USDT vs USDC The Last Rush- Everything is in the chart.
- So my own deduction ( and only my own ) is : " Actually BTC not dipped so much "
- They pushed it hard, many peoples turned their BTC and Altcoins to USDT/USDC for safety.
- BTC is still not yet considered as a reserve like Gold in case of crises, peoples still scare and back really fast to the old paper money system when panic is around.
- i will link following this post a PAXG/BTC Chart to show what happened when BTC dipped.
- just look at indicators and you will clearly understand how much stables coins pushed high and Mooned/Marsed in the red " Overbought " Zone.
- Results : TheKing is still around 20k.
- that said, we can notice that USDC is gaining much more interests than USDT, just because USDC (Circle) is backed by cash and short-term U.S. government bonds as collateral.
- after the "LUNA-UST" Crash peoples started to fear and they are right, so they turned their Stables to USDC.
- in near future, USDC will gains more dominance on USDT and the next Dip could results in an Equal Dominance ( 3.80% - 3.20% )
i hope this post help to understand the situation, be H4ppy and St4y S4fe !
Happy Tr4Ding !
USDC
USDT depegged today but Why?About 12 hours ago, whale"0x3356" created a new address to deposit 52.52M USDC and borrowed 40M USDT on Aave and Compound then he started depositing 40M USDT into Coinbase and Kraken 6 hours ago, USDT started depegging after whale"0x3356" deposited USDT to exchanges
and whale"0x3356" withdrew 25M USDC from Coinbase 4 hours after depositing USDT.
then about 5 hours ago, 2 whales sold a total of 9.6M USDT at a similar time after USDT depegged, CZSamSun shorted USDT on AaveV2 4 hrs ago,Whale"0xd275" started to borrow USDC from Aave and Compound and buy USDT for arbitrage after CZSamSun shorted USDT
USDT started back to the peg, but due to multiple FUDs, whales keep dumping USDT
USDT further depegged..
pro traders trade coins
legends trade stable coins
The Coin Market is Different from the Stock Market
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-------------------------------------
The coin market discloses a lot of information compared to the stock market.
Among them, it discloses the flow of funds.
Most of the funds in the coin market are flowing in through USDT, and it can be said that it currently manages the largest amount of funds.
Therefore, unlike the stock market, individual investors can also roughly know the flow of funds.
Therefore, you can see that it is more transparent than other investment markets.
-
USDT continues to update its ATH.
You can see that funds are continuously flowing into the coin market through USDT.
USDC has been falling since July 22 and has not yet recovered.
The important support and resistance level of USDC is 26.525B.
Therefore, if it is maintained above 26.525B, I think there is a high possibility that funds will flow in.
If you look at the fund size of USDT and USDC, you can see that USDT is more than twice as high.
Therefore, it can be said that USDT is the fund that has a big influence on the coin market.
USDC is likely to be composed of US funds.
Therefore, if more funds flow in through USDC, I think the coin market is likely to develop into a clearer investment market.
But it is not all good.
This is because the more the coin market develops into a clearer investment market, the more likely it is to be affected by the existing investment market, that is, the watch market.
This is because large investment companies are working to link the coin market with the coin market in order to make the coin market an investment product that they can operate.
In order for the coin market to be swayed by the coin-related investment product launched in the stock market, more funds must flow into the coin market through USDC.
Otherwise, it is highly likely that it will eventually be swayed by the flow of USDT funds.
Therefore, USDC is likely to have a short-term influence on the coin market at present.
-
As mentioned above, the most important thing in the investment market is the flow of funds.
The flow of funds in the coin market can be seen as maintaining an upward trend.
Therefore, there are more and more people who say that there are signs of a major bear market these days, but their position seems to be judging the situation from a global perspective and political perspective.
As mentioned above, the funds that still dominate the coin market are USDT funds, which are an unspecified number of funds.
Therefore, I think that the coin market should not be predicted based on global perspectives and political situations.
The start of the major bear market in the coin market is when USDT starts to show a gap downtrend.
Until then, I dare say that the coin market is likely to maintain its current uptrend.
------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The StochRSI indicator is approaching its highest point (100), and the uptrend is reaching its peak.
Accordingly, the pressure to decline will increase over time.
-
(1W chart)
The StochRSI indicator is also in the overbought zone on the 1W chart.
-
(1M chart)
On the 1M chart, the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of entering the overbought zone, but it is not expected to enter the oversold zone due to the current rise.
The movement of the 1M chart should be checked again when a new candle is created.
-
You can see that the StochRSI indicator on the 1M chart is the most unusual among the three charts above.
In the finger area on the 1M chart, the StochRSI indicator was in the overbought zone, but it is currently showing signs of entering the oversold zone.
Therefore, you can see that the current movement is different from the past movement.
Therefore, I think it is not right to predict the current flow by substituting past dates.
------------------------------------------
I wrote down my thoughts on the recent comments from famous people who say that the coin market will enter a major bear market along with the stock market.
