USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY fora selling opportunity around 151.800 zone, USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 151.800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USD
GOLD XAUUSD - PoVIn recent days, the price of gold has seen some increases, mainly driven by a mix of economic and geopolitical uncertainties. Inflation, still high in many parts of the world, continues to support the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, despite rising interest rates from central banks. While this slows its growth, it doesn't stop investors from seeking protection against currency devaluation. Added to this are concerns about a potential global recession, which further pushes investors toward safe assets like gold. The U.S. dollar, which had previously driven gold lower, is now showing signs of weakness, especially due to expectations of a slowdown in Federal Reserve policy, which could make gold more attractive. Additionally, ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly the war in Ukraine and its global implications, continue to create uncertainties that drive up demand for gold. Looking ahead, the expectation is that the price of gold could continue to rise if economic and geopolitical uncertainty persists. Any slowdown in the Fed's aggressive policy could favor gold’s appreciation, as the precious metal becomes more appealing in a lower interest rate environment. However, if inflation were to significantly decrease or central banks continue raising rates, gold's upward movement could slow, but the safe-haven demand could still help maintain its value.
EURUSD - PoVThe EUR/USD exchange rate is influenced by several economic and political factors, suggesting that the euro may continue to weaken in the coming weeks. On one side, the United States is implementing expansive fiscal policies that could strengthen the dollar, such as economic stimulus and increased public spending. These factors, along with potential protectionist measures like tariffs on Europe, could further weaken the euro by reducing the competitiveness of European exports. Additionally, the **Federal Reserve's** monetary policy, which has raised interest rates to combat inflation, makes the dollar more attractive to investors, increasing demand for the U.S. currency. The United States' energy independence, due to increased domestic production of gas and oil, has also reduced its reliance on imports, which further strengthens the dollar compared to the euro.
On the other hand, the Eurozone is facing a series of economic and political challenges that are putting pressure on the single currency. High inflation is eroding purchasing power across the Eurozone, and despite the European Central Bank (ECB) raising interest rates to combat it, economic growth remains slow. This divergence from the United States, where growth has been more dynamic, amplifies the euro's weakness. Moreover, the ongoing energy crisis in Europe, worsened by the war in Ukraine and reduced gas supplies from Russia, has increased costs and slowed the competitiveness of European businesses. In this context, political uncertainties in some Eurozone countries and the ECB’s less aggressive economic management compared to the Fed further contribute to the euro's weakness.
Therefore, the strengthening of the dollar, driven by U.S. policies and growing energy independence, and the structural weakness of the Eurozone, are likely to continue pushing the EUR/USD lower in the coming weeks.
WTI OIL - USOUSDShort-term outlook:
Downward trend: Right now, there are signs that oil prices could drop, mainly due to weaker global demand and potential overproduction of oil. Citi predicts that without deeper OPEC+ production cuts, prices could fall to $60 per barrel by the end of 2025.
Upward trend: However, OPEC+ might take action to reduce production if prices continue to fall, aiming to keep prices higher, as they’ve done in the past. Also, geopolitical factors could cause temporary price spikes.
Bottom line: There's no strong signal that prices will rise consistently in the short term, but a rebound is possible if geopolitical events or OPEC+ decisions push the market up. However, the trend seems more likely to be downward for the next few weeks.
Trade Idea for U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Feb 19, 2025📌 Current Market Context
DXY is trading at 107.023 , slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (106.344).
This level is a key golden ratio support, where strong reversals often happen.
The uptrend from Sept 2024 suggests that bulls are still in control unless this retracement turns into a full reversal.
📈 Bullish Trade Idea (Buy Setup)
✅ Entry: Look for bullish price action (rejection wicks, engulfing candles, or a strong bounce) near 106.344 - 106.500 .
🎯 Targets:
Target 1 : 108.035 (78.6% Fib)
Target 2 : 110.189 (previous high)
📍 Stop-Loss: Below 105.800 (just under 61.8% retracement to avoid stop hunts).
📊 Risk/Reward: ~1:2 or better.
📉 Bearish Trade Idea (Sell Setup)
❌ Trigger: If DXY closes below 106.344 on a daily candle , it could signal further downside.
📉 Entry: Sell below 106.200 after confirmation.
🎯 Targets:
Target 1 : 105.156 (50% Fib)
Target 2 : 103.968 (38.2% Fib)
📍 Stop-Loss: Above 107.000 (to avoid fakeouts).
📊 Risk/Reward: 1:2 minimum.
🛠️ Risk Management Notes
Watch for fundamental news (FOMC, inflation data, rate decisions) that could cause volatility.
Use partial take profits to secure gains along the way.
If entering a buy trade, consider trailing stops once price reaches 108.035.
EUR/USD Rejects 1.0469 – Drop to 1.0399 or Reversal Ahead?EUR/USD Technical Analysis – February 19, 2025
The price is rejecting from the pivot line at 1.0469, confirming bearish momentum after failing to sustain above the key level.
