I suspect this is the top, sentiment in Argentina reached an extreme...I'd rather be in Pesos now. Hope this benefits any Argentinian out there. Don't buy USD, it's a waste of time and money. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
Dollar against Argentinian Peso has soared from 16.1 to 17.3. Then it has returned to 17 and it's showing some weakness. There is a chance to see it going back to 16.1/16.2 just as a technical pullback (Argentinan goverment could feel confortable with this exchange rate beacuse of the comming legislative elections). The final destination in the middle term for...
I'd hold pesos now, personally. As part of my currency holdings. I wouldn't be in USD if possible, and would prefer other assets, like foreign currencies, EEM shares vs SPY shorts, TLT longs, gold/silver/bitcoin/ethereum, undervalued selected stocks, TSLA shares, VLKAY shares, perhaps the new COIN etf shares once they are released, Argentinian stocks on...
Good chance to buy back. It looks like a local bottom in the dollar. I'd reccomend holdings in the Argentinian stock market primarily, some Bitcoin, Ethereum in equal weights, and USD here, if you have some ARS lying around. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
If you have saved money in metals, dollars, or stocks, you're in more or less good shape relative to the peso, but, Bitcoin will outperform most other markets, and will be a great store of wealth, for at least 15 to 30% of your wealth. You can save each month and add to your positions in BTC, or simply allocate some of your speculative resources to it for the long...
I think it's fairly certain to see more upside in USDARS right away. If you own pesos and live in Argentina,it's wise to sell them for silver/gold/dollars periodically. Now is a good time. I reccomend splitting with a bigger weight on USD bills, due to gold and silver volatility. Right now, the trade favors dollar strength, so you'd increase your dollar holdings...
This doesn't bode well for my local currency, the Argentine Peso. It's possible this week triggers a weekly time at mode uptrend signal, that forecasts a rally to at least 16.052 within ten weeks, starting with this week as #1. With the fundamental events this week, it's possible this is the start of the acceleration and breakout of this range, specially now that...
Seems like the case here, we could see a prolonged rally in YPF and OIL expressed in ARS. If you drive, sorry for you...hopefully, you have been buying USD and/or GOLD as per my reccomendation before this devaluation surge started. Good luck, we'll need it. Ivan Labrie.
My local currency is in terrible shape, and has confirmed a daily uptrend as per the RgMov signal on chart. You can see the key levels associated to speeches by the Argentinian president Mauricio Macri, and how price action has moved between these levels so far. I anticipate a breakout of this level above, and a continued rally in this currency pair. If you took...
USD vs Carry: 1. Yield vs USD - G10 - AUD NZD; EM - BRL, ARS, TRY is likely to continue its downside pain into next week as dollar denominated short term interest rates (STIR) spiked (after hawkish Yellen comments - see attached post) to pre-brexit highs (30D Fed Funds steeper and Implying hikes now up at P=33% Sept, P=59.1 Dec, P=92.1% 2016) which as you can...
The dollar appears to have bottomed here against the Argentine peso. Buying dollars with your savings is a good idea if you're in Argentina, don't miss out on this opportunity. Risk is three average ranges down (1.50). Good luck! Ivan Labrie.
The USDARS pair has an interesting setup, on one hand, the uptrend that started after monetary policy changed, has failed to reach the target on time, suggesting a selloff was possible (which did in fact materialize). I have reccomended my fellow countrymen to sell their dollars at the 15.8-15.4 mark, but it's time to pay attention to go long the dollar again,...
We have a clear scenario, get out of dollars, get pesos, or get any of the assets in here except for gold and yen (or at least, get lesser amounts of these, since they have already gained a lot of strength). Play catch up, play it smart. Cheers, Ivan Labrie. Time at Mode FX.
We are at a very critical juncture in the market, and it's possible to see increased chances of a rally in oil and equities, and probably a dollar decline against emerging markets currencies, at least vs the yen, aussie and canadian. Argentina's monetary policy might make the selling pressure persist though, and we might see this target hit in little time. The...
This is my current forecast for the Merval index. I'm looking at a new leg down, to retest the Vix spike retracement support level cluster below. I propose a wide stop long off the level below, but we could also take a short term short as depicted on chart and unwind and flip long. You can check my previous forecast in the related ideas below. I'm republishing...