-
Have a good time. Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
The key is whether it can rise above 61K
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It was created using the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool based on the candlestick of the selected point used when drawing the parallel channel.
Therefore, from a short-term trend perspective, you can see that the area around the right Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (59369.59) ~ 0.5 (60650.13) is an important support area.
-
Therefore, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above 61099.25 after October 11.
If not, and it falls, it is possible that it will finally touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Currently, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is rising around 52K.
The expected crossover area is expected to be around 56K (56150.01-56950.56).
-
(Chart under test)
If the M-Signal on the 1W and 1D charts breaks through the convergence area (1), it is expected to create a new rising wave.
If not, we need to check whether there is support in the area (2).
-
BW v1.0 indicator's BW is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates DMI, OBV, and MACD.
The interpretation method is
1. The horizontal line created by touching the 100 point becomes the trading reference line.
2. When it falls below the 80 point, the high point section is displayed.
3. The position is switched around the 50 point.
4. When it rises above the 20 point, the low point section is displayed.
5. The horizontal line created by touching the 0 point becomes the trading reference line.
2, 3, 4. are likely to have volatility, so the corresponding lines are the sections that must be responded to.
In other words, they correspond to the time when split trading is conducted.
---------------------------------------
The point to watch is whether USDC can be maintained above 26.153B as the gap decline decreases.
The important support and resistance area for USDC is 32.435B.
If the selling volume of BTC confiscated by the US government decreases and USDT gaps up, I think the coin market is likely to show an upward trend.
If not, it may not be able to digest the selling volume and lead to further decline.
----------------------------------------
(NAS100USD 1D chart)
We need to check whether there is support near 20313.8.
Since the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought zone, even if it rises, it will eventually fall.
At this time, the point of interest is whether it can receive support near 20313.8.
The most important support zone at the current location is 19582.6.
----------------------------------------
The chart consisting of parallel channels and Fibonacci ratios is a chart for chart analysis.
Therefore, if your trading strategy is not properly established when trading with the support and resistance points confirmed by the Fibonacci ratio, you need to be careful because the transaction may proceed in the wrong direction.
Therefore, you must mark the support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
-
The chart that has been used since the past is the chart that shows the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
I think the support and resistance points shown on this chart are the most accurate among the charts I am introducing.
However, it is difficult to see because it is too complex a chart to use for publishing as an idea.
-
I am testing whether I can trade with the trend, momentum, and market strength by comprehensively evaluating MACD, DMI, and OBV.
I am testing it for use on time frame charts below 1D charts.
When using it on time frame charts below 1D charts, you can disable indicators corresponding to 2 and 4 and use it.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Why Aerodrome Finance (AERO) Will Be A Top 20 CryptocurrencyAfter diving deep into Aerodrome's whitepaper and dApp, it's become crystal clear that AERO is destined to become a top 10-20 market cap token. The fundamentals and long-term prospects are so strong that, honestly, if it doesn't reach that point, I would be shocked. Here's why:
1. Massive Liquidity and Total Value Locked (TVL)
AERO has an insane amount of liquidity and demand, and it's only growing:
Aerodrome's TVL recently hit $1 billion, a massive milestone.
The BASE chain, which AERO is built on, has reached $2 billion in TVL for the first time ever.
AERO is currently ranked #32 in TVL across the entire crypto ecosystem—out of thousands of tokens.
It's only a matter of time before AERO climbs into the top 20, maybe even the top 10 or top 5 in terms of TVL.
This level of liquidity is crucial for several reasons:
It provides stability and reduces slippage for traders.
It attracts more users and projects to the ecosystem.
It demonstrates strong confidence from investors and users.
2. Innovative Tokenomics and Yield Generation
Aerodrome's tokenomics model is designed to encourage long-term holding and participation:
Users can lock AERO tokens for up to four years, receiving boosted rewards.
This lock-up mechanism could potentially create supply squeezes, driving up the token's value.
The protocol offers incredible yield options, making it more likely that users will continue to lock up their tokens.
With these crazy yield options, it's truly surprising that more people haven't caught on yet.
3. Strategic Position on the BASE Chain
Aerodrome's role as the largest DEX on the BASE chain provides several advantages:
BASE is one of the fastest-growing chains in crypto, with over 1.3 million active addresses—more than any other EVM chain, including Ethereum.
As the "unofficial token" of BASE, AERO is well-positioned to benefit from the chain's rapid growth.
BASE's low fees and high liquidity make it attractive for DeFi users, potentially driving more activity to Aerodrome.
4. The Coinbase Factor and Marketing Potential
The connection to Coinbase through the BASE chain is a game-changer:
Aerodrome is already listed on Coinbase, providing exposure to a large user base.
As Coinbase's layer-2 solution, BASE is likely to receive substantial marketing and development support.
When Coinbase decides to push BASE hard, AERO will be right at the center of it, benefiting from Coinbase's massive resources and marketing power.
5. Comparative Market Analysis
When comparing Aerodrome to other successful DEXes, the growth potential is enormous:
Uniswap, a leading DEX, hit a $20 billion market cap at its peak.
