US100 - Cup of Handle LONG Long on US100. Cut of handle pattern, small lateral decline with resistance and entry point 20190, break out of the entire structure at 20310 with second entry. Target and take profit at 20754. CAPITALCOM:US100
USD
CRUDE OIL TO HIT $160?! (UPDATE)Oil prices are still up & buyers are holding strongly! On the smaller TF we saw price dip a little lower in the past 4 days. For those who aren't in buy's already, you should have used this dip to get into Oil at a cheaper price. Bare in mind prices are still dirt cheap right now, so take advantage before it's too late.
GET INTO LONG TERM OIL POSITIONS NOW!
EURUSD All 4H contacts are sell opportunities.EURUSD has turned completely bearish as after the Sep 25th rejection, it broke under the previous Channel Up and formed a Death Cross on the 4hour time frame.
It continues to be a similar sequence of events as the post December 28th 2023 High.
We expect a similar Channel Down to lead the price lower and every MA50 (4h) test will be a sell opportunity.
Sell and target 1.07700 (-4.00% from the top).
Previous chart:
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Is a New ECB Rate Cut Just Days Away? European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde signaled that weaker-than-expected inflation will be on the agenda at the central bank’s October meeting next week. This has fueled speculation that policymakers could move to cut rates again.
For the exact date and time of these major economic events, import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to receive alerts directly in your email inbox.
Germany’s sluggish growth has added to the ECB’s challenges. While other parts of the eurozone are showing signs of recovery, Berlin issued a stark warning this week, forecasting its economy will contract for a second consecutive year—a major drag on the region’s broader outlook.
Technical signals also potentially point to downside risks. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching oversold territory, and a break below the 1.0900 level could see traders targeting the 200-day moving average near 1.08710
NZDUSD: Very Bearish Outlook 🇳🇿🇺🇸
NZDUSD broke and closed below a key daily horizontal support.
With a high probability, it turned into resistance.
We can anticipate a bearish movement from that.
Next support - 0.599
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USDCHF to find buyers at the market price?USDCHF - 24h expiry
Our short term bias remains positive.
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
We look for a temporary move lower.
We look to buy at current market price.
20 4hour EMA is at 0.8574.
Our profit targets will be 0.8630 and 0.8645
We look to Buy at 0.8575 (stop at 0.8553)
Resistance: 0.8609 / 0.8630 / 0.8650
Support: 0.8580 / 0.8565 / 0.8550
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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Sell EURUSD Bearish ChannelThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0986, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0935
2nd Support – 1.0909
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.1005. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
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Thank you.
Sell Gold (XAU/USD) Triangle BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 2638
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2616
2nd Support – 2605
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2660. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
USDSGD Time to sell this rally.The USDSGD pair has been rebounding non-stop since the September 27 bottom and yesterday broke above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than 3 months (since July 04). This confirmed that the correction since July is over but with the 1D RSI above 60.00 and heading towards the overbought barrier (70.00), we expect a rejection there.
In fact, there was a similar fractal that was rejected on March 10 2023, on the correction's 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level a little after the 1D RSI turned overbought. This resulted into a test of the 0.618 Fib of the rebound Leg.
As a result, we are expecting a rejection on the 0.382 Fib or when the 1D RSI gets overbought above 70.00 and our Target is the 0.618 Fib at 1.29150.
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GU had to make it past the newsnow that we have news out the way I'm expecting to get some movement and a breakout. Holding out till London session to find a solid entry within the killzone.
Potential bullish reversal?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,589.58
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 2,555.01
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2,631.58
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Falling towards 78.6% Fibonacci support?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6688
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6621
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 0.6751
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish reversal?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3031
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2940
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3159
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Could price reverse from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 140.43
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 150.90
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 147.15
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USD/JPY eyes break of 150 and 200-day MA retestThe recovery from 140 has been nothing short of impressive. The daily RSI is confirming the rising prices on the daily chart, and momentum suggests USD/JPY wants to head for the 200-day MA around the 151 handle.
There are some concerns that that inflation could pick up due to the hot NFP report, so we may find that pre-emptive bets prompt a break of the August high to bring 150 into focus. Even if prices retrace lower first, dips are preferred and the bias is for an eventual move to 151.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 59,378.90
1st Support: 57,833.43
1st Resistance: 61,888.24
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDUSD: Short Term SellEntry: 0.6727
Stop Loss: 0.6800 (73 pips above entry)
Take Profit: 0.6600 (127 pips below entry, offering a 1.7:1 reward-to-risk ratio)
Reasoning:
With global risk-off sentiment growing and commodity prices showing signs of weakness, AUD/USD could face further downside pressure. This setup capitalizes on potential bearish momentum, offering a strong risk-to-reward opportunity.
USDMXN: Short Term BuyEntry: 19.4600
Stop Loss: 19.3000 (160 pips below entry)
Take Profit: 19.7000 (240 pips above entry, offering a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio)
Reasoning: The Mexican peso has been showing signs of weakening, while the U.S. dollar has been gaining strength. This trend suggests that USD/MXN could continue its upward movement, providing a potential buying opportunity.
EUR/USD in Trouble? BofA May Think So Bank of America (BofA) anticipates that the European Central Bank (ECB) will reduce interest rates more aggressively than what is currently reflected in the EUR/USD.
This expectation is driven by doubts surrounding the ECB's estimate of the neutral rate and shifting savings and investment patterns within the Euro Area.
Even so, the EUR/USD has dropped to a new weekly low of 1.0950. With the U.S. dollar maintaining a bullish trend across the FX market, the pair may decline further, potentially testing the next support level at 1.0910.
If BofA’s forecast holds true, EUR/USD could revisit the lower highs seen in August and July, signaling a deeper pullback.
NZDUSD: Broke under both MAs. Strong sell signalNZDUSD is highly bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 36.216, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 38.839) as it smashed through both the 1D MA50 and the 1D MA200. The long term structure is a Rectangle (R1 and S1 Zone) and the current pattern that is emerging is almost identical with the previous bearish waves towards the S1 Zone. It is possible to see a medium term reboudn back to the 1D MA50 but on the long term we are bearish (TP = 0.58600).
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GBPUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis 🇬🇧🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important support and resistance levels on GBPUSD.
Resistance 1: 1.3235 - 1.3266 area
Resistance 2: 1.3312 - 1.3322 area
Resistance 3: 1.3414 - 1.3434 area
Support 1: 1.3000 - 1.3043 area
Support 2: 1.2860 - 1.2888 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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GBPUSD Will it hold the 1D MA50??The GBPUSD pair has been trading exactly on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the past two days and so far it held. Today though it appears to be making its first legitimate attempt to break it and if the 1D candle closes below it, we will have a confirmed bearish break-out.
This is similar to the August 03 2023 bearish break-out, which was the ultimate medium-term sell confirmation after a long Bullish Megaphone that dictated the trend. As you can see the two fractals are identical, initially declining by around -5% and then rising towards the 2.0 Fibonacci extension through their Megaphones.
The 2023 sell signal reached the 0.786 Fib after the break-out and that will be our Target again (1.2550) if the 1D candle confirms that closing below the 1D MA50.
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Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?WTI oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st resistance which has been identified as pullback resistance.
Pivot: 73.01
1st Support: 70.37
1st Resistance: 77.51
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
