Technical Analysis for FX,Indices and many More!(Week 17,21Apr)Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Which pairs or instruments should we keep a look out for?
For me I am looking at :
EURUSD GBPUSD potential break up
EurAud EurNzd could hold, favor EurAud to long
USDJPY triangle to break lower
EURCAD or NZDCAD to long/
EURGBP (h&s)
BTC range play
This coming week is packed with interest rate decision, how?What to do?
Do check out my recorded video for more insights!
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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USD
Trade Review for FX,Indices and many More!(Week 16,14-18Apr2025)Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
How was your trading this week?
Have you took any trades on these pairs i mentioned last week?
EURUSD
EURAUD
EURNZD
BTC
USDSGD
Come on in to review our week 16. :)
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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Bearish drop?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1,570.37
1st Support: 1,437.45
1st Resistance: 1,685.57
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce off overlap support?The Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is also an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 31.90
1st Support: 31.27
1st Resistance: 33.11
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish continuation?The Gold (XAU/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 3,300.14
1st Support: 3,245.08
1st Resistance: 3,376.40
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 65.92
1st Support: 62.37
1st Resistance: 68.53
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD Price Action Correlation with Bitcoin PriceIn the later stages of the liquidity cycle you have a devaluation of USD leading to bitcoin breaking out of its bullish trend into a parabolic trend.
-Last 2 cycles this predictive correlation leaded bitcoins breakout by 4 to 6 months.
-Current cycle DXY/Bitcoin charts look very similar to 2018
Taking this correlation into account, we could likely see the bullish trend on Bitcoin transform into a parabolic trend sometime between May and June. Meaning, we are in the final stages of a bottoming in Bitcoin at the time of this post, likely about to continue bullish momentum as we just went through significate market strain. Removing the possibilities of another Black Swan event, like a major geopolitical event but it is my belief that this was already priced in from the markets reaction just this month. This being said, there are no certainties. Things could always get worse. Time will tell, but given my aforementioned annalists, the buying opportunity at this current point is to great to ignore. Reward greatly outweighing the risk.
EURUSD: 4H holding and is pushing for the next High. The EURUSD pair is bullish on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 58.651, MACD = 0.006, ADX = 20.500) as despite turning sideways since last Friday, the price remains over the 4H MA50 and inside the short term Channel Up. As long as those hold, we anticipate a new bullish wave of at least 5%, like the previous one. Aim for the top of the Channel Up (TP = 1.1800).
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Bullish bounce?XAG/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 23.56% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 31.83
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 31.26
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 33.18
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?USO/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 65.91
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 68.48
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 62.74
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Gold Hits New Highs as US-China Tensions Escalate 📌 Gold Outlook: US-China Trade Tensions Fuel New Bullish Wave Amid Policy Uncertainty 🧨📈
🌍 Geopolitical Drivers Taking the Lead
On April 15th, President Donald Trump ordered an investigation into potential tariffs on all critical minerals imported into the U.S. – a move seen as the latest escalation in his ongoing economic confrontation with global trade partners, most notably China.
This development has shaken overall market sentiment, prompting investors to rotate into safe-haven assets like gold, which has surged in response.
At the same time, the U.S. Dollar weakened sharply, nearing 3-year lows last week, further increasing gold’s appeal for holders of other currencies.
🏦 Central Bank Uncertainty Adds Fuel to the Fire
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stated that the central bank would not intervene to “rescue” markets during turbulent periods, suggesting that volatility may persist as hedge funds unwind leverage and global investors remain cautious.
He emphasized that the current volatility may be driven by shifting trade policies and broader uncertainty — which he said is “too early to fully diagnose.”
With central banks showing no immediate intent to inject liquidity or cut rates, the bullish case for gold remains strong in the coming weeks.
📊 Technical Outlook: New Highs in Sight, But Volatility Will Be Sharp
Gold continues to print new ATHs, and the dominant strategy right now is to trade with the trend — which clearly remains bullish. In such an environment, sudden drops are normal and not necessarily tied to any single news event.
Rather than attempting to short the market near highs, we are focusing on catching bullish continuation setups after sharp intraday corrections. These will likely form at support zones or classic continuation patterns on M15/M30 timeframes.
🔍 Price Levels to Watch
🟢 Support Zones:
3314 – 3300 – 3284 – 3266
🔴 Psychological Resistance:
3380 – 3396 – 3410
💼 Trade Plan
BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3300 – 3298
SL: 3264
TP Targets: 3304 → 3308 → 3312 → 3316 → 3320 → 3324 → 3330 → higher
SELL ZONE (Psychological Reaction Only):
Entry: 3396 – 3398
SL: 3402
TP Targets: 3392 → 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3376 → 3370
⚠️ Final Thoughts
We remain firmly buy-biased, especially as gold continues to be driven by macro and political catalysts. Pullbacks should be welcomed — not feared — and seen as opportunities to scale into longs at structure.
While intraday drops may appear sharp and sudden, they often lack fundamental backing and provide the best entry conditions for continuation traders. Be cautious with shorts — unless reacting to extended psychological resistance zones.
Always trade with a clear plan and never forget to honor your TP/SL levels to safeguard your capital.