If Aerodrome were to achieve similar success, it could easily match or exceed this valuation.
6. Technological Innovation and Development
Aerodrome continues to innovate within the DeFi space:
The protocol has implemented advanced features like concentrated liquidity and multiple fee tiers.
Ongoing development and upgrades could further enhance Aerodrome's competitive edge.
The team's ability to adapt to market needs and introduce new features will be crucial for long-term success.
7. Community and Ecosystem Growth
A strong and engaged community is vital for any crypto project:
Aerodrome has been gaining traction on social media platforms and crypto forums.
The number of unique addresses interacting with the protocol has been steadily increasing.
Partnerships and integrations with other DeFi protocols could further expand Aerodrome's ecosystem.
8. Potential for Major Exchange Listings
As of now, AERO has yet to be listed on some of the largest cryptocurrency exchanges:
AERO is not currently available on major platforms like Binance and Bybit.
Listing on these exchanges could potentially provide a significant boost to AERO's liquidity and accessibility.
The increased exposure from major exchange listings often leads to heightened interest and trading volume.
Early adopters who invest before major exchange listings often stand to benefit the most from potential price appreciation.
9. Exclusivity to BASE Chain: A Strategic Advantage
Aerodrome's decision to remain exclusive to the BASE chain is a strategic move that could significantly benefit both the protocol and the chain:
By keeping the AERO token and protocol exclusive to BASE, Aerodrome helps drive users and liquidity directly to the BASE chain.
This exclusivity creates a symbiotic relationship: as Aerodrome grows, it naturally increases activity and adoption of the BASE chain.
Concentrated liquidity on a single chain can lead to better trading experiences, lower slippage, and more efficient price discovery for AERO.
10. AERO Price and Long-Term Potential
The potential for significant price appreciation is a key factor in AERO's appeal:
I can confidently say that getting AERO under $1 might look like a dream in the next 1-2 years.
Right now, it's sitting at $1.30, but I recommended it to my followers when it was under $0.10.
The upside potential here is enormous. I wouldn't be surprised if AERO does a 25x from its current price.
With all the data and liquidity I'm seeing, a price of $30 or even $50+ doesn't seem far-fetched at all.
Conservative estimates place potential future prices in the $20-$30 range, with some optimistic projections even higher.
Conclusion
This train is leaving the station, and it's only going to get bigger, bigger, and bigger. With all the liquidity, yield, and demand driving this token forward, AERO has quickly become my #1 favorite token in crypto, and I don't see that changing anytime soon.
While these projections are exciting, it's important to remember that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and unpredictable. Always conduct your own research and invest responsibly.
COINBASE:AEROUSD KUCOIN:AEROUSDT COINEX:AEROUSDT CRYPTO:AERODUSD GATEIO:AEROUSDT CRYPTOCOM:AEROUSD BYBIT:AEROUSDT.P BITGET:AEROUSDT GATEIO:AEROUSDT PHEMEX:AEROUSDT MEXC:AEROUSDT.P BYBIT:AEROUSDT.P
CRACKS ARE FORMING IN USDT DOMINANCE! THE END IS NEAR!USDT has completely dominated the stablecoin market for a long time now, but cracks are beginning to form in its foundation that could cause the whole structure to come crashing down. People are losing trust in USDT, even though the vast majority of trading platforms use it as the sole medium of exchange on their platforms. Competitors are turning up the heat in this market, and companies like Circle (USDC), which are fully audited, as well as newcomers like Ripple's RLUSD, could pose a serious challenge to USDT if it doesn't prove its reserves through regular audits and restore investor confidence.
I personally believe that USDT is a Ponzi scheme, similar to the Federal Reserve, which continuously counterfeits dollars by minting excess tokens, with nothing but faith backing them. I also believe that the time of USDT's dominance is coming to a swift end.
Once RLUSD is released and available for purchase to Wall Street and Main Street, I believe that the majority of stablecoin holders will switch from USDT to RLUSD, as Ripple is one of the most transparent and reputable companies within the crypto space. I am one of these people.
Good luck, and don't put all your eggs in one basket!
CRYPTO MARKET CRASH COMING THE WEEK OF SEPT. 9TH - 15TH.I believe there is a massive crash coming for the crypto markets during the week of September 9th through the 15th. Don’t ask how I came up with this prediction; it’s too complex to get into. I don’t know if the drop will be a massive red candle in a single day or if it will be a multi-day process to achieve these lows, but I’m predicting that the minimum price drop will be 33%, to 50% in most cryptos (less than two weeks away).
This may be the 'Black Swan' that we have been waiting for, and for some, this will be the scariest moment in crypto. For others, it will be the buying opportunity of a lifetime.
Key takeaways from this prediction:
- The overall crypto market will drop sometime between Sept. 9th through the 15th.
- Price drop will be between 33% and 50% in a 7 day timeframe.
- Drop may be quick, as in a single day, or it may be a process that takes the full week.
