Could the price bounce from here?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 144.34
1st Support: 142.98
1st Resistance: 146.15
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD
Bullish reversal off overlap support?The Cable (GBP/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 50% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 1.3412
1st Support: 1.3320
1st Resistance: 1.3517
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1451
1st Support: 1.1342
1st Resistance: 1.1614
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BTC USD 180K BIG HOW?Trends and price targets is how, but realistically, it looks like 134k in the short term.
Drop is wicked if it were to occur, takes price to literally 12k, which you want to go all in if that occurs.
55k is another drop zone.
Otherwise, it looks fairly bullish.
buy zone marked in green,
sell in red.
watch the trends
and price targets are pretty accurate usually.
good luck!!
Custom charts by request.
Goldman and BofA agree: The dollar is losing its edgeGoldman Sachs now expects the EUR/USD to hit 1.20 by the end of the year. While this prediction draws comparisons to the 2017 rally in the pair, Goldman notes a key difference. This time, the pricing reflects pessimism in the US dollar, rather than optimism in the euro.
Bank of America seemingly agrees and warns that even a “hawkish” dot plot at this week’s FOMC meeting, where Fed officials signal fewer rate cuts, may only cause a brief bout of euro weakness against the dollar.
EUR/USD has recently broken out of a long-term descending triangle pattern, which capped price action from mid-April through early June, aligning with Goldman Sachs’ and BofA’s view of a broad EUR strength/ USD weakness.
This recent pullback to the 1.1480 area is a retest of former resistance turned support, suggesting a potential continuation pattern if buyers defend this level.
GBP/USD - H1-Triangle Breakout (17.06.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3485
2nd Support – 1.3444
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Could the Aussie bounce from here?The price is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6455
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6407
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.6513
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance.
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Potential bullish rise?USD/CAD has reacted off the resistance level and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3603
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.3540
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.3704
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce off overlap support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3443
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 1.3359
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3530
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
njoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1480
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1438
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1542
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
njoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,622 (UPDATE)Gold is currently going through a strong 'accumulation' phase for buyers, hence why we're seeing these choppy price actions, trying to liquidate buyers. It won't surprise me if we see dips lower, but overall we remain bullish as long as Gold is ABOVE THE WAVE 2 LOW. Breaking below this low, will invalidate bullish structure.
Wave 2 Invalidation Level - $3,245❌
Gold Faces Resistance as Israel-Iran Conflict Fails to Fuel RallGold Unlikely to Sustain Long-Term Gains on Israel-Iran Tensions
Despite escalating geopolitical risks, gold’s upside remains limited. Julius Baer's Carsten Menke notes that the recent move is likely driven by short-term speculative and algorithmic flows, not physical safe-haven demand—consistent with historical patterns of brief geopolitical spikes.
Technical Outlook:
Gold is currently trading below 3404, suggesting possible range-bound consolidation between 3404 and 3480.
A 1H close below 3380 could trigger further downside toward 3365 and 3347.
Conversely, a break above 3404 would open the way for a bullish push toward 3448.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 3381
• Support: / 3365 / 3347 / 3321
• Resistance: 3404/ 3420 / 3448
USDCAD LONG FORECAST Q2 W25 D17 Y25 12:18 GMT UPDATEUSDCAD LONG FORECAST Q2 W25 D17 Y25 12:18 GMT UPDATE
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅1H order block
✅HTF 50 EMA
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure to be identified
✅15’ order block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USDCHF - Now Bullish!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per our last USDCHF analysis, attached on the chart, it rejected the upper bound of the orange channel and traded lower.
What's next?
📈USDCHF is now retesting the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, the blue line is a strong weekly low.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the lower orange trendline and weekly low.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #USDCHF is around the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Oil Rises, Canadian Yields Surge: Can USD/CAD Rebound?USDCAD 17/06 – Oil Rises, Canadian Yields Surge: Can USD/CAD Rebound?
After a significant drop to the 1.355x area, USD/CAD is showing early signs of recovery. However, the pair remains influenced by strong macro headwinds—particularly oil prices and Canadian monetary policy signals.
🌐 Macro & Sentiment Overview
WTI crude oil is rising due to ongoing tensions between Israel and Iran, which increase the risk of global supply disruptions. This supports the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as a commodity-linked currency.
Canada’s 10-year bond yields have reached their highest levels in 5 months (~3.4%), reinforcing expectations that the BoC may remain hawkish in the near term.
USD weakens slightly as traders await more clarity from the Federal Reserve about the next rate cut timeline, potentially in Q3.
📊 Technical Analysis (M30 Chart)
Price is printing higher lows above the key trendline.
EMAs 13–34–89 are tightening → sign of sideways pressure before breakout.
Short-term bullish channel still intact.
Key resistance zones: 1.3581 and 1.3605.
🎯 Trade Setup Scenarios
📈 Long Scenario
Entry: 1.3556 – 1.3560 (trendline bounce)
Stop Loss: 1.3535
Take Profits: 1.3581 → 1.3605
✅ Wait for M30/H1 confirmation like bullish engulfing or price-action breakout.
📉 Short Scenario
Entry: 1.3605 (if price rejects resistance)
Stop Loss: 1.3630
Take Profits: 1.3581 → 1.3556
⚠️ Trigger only on bearish rejection with strong candle and volume at resistance.
