A trading strategy is needed to stabilize the psychological stat== A trading strategy is needed to stabilize the psychological state. ==
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(USDT chart)
A very long upper tail was created on November 8th.
Then, the gap continues to rise.
I believe that this continuous gap increase means that funds are continuously flowing into the coin market.
Accordingly, I believe that if the current inflow of funds is concentrated towards BTC and the price is defended, this will eventually lead to an upward trend in BTC.
(USDC chart)
The key is whether the gap can rise above 24.98B.
I believe that USDC has less influence on the coin market than USDT.
The reason is that the USDC market is not active.
Therefore, if funds flowed into the coin market through USDC, I think there is a high possibility that they will be exchanged for USDT.
Otherwise, I think BTC will most likely be used for trading.
-------------------------------------------
(BTC.D chart)
In any case, funds are flowing into the coin market through USDT or USDC.
In these situations, we need to check BTC dominance to see where our real money is being spent.
For the coin market to show a full-fledged upward trend, it is expected that BTC dominance rises above 61 and then begins to decline.
Therefore, rising BTC dominance means that funds are being concentrated towards BTC.
It is unknown whether funds concentrated in this way toward BTC will cause the price of BTC to rise or fall.
Therefore, when BTC dominance rises, altcoins are likely to gradually sideways or decline.
(USDT.D chart)
A falling USDT dominance means that funds are being used in the coin market.
Accordingly, the coin market is likely to show an upward trend.
Currently, funds are continuously flowing in, but BTC dominance and USDT dominance are showing sideways movements.
If sideways moves like this, individual investors are more likely to feel unbearable anxiety, so they will naturally sell their coins (tokens) in installments.
To encourage this further, circular pumping of altcoins occurs.
Accordingly, BTC will move very slowly, and altcoins are likely to become more active.
However, if you look at the movements of BTC dominance and USDT dominance, you can see that the fluctuation range is not large.
You can see that trading is not that active.
Individual investors are accustomed to waiting.
However, because they are psychologically unstable, they just give up waiting, but they are used to waiting.
However, investment companies, institutions, and whales are not accustomed to waiting.
However, I think they just seem accustomed to waiting because it has the power to shake the psychology of individual investors.
For a bull market to start this year, I believe BTC dominance must fall below 50 and USDT dominance must fall below 5.89 and remain there.
Therefore, I think that the way to relieve one's psychological anxiety is to increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profits while controlling the proportion of coins (tokens) held until then.
This is because individual investors are highly likely to make wrong choices if their psychological state becomes unstable, no matter how profitable they are.
This is because I believe that if you can stabilize your psychological state even if you earn less profit, you will eventually be able to close the transaction successfully.
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- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
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** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
USDC
Bull market begins: BTC.D (below 50), USDT.D (below 5.89)Hello traders!
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(USDT chart)
A large volatility occurred on November 8th and the gap continues to rise.
Accordingly, we can see that funds are continuously flowing into the coin market.
-----------------------------------------
(USDC chart)
It is unclear whether USDC's continued decline is causing funds to flow out of the coin market or to be converted to USDT.
However, because the USDC market is not active, USDC movements do not have a direct influence on the coin market.
Since USDC continues to fall, I believe it is forming a separate market different from the stock market.
It is believed that the movements of the stock market due to the volatility of government bonds (US10Y) and DXY are consistent with the current movements of the coin market and have no special meaning.
(US10Y chart)
Since US10Y showed a short-term decline, it appears that the stock market is temporarily on the rise.
(DXY chart)
Since DXY is located around 105.664-106.416, it is difficult to say that the investment market is active yet, so you should be careful about investing.
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(BTC.D chart)
BTC dominance is showing resistance and falling around 53.68.
Accordingly, we can see that funds are being concentrated towards altcoins.
However, since BTC dominance is above 50, you can see that more funds are still concentrated in BTC.
Therefore, I think caution is still needed when investing in altcoins.
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(USDT.D chart)
If USDT dominance falls below 5.89-6.39 and remains, the coin market is expected to begin a bull market, i.e. a bull market.
However, as mentioned in the explanation of the BTC dominance chart, the actual bull market is expected to begin only when BTC dominance falls below 50.
Therefore, it can be said that the 5.89-6.39 section corresponds to the boundary section.
This means that even if it pretends to fall below this boundary, it may rise.
In this market situation, I think that buying when a downward candle is on the 1D chart will lead to better trading than through breakout trading (buying when the price breaks upward through important support and resistance areas).
You should be aware that if the altcoin you own is not rising and you switch to another altcoin that is rising, there is a high possibility that the altcoin you have held will rise from then on.
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- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
USDT.D : Bull market begins when it falls below 5.89-6.39Hello traders!
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(USDT chart)
The gap continues to rise.
I believe that the rise in the gap is evidence that new funds are flowing into the coin market.
(USDC chart)
USDC has been in a downward trend since July 2022.
There are some doubts whether funds are flowing into the coin market as USDC and the funds are being converted back to USDT.
This is because the USDC market is not active, so in order to trade actual coins, you must trade in the USDT market or BTC market.
In any case, I don't think USDC has any direct influence on the coin market.
However, as coin-related investment products are launched in the stock market, I believe that the investment products and the movements of the stock market are related.
Therefore, I think the decline in USDC means that the correlation is weakening.
------------------------------------
(BTC.D chart)
I believe that BTC Dominance is not a chart that shows the movement of BTC price, but rather a chart that lets you know where funds are concentrated.
Therefore, a rise in BTC dominance means that funds are being concentrated towards BTC.
Conversely, a decline in BTC dominance means that funds are being concentrated towards altcoins.
Therefore, in the big picture (1M), you can see that the upward trend is maintained.
However, on the 1D chart, it is showing signs of a downward trend as it falls below the MS-Signal indicator.