Keep some cash on the sidelines to purchase physical coins to add to your long-term crypto stack. This buying opportunity may last only hours, days or could extend to the full week; only time will tell.
Let the countdown begin. And yes, I know this is a bold prediction, but I wouldn’t be sharing it if I didn’t believe it was actually going to happen, and yes, I may be wrong.
Good luck!
Main Volatility Period: Around July 28thHello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
I'm back from vacation a little early and leaving some ideas.
---------------------------------------
(USDT chart)
USDT seems to be maintaining an uptrend.
It seems to have created a long tail this time.
We need to check if it can continue the gap uptrend.
-
(USDC chart)
We need to check if it can be maintained above 32.435B, which is considered an important point for USDC, or if it can continue the gap uptrend.
I think the gap uptrend of USDT or USDC is a trace of funds flowing into the coin market.
------------------------------------------------
(BTC.D 1M chart)
We need to check if it can meet resistance in the 55.01-62.47 range and fall.
If BTC dominance rises above 62.47, the coin market is expected to show a large downtrend.
If it is maintained below 55.01 or shows a downward trend, I think it is highly likely that the altcoin bull market will begin.
-
(USDT.D 1M chart)
However, USDT dominance must be maintained below 4.97 or show a downward trend.
Therefore,
- BTC.D: below 55.01,
- USDT.D: below 4.97
If the above conditions are met, the coin market is highly likely to show an upward trend.
----------------------------------------------------
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
The BTCUSD chart is an INDEX chart provided by TradingView.
Based on this chart, we can see that it has been in an upward trend for 3 years and in a downward trend for 1 year.
Therefore, if it follows these rules, it is expected to continue its upward trend until 2025.
Therefore, if it continues to rise until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 1.618 (89126.41).
If it rises to its maximum, it is expected to touch around 2 (106275.10).
------------------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
According to the explanation of the BTCUSD chart above, there is a section that must be guarded in order to continue the upward trend.
That section is the 2nd section (56K-61K).
If not, if it falls below 56K and shows resistance, it should check whether it is supported in the very important section of 42283.58-43.160.0.
-
If you look closely at the 2nd section, you can see that it corresponds to the previous high section.
Therefore, if it receives support near the second section, I think it is highly likely that the buying force will increase and show an upward trend.
-
Since the StochRSI indicator has fallen below the midpoint, we can see that the downward strength has increased.
Therefore, we can see that support near the second section is important.
----------------------------------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
The 65920.71 point is the HA-High indicator point on the 1W chart.
Therefore, a full-scale uptrend on the 1W chart can only begin if the price is maintained above the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart.
If not, it will act as resistance.
-
The important rising channel corresponds to the channel where the rising wave started.
Therefore, if it falls below this important rising channel, it is highly likely to form a new trend, so we need to check if it can rise along this rising channel.
Therefore, if it falls below 56K, it should be interpreted as highly likely to create a downward wave.
--------------------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Looking at the 1W chart, there is a period of volatility around the end of July.
Therefore, based on this, looking at the 1D chart, it corresponds to the main volatility period around July 28.
However, it is expected that volatility will begin around July 15 and full-blown volatility will appear around July 28.
Depending on the direction it moves during this volatility period, I think it is highly likely that a trend will be created around August 12.
-
What we need to check as we pass this period of volatility is what it looks like in the important support and resistance areas.
Important support and resistance areas are:
1. HA-High indicator point (65920.71) on the 1W chart ~ HA-High indicator point (67614.25) on the 1D chart
2. HA-High indicator point (61099.25) on the 56K ~ 1M chart
3. 42K ~ 43K
You should check what kind of movement is shown around 1 ~ 3 above.
-
Currently, the StochRSI indicator is showing a downward trend after touching the highest point of the overbought zone.
However, it is still in the overbought zone and StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, so you can see that the upward strength is still strong.
Therefore, rather than judging that it will fall soon and proceeding with a trade in advance, I think it is better to take some time to check the situation.
The 61099.25 point is where the HA-High indicator of the 1M chart is about to be created, so if it receives support near this point, it is likely to show a stepwise upward trend.
Therefore, you should consider your average purchase price, but if the average purchase price is formed below 61099.25, it is recommended to watch the situation a little longer.
-
Since it has just come out of the short-term downtrend channel, it is highly likely that a support zone will be formed.
Accordingly, there is a possibility that a pull back pattern will be shown.
Therefore, if a pull back pattern is formed, it is expected to be around 59053.55-61099.25.
This is because it will prevent it from re-entering the short-term downtrend channel.
-
The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that a low zone has been formed, and the fact that the HA-High indicator was created means that a high zone has been formed.
Therefore, in order to form a trend, it must fall below the HA-Low indicator or rise above the HA-High indicator.
If not, it will form a box section, i.e. a sideways section.
------------------------------------------------------
To summarize the above,
1. The start of a full-scale uptrend requires the price to be maintained above 67614.25, which corresponds to the last buying period and a stepwise uptrend is likely to begin.