📌 Strategic Outlook
USD/CAD is caught in a tug-of-war: stronger Canadian fundamentals (oil + yields) vs. cautious USD movement post-FOMC. If oil prices and Canadian yields continue to climb, CAD may remain in favor. However, short-term technical rebounds toward 1.3600 remain valid if price structure holds.
Squeeze in Progress: Will BOJ Trigger the Next Breakout?USDJPY 17/06 – Squeeze in Progress: Will BOJ Trigger the Next Breakout?
The USDJPY pair is currently consolidating just below the key 144.650 resistance, stuck within a tightening triangle structure. As markets await more clarity from both the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and the Fed, price action is showing signs of indecision — but pressure is building.
🌐 Macro & Sentiment Overview
BOJ maintains a neutral stance: Despite growing speculation of a hawkish shift, the BOJ held rates steady, providing no strong forward guidance. Markets remain cautious.
US Dollar remains resilient amid stable bond yields and expectations that the Fed may delay rate cuts, adding short-term support to USDJPY.
Geopolitical risk is on the rise: Ongoing Middle East tensions are fueling safe-haven demand for JPY, capping bullish momentum.
🔍 Technical Setup (M30 Chart)
Price is trapped inside a symmetrical triangle, tightening between 144.652 resistance and 143.126 support.
EMA 13/34/89 are aligned bullishly, but EMA 200 (red) is acting as a dynamic ceiling near 144.300.
Key support zones:
144.071: Minor structural level and trendline test.
143.126: Major liquidity zone and untested demand.
🎯 Trade Scenarios
📉 Scenario 1 – Sell on Rejection at 144.652
Entry: 144.650–144.700
Stop Loss: 145.250
Take Profit: 144.071 → 143.600 → 143.126
Ideal if BOJ shifts tone or USD weakens post-Fed comments.
📈 Scenario 2 – Buy on Bullish Reaction at 143.126
Entry: 143.100–143.150
Stop Loss: 142.700
Take Profit: 143.600 → 144.071 → 144.650 → 145.200
Valid only with clear bullish confirmation on M15–M30 structure.
🧠 Final Thoughts
USDJPY is coiling tightly ahead of a potential breakout. Macro uncertainty from central banks, geopolitical instability, and upcoming CPI data make this week highly volatile. Instead of chasing, let price come to your zones and react accordingly.
🔔 Focus on structure, confirm with price action, and avoid emotional trades. Patience and discipline are key in this compression phase.
The Calm Before the Storm: All Eyes on UK CPI & Central BanksGBPUSD 17/06 – The Calm Before the Storm: All Eyes on UK CPI & Central Banks
The GBPUSD pair is coiling in a tight range near the mid-1.3500s as traders brace for two high-impact events: UK CPI data on Wednesday and interest rate decisions from both the Fed and BoE this week. Price remains supported above the 200 EMA and is compressing within a symmetrical triangle – typically a precursor to a major breakout.
📊 Macro & Fundamental Outlook
🔹 Federal Reserve (FOMC): Expected to hold rates steady, but growing anticipation of a dovish tilt toward September is weighing slightly on the USD.
🔹 Bank of England (BoE): Markets are pricing in deeper rate cuts following recent UK GDP weakness, pressuring the GBP in the short term.
🔹 Geopolitical Risks: Rising Middle East tensions are fuelling demand for USD as a safe haven, reinforcing its strength ahead of data events.
📝 Bottom Line: The CPI release could be the first trigger to shift GBPUSD’s current consolidation. A hot inflation print might push GBP higher; a miss could fuel further downside.
🔧 Technical Analysis (H1 Chart)
Price is ranging between 1.3535 (support) and 1.3609 (resistance)
EMAs 13/34 crossing below EMA 89 → signal of potential bearish continuation
Uptrend line from 1.3467 is still intact and acting as dynamic support
Break below 1.3559 may lead to a move toward 1.3495 and 1.3467
A confirmed breakout above 1.3609 opens the door to 1.3630+
🎯 Trade Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy from Trendline Support
Buy Zone: 1.3495 – 1.3467
Stop Loss: 1.3440
Targets: 1.3535 → 1.3559 → 1.3596 → 1.3630
🟢 Best setup if price prints a bullish engulfing or hammer candle on key support + UK CPI surprise.
Scenario 2 – Sell on Resistance Rejection
Sell Zone: 1.3609 – 1.3630
Stop Loss: 1.3660
Targets: 1.3590 → 1.3559 → 1.3535 → 1.3495
🔴 Only valid with strong rejection signals + softer UK data or hawkish Fed tone.
💡 Market Sentiment
Retail traders are trapped in a waiting zone – expecting a breakout
Institutions may push price into one direction pre-data to collect liquidity
Risk appetite is fragile, and traders are cautious ahead of back-to-back central bank announcements
📌 Final Thoughts
GBPUSD is preparing for volatility. Instead of chasing moves, let the market come to your key zones and react with discipline. The 1.3467–1.3495 support area could be crucial for the next directional move.
Stay patient. Wait for confirmation. Respect your risk.
Bullish reversal off 50% Fibonacci support?The Gold (XAU?USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,374.04
1st Support: 3,348.45
1st Resistance: 3,444.62
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 127.2% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 0.6036
1st Support: 0.6002
1st Resistance: 0.6093
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish continuation for the Swissie?The price is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.8156
1st Support: 0.8055
1st Resistance: 0.8241
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.