We need to see if this short-term trend reversal can be sustained.
(USDT.D chart)
USDT has a direct influence on the coin market because the USDT market is active.
Therefore, a decline in USDT dominance means that the coin market is rising, that is, the buying trend is increasing.
In the big picture (1M), it is difficult to say that it has fallen below the MS-Signal peak, so I think it is maintaining an upward trend.
Accordingly, the rise in USDT dominance should be considered a decline in the coin market, that is, an increase in selling.
However, looking at the 1D and 1W charts, they show a decline below the MS-Signal indicator of each chart.
Accordingly, from a short-term perspective, the coin market is showing an upward trend.
(1D chart)
If this short-term upward trend in the coin market continues and USDT dominance falls below 5.89-6.39, it is expected that a bull market will begin in which profits can be made by purchasing any coin (token).
At this time, the important thing is that BTC dominance must fall simultaneously.
If not, strange movements are expected to occur.
Strange movements mean that only BTC is rising.
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- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
🔥 Stablecoins Breaking Out: This Time Is Different! 🚨If you've followed my analyses for a while, you've seen this chart before. This is a chart of the relative total stablecoins marketcap. In other words, the stablecoins marketcap divided by the total crypto marketcap.
In my previous analyses, I stated that BTC dumped every time that the bottom support of the channel has been hit, with my most recent analysis talking about an impending dump after we hit it again in July. This was also the main reason why I was bearish during August and September.
However, this time is different! For the first time since 2019, the relative stable coins marketcap has fallen through the bottom support of the channel. This is great news for crypto, since a rising value often means more bearish market conditions.
With stablecoins falling, this could very well be the start of a longer-term downtrend, which is great for crypto as a whole because stables are being spent instead of being held.
USDT.D : The key is whether the decline can continueHello?
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(USDT chart)
USDT, which had been stagnant for a while, continues its upward trend and is renewing its new high (ATH).
However, the size of the candles is not the same as before and tends to be large.
This appearance of the 1D chart is actually the first pattern to appear.
It seems that the movement of funds in one day is too large.
So, once I know what the new pattern means, I'll explain it again.
The basic interpretation of USDT and USDC charts is whether they are rising or falling, creating a gap.
This is because a rising gap means that funds have flowed into the coin market, and a falling gap means that funds have flowed out of the coin market.
(USDC chart)
USDC is continuing to decline.
We believe that USDC does not have a direct impact on the coin market because the trading pairs are not active.
Therefore, it is unknown whether funds are flowing into USDC and then being converted to USDT, or whether funds are flowing out into the coin market after a quick transaction.
However, if the market capitalization of USDC continues to decrease, I think there is a possibility that there will be a difference in the movements of the coin market and the funds made up of USDC, that is, the coins launched as stock market investment products.
It is thought that this movement is limiting the upward trend of the coin market to launch new investment products.
The decrease in liquidity can be seen as a result of the movement of funds according to the global economic flow, but it is believed that as earn-related services on exchanges become active, funds are stagnating, reducing liquidity.
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(BTC.D chart)
(1M charts)
With BTC dominance rising above 53.65, the coin market is believed to be forming a new trend.
For the coin market to exhibit a major bull market, we expect BTC dominance to rise by more than 61% and then begin to decline.
Accordingly, BTC dominance is expected to continue to rise.
The rise in BTC dominance means that funds are being concentrated towards BTC, so it is likely that the movement of altcoins will relatively slow down.
Therefore, pumping of coins (tokens) with low market capitalization may occur frequently, but the upward trend is likely to be short-lived.
There are coins (tokens) that are currently showing a significant upward trend.
When these coins (tokens) end their upward trend and fall, it is necessary to check whether the price is maintained at a certain level.
In addition, we must also check whether the community activities of those coins (tokens) and the coin ecosystem are expanding.
This movement has the potential to create a new major coin and replace the existing major coin.
Therefore, if you are purchasing an altcoin for mid- to long-term investment purposes, I think it is a good idea to target these coins (tokens).
However, we must not forget that in reality, the only coins best suited for mid- to long-term investment are BTC and ETH.
(USDT chart)
USDT dominance fell below the HA-High indicator on all charts.
If USDT dominance is maintained below the HA-High indicator, the coin market is expected to show an upward trend.
However, since the movement of USDT dominance represents the overall flow of the coin market, the movement of individual coins (tokens) cannot be known.
If USDT dominance falls while BTC dominance is rising, this is expected to lead to an upward trend for BTC.
Therefore, I believe that BTC’s continued and rapid rise will inevitably result in a slowdown in altcoins.
--------------------------------------------------
We believe that funds coming in through USDT have a direct impact on the coin market because the trading pair is active.
Therefore, if USDT continues its upward trend by increasing the gap, I think the coin market will eventually show an upward trend.
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
New funds are flowing in, and funds are focusing on BTCHello?
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(USDT chart)
The gap continues to rise, showing that new funds are flowing into the coin market.
(USDC chart)
There is a higher possibility that USDC's upward trend will be coupled with the movement of investment products in the stock market made with coins.
Therefore, we believe that the likelihood that the coin market will be affected by the movements of the stock market index increases.
However, since the USDC market is not active, its impact is expected to be minimal.
In any case, since the stock market is on the edge of a recession, a downtrend in the stock market is likely to have a temporary impact on the coin market.
-----------------------------------------------
(BTC.D chart)
A rise in BTC dominance means that funds in the coin market are being concentrated towards BTC.
Therefore, there is a possibility that altcoins will gradually sideways or show a downward trend.
There seems to be talk that the altcoin bull market has begun due to the current altcoin rise.
However, BTC dominance is expected to continue its upward trend and rise above 61.