2. If it fails to rise above the HA-High indicator, it is likely to fall near the HA-Low indicator, and if it falls below the HA-Low indicator (57754.37), a stepwise downtrend is likely to begin.
3. The main volatility period is around July 28, but volatility is likely to occur around July 15.
Depending on the direction of movement during this volatility period, it is likely to form a trend around August 12.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
Since I think it can create a new trend in the overshooting section, I need to check the movement when this section is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to create a pull back pattern and start after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
This will make our jobs easier if #Stablecoin Dominancewas to reach the inverse head & shoulder target :)
Almost the same % when the #crypto market topped out last cycle.
Will it?
IDK!
Should u wait to those low single digit numbers before u emabrk on profit taking?
probably not.
We shall keep an eye on this of course.
Best of Luck
Volatility period starting around July 15thHello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(USDT 1M chart)
(USDC 1M chart)
The key is whether USDT and USDC can continue the gap uptrend.
I think the gap uptrend is a phenomenon where funds are flowing in.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The important volatility period is around the end of July, but I think the volatility period is likely to start around July 15th.
I think it is likely to turn into an uptrend if it rises above the 59053.55-61099.25 range and breaks out of the short-term downtrend channel.
If not, and it moves sideways in the 56K-61K range, it is likely to form a trend after around August 12th.
-
If it falls below 56150.01, it is likely to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
If that happens, it is likely to turn into a downtrend in the long term, so caution is needed.
The 56K-61K range is an important range on the 1M chart, so you can start trading depending on whether it supports it or not.
Therefore, the key is whether it can rise along the medium- to long-term rising channel.
-
If it rises above 61099.25,
1st: 64K
2nd: 65920.71-67614.25
The above 1st and 2nd areas are expected to act as resistance.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
USDT Dominance - When will the ALTseason begin?🌏 A new week, a new month, a new quarter, and even a new half-year start today, what a sacred day - Monday, July 01, 2024!)
And if you look at and believe the USDT Dominance chart, then in the coming days the vector of the crypto market by the end of 2024 may be decided.
1️⃣ Fix above 5.15% will mean the possibility of an increase to 6.30%-6.50%.
And for the altcoins, most of which are already lying below the floor, this could be natural selection and a death sentence.
2️⃣ Move of the USDT.D index towards 4.50% and below can give an alt-season - which many are waiting for, but few believe in it :)
Below the idea, vote on where you think the USDT.D will move in the near future.
And in the comments, write down the alt pairs you are interested in, and we will make new ideas for some of them
Need to check if it can rise along the important trend lineHello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(1M LOG chart)
(1D chart)
You can see that money is flowing into the coin market.
-
For the coin market to continue its upward trend,
- Check if BTC dominance can fall below 55.01
- Check if USDT dominance can fall below 4.97
------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period is until June 25th.
Therefore, the key is whether it can rise along the important trend line.
-
The upper section of the box of the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart is 59053.55-64K.
Therefore, the 59053.55-64K section corresponds to the support section.
Since the HA-Low indicator of the 1D chart is generated at the 62791.03 point, you can see that it is the time to buy depending on whether there is support.
Since the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart is passing around 62791.03, you can see that the 59053.55-64K section is a meaningful section.
-
It is highly likely that a full-scale uptrend will begin only when it rises above the section composed of the HA-High indicator (65.920.71) of the 1W chart and the HA-High indicator (67614.25) of the 1D chart.
-
If it falls below 62791.03 and shows resistance, there is a possibility that a step-down downtrend will begin, so caution is required when trading.
However, if it falls along the HA-Low indicator, it is highly likely that a bottom section will be formed, so you should keep in mind how to proceed with the purchase.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting section, it is necessary to check the movement when this section is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to create a pull back pattern and start after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Whether a full-fledged upward trend has begun: 69K-70231.38Hello traders!
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Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(USDT 1D chart)
(USDC 1D chart)
If USDT and USDC show a rising gap, I think it is evidence that funds are flowing into the coin market.
(BTC.D 1M chart)
In order for the coin market to continue its upward trend, it must meet resistance and fall in the 55.01-62.47 range.
If this is not the case and BTC dominance continues to rise, it is highly likely that funds in the coin market will be concentrated towards BTC, making it quite difficult to trade altcoins.
(USDT.D 1M chart)
In order for the coin market to continue its upward trend, it must remain below 4.97 or show a downward trend.
Summarizing the explanations of BTC dominance and USDT dominance, in order for a bull market in the coin market, that is, a bull market in which most coins (tokens) rise, to begin, BTC dominance and USDT dominance must show a downward trend.
--------------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period lasts until May 20th.
If the price rises above 69K-70231.38 and maintains the price, a full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin.
The key to this full-fledged uptrend is whether it can break above the upper point of the HA-High indicator box on the 1D chart.
If not, and it goes down,
Support should be checked around 65233.64 (64K-66401.82).