Technical Outlook
Bearish Scenario: As long as the price trades below 1.0469, the downtrend remains valid, targeting 1.0399. A break below this level could extend losses toward 1.0367 and 1.0288.
Bullish Scenario: To reverse the bearish momentum, EUR/USD must break back above 1.0469, which could trigger an upward move toward 1.0520 and 1.0605.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Pivot Point: 1.0436
🔹 Resistance Levels: 1.0520, 1.0605
🔹 Support Levels: 1.0390, 1.0367, 1.0288
📉 Directional Bias: The price is expected to drop toward 1.0399 while trading below 1.0469. A break below 1.0399 confirms further downside movement.
💬 Will EUR/USD hold below 1.0469 for further downside, or reclaim the level for a reversal? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could drop top the 1st support.
Pivot: 152.85
1st Support: 151.21
1st Resistance: 153.74
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish continuation?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) has bounced off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.5691
1st Support: 0.5665
1st Resistance: 0.5753
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bitcoin Irregular Expanded Flat Fractal Straight Up 90kJust an idea, I noticed Bitcoin played out a fractal similar to the previous bull run top. If Bitcoin plays out this fractal then a straight shot to $90k could very well be in the cards. Obviously on the higher time frame it will be a little slower action that on the daily we just had but none the less it would go up pretty fast. I believe the current rally we are having is the first wave of a massive, massive bull run coming for Bitcoin. I think this run is going to go up so fast it will literally leave everyone behind that is waiting for new lows or even on the sidelines. When this thing goes it could make 50% moves up in a single day. Most people arent prepared for that and with all these exchanges ceasing operations in USA, almost one a day now, most people wont even be able to get in or get out at the top. Oh you got Coinbase App? Good luck, look at the history of Coinbase, their site goes down when things get crazy almost every single time, so by the time you get in Bitcoin on Coinbase Bitocoin may well be at 100K or more. Coinbase also cancels orders if it goes up to fast and refunds your money. If you are waiting on the sidelines make sure you have more than one avenue to get and get out so you're not left behind.
I dont know guys I see a giant bond collapse coming, and hyperinflation to try and prop up this giant house of cards, which wont work this time. Keep an eye on the Euro. When the Euro starts to tank the USA is maybe a week behind. Also watch silver, when silver starts going up $5 a day just know that shit has hit the fan and the collapse of the USA dollar and all the western republics is very near. Make sure you have some silver if you dont already just as money so you can buy what you need because no one will accept the US Fed Note Dollar. Good Luck out there. This is not financial advice this is just my opinion.
Trump reshaping Canada’s election and Loonie Six weeks ago, a Conservative victory in the next Canadian election seemed inevitable.
Now, that certainty is fading. Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre's support from the American right, including Elon Musk, is becoming a potential liability as Canada faces an unprecedented challenge: the U.S. president openly questioning its viability as a nation, threatening tariffs, and even suggesting annexation.
A recent Nanos poll shows 39.6% of Canadians see new Liberal leader Mark Carney as the most qualified to negotiate with Trump, compared to 26% for Poilievre.
This uncertainty may be weighing on the Canadian dollar. USDCAD broke lower last week, falling below key support (1.4260 - 1.4466), signaling a shift toward sellers. However, the 1-hour chart shows a minor upward trendline defining the current pullback.
EURUSD The 4hour MA50 makes all the differenceEURUSD is trading inside a Channel Up on the 4hour timeframe.
The recent price action is a Bull Flag which as long as the 4hour MA50 holds, it creates similar bullish conditions as the Jan 22nd Bull Flag and targets 1.05250 (Resistance Zone B).
If the 4hour MA50 breaks, sell and target 1.02500 (bottom of Channel Up).
Previous chart:
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Bullish bounce off pullback support for the Fiber?The price is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0419
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0373
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0520
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?GBP?USD is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2614
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.2719
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 1.2524
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6304
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6254
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6375
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce?NZD/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5664
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.5606
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.5745
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCAD in a corrective channel to continue in the downward move?USDCAD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
A higher correction is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 1.4175 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 1.4125.
We look to Sell at 1.4235 (stop at 1.4285)
Our profit targets will be 1.4135 and 1.4125
Resistance: 1.4200 / 1.4235 / 1.4250
Support: 1.4150 / 1.4135 / 1.4125
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Euro can drop from seller zone to 1.0350 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can observe that the price was moving within a downward channel. After bouncing off the resistance line, it quickly dropped to the 1.0480 resistance level. It then broke below this level and continued to decline inside the channel until eventually breaking out and transitioning into a ranging phase. Within this range, the Euro dipped into the buyer zone, even slightly below it, before reversing and making a strong upward impulse toward the resistance level, briefly entering the seller zone. After that, the price dropped back into the range and soon made a sharp gap down, returning to the buyer zone. However, following this movement, the Euro started to rise again, climbing back to the 1.0480 resistance level in a short period and forming another gap in the process. The price even touched the seller zone before pulling back slightly and is now hovering near the 1.0480 level. Given this setup, I anticipate a rejection from the seller zone, leading to a decline. Based on this, my TP is set at 1.0350 within the range. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – February 18, 2025Trend : Gold is in a strong uptrend, trading within a rising channel.