Therefore, caution is required as the rising trend of altcoins is expected to gradually decrease or the rising period will become shorter.
(USDT.D chart)
The USDT market is a market that is active on all coin exchanges.
Therefore, USDT's volatility can be seen to have a direct influence on the coin market.
Accordingly, the decline in USDT dominance is more likely to lead to an upward trend in the coin market.
However, since USDT dominance can tell the flow of the entire coin market, it is recommended to look at the movement of BTC dominance as well.
Since funds are moved through USDT, if new funds flow through USDT, USDT dominance will naturally maintain an upward trend.
Therefore, it is better to analyze the movement of candles rather than analyze the trend of the USDT dominance chart.
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
The market's next stepsI will leave it for posterity as they like to say here )
All on the chart, we are approaching the bottom of the ascending channel on the domination of the stablecoins, and what does it mean?
You can easily understand it by looking at the lower left corner of the chart, and then what happened to the market )))
Where will we go after the reversal? Right to the top of the channel )
What will happen to the market you can also see in the upper part of the chart).
You can also clearly see the trading range and the deviation that we are now performing by going into the white box ))))
The correlation with DXY is also very clear, now a small correction has started - and we got this takeout from the range ).
Next, everything will return to a full repeat of the DXY movement.
I'd be grateful for subscribing and promoting the idea with a rocket )
(USDT.D) Need to see if it can fall from 7.97-8.26Hello?
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(USDT chart)
(1D chart)
You need to see if a gap is created on the USDT or USDC chart.
The larger the candle, the more transactions are taking place in the USDT or USDC market, indicating the amount converted to USDT or USDC.
Therefore, the occurrence of a large rising candle means that a lot of transactions took place in the USDT market, and as a result, a lot of it was converted to USDT.
This means that selling pressure was strong in the USDT market.
However, since a small but continuous gap is created, this gap increase will ultimately maintain the upward trend in the coin market.
---------------------------------------------
(USDC chart)
USDC's continued decline may indicate independent movements away from the stock market.
Additionally, there is a possibility that it may have a negative impact on stock investment products made with coins.
Since the USDC market is not active on the coin exchange, I don't think there will be any direct impact from USDC's fluctuations.
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(BTC.D chart)
I believe that in order for the coin market to show a significant upward trend, the price of BTC must rise first.
Therefore, when BTC's full-fledged upward trend begins, BTC dominance is expected to rise above 61.
Due to this upward trend, altcoins are likely to gradually sideways or decline.
Then, at some point, BTC dominance will no longer rise and will begin to decline, and the simultaneous upward trend of BTC and altcoins will begin.
Therefore, I think it is only natural that we should currently focus on BTC or ETH.
-------------------------------------------------- -
(USDT.D chart)
The USDT market is an active market on coin exchanges around the world.
Therefore, the fluctuations of USDT have a great influence on the coin market, directly or indirectly.
Therefore, the fund flow in the coin market can be predicted to some extent by looking at the movement of USDT dominance.
If you look at the 1W chart and 1M chart, you can see that it is showing an upward trend.
Therefore, from a mid- to long-term perspective, it is expected to continue to rise.
A rise in USDT dominance means an overall downward trend in the coin market.
Therefore, I think it is better to approach investment from a mid- to long-term perspective.
However, if there is movement within the extended downtrend channel formed on the 1D chart and it shows a downward trend, the coin market is likely to show a short-term upward trend.
Therefore, we need to check whether it can fall in the 7.97-8.26 box range.
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** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
Meaning of rising gap in Market Cap chart: new capital inflowHello?
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-------------------------------------
(USDT chart)
I believe that the meaning of the gap that occurs in the Market Cap chart indicates whether funds are flowing into or out of the coin market.
Accordingly, I don't think the size of the candle or any other movements are very important.
I think the size of the candle indicates how many transactions are taking place.
Therefore, if the size of the candle begins to decrease and a gap begins to form, I think there is a higher possibility of creating a big wave in the coin market in the future due to the inflow or outflow of funds into the coin market.
As the size of the candle suddenly decreased, the gap began to rise.
If these movements continue to occur, the coin market is expected to eventually show an upward trend.
-------------------------------------------
(USDC chart)
I don't think changes in the USDC chart will have a direct impact on the coin market because there aren't many trading pairs that can be traded directly with USDC, i.e. the USDC market.
However, I think it depends on whether the investment products released in the stock market as coins will show similar movements to the stock market or whether they will show independent movements.
Therefore, it is likely that it will follow the stock market trend to some extent since it has currently gapped higher.
Currently, the only investment products released on the watch market are the BTC ETF and the ETH ETF in some countries, but since BTC is the leader in the coin market, it is expected to have some influence on BTC movements.
It is expected that the more coins are released as investment products in the stock market, the more likely they are to be associated with stock market movements.
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(BTC.D chart)
(USDT.D chart)
It is recommended to view the BTC dominance chart and USDT dominance chart together.
The reason is that
1. BTC dominance lets you know whether funds are concentrated towards BTC or altcoins.
2. This is because the overall trend of the coin market can be seen through the movement of USDT dominance.
Therefore, in order for the coin market to become a bull market, both BTC.D and USDT.D must maintain a downward trend.
If this is not the case and everyone maintains an upward trend, there is a high possibility that the coin market will show a downward trend.
Although you cannot know which specific coin (token) to invest in, you can tell by looking at the movement of BTC dominance or USDT dominance whether you should invest intensively in BTC or ETH, or altcoins.
Currently, BTC.D and USDT.D are showing an upward trend at the same time.
In this case, it is recommended not to trade as the coin market is likely to decline, but it is a time to intensively purchase BTC or ETH in the mid to long term.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
USDT : Still time to realize profitsHello?
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-------------------------------------
(USDT chart)
(USDC chart)
As long as USDT funds are maintained, the coin market is expected to maintain an upward trend.