Currently, the MS-Signal indicator (M-Signal on 1D chart) is passing around 65233.64, so it is important to see whether the price can be maintained above this point.
(1M charts)
If the price holds above the Fibonacci ratio point of 1.27 (73308.95), the next target would be around 1.618 (88913.24).
If it declines in the first section, you need to check for support in the second section.
The HA 5EMA line is rising near 0.886 (56090.42), so if it falls below 0.886, there is a possibility that a downtrend will begin.
Therefore, caution is required as sharp drops may occur.
The next period of volatility is around June 4th.
-------------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The indicators used to find a position to start a trade are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
And, the indicator used to verify this is the BW indicator.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
A full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Important section: 65233.64-70231.38Hello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(USDT 1D chart)
USDT is expected to gap up.
(USDC 1D chart)
USDC is also expected to increase its gap.
I believe that the rising gap between USDT and USDC is a sign of funds flowing into the coin market.
(BTC.D 1M chart)
Rising BTC dominance means that funds are being concentrated towards BTC.
Therefore, if BTC dominance maintains an upward trend, altcoins are likely to sideways or decline.
In particular, if the altcoin rises beyond the 55.01-62.47 range, it is highly likely that the altcoin will see a larger decline, so you need to think about countermeasures against this.
(USDT.D 1M chart)
A falling USDT dominance means that the coin market is likely to rise.
However, you need to check it comprehensively with BTC dominance.
Therefore, if USDT dominance shows a downward trend while BTC dominance maintains an upward trend, caution is required when trading altcoins as only BTC may form a rising market.
In order for the coin market to show an overall upward trend,
- BTC dominance remains below 55.01 or shows a downward trend,
- USDT dominance must remain below 4.97 or show a downward trend.
-------------------------------------------------- ----
As funds flow into the coin market, altcoins, including BTC, are also showing an upward trend.
However, since BTC dominance maintains an upward trend, it is highly likely that altcoins will not be able to keep up with BTC's rise and will gradually move sideways or even decline.
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
It appears that it has touched the second section and is trying to rise to the first section.
If the price is maintained above the second section, which is the most important section on the 1M chart, it is expected to continue its upward trend.
(1W chart)
If the price remains above the important upward channel, the upward trend is expected to remain.
The HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is formed at 65233.64, so if the price holds above this point, there is a possibility of renewing the previous latest high.
However, since the previous latest high is the new high (ATH), caution is required when trading.
As this corresponds to the current period of volatility on the 1W chart, we need to check whether the price holds above the important rising channel and above the 56K-61K range until around the week of July 29th.
If not, and it falls, there is a possibility that it will ultimately fall to around 42K-43K.
Accordingly, it is necessary to check whether support is received around 53256.64 or 44200-47600.
If the uptrend is maintained by renewing the previous high point, the target range is expected to be around 1.618 (88913.24).
(1D chart)
It is currently rising along the formed short-term upward channel.
In order to show a full-fledged upward trend, the price must be maintained by rising above the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart.
Currently, the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is formed at 70231.38.
Therefore, the area around 69K-70231.38 could be a resistance area.
If we interpret this differently, if it shows support around 70231.38, it can be interpreted as the last buying period before a full-fledged uptrend begins.
Therefore, in order to buy at the last buying period, you must have bought when it was supported and rising near the HA-Low indicator.
If not, there is a possibility that you may feel psychologically uneasy when purchasing around 70231.38.
If you buy with psychological anxiety like this, you may proceed with the transaction erratically, so you need to be careful.
Fortunately, the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is currently formed at 65233.64.
Accordingly, from a mid- to long-term perspective, the current price position, that is, around 65233.64, corresponds to the last purchase period and thus is the buying period.
This period of volatility will be around May 19 (May 18-20).
Therefore, we need to see if the price can be maintained above 69K after this period of volatility.
If not, and it falls below 65233.64, you should touch the important trend line, i.e. around 62791.03 and see if it rises.
The box section of the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart spans 65086.86-72797.99.
Therefore, even if the price rises above 70231.38 and maintains the price, there is a possibility of resistance around 72797.99, so caution is required when trading.
Currently, the BW indicator appears to have touched the highest point of the overbought range.
You can see that the strength of the rise is that strong.
However, since the StochRSI indicator has also risen to the overbought range, the key is whether support can be received at the support and resistance points indicated on the current chart.
Therefore, support around 66401.82 ~ 1.13 (67031.36) is expected to be an important issue.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Next volatility period : around May 19 (May 18-20)Hello traders!
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Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(USDT 1D chart)
(USDC 1D chart)
USDT and USDC are showing sideways movements.
(BTC.D 1M chart)
It is still sideways around 53.44-55.01.
(USDT.D 1M chart)
For the coin market to continue its overall upward trend, USDT dominance must remain below 4.97 or maintain a downward trend.
Otherwise, the coin market as a whole is likely to show a downward trend as it rises around the Fibonacci ratio point of 0.618.
therefore,
- Are USDT or USDC showing a gap upward trend?
- Will BTC dominance remain below 55.01 or show a downward trend?