💬 How are you navigating gold during this surge in global tension? Are you buying dips or waiting for a deeper correction? Let us know below! 👇👇👇
GBP/USD Fundamental Update (17.04.2025)The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.3320
2nd Resistance – 1.3369
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USD/JPY(20250417)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
U.S. import prices fell 0.1% in March from the previous month, the first month-on-month decline since September last year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
143.10
Support and resistance levels:
144.08
143.72
143.48
142.72
142.48
142.11
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 143.10, consider buying, the first target price is 143.48
If the price breaks through 142.72, consider selling, the first target price is 142.48
Bearish drop?USD/JPY has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 142.87
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 143.69
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 141.48
Why we like it:
There is a support level at the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
DXY - Is a relief bounce to the 4-h FVG coming?The US Dollar Index (DXY) has been in a clearly defined downtrend over the recent period, showing consistent lower highs and lower lows. During its latest downward move, the DXY formed a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), which aligns with a significant gap in price action. This confluence of technical factors marks a strong rejection area, and from a trading perspective, it presents an ideal zone to consider short positions, especially if bearish price action confirms the setup.
Currently, however, the DXY is sitting at a major support level. This level has historically acted as a demand zone, and given the extended move downward, a bounce or retracement to the upside is a realistic scenario. Traders should stay alert for signs of bullish momentum or reversal patterns, as the potential for a temporary recovery from this support is not unlikely before any continuation of the broader trend.
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Bullish bounce off overlap support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3173
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3105
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3291
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
XAUUSD - Possible top formation on gold ?XAUUSD probably topped as I expected around 3200 - 1 fib extension from low 1046 to high 2075 and higher low 1614 (started to short at the precedent low 3157)
big daily bearish divergence on RSI as well
maybe double bottom in 1 or 2 weeks then will go all down till september thats my forecast
daily POC/and back to 0.618 fib extension is my target ~ 2500 (around -20% move)
____
any new ATH could bring gold to next fib extension at around 3850
Cheers
USDCAD Selling not over yet.Last time we looked at the USDCAD pair (March 21, see chart below), we got the most optimal sell entry that easily hit our 1.4000 Target:
As the price broke below its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) having made a significant correction since the February 03 High, we believe there is more selling to be made at least on the short-term.
That is because the Higher Lows Zone that started on the May 2021 market bottom, hasn't yet been tested and since December 2023, the market always broke inside it before rebounding.
As a result, we expect a new rejection on the 1D MA200, delivering a 1.38200 Target.
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Gold Hits New ATH Amid Escalating US–China Tensions📌 Gold Hits New ATH Amid Escalating US–China Tensions: How Far Can It Go? 🧨📈
Gold has reached another all-time high (ATH) as geopolitical tensions between the United States and China intensify. Markets have become incredibly sensitive, reacting sharply to political rhetoric and economic policy shifts from the world’s most powerful leaders.
As investors grow increasingly uneasy, gold continues to serve its role as a safe haven — but the real question now isn't whether gold will rise, but rather: how high can it go?
🌍 Geopolitical Sensitivity at its Peak
A single tariff threat or retaliation can trigger gold to surge by $30–$50.
Conversely, a pause in policy or a diplomatic “cool down” can cause price to drop hundreds of points.
In this environment, political narratives are driving markets more than technical setups.
This is one of those rare moments where fundamentals and news flow completely overshadow traditional chart signals. Even textbook candle confirmations are losing reliability — clean bullish closures are often followed by equally strong bearish rejections.
📊 Key Levels to Watch
Support Zones:
3,280 / 3,268 / 3,258 / 3,240 / 3,230
Resistance Zones:
3,292 / 3,302 / 3,310/ 3330
⚙️ Trading Zones
🔽 Sell Zone:
Entry: 3,330 – 3,332
SL: 3,336
TP: 3,325 → 3,320 → 3,315 → 3,310 → 3,300
📈 Buy Zone #1:
Entry: 3,270 – 3,268
SL: 3,264
TP: 3,274 → 3,278 → 3,282 → 3,286 → 3,290 → 3,300
📈 Buy Zone #2:
Entry: 3,240 – 3,238
SL: 3,234
TP: 3,245 → 3,250 → 3,255 → 3,260 → 3,264 → 3,268 → 3,274 → 3,280 → OPEN
⚠️ Final Thoughts & Risk Advisory
With geopolitical tensions rising and volatility surging, trading gold requires extra caution. Avoid chasing momentum blindly — even strong confirmations can flip without warning.
This is a market driven by emotions, news headlines, and global uncertainty, not just technicals. Always stick to your trading plan, and more importantly: respect your SL/TP at all times.
💬 How are you approaching gold in this macro environment? Share your views below – are you holding long or fading the rallies? 👇👇👇
USD/JPY(20250416)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
U.S. import prices fell 0.1% in March from the previous month, the first month-on-month decline since September last year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
143.10
Support and resistance levels
144.08
143.72
143.48
142.72
142.48
142.11
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 143.10, consider buying, the first target price is 143.48
If the price breaks through 142.72, consider selling, the first target price is 142.48