The decline of USDC is expected to make the coin market an independent market.
Accordingly, it is likely to show a different trend from the stock market.
(BTC.D chart)
(USDT.D chart)
If BTC dominance and USDT dominance decline simultaneously, the coin market is expected to create a bull market.
However, USDT dominance must fall below at least 7.14.
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** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
USDT: Market capitalization without significant changeHello?
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-------------------------------------
(USDT chart)
I've seen an article saying that the market capitalization of stable coins has decreased significantly.
In fact, when looking at the USDT chart, which currently accounts for most of the funds in the coin market, it is in a very small state.
I think it was reported because the liquidity of the coin market has decreased so much that there are no other issues to worry about.
(1D chart)
USDT has shown significant volatility three times to form a high point.
The location corresponds to the section 82.098B-82.416B.
Therefore, if USDT is maintained above this range even if it falls to its maximum, I think the long-term trend of the coin market will not change.
-----------------------------------------------
(USDC chart)
It cannot be said that the decline of USDC had a significant impact on the coin market.
However, it can be seen that the decline of USDC played a role in lowering the correlation between investment products derived from the coin market, that is, the stock market.
Therefore, the further USDC falls, the more the coin market is expected to escape the influence of the stock market.
It is not easy to say definitively whether this trend is good or bad.
However, if we continue to move away from the stock market, regulations and pressure on the coin market will likely increase, so I think it is important to keep a reasonable line.
USDC's market capitalization also remains high.
However, I believe that the USDC market is not active and therefore has little influence on the coin market.
If the USDC market begins to expand beyond US exchanges to the rest of the world, then I believe that fluctuations in USDC will begin to have an impact on the coin market just like USDT.
In this sense, I think this is why the coin market is more likely to show independent movements different from the stock market even if the DXY continues to rise and the investment market enters a recession.
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(BTC.D chart)
BTC dominance is expected to eventually rise and rise above 61.
The reason is that in order for BTC to show a full-fledged upward trend, BTC dominance must rise.
We've been talking about this for a long time, so I'll skip it.
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(USDT.D chart)
The SPX500USD chart shows the opposite movement to what was explained.
Therefore, if USDT dominance is maintained by rising above 8.16, there is a high possibility of renewing the new high (ATH).
The rise in USDT dominance needs to be closely observed because it is highly likely that the coin market will decline overall.
In order for this upward trend to turn into a downward trend, it must meet the HA-Low indicator and show a decline.
Until then, even if it declines, it is expected to just move sideways.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
When the general trend is rising, the flow of funds...Hello?
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-------------------------------------
(USDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can rise and maintain the gap above 83.475B.
I believe that a large candle size means that a significant amount of funds are moving or being used for trading.
Therefore, I think the size of these candles that have been showing recently should become smaller than before.
Until then, the period of profit realization is expected to continue.
The time of profit realization and the time of day trading coexist.
This is because the final stage of profit realization is day trading.
Therefore, the day trading period ends with significant volatility.
Large volatility can appear either upward or downward.
In whatever form it appears, it will be moved to the vicinity where large volatility begins to appear.
After that, it is expected that the mainstream upward trend we have been hoping for will begin.
---------------------------------------------
(USDC 1D chart)
Although we created HA-Low and HA-High indicators, it is surprising to see a different interpretation method than what we created.
The original purpose of creating it was to conduct transactions using Heikin Ashi.
If you check the formula, you will see that it is a very simple formula.
Therefore, if the price is located near the HA-Low indicator, it means that the current price is located in the low range.
Accordingly, if it falls below the HA-Low indicator, there is a high possibility of renewing the previous low point.
Conversely, if it rises above the HA-High indicator, there is a high possibility of renewing the previous high point.
Therefore, when the general upward trend begins, the HA-High indicator appears as a stepwise rise.
I learned that when this type of trend, that is, a stepwise rise or fall, meets other indicators, it enters a trend reversal phase.
Therefore, for USDC to turn into an upward trend, it must meet the HA-High indicator.
The current HA-High indicator is located around 43.294B, so you can see that it is quite far away.
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(BTC.D chart)
I believe that BTC dominance must rise to at least 61 for a major uptrend to begin.
Therefore, no matter what the coin market looks like, we expect BTC dominance to eventually rise above 61.
Accordingly, the coin market is expected to conclude the day trading period with a rapid rise in BTC dominance.
A rise in BTC dominance ultimately means that funds in the coin market are concentrated towards BTC.
Therefore, caution is required as altcoins are likely to see a large downtrend.
-------------------------------------------------- --------
(USDT.D chart)
I think USDT dominance reflects the current direction of the coin market well.
Therefore, if USDT dominance rises, the coin market as a whole is likely to decline.
Conversely, if USDT dominance falls, the coin market as a whole is likely to show an upward trend.
One thing to consider here is the role of BTC dominance.
No matter how much USDT dominance falls, if BTC dominance does not fall along with it, only BTC will show great volatility and altcoins will show sideways or downward trends.
Therefore, in order to see the movement and flow of funds in the coin market, I think you should at least look at the BTC.D chart and USDT.D chart together.
When the day trading market closes and enters a period of high volatility, only BTC will see large price movements and altcoins will show sideways or downward trends, as described above.
This is the second buying period for altcoins from a mid- to long-term perspective.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
A rise above 83.318B with a gap signals a trend reversalHello?
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(USDT chart)
What is important in the market cap chart is whether a gap has occurred.
In a market that operates 24 hours a day, 365 days a year, the occurrence of a gap means that funds are moving rapidly.
In that sense, I think the rise in the gap is the basis for the inflow of new funds.
On the contrary, I believe that the gap decline is evidence that funds have flowed out of the coin market.