- Is USDT dominance maintained below 4.97 or showing a downward trend?
You need to check if the above conditions are met.
-------------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
If it receives support near the second section, I think there is a high possibility of a large upward trend.
However, since the buying section of this uptrend appears to have taken place over the 16362.29-28923.63 section, I think there is a possibility that it will fall to around 0.382-0.5, that is, around 46K-51K, as indicated by the Gann Box tool.
Even in that sense, you can see how important the second section (56K-61K) is.
(1W chart)
Because we used a Volume Candles chart, the candles are spaced irregularly.
The Volume Candles chart is a chart that combines trading volume with candles, allowing you to intuitively know that the thicker the candle, the more trading volume has occurred.
Therefore, when looking at the current candle, I think it is difficult to say that enough trading volume has occurred to change the trend.
The period of volatility on the 1W chart is expected to span the week before and after April 29th through the week before and after July 29th.
At this time, the most important thing is whether the upward trend can be continued along the important upward channel.
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can find support near 61K and rise along the important uptrend line.
The next period of volatility is expected around May 19 (May 18-20), so the question will ultimately be whether the price can be maintained above 61K.
The HA-Low indicator is formed at the 62791.03 point, and the box section of the HA-Low indicator is currently formed over the 65500.0-58811.32 range.
Therefore, a trend is expected to form when the price breaks out of the box area and remains there.
In order for a full-fledged uptrend to begin on the 1D chart, the price must be maintained above the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, the current HA-High indicator point is formed at 70231.38, so based on current standards, the price must rise above 70231.38 to maintain the price.
Therefore, the final time to buy is when support appears near the HA-High indicator.
However, if it rises near the HA-High indicator, you may feel pressured to buy due to psychological fear of decline.
Therefore, it is necessary to proceed with aggressive buying when support is shown near the HA-Low indicator.
Aggressive buying refers to a proportion that is large enough to not cause significant psychological burden even if the price plummets.
However, if it falls below the HA-Low indicator and shows resistance, there is a possibility that the previous low point will be renewed, so you should think about a response plan.
The creation of the HA-Low indicator means that a low point has been formed.
A low point does not mean it is a bottom.
In order to form a bottom section, you can tell that a bottom section has been formed when you confirm support at the low point section.
Therefore, the bottom section will only be known after some time has passed.
Therefore, if there is a decline in the HA-Low indicator, there is a high possibility of a cascading decline.
The buying strategy around the HA-Low indicator is how to purchase whenever there is a cascading decline and how to leave coins (tokens) held for profit.
If you buy and hold in this way, you will not feel much pressure to buy when it eventually shows support near the HA-High indicator.
When purchasing near the HA-Low indicator, the important thing is to see whether the price is maintained above the HA-Low indicator and the MS-Signal indicator.
This will allow you to reduce the number of day trading or short-term trades you do.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
A full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Support zone : 64K-65233.64Hello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(USDT chart)
(USDC chart)
It appears that a particularly large amount of funds are flowing into USDC.
If the gap increase between USDT and USDC continues, the coin market is expected to continue its upward trend.
(BTC.D 1M chart)
The key is whether BTC dominance can meet resistance and decline in the 55.01-62.47 range.
A rise in BTC dominance means that funds are being concentrated towards BTC.
Therefore, if BTC dominance continues to rise, altcoins are more likely to show a weak upward trend or even decline.
(USDT.D 1M chart)
If BTC dominance falls below the 55.01-62.47 range and USDT dominance remains below 4.97 or shows a downward trend, I think there is a high possibility that the coin market will see a major uptrend.
If USDT dominance rises above 4.97 and remains, the coin market is expected to experience a significant decline.
It appears that the coin market is showing a fairly good flow of funds.
However, although there appears to be a possibility of a decline in the short term, it is expected that the upward trend is likely to remain.
If this fund flow is maintained, the coin market is expected to maintain an upward trend until 2025.
-------------------------------------------------- --------
(BTCUSDT chart)
(1M charts)
The key is whether support can be achieved above the upper point of the box of the HA-High indicator.
In other words, the key is whether support can be received around 64K.
(1W chart)
The HA-High indicator on the 1W chart was formed at 65233.64.
Therefore, the key is whether it can be supported and rise around 65233.64.
Accordingly, it is time to buy when support is confirmed around 64K-65233.64.
The volatility period on the 1W chart is before and after including April 29th to before and after including July 29th.
If the price holds above the important upward channel during this period, we expect it to rise to around 1.618 (88913.24).
Therefore, the 59K (56K-61K) section is an important section.
If it falls in this section,
1st: 53256.64
2nd: 42K-47K
You need to check if you receive support near the 1st and 2nd levels above.
The 42K-43K section is an important volume profile section, so if it shows support in this section, it is time to buy.
We are now entering a period of volatility on the 1W chart.
Therefore, we need to check the support zone and create a trading strategy accordingly.
(1D chart)
A period of volatility begins on the 1D chart.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support and rise around 64K-65233.64.
