certainly should be a correction due on the dollar index in the near future. The bullish D1 candle run has been insane, I’d like to see a correction to around 102.000 after testing 104.000 territory.
Barriers in the interim sit at 103.300 support and 103.000 support respectively, simple resistance to support and support to resistance as we break and move beyond certain trading zones.
EURUSD expected to rebound on an oversold 1D RSI.The EURUSD pair made a straight hit on our 1.08350 Target (September 23 idea, see chart below) following the 1.12000 Double Top rejection:
Right now the price sits below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), having failed to recover it in the past 2 days. This is however the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from the last Low, which is where the February 14 2024 correction reversed.
At the same time, the 1D RSI turned oversold last Thursday, which is an even bigger bullish indication. For the past 2 years (since September 27 2022), every time the RSI got oversold (below 30.00), it was a very strong buy signal as the price reversed.
On the February 14 Low it reversed to the 0.618 Fib (blue), so currently our minimum target on this buy opportunity is 1.10550.
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EURUSD - Macro View...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 EURUSD has been overall bullish, trading inside the flat rising channel in blue.
Moreover, it is approaching a demand zone marked in green.
🏹 The highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the demand zone and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
GBPUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.30650 zone, GBPUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.30650 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Could the Cable rise from here?The price has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3033
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.2981
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.3146
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Overlap resistance ahead?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level.
Pivot: 0.6744
1st Support: 0.6674
1st Resistance: 0.6792
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot point which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level which acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 1.0896
1st Support: 1.0834
1st Resistance: 1.0955
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.