Accordingly, the key is whether the gap can rise above 83.318B.
I do not think that the movement of candlesticks has much to do with the inflow and outflow of funds on the basis that trading is actively taking place.
-------------------------------------------
(USDC chart)
The gap is showing an increase above 26.143B.
The key is whether the gap can rise above the HA-Low indicator (26.212B) on the 1D chart and be maintained.
What is important is whether this gap increase can serve as an opportunity to change the trend.
------------------------------------------------
(BTC.D chart)
BTC dominance is located around 50.
It can be interpreted that funds were moved from the altcoin side to BTC.
This trend is expected to continue until around 61-68.
This trend is expected to take place due to the BTC Halving next year.
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(USDT.D chart)
If it shows support around 8.03, it is expected to renew the new high (ATH).
The section that begins to be considered a bullish market will be felt as it falls below 6.6.
Accordingly, what you should focus on now is BTC or ETH.
Since altcoins have fallen a lot now, you might think that if you buy now and wait, you can make big profits.
However, the waiting is quite tedious and dangerous.
This is because psychological anxiety can increase due to fear of not knowing when the trend will turn to an upward trend.
Therefore, below BTC 29K, you need to focus on BTC or ETH and increase the number of coins you hold.
Also, it is a good idea to make the first purchase of a coin (token) among altcoins that you think is worth trading in the mid to long term.
The reason for making the first purchase is so that you can feel the price changes directly.
Secondary buying of altcoins can begin when BTC rises above 32K.
However, secondary purchases of altcoins can be made slowly since the range is currently quite large, up to 43K.
In order to trade, we need to have a trading strategy in mind.
As mentioned above, this trading strategy must be gradually developed into a detailed trading strategy based on a mid- to long-term trading strategy.
What is important here is that the mid- to long-term perspective, that is, the big-picture trading strategy, should not change.
This is because if you frequently change the big picture trading strategy and are unable to match the detailed strategy accordingly, you may proceed with trading in the wrong direction.
Day trading is a good trading method in that respect.
However, day trading may be less profitable than mid- to long-term trading, so it is recommended to combine it with mid- to long-term trading.
The obvious coins for mid- to long-term transactions are BTC or ETH.
So, I am saying that the current position is a time to focus on BTC or ETH.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
Significant volatility period: starting around September 6hello?
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(USDT chart)
It touched around 82.959B on the falling candlestick.
Therefore, the rise and fall of candlesticks that do not gap should be interpreted as triggering trades.
That's why you don't have to be afraid of falling candlesticks.
What you should be afraid of is when it drops, creating a gap.
This is because it is seen as a phenomenon of outflow of funds from the coin market.
Around August 7th, we can see that funds have flowed out of the coin market as the gap down begins.
When the take profit period is over, we expect it to start moving sideways and then start to rise.
I don't think there will be a downturn in the coin market unless USDT falls below 80.986B.
However, there is only a slight pain in waiting.
-------------------------------------------------- -----------
(USDC chart)
USDC is likely to be funds from US-based investment companies or institutions.
Therefore, when USDC shows an upward trend, I think good news will start to come from the US side.
If the gap rises above 26.525B and is maintained, good news is likely to emerge.
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(BTC.D chart)
Altcoins are bouncing as BTC dominance falls below 50.
However, it is only exciting, but it seems to be returning to its original place.
Therefore, in order to trade altcoins, a quick response is required through day trading or short-term trading.
I think the section where you start to think that the pumping of altcoins has started is when it drops below the 47.64-48.81 section.
The pumping of these altcoins is highly likely to cause a strong downtrend in the coin market soon, so caution is required.
In order to welcome a proper altcoin bull market, BTC dominance must rise above at least 55.01 and then start to decline.
For now, I expect it to rise to around 61.73-68.72.
-------------------------------------------------- -----
(USDT.D chart)
A big rise occurred as it rose above 7.14-7.39.
An increase in USDT dominance means that the coin market is likely to go down.
If it remains above 8.12, it is expected to renew the new high (ATH).
Unless USDT dominance shows a decline, the coin market as a whole will draw a downward trend.
(1D chart)
Accordingly, it is expected that it will be important how it behaves during the volatility period between about 6th and 16th September.
At this time, if it does not fall below the minimum of 7.62, USDT dominance is expected to maintain an upward trend in the end, so caution is required.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** The trading volume indicator is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
Display method (in order of boldest)
More than 3x 10EMA trading volume > 2.5x > 2.0x > 1.25x > trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
The Key Is Whether USDT Can Convert To Gap RiseHello?
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(USDT chart)
We need to see if it can rise above 83.333B.
If not,
1st: 82.959B
2nd: 81.839B
You need to make sure that it is supported in the vicinity of the 1st and 2nd above.
(USDC chart)
We need to see if it can rise above 26.525B.
(BTC.D chart)
We need to see if it can fall below 47.64-48.81.
(USDT.D chart)
Regardless of whether the size of funds changes or where the flow of funds is concentrated, the most important thing is that USDT dominance must decline.
Otherwise, the coin market cannot continue its upward trend.
If USDT dominance remains above 8.12, it is expected to renew the new high (ATH).
Therefore, the key question is whether a decline can be achieved around 7.14-7.39.
------------------------------------------------
(USDT 1D chart)
After gapping down around June 17th, BTC surged.
It remains to be seen if funds flow into the coin market through USDT after this drop.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** The trading volume indicator is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
Display method (in order of boldest)
More than 3x 10EMA trading volume > 2.5x > 2.0x > 1.25x > trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
Volatility occurs in funds in the coin markethello?
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(USDT 1D chart)
(USDC 1D chart)
(BTC.D 1D chart)
(USDT.D 1D chart)
The volatility shown 2 days ago has been corrected and appears to be displayed correctly.