If not, you should check for support in the 59K (56K-61K) range.
If it falls below 56K, you should check whether it is supported in the first and second sections marked on the chart.
To continue the upward trend, it must rise above 70231.38.
Therefore, you need to think about ways to realize profits by responding conservatively and earning profits or increasing the number of coins corresponding to profits.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
(Weekly expected flow) Volatility period: Around April 22Hello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
It appears that the fund flow in the coin market is maintaining an upward trend.
However, BTC dominance and USDT dominance are showing an increase.
The key question is whether BTC dominance can be resisted and decline in the 55.01-62.47 range and whether USDT dominance can be maintained below 4.95 or maintain a downward trend.
If that happens, the coin market is expected to see a major uptrend.
A major bull market refers to a bull market in which most coins (tokens) renew their new highs (ATH).
---------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
If it closes near the second section, it appears that a new HA-High indicator will be created.
If that happens, the key is whether there will be support near the newly created HA-High indicator.
(1W chart)
This drop shows that a new HA-High indicator is about to be created.
Accordingly, if a new HA-High indicator is created, the key is whether it can be supported and rise around it.
59053.55, the 64K point is the box-top point of the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart.
Therefore, if possible, it is important to be able to support and rise around 59053.55-64K.
If this is not the case and it falls below 56K, the selling force is expected to intensify.
I think the reason the current fluctuation range is greater than the section your finger is pointing at is because it is located in the section where the new high (ATH) was updated.
Therefore, if these sideways continue, it will eventually touch an important upward channel.
At this time, it seems likely that this year's trend will be determined by whether or not it can rise along an important upward channel.
Therefore, the movement starting from the week of April 29th through the week of July 29th is expected to be very significant.
In terms of the overall flow, the 42K-43K section is an important section.
However, if it falls below 53256.64, there is a high possibility that it will turn into a downward trend, so you need to think about a response plan.
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support above the newly formed downward trend line and above 64K and rise above 70231.38.
However, if it falls along the newly created downward trend line, a new HA-Low indicator is expected to be created in the near future.
If a new HA-Low indicator is created, an important factor is whether it receives support around it.
The time to buy is when the BW indicator levels out and then rises, and when the StochRSI indicator rises from the oversold range and forms StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
thus,
1. When the BW indicator is level and moves sideways,
2. When the StochRSI indicator rises from the oversold range and shows StochRSI > StochRSI EMA,
Buying when only one of the conditions 1 and 2 above are satisfied is an aggressive purchase and requires a quick response, so caution is required when trading.
-------------------------------------------------- ----
(BTCUSDT.P 1D chart)
I think it showed more fluctuations than the movement on the BTCUSDT chart.
As such, it is believed that the current market leadership is achieved through futures trading.
Therefore, you need a trading strategy to maintain the number of coins (tokens) you own.
Since the rebound is more than 8%, it is likely that forced liquidation will occur in both directions, so it is considered an awkward position to start trading.
Therefore, as mentioned earlier on the BTCUSDT 1D chart, I think it is necessary to check the movement of the BW indicator and StochRSI indicator and the movement at the support and resistance points drawn on the chart.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
UPDATED XRP Cup & Handle Chart.Since identifying the Cup & Handle pattern in XRP months ago, I have been updating it as the price movement continues to progress. With the major drop we've seen the past two days, it actually lined up the Fibonacci levels nearly perfect to the chart.
I do believe this is the end on the wave 2, and will ear-mark the beginning of wave 3 which will be spectacular for the price of XRP.
Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!
TETHER (USDT) COLLAPSE IS IMMINENT! With the United States about to pass strict regulation regarding stablecoins, which includes a measure to insure "Robust transparency, audit and reporting requirements," Tether is absolutely doomed, as they have consistently refused to confirm a 1:1 peg to the USD through an independent, third-party audit, which in my book, is because they're not doing it.
Something is fishy with Tether, and I would not be surprised if it has not maintained the 1:1 peg as it has claimed, but will soon be exposed as a fraud, and a ponzi scheme designed to benefit its owners at the expense of the general public.
On April 9th, Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D-N.Y.) announced that:
"This legislation develops two paths for stablecoin issuers.
1- The first path would be for depository institutions that would allow for both federal and state bank charter depository institutions to become stablecoin issuers after an approval process.
2- The other path would be for nondepository institutions that would give the federal government supervisory authority over the state nonbank institutions while preserving states as the primary functional regulator."
This spells the end for Tether, and certain doom for any company whose business model relies upon it, such as: Exchanges, OTC desks, Trading Platforms and Wallets, Remittance Services and DEFI Platforms.
You were warned! Don't get caught holding the bag!
BTC TRYING TO FILL CME GAP IN UPWARD DIRECTIONBTC, currently trading above 66000, is aiming towards 69000 again to fill CME gap, in case of successful breakout at hourly timeframe, we might be seeing bullish sentiments for few days.
However, if hourly candle closes below 65700, analysis becomes invalid.