Dollar Index Bullish to $111.350 (UPDATE)Since yesterday's Dollar update, price has moved according to our arrow. We saw a small dip down overnight & now buyers have once again pushed price back into the grey zone.
We are expecting price to remain within this grey zone, seeing it flip from a resistance zone into support. Once price closes above this zone, we'll have extra confirmation that Dollar buyers are ready to push price even higher🚀
USD
NZDUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis and Key Levels 🇳🇿🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis and
important supports & resistances on NZDUSD.
Support 1: 0.5506 - 0.5538 area
Support 2: 0.5470 - 0.5479 area
Resistance 1: 0.5644 - 0.5683 area
Resistance 2: 0.5796 - 0.5854 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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RBNZ rate decision coming upWe are keeping a close eye on the RBNZ interest rate decision and if it will stick to its 25bps cut, or not. Let's dig in.
FX_IDC:NZDUSD
MARKETSCOM:NZDUSD
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This GBP/USD Move Will Catch Most Traders Off GuardGBP/USD has been in a strong uptrend over the past few weeks, with consistent bullish momentum. However, last week we saw the pair move into a period of range-bound consolidation—that is, until geopolitical headlines shook things up.
Following the news of Trump’s tariff announcements, the pair initially spiked aggressively to the upside, only to see a sharp 500-pip drop the next day. While this move might seem like a reversal at first glance, I believe it's a healthy pullback within a broader bullish trend.
Here’s why:
✅ The recent decline cleared out late buyers, creating a potential liquidity zone for institutions.
✅ Prior to the drop, the market took out sell-side liquidity from the range, then quickly reversed — a classic "grab and go" move.
✅ Structure remains intact to the upside, and I believe this pullback presents a high-probability buying opportunity.
📈 I’m expecting GBP/USD to retest and likely break last week’s high, with potential for another 500+ pip move to the upside in the coming sessions.
🛑 As always, manage risk carefully—nothing moves in a straight line, and fundamentals remain a factor.
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USDCHF PoV - Long POINT 0.82$!Currently, the USD/CHF pair is going through a bearish phase, influenced by several economic and geopolitical factors.
Influence of US Trade Tariffs: Recent trade tariffs imposed by the United States have strengthened the Swiss franc, creating pressure on Switzerland's export-oriented economy. This scenario could push the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to consider introducing negative interest rates to counter the appreciation of the currency and support the economy.
Monetary Policy of the SNB: In June 2024, the SNB reduced interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing them to 1.25%. Inflation forecasts were revised downward, indicating 1.3% for 2024 and 1.1% for 2025. These adjustments reflect economic challenges and the SNB's intent to avoid deflation.
Swiss Franc Forecast: Analysts from Bank of America have expressed doubts about the sustainability of the Swiss franc's weakness in 2025. Despite expectations of lower interest rates, the SNB may be reluctant to implement unconventional measures, given the limited effectiveness of such policies in the past.
Technical Analysis: The daily chart shows a range between a maximum of 0.82 and a minimum of 0.92, which has been respected for the past three years. Currently, the price is approaching the upper limit of the channel, suggesting a possible downward correction. However, a break above 0.92 could indicate an extension of the bullish movement.
Conclusion: The bearish trend of USD/CHF is influenced by both internal and external factors, including SNB policies, US trade tariffs, and market dynamics. Investors should closely monitor SNB decisions, international trade policies, and key economic indicators to assess potential developments in the USD/CHF exchange rate.
Gold's HUGE drop - Where we going next?📉 Gold Market Update: Key Levels & Strategy Ahead
Gold has experienced a significant decline, dropping over 1,000 pips in just the past three trading days. Currently, we’re seeing consolidation just above the $3,000 mark, with the price struggling to hold this psychological level.
While the broader trend appears bullish, we are now in a range-bound phase, which often leads to false breakouts and stop hunts. Given the current conditions:
🔸 Short Bias: The overall setup favors short positions, but patience is key. Look for higher price levels to enter shorts with better risk-to-reward ratios.
🔸 Scalp Opportunities: If you’re considering a long position, it should be strictly short-term (scalping) and only from well-defined support levels.
🔸 Capital Protection: This is not the time to over-leverage or chase moves. Gold is known for volatility in tight ranges—stay protected and use tight risk management.
⚠️ Bottom line: Gold is in a bearish consolidation zone. The safest play is to wait for clearer setups, preferably at resistance for shorts or strong support for scalps. Avoid getting chopped up in the range.