In this way, market cap charts are often displayed properly after at least 1-2 days have elapsed.
- USDT turned from falling to rising,
- USDC is still on a downtrend,
- BTC dominance shifted from gap down to up,
- USDT dominance also shifted from falling to rising in the gap.
We believe that gaps in the USDT and USDC charts are caused by the inflow or outflow of funds into the coin market.
BTC dominance and USDT dominance can also cause gaps.
However, the dominance chart believes that trends are more important than the occurrence of gaps.
Accordingly,
The upward trend in BTC dominance means that the money in the coin market is concentrating towards BTC.
When funds are concentrated towards BTC
1. When funds are concentrated as the BTC price rises
2. If the BTC price falls, but the fall of the altcoin is greater than the fall
Cases 1 and 2 above.
Therefore, I believe that BTC dominance shows the movement of funds in altcoins rather than movements in BTC.
Therefore, it can be inferred that BTC dominance must be in a downtrend to buy an altcoin.
BTC dominance is expected to rise to around 61.73 from a mid- to long-term perspective, so caution is required when trading altcoins.
USDT dominance must show an unconditional downward trend, so the coin market as a whole is likely to show an upward trend.
Therefore, it is time to start trading when USDT dominance begins to decline.
No matter how much the USDT dominance continues to rise, it creates waves, so trading is possible according to the waves.
Currently, USDT dominance is showing a rise above 7.14-7.39.
So, a support around 7.39 could lead to a rise above 8.12.
Changes in the trend of the coin market are expected as we have seen changes in the money in the coin market.
We would appreciate it if you could refer to the BTC chart description for the timing of the change.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** The trading volume indicator is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
Display method (in order of boldest)
More than 3x 10EMA trading volume > 2.5x > 2.0x > 1.25x > trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
USDC & SVBIn the past 24 hours, the trading volume of the Bybit USDC/USDT perpetual contract pair exceeded an astonishing $380 million, and the annualized funding rate was as high as 740%
After Friday's stunning collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, questions swirled around the exposure of one of crypto's top firms, Circle, the issuer of the second-largest stablecoin, USDC.
In its March attestation, Circle had revealed that part of its $9.88 billion in cash reserves was held at SVB, although it did not disclose the total amount. Following the collapse of SVB, withdrawals from USDC mounted, with the crypto intelligence platform Nansen showing over $1 billion in redemptions from the stablecoin since SVB's shutdown. USDC has a market cap just north of $40 billion.
As USDC lost its $1 peg across different crypto exchanges amid withdrawals, Circle sought to instill confidence, with the company tweeting at 6:50 pm ET that it would continue to operate normally, sharing that SVB was one of the six banking partners it uses for the 25% of its reserves that it keeps in cash, although still not disclosing the amount held at SVB.
As investors continued to move out of USDC, Binance announced it would be temporarily suspending its auto-conversion policy of USDC to its BUSD stablecoin, citing "market conditions" and describing the action as a "normal risk-management procedural step." At 10:11 PM ET, Circle offered more clarity, tweeting that $3.3 billion—or around 8%—of its reserves remained at SVB, revealing that wires initiated on Thursday to remove balances from the bank had not been processed. Dante Disparte, Circle's chief strategy officer, tweeted soon after that Circle was protecting USDC "from a black swan failure in the banking system."
Meanwhile, USDC's peg continued to weaken, with the token trading at $0.92 against tether on Kraken as of 10:40 pm ET. Coinbase announced it would be temporarily pausing conversions from USDC to USD over the weekend while banks are closed, adding that during periods of heightened activity, conversions rely on USD transfers from banks that clear during normal banking hours. Coinbase worked with Circle to create USDC, launching the token in 2018.
After the FDIC placed SVB into receivership on Friday, the weekend will prove an uncertain time as the financial world waits to see if the U.S. government is able to find a buyer for the failed bank or will otherwise backstop losses, with insured deposits only backed up to $250,000. Former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers called for depositors to be paid back in full.
While the crypto industry seems to be safe from SVB contagion for now, with much of the sector moving to Signature Bank and other partners in the wake of Wednesday's voluntary liquidation of Silvergate, Circle could prove the exception. The firm is a fundamental cog in the crypto ecosystem, with USDC serving as a crucial on-ramp into crypto for investors globally.
Some onlookers expressed confidence that Circle would be able to weather the storm. The investor Adam Cochran tweeted that Circle could cover a possible $3.3 billion gap from the interest it collects from reserves, a sale share, or other venture debt. "This is a non-issue in my mind," he wrote.
The hedge fund North Rock Digital CEO Hal Press said that they has continued to buy more USDC at $0.88, having previously bought at $0.935; he believes that USDC will end up fully repegging, a worst case 70% of the cash via asset sales USDC would still be worth 93c.
USDT is looking to enter a new phaseHello?
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(USDT chart)
The OBV, indicated by the 'Vol & Trend' indicator, is about to turn from buying to selling.
Therefore, the possibility of volatility in the coin market is increasing.
Similar to the present situation,
It looks similar to the chart above.
Therefore, if USDT starts to decline, it is expected to show a similar flow to the previous chart when it is supported and rises around 82.959B-83.333B.
--------------------------------------------------
(USDC chart)
If USDC remains below 26.129B or continues to fall, it is expected that a crisis in investment products or stocks related to the stock market will occur.
Therefore, caution is required if you are investing in investment products or items that are related to the stock market and coin market.
Since the funds leading the coin market are likely to be funds inflow through USDT, the continued decline in USDC is not expected to have a significant impact on the coin market.
However, since USDC's continued decline causes the stock market and the coin market to separate, the coin market itself is highly likely to show a different look from the stock market.
-------------------------------------------------- ----------
(BTC.D chart)
It is expected that BTC dominance should fall below 47.64-48.80 for the altcoin bull market to start.