The price has consistently respected the green trendline (support).
Higher highs and higher lows confirm bullish momentum.
Key Levels:
Support: $2,750, $2,650 (major swing lows)
Resistance: $2,950, $3,000 (psychological level)
Technical Patterns:
There are multiple bullish breakouts from consolidation zones, marked by red resistance trendlines. The recent breakout above $2,850 suggests a continuation toward $3,000.
Ascending channel formation with a possible breakout to $3,250 in the long term.
Indicators:
Bollinger Bands: The price is riding the upper band, showing strong buying pressure.
Momentum: Continues to favor bulls unless there’s a breakdown below $2,850.
1-Hour Chart (Second Image) Analysis
Short-Term Trend:
Gold recently retested support around $2,880 and is consolidating.
Price is trading above the green trendline, maintaining a bullish structure.
Bearish Pullback Areas:
The bearish wick at $2,940 suggests rejection from strong resistance.
A break below $2,880 may signal a temporary correction toward $2,850.
Key Intraday Levels:
Support: $2,880, $2,850
Resistance: $2,940, $3,000
Possible Setups:
Breakout Buy: Above $2,940 → Target $3,000.
Support Buy: Around $2,880–$2,850 with stop loss below $2,840.
Short-term Sell: If price rejects $2,940 again, targeting $2,880.
Trading Ideas & Strategy
1. Swing Trading (Daily Chart Perspective)
Long Entry: Buy on a pullback near $2,850–$2,880, targeting $3,000–$3,250.
Stop Loss: Below $2,820.
2. Intraday Trading (1H Chart)
Buy: If price reclaims $2,940 → Target $3,000.
Sell: If price rejects $2,940 again → Target $2,880 with a stop loss at $2,955.
3. Risk Management
Keep SL tight (~$20-$30 range) due to Gold’s volatility.
Use trailing stop loss to secure profits as price moves higher.
Conclusion
Bullish Trend Dominates: Gold remains in a strong uptrend, and as long as it holds above $2,850–$2,880, buying dips remains the best approach.
Short-term Rejections Possible: If resistance at $2,940 holds, a small pullback may happen before another push higher.
Long-term Target: $3,000–$3,250 remains achievable in the coming weeks if bulls maintain control.
EURO - Price can break support level and drop to $1.0370 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it soon broke $1.0255 level and continued to grow.
Then it made a correction and after this continued to move up and soon reached $1.0490 level and broke it.
After this, Euro started to decline and exited from a channel, breaking $1.0490 level too, after which continued to fall.
Price made a strong gap and dropped to support line of wedge, after which started to grow and later made another gap.
Next, EUR bounced up from support line of wedge and in a short time rose to $1.0490 level and broke it.
Now, it trades close this level and I think it can break $1.0490 level and continue to decline to $1.0370
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
GBP/USD Analysis – Bullish Momentum or a Pullback?GBP/USD Technical Analysis – Bullish Momentum or a Temporary Pullback?
By Dhanda The Great
The GBP/USD currency pair has been on an interesting journey over the past few months, experiencing a significant downtrend before showing signs of a bullish reversal. The big question now: Is this the beginning of a sustained uptrend, or just a temporary pullback?
Chart Analysis & Key Levels
Breakout from the Downtrend:
The pair was trading within a descending channel for months, indicating a strong bearish structure.
Recently, GBP/USD broke out of this channel, which could signify a trend reversal or at least a short-term bullish correction.
Support & Resistance Zones:
Support: The key demand zone lies between 1.2100 - 1.2200, where previous bounces have occurred.
Resistance: GBP/USD faces a crucial test around 1.2750 - 1.2800. A break above this level could propel the pair towards the psychological 1.3000 mark.
Moving Averages & Bollinger Bands:
The price is currently riding the upper Bollinger Band, which shows strong buying pressure.
Short-term EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages) are crossing upwards, signaling potential bullish continuation.
Trade Ideas & Market Outlook
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If GBP/USD holds above 1.2600, it could gain further momentum towards 1.2750 - 1.2800.
A confirmed breakout above 1.2800 would open doors for 1.3000.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails to sustain above 1.2600, we could see a pullback to 1.2300 - 1.2200.
A break below 1.2200 would indicate bearish strength, potentially leading to 1.2000 or lower.
Final Thoughts
The GBP/USD is at a critical juncture, and traders should keep an eye on key levels. With fundamental catalysts like economic data and central bank policies, volatility is expected. A sustained breakout above 1.2800 could mark the beginning of a strong bullish trend, while rejection could send prices lower.
🔥 What’s Next?
Keep an eye on GBP/USD and be ready to react!
Let’s make 2025 the year of your financial success! 🚀💰
#GBPUSD #ForexTrading #DhandaTheGreat #Investing #TradingSignals #FinancialFreedom