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Bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 81,250.81
1st Support: 74,377.30
1st Resistance: 84,581.33
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has rejected off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.4275
1st Support" 1.4061
1st Resistance: 1.4402
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish rebound?The Cable (GBP/USD) has bounced off the pivot which is a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.2717
1st Support: 1.2570
1st Resistance: 1.2875
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/JPY(20250408)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
146.92
Support and resistance levels
150.22
148.99
148.18
145.65
144.85
143.61
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 148.18, consider buying, the first target price is 148.99
If the price breaks through 146.92, consider selling, the first target price is 145.65
Could the Gold rebound from here?The price has reacted off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 2,955.87
1st Support: 2,925.35
1st Resistance: 3,054.56
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.0834
1st Support: 1.0730
1st Resistance: 1.0983
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish drop?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,007.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,059.25
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2,951.70
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Falling towards pullback support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2677
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2677
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2875
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0842
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0730
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.0991
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Double Top & Bearish Breakdown Incoming?📉 GOLD (XAU/USD) - Double Top & Bearish Breakdown Incoming? 📉
Gold has been trading in an ascending channel, but a possible double top pattern is forming near $3,163. The recent breakdown from the midline suggests that sellers are stepping in! 🚨
🔎 Key Observations:
✅ Double Top Rejection: Price failed to break above $3,163, signaling a potential bearish reversal.
✅ Break Below the Channel Midline: A retest of $3,129 could act as a confirmation before further downside.
✅ Bearish Targets: Next support zones lie at $3,083 - $3,005, with potential for deeper correction.
📊 Possible Scenarios:
📌 Bearish Case: If price gets rejected at $3,129, expect further downside towards $3,060 - $3,040.
📌 Bullish Case: If bulls reclaim $3,129, gold might retest highs near $3,163.
⚠️ Watch price action closely! A confirmed breakdown could accelerate selling pressure! 📉
What do you think? Will gold hold, or is a deeper drop coming? Share your thoughts in the comments! 👇🔥
#Gold #XAUUSD #Trading #Forex #DoubleTop #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
EUR/USD Triangle Breakout (07.04.2025)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0825
2nd Support – 1.0719
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USD/JPY(20250407)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Chairman Powell: Wait for clearer news before considering adjusting policy stance. One year later, as the impact of Trump's policies becomes clearer, uncertainty should be greatly reduced. Intends to complete the entire term. Potential tariffs may have a lasting impact on inflation. The impact of tariffs on the economy may be greater than expected. Downside risks have increased, but the economy is still in good shape.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
146.32
Support and resistance levels
149.17
148.11
147.41
145.22
144.53
143.46
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 146.32, consider buying, the first target price is 147.41
If the price breaks through 145.22, consider selling, the first target price is 144.53
EURUSD reached a 20-month Resistance. Potential for heavy sell.The EURUSD pair has almost hit the Lower Highs trend-line that started on the July 18 2023 High and immediately got rejected. The Resistance Zone that connects the last 3 major Highs within a 20-month span, follows the same pattern, especially with the 1D RSI Lower Highs peak formation.
Right now we are on the Lower High rejection, which on the previous three peaks hit initially the Support 1 level and then at least the Higher Lows trend-line (if not lower). As a result, we expect heavy selling to start on EURUSD, targeting 1.0730 and 1.0500 in succession.
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USDJPY to continue in the downward move?USDJPY - 24h expiry
The rally was sold and the dip bought resulting in mild net gains yesterday.
Selling posted in Asia.
We have a Gap open at 147.02 from 04.04 to 06.04.
The medium term bias remains bearish.
A Fibonacci confluence area is located at 143.68.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
We look to Sell at 147.02 (stop at 148.02)
Our profit targets will be 143.68 and 143.10
Resistance: 147.02 / 148.09 / 150.49
Support: 144.58 / 143.68 / 143.07
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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BTC - Slight Distribution After Nearly 10xMorning my fellow traders, and happy new year!
I hope you do not have a hangover right now. But if you do, get a tea going, it usually does the trick for me!
I can't deny the possibilities for another rally to take out the highs, but I'm thinking what the market makers are planning is a simple inverted Adam & Eve pattern that will lead us to new opportunities within the next month or so.
Keep in mind that for sometime now Alts have not been giving, and I believe that after this next Alt season (which I believe we will still get), they will keep giving less and less.
I sold near $100k for probably a couple weeks now. Did not get a perfect $108k sale, which is fine. Now I'll focus on a reentry if this plays out.
Trade thirsty, my friends!