Therefore, when BTC dominance shows a decline until then, quick trading is needed from a short-term and day trading perspective.
BTC dominance is expected to rise in the 56.78-61.73 range and form a new trend afterwards.
-------------------------------------------------- ---------------
(USDT.D chart)
USDT dominance is rising above the 6.85-7.27 range.
Therefore, the coin market is more likely to show a downward trend.
A large trend in the coin market is expected to form when USDT dominance breaks out of the 6.21-8.25 zone.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
The key is whether USDT dominance can fall below 6.85-7.27hello?
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(USDT chart)
A rise in the gap broke the previous latest high.
USDT is renewing all-time highs.
(USDC chart)
If USDC continues to gap down below 26.129B, there could be problems with investment products launched for the coin.
Therefore, caution is required if you are investing in coin-related investment products released on the stock market.
(BTC.D chart)
It needs to fall below 47.64-48.80 to trigger an altcoin bull run.
If not, you need to be careful when trading altcoins.
For Altcoins, when BTC is below 29K, the first round of purchases will be made.
In the second round of buying, BTC buys in the 32K-43K range.
I think the time to buy in earnest is when BTC's HA-High indicator on the 1M chart is supported and trying to rise.
Depending on your investment period and trading strategy, short-term trading is possible by selling the first purchase in the second purchase period.
For reference, BTC dominance is expected to touch around 56.78-61.73.
(USDT.D chart)
During this volatility period of USDT dominance, around July 5th-August 2nd, it is finally showing a rise above 7.27.
In the big picture, USDT dominance is expected to break out of the 6.21-8.25 zone before a new trend is formed.
Therefore, it is likely to deviate from the 6.85-7.27 section and in the direction of movement.
For reference, USDT dominance must fall to indicate an upward trend in the coin market.
The next period of volatility is around August 21-28.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
Coin market funds are starting to move againHello?
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(USDT chart)
Looking at the 1D chart,
The gap rose above the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart.
I think this movement of USDT tells us that funds are flowing back into the coin market.
Therefore, since it has started to move away from this short-term sideways, it is expected that the coin market will experience great volatility in terms of the historical USDT flow.
I think the key interpretation method is to use Bollinger bands as a concept of contraction and expansion.
---------------------------------------
(USDC chart)
Below 26.129B may trigger a red flag for USDC, so careful trading is required.
Extreme outflows of funds can be dangerous by disrupting the flow of funds, so caution is required.
--------------------------------------------
(BTC.D chart)
It seems that the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart will be created at the 49.72 point.
Accordingly, it is necessary to check whether it is supported or resisted around 49.72.
BTC dominance is expected to rise around 56.78-61.73 and then pick up its direction again.
Therefore, I think it is advantageous to do day trading or short-term trading when trading altcoins.
If you want to trade altcoins from a mid- to long-term perspective, you need to find and observe the altcoins you want to trade in the BTC 29K-32K range.
Then, you should proceed with the second purchase by looking at the flow of altcoins in the BTC 32K-43K section.
------------------------------------------------
(USDT.D chart)
It is necessary to check which direction the USDT dominance deviates from the 6.85-7.27 range.
Looking at the big picture, it is expected that the trend of the coin market will be formed only when it moves out of the 6.21-8.25 range.
Therefore, rather than looking at the chart from a day trading perspective, I think it is better to look at the chart from a mid- to long-term perspective and reorganize your trading strategy in the future.
The volatility period for USDT dominance is around July 5th - August 2nd.
I think the key is whether there can be a movement out of the 6.21-8.25 section in this volatility period.
USDT dominance must fall so that the overall flow of the coin market will show an upward trend.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
Inv h&s on XLMUSD points to a .147 - .15 targetYou can see here on the 1 day chart xlmusd has formed an inverse head and shoulder pattern with it only just recently rounding out the 2nd shoulder and returning now back to the neckline. As always I must wait for a breakout confirmation above the neckline and some confirmation from volume before basing my buys off of this but I anticipate it will likely confirm in the not so distant future considering the recent move by coinbase to use stellar for USDC. I’m hoping to get a retracement too before a full breakout above the neckline in which case I will try to wisely piece meal buys on the dip. I have placed an arbitrary dotted measured move line where I think a potential breakout could occur in which case the target is somewhere aroun 14-15 cents. *not financial advice*
New changes are expected to begin in the near futureHello?
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(USDT chart)
(1D chart)
The possibility of major changes on the USDT chart is increasing.
When the Bollinger Bands (bollinger bands), which have seen the flow of the historical USDT chart, contracted and expanded, it has shown a large upward trend.
It is necessary to confirm whether this time it will show the same appearance as the previous flow.
If it does not, and it shows a decline below 81.839B, it is expected to create a new wave.
USDT is a fund that plays an important role in supporting the coin market.
Therefore, if USDT turns to a downtrend, it is very likely that the coin market will show a large downtrend, so it is necessary to keep an eye on it.
Currently, it is expected to show an upward trend like the previous trend.
----------------------------------------------
(USDC chart)
USDC also has a high market cap ranking.
Therefore, it can be seen that funds entering the coin market through USDC also play an important role.
However, if you look at the USDC chart, it continues to show a downward trend.
This downward trend can never be seen as having a good effect on the coin market.
Currently, there are not many trading pairs that can be traded with USDC itself.
Therefore, we have reasonable doubts that we are converting the funds that flowed into the coin market through USDC into USDT.
USDC believes that when a coin market investment product is launched on the stock market, it is operated with funds that maintain and manage (?) this investment product.
Therefore, we believe that a rise in the stock market is likely to lead to a fall in USDC.
In any case, it is clear that USDC is not yet having a significant impact on the coin market as a whole.
