USDJPY: 1H Rising Wedge approaching its top.USDJPY is almost overbought on its 1H technical outlook (RSI = 69.322, MACD = 0.160, ADX = 19.927) as the price is approaching the top (HH) of the 10 day Rising Wedge. A 74.00 RSI has been the most optimal sell signal during the three past highs to start shorting. Wait for the opportunity and target the 0.5 Fib at least (TP = 149.645) as it has been the minimum target during the last two bearish waves.
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USD
Dollar Index Bullish to $109! (UPDATE)The Dollar is moving ridiculously bullish for the past 3 weeks. Exactly how I said it would move to my Gold Fund investors, in our Q4 Market Breakdown report.
The U.S. elections is less than 4 weeks away & I'm expecting Dollar bulls to hold up during the elections, with all the volatility we will see in the markets.
USDDKK Confirmed bullish break-out.The USDDKK pair broke yesterday above its 1D MA200 for the first time since August 02 and gave a strong bullish break-out signal. The 1D RSI got overbought (above 70.00), so a pull-back of a few days is possible, but on the medium-term we expect a continuation of the uptrend, similar to the two previous times the price broke above the Lower Highs trend-line.
Our Target is Resistance 1 at 6.99000.
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Potential bullish rise?WTI oil (XTI/USD) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 69.90
1st Support: 68.16
1st Resistance: 72.36
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is reacting off the pivot which lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could drop to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 67.990.52
1st Support: 66,408.69
1st Resistance: 69,468.14
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Entry: 1.0835
1st Support: 1.0783
1st Resistance: 1.0895
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD📌 Trading Instrument: EUR/USD
🔶 Bullish Breakout with Strong Potential 🔶
📝 Market Overview:
After 16 days of consolidation, EUR/USD has finally broken out of the diagonal resistance, suggesting a bullish move ahead. I took a position just before the breakout, assessing the potential reward as extremely favorable compared to the risk. The trade has a remarkable Risk-Reward Ratio of 17.5:1, making it highly attractive even with a low initial risk.
The breakout is supported by triple bullish divergences, signaling a strong potential for upward momentum. Moreover, the market is currently trading near the 0.61 Fibonacci retracement level, a critical point often signaling reversals.
Additionally, we have a solid support zone just below, which has held firm for 750 days. The absence of any significant breakdown from this level strengthens the bullish case. If this support holds, it will continue to fuel the upward momentum. However, any breakdown here could signal a notable trend reversal, so I'm closely monitoring the price action.
Given these technical signals, I opted for a day trade with the potential to extend it through the week, depending on price movement and relevant news flow.
🎯 Trade Details:
Stop Loss (SL): Today’s low
Take Profit (TP): 1.09528
This trade leverages several technical signals:
Bullish divergence across multiple timeframes.
Holding near the 0.61 Fibonacci retracement level.
The strong support that has not broken for 750 days.
The lack of a breakdown further solidifies the bullish outlook, and if the breakout gains momentum, this could be a highly profitable setup.
🚨 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly. Markets are highly volatile, and you should only invest money you are prepared to lose.
US30 TO NEW ATH OF $43,050 (UPDATE)Even though we closed out our US30 investment at the start of this month, you can see how smoothly this analysis played out🦾 I called this trade at the bottom of Wave 5 (Sub-Wave II) & since then US30 has provided a 29% ROI (9,700 PIPS profit).
The Elliott Wave Theory strategy worked out to perfection for this investment!
EURUSD hit the 1day MA200! Support or bearish break out?EURUSD hit today the 1day MA200 for the first time since August 2nd and its 1day RSI turned oversold for the first time since April 16th.
That is a very bearish development but market exhaustion and the need for a relief rally may hit the price just like it did on the August 25th 1day MA200 test.
We remain bearish as per our last trading plan but any rebound near the 1day MA50 will be an opportunity to open additional sells.
The target is intact at 1.07700 (Fibonacci 0.618).
Previous chart:
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Hours to Go: Will ECB Cut Rates? Hours to Go: Will ECB Cut Rates?
The euro zone economy flashed modest signs of life earlier this week, with a series of indicators suggesting tepid but still growing activity for a region that has narrowly avoided recession for over a year.
However, the numbers are possibly unlikely to deter the European Central Bank from moving forward with a rate cut on Friday, a decision that markets have nearly fully priced in as the countdown enters its final 24 hours.
Ahead of the decision, the EUR/USD is trading at its lowest since August 2, breaking below its 20-, 50-, 100-, and 200-day exponential moving averages. The key question: will the ECB’s rate cut provide much-needed support to the euro, or will sellers attempt to erase the gains from the August 2nd rally?
Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 16.10.2024Gold failed to push lower today & broke to the upside instead, so I am no longer waiting on a retracement down towards $2,630.
Even though Gold didn't pull back towards $2,630 & give me an entry, price is still up 800 PIPS in profit from its Wave V low. Well done to everyone who got into buy's! Wave V target & $2,700 is right around the corner.
EURUSD to turnaround?EURUSD - 24H EXPIRY
Trades at the lowest level in 48 days.
Bespoke support is located at 1.0875.
We have a 78.6% Fibonacci pullback level of 1.0870 from 1.0778 to 1.1202.
Selling posted in Asia.
Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
The medium term bias is neutral.
We look to Buy at 1.0875 (stop at 1.0825)
Our profit targets will be 1.1037 and 1.1050
Resistance: 1.1008 / 1.1038 / 1.1050
Support: 1.0875 / 1.0870 / 1.0775
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 149.51
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 150.33
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 148.42
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?USD/CAD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3787
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3826
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.3749
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Could the Fiber reverse from here?The price is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0877
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.0835
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Take profit: 1.0951
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Could the Aussie reverse from here?AUD/USD is reacting off the pivot which is an overlap support and could rise from this level to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.6686
1st Support: 0.6648
1st Resistance: 0.6732
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD has flattened the decline. Potential rebound ahead.GBPUSD is trading inside a Bullish Megaphone since the April 22nd low.
Typically it bottoms after the price crosses under the MA50 (1d), which it did last week.
Even though the bottom of the Megaphone is a bit lower, R/R suggests that those are solid buy entry levels.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.3670 (the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, where all 3 previous Highs were priced).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) has flattened and its MA trend line is approaching. A crossing will confirm the bullish signal.
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USDCHF is rising but it's not late to buy.USDCHF has been on a very strong 2 week rise on Support A and has turned the 1day MA50 into Support. Until that breaks, we expect the bullish trend to continue.
Technically this is an emerging Channel Up that looks very much like the January rebound on Support A, which also consolidated after a nearly +3.00% rise and then moved to a +4.78% rise before it pulled back.
Buy and target 0.87900 (+4.78%), which will approach the 1day MA200.
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EURUSD: Channel Down on 1H giving two trades.EURUSD is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 30.958, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 45.308) as it has been on a non-stop decline, which is even more effectively displayed on the 1H chart. You can see the flawless Channel Down making -0.90% Bearish Waves and then pulling back to the 0.5 Fibonacci only to get rejected again under the 1H MA100. This gives a potential double trade, initally with a short now to complete the -0.90% wave (TP = 1.08555) and then long to the 0.5 Fib (TP = 1.09000).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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