If the USDC market starts to be created on exchanges around the world, it is expected that USDC will also have an influence over the coin market.
-------------------------------------------------- ---
(BTC.D chart)
What you can tell from the BTC dominance chart is whether the money in the coin market is concentrated in BTC or altcoins.
Therefore, the rise in BTC dominance can be interpreted as meaning that funds are concentrated towards BTC.
If this movement continues, altcoins will gradually move sideways or decline.
BTC dominance is expected to pick up direction again in the 56.78-61.73 zone.
Therefore, if you are currently trading altcoins, a quick response is required from a short-term perspective.
-------------------------------------------------- -----
(USDT.D chart)
USDT has a USDT market formed on exchanges around the world.
As such, USDT has a great influence across the coin market.
In that sense, the movement of USDT dominance allows us to see the flow of the coin market.
Looking at the big picture right now, I would expect a major trend to form depending on which way the 6.21-8.25 area is deviating.
To do so, it is necessary to check what kind of movement is shown in the 6.85-7.27 section.
An increase in USDT dominance is likely to lead to a decline in the coin market.
Therefore, USDT dominance is, in a way, equivalent to the invert chart of the BTC chart.
However, since USDT is involved in the overall flow of the coin market, it is not necessarily related to the BTC chart.
Therefore, when viewing Market Cap charts (USDT, USDC, BTC.D, USDT.D, TOTAL, TOTAL2, OTHERS, etc.), you should look at several related charts together.
-------------------------------------------------- ---
To sum up,
I think the possibility of a new trend in the coin market is increasing due to changes in the USDT chart and changes in USDT dominance.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
Mid- to long-term trading strategy with Market Cap chartHello?
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(USDT chart)
As USDT fell below the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart, the likelihood of further declines is increasing.
Therefore, the key is whether the gap can rise above the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart.
However, since the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is formed at point 82959B, if USDT is maintained around 82.467B-82959B, the coin market is expected to maintain an upward trend.
USDT is a stablecoin that has a huge impact on the coin market.
Therefore, we believe that funds transferred through USDT play an important role in the volatility of the coin market.
---------------------------------------------
(USDC chart)
Looking at the 1M chart, it is down more than -50%.
Where did so much money go?
USDC is considered an active stable coin by making coins in the coin market into investment products in the stock market.
Therefore, funds using USDC can be understood as funds required to invest in or maintain investment products in the stock market.
Therefore, it is believed that funds are being moved to invest more in the stock market than the current coin market.
Therefore, it is believed that important funds are flowing out of the coin market in starting or maintaining the upward trend of the coin market.
As a result, I believe that the funds flowing into USDT are limiting or reducing the upward trend of the coin market.
No matter how it is, the coin market is expected to maintain an upward trend as long as the funds inflow through USDT are not withdrawn.
Therefore, you should focus on when to proceed with the purchase.
-------------------------------------------------- ---
(BTC.D chart)
BTC dominance is expected to rise around 56.78-61.73.
Accordingly, caution is required when trading altcoins.
An increase in BTC dominance means that funds are concentrated towards BTC.
Therefore, altcoins are more likely to move sideways or decline.
A drop below 50.49 is required to lead to an uptrend for the altcoin, and a drop to or below the 47.64-48.80 range will feel like an altcoin bull market.
In any case, BTC dominance will rise around 56.78-61.73, so it is better to trade the uptrend of these altcoins in the short term.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------
(USDT.D chart)
We entered the important section, the 6.85-7.27 section.
Accordingly, it is necessary to see if it can fall below 6.85 by the start of the volatility period around July 5th.
A drop in USDT dominance means an uptrend in the coin market.
This uptrend represents an overall uptrend in the coin market, so it is usually expected that BTC or ETH will show an uptrend.
The most important thing to look at on the USDT dominance chart is whether it falls below 6.21 or rises above 8.25.
If it does not break out of the 6.21-8.25 zone, the coin market is expected to continue sideways.
These sideways are what you'll see when you look at the big picture.
-------------------------------------------------- --------------------
Since the amount of money (USDT, USDC) supporting the coin market is moving in the opposite direction, in this situation, I think it is better to consider the trading period larger than mid- to long-term rather than short-term trading.
Looking at the coin market from a mid- to long-term perspective, it can be divided based on BTC 29K.
When BTC is below 29K, you should focus on buying BTC or ETH from a mid- to long-term perspective.
And, proceed with the 1st purchase of altcoins to be held in the mid- to long-term.
If it rises above BTC 29K, you should focus on finding time to split and sell BTC or ETH by buying below BTC 29K.
Therefore, you can split the sale when the rate of return per purchase unit price is 30% or more, or split the sale when the rate of return is 100%.
The timing of such split selling can be set according to your investment style, and you may not sell splits.
However, if it rises above 32K, the range of fluctuation is expected to be large, so it is recommended to proceed with split selling because no matter how profitable you are, if your psychological state becomes excited, you may proceed with a wrong transaction.
When an altcoin rises above BTC 32K, you should start looking for the timing of the second purchase of the altcoin you bought the first time.
If you have not made the first purchase, you need to find the time to buy the altcoin to buy in the 29K-32K section.
Since the second buying period of Altcoins is around BTC 43K, you can proceed slowly with split buying.
When BTC rises above 43K or shows support by touching the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart, we proceed to buy all the coins we have in earnest.
This full-fledged purchase refers to the purchase with the remaining funds minus the reserve surplus funds.
A reserve fund should be set aside between 10% and 20% of the total investment.
This is because the psychological pressure caused by price fluctuations after purchase can be relieved to some extent.
Coins (tokens) bought in this way can be sold when BTC rises to around 81K.
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- big picture
A full-fledged uptrend is expected to start when it rises above 29K.
81K-95K is the range we expect to touch in the next bull market.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
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